DEC 13-17

[mrpickem]

[128-98-9 55.72% +24.43u]
Been a pretty good season so far, trying not to F it up down the stretch ray:

• 6819 P.Mahomes rushing yards over 19½ -105
• 6868 T.Kelce receiving yards under 85½ -140
• 302 Kansas City Chiefs -4 -102
• 302 Kansas City Chiefs 1st Half -3 -109

Wish I would have got earlier at 3 or 3.5 but the Chiefs are the more explosive team and play better at home(6-0 this year). They are 8-4ATS on the year and their weak defense is always helped by the 12th man. KC an amazing 17-4-1ATS as home favorite in Prime Time over last 25 years.
View attachment 36396

Couple props...
Chiefs are banged up and I know Kelce in one of the healthy bodies but Derwin James is arguably the DROY and prototype to defend a guy like Kelce. Week 1 he only had one catch for 7 yards. 3 of his last 4 games against Chargers he was held to single digit yards. Chargers should be able to gameplan him out again.

Mahomes has rushed for over 19.5 yards in 3 of his last 4 (did not versus the Ravens last week). Plus Hunt is out.
Chargers vs mobile QBs :

• Week 1 - Mahomes 5 for 21 yds
• Week 2 - Josh Allen 8 for 32 yds
• Week 7 - Mariota 7 for 38 yds
• Week 9 - Russell Wilson 5 for 41 yds

 

[mrpickem]

Lets get this!

 

[C-MAN]

Nice ass!!

 

[mrpickem]

Got worked with less than 10 seconds left Thurs night for a 2-2 night...DAMN that Chief defensive sieve

• 303 Houston Texans/New York Jets 1st Half Over 21 -110
• 304 New York Jets +255 (.5u)
• 304 New York Jets +7 -115
• 306 Denver Broncos -1 -105
• 305 Cleveland Browns/Denver Broncos Under 47 -102

CLE has been playing better and may have promise moving forward but not tonight vs a reeling DEN off an embarrassing loss at SF looking to bounce back in a big way...brownies only 1-5 on road this year and CLE just 7-18 SU in prime time in last 25 games over 20+ years(Browns dont see prime time very often)

 

[mrpickem]

Guess they were too tough

View attachment 36443

 

[mrpickem]

2-2-1 on Saturday...meh

Sunday-

• 308 Minnesota Vikings -8 -102
• 311 Tampa Bay Buccaneers/Baltimore Ravens Under 45 -105
• 314 Indianapolis Colts -3 -115
• 313 Dallas Cowboys/Indianapolis Colts Under 47 -107
• 315 Detroit Lions +2½ +105
• 318 Chicago Bears -5½ -103
• 321 Washington Redskins/Jacksonville Jaguars Under 36½ -101
• 323 Arizona Cardinals/Atlanta Falcons Under 43½ -102

Here's SDQL that hits near 70% unders and indicates AZ/ATL

View attachment 36457

 

[mrpickem]

On 2nd look, I'm flipping off the bears and going with Rogers

• 317 Green Bay Packers +6 -107 (2u to reverse earlier action)

 

[TW66]

bol mrp

 

[mrpickem]

4pm

• 325 Seattle Seahawks/San Francisco 49ers Over 44 -107
• 326 San Francisco 49ers +4 -105
• 328 Pittsburgh Steelers +2½ +100

 

[mrpickem]

Sunday Night-

• 329 Philadelphia Eagles +13½ -105
• 329 Philadelphia Eagles/Los Angeles Rams 1st Half Over 26½ -105

Review...
[142-104-10 57.72% +31.05u]
10-2 on day, would have been 10-1 if I didn't come back to switch off Bears
14-6-1 on week

View attachment 36463

 

[mrpickem]

could not resist a middle opp

• 330 Los Angeles Rams 2nd Half -6½ -102

 

[mrpickem]

1-2 Sunday night...still 15-8-1 on week

• 332 Carolina Panthers +6 -102
• 332 Carolina Panthers +215
• 332 Carolina Panthers 1st Quarter +½ -130
• 331 New Orleans Saints/Carolina Panthers 1st Half Under 24½ -105
• 7815 C.Newton scores a rushing TD +240

Away from home the Saints avg 3.0 points in the first quarter (5.5 total inc. home games), while CAR avg 6.3 points at@ home (5.3 total ). Panthers 1Q ML seems tempting at +130 but I'll take +.5 -130