December 2014

hugh613

Pretty much a regular
YTD: 73-63-2, +12.25

Monday:

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12/1/2014 9:05 PM NBA Basketball 705 Denver Nuggets* -2½ -110 vs Utah Jazz

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Adding:

12/1/2014 7:05 PM NBA Basketball 701 Miami Heat/Washington Wizards* Over 94 -110 for 1st Half
*Feels like this one should have been set more around 97 or 98. Might as well take a shot at it...

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Adding:

12/1/2014 7:05 PM NBA Basketball 701 Miami Heat/Washington Wizards* Under 95½ -110 for 2nd Half
*If you believe in the law of averages, both teams shooting 60% with barely any shots and hardly any turnovers should mean a lower scoring 2H. And speaking of law of averages... what are the odds I rattle off ten in a row? Probably not that great... : )

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YTD: 75-64-2, +13.15

Tuesday:

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12/2/2014 8:05 PM NBA Basketball 509 Oklahoma City Thunder* -2½ -110 vs New Orleans Pelicans

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Adding:

12/2/2014 7:05 PM NBA Basketball 502 Cleveland Cavaliers* -6½ -110 vs Milwaukee Bucks for 1st Half
12/2/2014 7:05 PM NBA Basketball 502 Cleveland Cavaliers* Over 54 -110 vs Milwaukee Bucks for 1st Half
*Eh, keep looking at this game and thinking this is a good idea. Guess we'll find out soon enough whether or not it was...

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hugh
nice call on thunder tonight. is kd playing tonight if yes why is the line only - 1/2?
I think the line is relatively fair given it's his first game back and the Thunder haven't exactly been setting the world on fire during his absence - plus, the Pelicans haven't been dogged at home once this season (including a game against the Mavs). Personally, I'd have it at OKC -4.5 (which I think it might get to by tip off) but, then again, there's a reason why I'm not a linesmaker... : )
 
i will join you cavs over 53 1/2 1h

[TABLE="class: Grid"]
<tbody>[TR="class: NonAlt"]
[TD="class: MiddleRight Currency"]500.00 to [/TD]
[TD="class: MiddleRight Currency"]$454.55[/TD]
[TD="class: MiddleRight Currency GradedOnly AmountPaidColumn Hidden"][/TD]
[TD]Pending[/TD]
[TD]12/2/14 7:05pm NBA Basketball 502 Cleveland Cavaliers 1st Half Over 53½ -110* <small>vs</small> Milwaukee Bucks [/TD]
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</tbody>[/TABLE]
 
hugh
thank you. I am also thinking about suns tonight, I've made good $$ betting against the pacers so why not continue.
 
Sorry EAGLES. Hard to cap Milwaukee vs. Kevin Love and 4 guys standing around watching....
 
losing 1h by two points sucks ...they score 30 in the first quarter and they went to sleep in the 2 quarters...good god
 
Adding:

12/2/2014 9:05 PM NBA Basketball 513 Portland Trail Blazers/Denver Nuggets* Over 106½ -110 for 1st Half

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YTD: 75-68-2, +8.75

Wednesday:

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12/3/2014 7:05 PM NBA Basketball 701 Chicago Bulls/Charlotte Hornets* Under 192½ -110
12/3/2014 7:05 PM NBA Basketball 703 Los Angeles Lakers/Washington Wizards* Over 208½ -110
12/3/2014 8:05 PM NBA Basketball 715 Philadelphia 76ers/Minnesota Timberwolves* Over 212 -110
*So in the past seven days, I've managed to a) pull off the rather impressive feat of dropping 11 straight games in a row, b) follow that up immediately with the (somewhat) less impressive feat of rattling off 10 straight wins in a row and c) now drop my last 5 (and counting).

Where amazing happens...

