Diamondbacks/Rockies & Twins/Angels Parlay Preview Article

VirginiaCavs

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MLB Parlay for Saturday at (+306) Includes Two Sides

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockies
Saturday, August 13, 2022 at 8:10 p.m. ET at Coors Field in Denver

Who Starts for Arizona?


Their most profitable pitcher, Zac Gallen starts for the Diamondbacks tonight.

Overall, he is yielding +5.3 units.

He is so profitable largely because of his most recent starts.

Arizona has won the last four games in which Gallen started.

Gallen's Strong Form

Gallen's strong performances contribute to his team's especially recent tendency to win when he starts.

In his last four starts, he yielded a sub-two FIP (like ERA but factors out fielding) three times.

Likewise, he allowed one earned run or fewer in three of those four starts.

What Pitches Does Gallen Throw?

Gallen's favorite pitch is his fastball. He throws this pitch 47.5 percent of the time.

This decision to favor his fastball is smart because opponents struggle to hit it.

They are hitting .200 and slugging .349 against this pitch.

The fact that, as heat maps show, he often leaves his fastball in the more middle parts of the plate indicates how strong the quality of this pitch is in itself.

For example, its spin rate ranks in the 90thpercentile.

So, batters have great difficulty tracking its location.

While its velocity isn't particularly amazing in itself, it plays well off his curveball, which is his second-favorite pitch and which creates an intense velocity differential relative to his fastball.

Opponents must ready themselves for his 94-mph fastball, which seems particularly fast next to his 81-mph curveball.

Given this velocity differential and the effective, typically low location of his curveball, opponents hit .167 and slug .256 against his curveball.

Gallen ably throws both pitches against both left- and right-handed batters, but the curveball is a classic weapon against opposite-handed batters.

Thus, percentage-wise, he is likelier to throw his curveball when facing left-handed hitters.

Gallen vs. Rockie Batters

Mostly as a result of its unique altitude, Colorado's Coors Field is a notoriously difficult venues for pitchers to inhabit.

While many pitchers struggle mightily here, Gallen thrives.

In his career, he boasts a 2.63 ERA in four starts at Coors Field.

To be clear, a 2.63 ERA is great anywhere, but it's particularly amazing in Coors Field where the posted totals are justifiably always higher than in other ballparks.

Who Starts for Colorado?

Jose Urena starts for Colorado.

Despite only starting seven games for the Rockies this year, he is their least profitable pitcher.

With Colorado 1-6 in his starts, Urena is yielding -5 units.

The one win came in a day game at home against lowly Pittsburgh.

Urena vs. Diamondback Batters

Arizona hitters promise to thrive tonight because they match up well against Urena.

Primarily, Urena throws a sinker. This is, by a large margin, his favorite pitch.

Hence, he tends to struggle when opponents perform well against this pitch.

Most recently, his sinker yielded a slugging rate of over .550 against both the Brewers and Dodgers.

He collected the loss in both starts in which he surrendered a combined total of 12 earned runs.

Diamondback batters can replicate this damage because they rank sixth in slugging against the sinker from righties.


Minnesota Twins vs. Los Angeles Angels
Saturday, August 13, 2022 at 9:07 p.m. ET at Angel Stadium in Anaheim

Who Starts for Minnesota?


Dylan Bundy starts for Minnesota tonight.

Already his team's second-least profitable starting pitcher, Bundy's outlook for tonight's contest appears negative.

He typically struggles in the Angels' venue.

Here, he is 5-8 with a 6.01 ERA in his career.

Who Starts for the Angels?

The Angels start Reid Detmers.

Detmers enjoys superb form, thriving against the likes of Atlanta and Houston.

He has allowed one earned run or fewer in four of his last five starts.

In the one exception, he allowed two earned runs.

Detmers vs. Twin Batters

Tonight, he continues to look reliable because the Twins rank 23rd against his favorite pitches from lefties.

His favorite pitches are his fastball, slider, curveball, and changeup, and they benefit from his ability to locate them typically along the various borders of the strike zone.

Best Bet: Parlay Diamondbacks RL at +105 & Angels ML at -102 at +306 odds with BetOnline
 
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