Divisional Round...
- Thread starter emkee
- Start date
opcorn:
eggman
Pretty much a regular
Oh I agree. I just don't want to lay it.
twinkie13
In transit, arriving late.
Coverdatspred
Curious About George Costanza‘s Modeling Career
If anyone can tell me how Houston is going to score here Im all ears. I agree with the play Em. Brady probably puts up 35 today
emkee
The Truth Is Out There
Thanks fellas.
#1 defense giving 15+ points is reverse psychology.
Last time Brady was favored by double-digits in this round he won by 35 points.
Home teams in the NFL favored by 15-16 points are 8-2 ATS last 10 occasions winning by an average of 20.3 points.
Teams that were shutout in the regular season meeting and meet again in the playoffs are 0-3 ATS losing by double-digits all 3 times.
Again, is what it is. Nothing remotely sharp or sexy about Houston tonight, win or lose
#1 defense giving 15+ points is reverse psychology.
Last time Brady was favored by double-digits in this round he won by 35 points.
Home teams in the NFL favored by 15-16 points are 8-2 ATS last 10 occasions winning by an average of 20.3 points.
Teams that were shutout in the regular season meeting and meet again in the playoffs are 0-3 ATS losing by double-digits all 3 times.
Again, is what it is. Nothing remotely sharp or sexy about Houston tonight, win or lose
Tito
The Salty Dog
gl emkee...only side i would play here.
i'm going to wait and try to get a good live bet in...I can see the Texan D keeping them in it for a bit and by mid-late 3Q the Pats have begun to start the beatdown. I think Brock gives the Pats at least two short fields to work with. 31-13
i'm going to wait and try to get a good live bet in...I can see the Texan D keeping them in it for a bit and by mid-late 3Q the Pats have begun to start the beatdown. I think Brock gives the Pats at least two short fields to work with. 31-13
emkee
The Truth Is Out There
As for the first game, was all ready to hit the Falcons at 4 which is where I thought the line would close,
Would have considered laying 5 probably.
But the 6 means it could get screwed in OT and all this money on a soft, finesse team makes me iffy as fuck.
Some of the internet's best fades on the Dirty Birds as well aside from the King of Fades aka Lang.
Gonna come down to Matty Moonlight v Russ the Muss with the main emphasis being whether Russ can keep his offense moving.
Will keep looking and running numbers for now.
Would have considered laying 5 probably.
But the 6 means it could get screwed in OT and all this money on a soft, finesse team makes me iffy as fuck.
Some of the internet's best fades on the Dirty Birds as well aside from the King of Fades aka Lang.
Gonna come down to Matty Moonlight v Russ the Muss with the main emphasis being whether Russ can keep his offense moving.
Will keep looking and running numbers for now.
emkee
The Truth Is Out There
Square as f$%k.
Zeke
Big Dick and Average Size Boat
And when you like paying heavy juice, but payouts are easy
emkee
The Truth Is Out There
Thanks fellas.
This is the biggest dog Rodgers has been all season. Dude 5-1 ATS in the playoffs as a dog though but...
Teams that won the regular season meeting as a road dog and are favored in the playoffs are 8-2-1 ATS the last 10 occasions.
4-1 ATS (5-0 SU) in the Divisional Round.
Packs defense on the road is bad,
As good as Rodgers has been of late I can't see his defense holding up eventually imploding in the late quarters.
And without a run game and no Jordy, this is a real bad spot for Green Bay.
This is the biggest dog Rodgers has been all season. Dude 5-1 ATS in the playoffs as a dog though but...
Teams that won the regular season meeting as a road dog and are favored in the playoffs are 8-2-1 ATS the last 10 occasions.
4-1 ATS (5-0 SU) in the Divisional Round.
Packs defense on the road is bad,
As good as Rodgers has been of late I can't see his defense holding up eventually imploding in the late quarters.
And without a run game and no Jordy, this is a real bad spot for Green Bay.
emkee
The Truth Is Out There
Pack defense on the road has given up the most 'yards per play' in the league.
They also have the 2nd worst pass defense on the road,
And allow opposing home QB's to complete almost 70% of their passes (2nd worst in the league).
History tell us that when a team with a defense like the Pack plays on the road in the playoffs, they get smoked.
Is what it is, peeps betting the Pack are purely betting Aaron Rodgers but the dude has no control over his defense.
Expecting the Pack to get smashed up pretty good.
They also have the 2nd worst pass defense on the road,
And allow opposing home QB's to complete almost 70% of their passes (2nd worst in the league).
History tell us that when a team with a defense like the Pack plays on the road in the playoffs, they get smoked.
Is what it is, peeps betting the Pack are purely betting Aaron Rodgers but the dude has no control over his defense.
Expecting the Pack to get smashed up pretty good.
emkee
The Truth Is Out There
[TABLE="class: tableOdds"]
<tbody id="oddsBody" style="outline: 0px; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; vertical-align: baseline;">[TR="class: row-odd"]
[TD="class: team"]1/15
4:40 PM
307 GB-A Rodgers
308 DAL-D Prescott
[/TD]
[TD="class: pct, align: center"]60%
40%
[/TD]
[TD="class: pct, align: center"]74%
26%
[/TD]
[TD="class: pct, align: center"]77%
23%
[/TD]
[/TR]
</tbody>[/TABLE]
<tbody id="oddsBody" style="outline: 0px; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; vertical-align: baseline;">[TR="class: row-odd"]
[TD="class: team"]1/15
4:40 PM
307 GB-A Rodgers
308 DAL-D Prescott
[/TD]
[TD="class: pct, align: center"]60%
40%
[/TD]
[TD="class: pct, align: center"]74%
26%
[/TD]
[TD="class: pct, align: center"]77%
23%
[/TD]
[/TR]
</tbody>[/TABLE]
emkee
The Truth Is Out There
A lot of Falcons -4 yesterday as well.
nbafan88
Pretty much a regular
public %s dont really matter that much in the playoffs
its all about reading the line and imo this is a strong line for dallas.... but emkee thinks they should be higher
both offensive lines are playing exceptional..... one team has a seasoned vet at QB.... one has a QB and RB making their first start... should be interesting
emkee
The Truth Is Out There
So many dudes I know have teased the Pack into a double-digit spread, so many.
Streaking teams routinely shit the bed on the road in this round hence their 3-11 SU record.
Cowboys the vastly better team, Pack has the better QB and that is it.
It was no fluke when the Cows stomped this team in Green Bay earlier this season, Zeke feasted then and he'll feast again today.
Streaking teams routinely shit the bed on the road in this round hence their 3-11 SU record.
Cowboys the vastly better team, Pack has the better QB and that is it.
It was no fluke when the Cows stomped this team in Green Bay earlier this season, Zeke feasted then and he'll feast again today.
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