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YTD: 75-71-2, +5.45

Thursday:

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12/4/2014 8:05 PM NBA Basketball 501 Cleveland Cavaliers* -7 -110 vs New York Knicks
12/4/2014 8:05 PM NBA Basketball 501 Cleveland Cavaliers* Over 102 -110 vs New York Knicks

*Y'know, I'm not usually one to brag, but god dammit, this is one hell of an impressive run I'm on right now: drop 11 in a row, turn around and knock off 10 in a row, and now drop another 8 in a row (and counting)...

Takes a special kind of talent to pull this off...

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Thanks tuck - think I have a few more to drop before that happens though... : )

And I'm with you on bringing nbafan back - be nice to have more than just the same 10 people discussing games and posting picks every day.
 
Adding:

12/4/2014 8:00 PM Props Basketball 5053 C.Anthony points over 25½* -115 vs C.Anthony points under 25½
*Quasi hedge, maybe, but looks like Melo's gone over this number in most of his Knicks games vs. Lebron (looks like 10-5 including playoffs, but I scanned the numbers pretty quick, so don't quote me on it), so considering he takes about 23% of the Knicks total shots, he should stand a pretty good chance. Of course, the way my current downturn is going, he could get tossed in the first quarter, go out with an injury, shoot 0-20 or, worst case scenario, score 25 in a low scoring Knicks win... : )

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Thanks tuck - think I have a few more to drop before that happens though... : )

And I'm with you on bringing nbafan back - be nice to have more than just the same 10 people discussing games and posting picks every day.

Where is nba fan...did he move to milwaukee?
 
Adding:

12/4/2014 10:35 PM NBA Basketball 505 New Orleans Pelicans* Under 48½ -110 vs Golden State Warriors for 1st Half *2 UNITS*
*Looks like 11 in a row is a done deal. Might as well go for 12 and start the slate clean again tomorrow night (that or take a few days off, either or)...

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YTD: 76-74-2, +4.10

Friday:

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12/5/2014 7:05 PM NBA Basketball 801 Denver Nuggets* Over 51 -110 vs Washington Wizards for 1st Half
12/5/2014 7:05 PM NBA Basketball 801 Denver Nuggets/Washington Wizards* Over 104½ -110 for 1st Half
12/5/2014 7:05 PM NBA Basketball 803 Oklahoma City Thunder* Over 54 -110 vs Philadelphia 76ers for 1st Half
12/5/2014 7:05 PM NBA Basketball 805 New York Knicks/Charlotte Hornets* Over 94 -110 for 1st Half
12/5/2014 7:35 PM NBA Basketball 811 Los Angeles Lakers/Boston Celtics* Over 108 -110 for 1st Half
*Welcome to "December 2014", where the music's good, the picks... not so much.

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YTD: 79-76-2, +4.90

Adding:

12/5/2014 8:35 PM NBA Basketball 817 Phoenix Suns/Dallas Mavericks* Over 108½ -110 for 1st Half
12/5/2014 8:35 PM NBA Basketball 819 Miami Heat/Milwaukee Bucks* Under 99½ -110 for 1st Half

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YTD: 80-77-2, +4.80

Adding:

12/5/2014 10:05 PM NBA Basketball 823 Indiana Pacers/Sacramento Kings* Under 94 -110 for 1st Half

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YTD: 80-78-2, +3.70

Saturday:

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12/6/2014 8:05 PM NBA Basketball 503 Phoenix Suns/Houston Rockets* Over 207½ -110
12/6/2014 8:05 PM NBA Basketball 506 Chicago Bulls* Under 100½ -110 vs Golden State Warriors
12/6/2014 8:35 PM NBA Basketball 507 Minnesota Timberwolves* Under 95 -110 vs San Antonio Spurs
12/6/2014 8:35 PM NBA Basketball 508 San Antonio Spurs* -13½ -110 vs Minnesota Timberwolves
12/6/2014 10:35 PM NBA Basketball 511 New Orleans Pelicans* Under 98 -110 vs Los Angeles Clippers

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YTD: 81-82-2, +0.30

Sunday:

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12/7/2014 3:35 PM NBA Basketball 803 Denver Nuggets/Atlanta Hawks* Over 213 -110 *2 UNITS*

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Adding:

12/7/2014 3:35 PM NBA Basketball 803 Denver Nuggets* Over 53 -110 vs Atlanta Hawks for 2nd Half *5 UNITS*
*Maybe next year I'll just end my season in mid-November. Fucking ridiculous...
 
