DEC 22-24

mrpickem

SDQL Badass Stat Boss
[146-108-10 57.48% +30.86u]

Saturday:
  • 107 Washington Redskins +11½ -105
  • 107 Washington Redskins/Tennessee Titans 1st Half Over 19½ -115
 
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1-1 early, but did get a miracle O19 2H on that pick-6 with 10 seconds left...although I didn't post it here

Liking BAL 1H and the over based on bolts being a crappy 1H team all year and playing from behind, they have very little home advantage in that stadium, but I can see myself coming back with SD 2H as this is a very close matchup. BAL will run and LA will pass for the most part

  • 123 Baltimore Ravens +3 +100
  • 123 Baltimore Ravens/Los Angeles Chargers Over 20½ -105
 
almost forgot, here's a nice late season trend at 71% ATS winners that favors BAL and 4 other side tomorrow

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Finished 2-2 yesterday.

Sunday:

  • 101 Tampa Bay Buccaneers +7 -105
  • 103 Buffalo Bills/New England Patriots Under 45 -108
  • 106 Carolina Panthers +3 -110
  • 105 Atlanta Falcons/Carolina Panthers Under 45½ -102
  • 109 Jacksonville Jaguars +3½ -110
  • 109 Jacksonville Jaguars/Miami Dolphins Over 39 -108
  • 111 New York Giants +9½ -105
  • 111 New York Giants/Indianapolis Colts Under 48 -105
  • 113 Houston Texans +112
  • 117 Green Bay Packers -3 -105
Bills +13' - They have the number 2 ranked D + Pats lost their best receiver (Gordo). Also, Brady and the offense struggled last week. I hate picking against the Patriots, but with the O struggles vs a top defense, the Bills should at least be able to keep things within 2 TD...that said, I still haven't pulled the string on it. NE has only lost 2 str 7 times in last 15 years and are 7-0 in next game(6-1ATS) so I suppose I'll sit it out due to respect for the Bill/Tom connection
View attachment 36618
 
  • 109 Jacksonville Jaguars +155
  • 111 New York Giants +390
  • 4453 J.Williams rushing yards over 55½ -135

Texans are underdogs on the road vs Foles, this game is a toss up but I'm goingwith the healthier team vs a back up QB that has a chance to get the 1 seed.

Adding Jags ML..I know it's likely a reach
Jags still have a good D even if the QB/ offense blows. You saw what they did to the Colts a couple weeks back and this MIA team is underrated, but they haven't seen anything like what this Jags D is capable of yet and this should be a pretty tight most of the way.

Taking gints ML mainly as insurance against my 2nd teaser
NYG is an underrated team that has been playing better lately. Colts should win, but Saquon and Eli can put up points and their D is more solid than people think. Colts should win, but it will be a closer game than you may think and if things fall correctly the Giants have a shot of upsetting them on their field.

Taking Williams prop because Rogers is ailing and will limit passing to a degree and JW is the only healthy RB the Pack has...oh and the Jets run D isn't very good
 
4pm
  • 121 Los Angeles Rams/Arizona Cardinals Under 43½ -105
  • 125 Chicago Bears -3½ -105
  • 125 Chicago Bears/San Francisco 49ers Over 44 -105
  • 127 Pittsburgh Steelers +6½ -105
 
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