YTD: 81-84-2, -7.40

Adding:

12/7/2014 6:05 PM NBA Basketball 805 Oklahoma City Thunder* Over 52 -110 vs Detroit Pistons for 1st Half *5 UNITS*
*This would be funny except for the fact that this has happened to me all 3 seasons I've posted here (jump out to a huge lead in November and then crash and burn my way through December). I suggest you take the under...
 
YTD: 81-85-2, -12.90

Adding:

12/7/2014 7:35 PM NBA Basketball 809 Milwaukee Bucks/Dallas Mavericks* Over 104 -110 for 1st Half *5 UNITS*
*Not much left to say at this point...
 
YTD: 82-85-2, -7.90

Adding:

12/7/2014 9:35 PM NBA Basketball 813 New Orleans Pelicans/Los Angeles Lakers* Over 100 -110 for 1st Half *5 UNITS*
*Probably a trap as you rarely see a 1H total this far off the full game total but whatever...
 
Adding:

12/7/2014 9:35 PM NBA Basketball 813 New Orleans Pelicans* Over 50½ -110 vs Los Angeles Lakers for 2nd Half *5 UNITS*
*On the plus side, this is the last game of the night. FML...
 
YTD: 83-86-2, -8.40

Monday:

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12/8/2014 7:05 PM NBA Basketball 503 Atlanta Hawks/Indiana Pacers* Under 194 -110 *2 UNITS*
12/8/2014 7:35 PM NBA Basketball 507 Denver Nuggets/Toronto Raptors* Under 214½ -110 *2 UNITS*
12/8/2014 8:05 PM NBA Basketball 509 Golden State Warriors* -14 -110 vs Minnesota Timberwolves *2 UNITS*
*The train wreck has pulled into the station...

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Adding:

12/8/2014 7:30 PM Props Basketball 2215 L.James points over 26½* -125 vs L.James points under 26½ *2 UNITS*
12/8/2014 7:30 PM Props Basketball 2223 L.James FT's made over 6½* -125 vs L.James FT's made under 6½ *2 UNITS*
*For a guy who seems to be lacking motivation this season, he should be attacking the rim hard tonight...

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Adding:

12/8/2014 10:35 PM NBA Basketball 513 Phoenix Suns/Los Angeles Clippers* Over 109 -110 for 1st Half *5 UNITS*
*The sad part is, last year's collapse was even worse. Anyways, get your fade markers out, because if this loses, which it inevitably will (I take over they can't score, I take under they can't miss), it'll be a while before I'm back...
 
Enough, I love you like a brother from a different mother. The train will get back on track "so let it be written so let it be done"

:cheers3::shake:

I need my Mentor mentally of sound mind and clear thinking. A very long way to go.:consoling:
 
YTD: 85-90-2, -10.20

Tuesday:

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12/9/2014 7:05 PM NBA Basketball 701 Toronto Raptors/Cleveland Cavaliers* Over 206 -110 *2 UNITS*
12/9/2014 8:05 PM NBA Basketball 705 Dallas Mavericks/Memphis Grizzlies* Over 203½ -110 *2 UNITS*
*Thanks guys - as much as I'd love to try and attribute this to the usual suspects (bad run, bad luck, etc...), truth is there's just been a fundamental breakdown in the way I've been handicapping games as of late because, honestly, I'm not even close on some of these. Think my spreadsheets are fine - it's just that final process of evaluating the data and making sense of it that seems to have failed me big time as of late. And as far as money management goes, ok, that's always going to be an issue for the majority of us but let's face it: at average odds of -110, I'm right about where I should be anyways.

I guess we'll keep on keepin' on...

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YTD: 86-90-3, -8.20

Adding:

12/9/2014 10:35 PM NBA Basketball 715 Sacramento Kings/Los Angeles Lakers* Over 207½ -110 *2 UNITS*

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YTD: 86-91-3, -10.40

Wednesday:

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12/10/2014 7:05 PM NBA Basketball 501 Los Angeles Clippers* -6½ -110 vs Indiana Pacers
12/10/2014 7:05 PM NBA Basketball 505 Boston Celtics* Over 101½ -110 vs Charlotte Hornets
12/10/2014 7:35 PM NBA Basketball 507 Philadelphia 76ers* Under 94 -110 vs Atlanta Hawks
12/10/2014 8:05 PM NBA Basketball 514 Minnesota Timberwolves* Under 98 -110 vs Portland Trail Blazers
12/10/2014 8:05 PM NBA Basketball 515 New Orleans Pelicans/Dallas Mavericks* Over 209 -110


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YTD: 90-92-3, -7.50

Thursday:

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12/11/2014 8:05 PM NBA Basketball 701 Cleveland Cavaliers/Oklahoma City Thunder* Under 204½ -110

12/11/2014 10:35 PM NBA Basketball 703 Houston Rockets* -120 vs Sacramento Kings

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YTD: 92-92-3, -5.50

Friday:

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12/12/2014 7:35 PM NBA Basketball 810 Toronto Raptors* -9 -110 vs Indiana Pacers
12/12/2014 7:35 PM NBA Basketball 811 Philadelphia 76ers/Brooklyn Nets* Under 195½ -110
12/12/2014 8:05 PM NBA Basketball 814 Memphis Grizzlies* -10 -110 vs Charlotte Hornets
12/12/2014 8:05 PM NBA Basketball 815 Oklahoma City Thunder/Minnesota Timberwolves* Under 205 -110
12/12/2014 8:05 PM NBA Basketball 817 Cleveland Cavaliers/New Orleans Pelicans* Over 199½ -110


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YTD: 96-93-3, -2.60

Saturday:

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12/13/2014 2:05 PM NBA Basketball 501 Golden State Warriors/Dallas Mavericks* Over 214½ -110
12/13/2014 7:05 PM NBA Basketball 505 Portland Trail Blazers* -4½ -120 vs Indiana Pacers
12/13/2014 7:35 PM NBA Basketball 510 Philadelphia 76ers* Under 92 -110 vs Memphis Grizzlies


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Adding:

12/13/2014 7:35 PM NBA Basketball 509 Memphis Grizzlies* -9 -110 vs Philadelphia 76ers for 2nd Half
12/13/2014 7:35 PM NBA Basketball 510 Philadelphia 76ers* Under 44 -110 vs Memphis Grizzlies for 2nd Half

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Thanks Al - Memphis defense leaving A LOT to be desir
ed, but things should revert to the norm in the 2H.
 
Adding:

12/13/2014 8:05 PM NBA Basketball 513 Denver Nuggets/Houston Rockets* Over 102 -110 for 2nd Half
*2 UNITS*
*Remind me not to bet the Grizzlies anymore. Fucking pathetic...

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YTD: 98-96-4, -3.90

Sunday:

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12/14/2014 6:05 PM NBA Basketball 802 Washington Wizards* -6 -115 vs Utah Jazz for 1st Half
12/14/2014 6:05 PM NBA Basketball 802 Washington Wizards* Over 50½ -110 vs Utah Jazz for 1st Half
12/14/2014 6:05 PM NBA Basketball 803 Chicago Bulls* -3½ -120 vs Miami Heat

12/14/2014 6:05 PM NBA Basketball 805 Golden State Warriors* -5½ -110 vs New Orleans Pelicans
12/14/2014 7:05 PM NBA Basketball 807 Los Angeles Lakers* Over 53½ -110 vs Minnesota Timberwolves for 1st Half
12/14/2014 7:35 PM NBA Basketball 811 Toronto Raptors* -5½ -120 vs New York Knicks
12/14/2014 7:35 PM NBA Basketball 811 Toronto Raptors* Over 103 -110 vs New York Knicks


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