Daytona thread

[daveniner]

Bud shootout matchups:

J. Gordon -140
Johnson +115

Bowyer -140
Newman +115

Truex -115
Martin -110

Mears -125
Edwards +100

Kahne -155
Sorrenson +130

Stewart -150
Hamlin +125

Ku. Busch -160
McMurray +135

Yeley -125
Blaney +100

Waltrip -125
Jarrett +100

Leans, after first look, are:

Bowyer - Newman gooes to a back-up car

Blaney - He's been fast since testing

Waltrip - Team owner, should have the best equipment (hopefully, they don't try to qualify with jet fuel, this year).

:36_11_6:

 

[daveniner]

I took Waltrip -125 over Jarrett to win .5 unit.

And, I threw a little change at the winner:

Stewart +600 to win .9 unit
Field +1050 to win 1.05 units

It should be a great, action-packed race.

 

[Maxx40]

riding with you on Waltrip, looks to have a good car for tonight.

Hope you have a great year!

 

[daveniner]

That Waltrip pick was a back and forth monster. It cashed, though. That's what matters.

Shootout results:

Cup matchups: 1-0 +.5 unit
To win: 0-2 -.25 unit

 

[daveniner]

Matchups, from thegreek:
<O</O
Duel #1
<O</O
Junior -120
Johnson +100
<O</O
Newman -115
Mears -110
<O</O
Truex -115
Edwards -110
<O</O
Montoya -120
Sorrenson -105
<O</O
Riggs -125
Mayfield +100
<O</O
Smith -125
Menard +100
<O</O
Duel #2
<O</O
J. Gordon -125
Stewart +100
<O</O
Hamlin -125
Kenseth +100
<O</O
Martin -115
McMurray -110
<O</O
Kahne -120
Biffle -105
<O</O
Gilliland -125
Ragan +100
<O</O
Villeneuve -115
Carpentier -110
<O</O
Early leans: Sorrenson, Gilliland, Carpentier, Mears, Riggs

 

[TWITA]

Good luck this weekend Dave.

:Cheers:

 

[daveniner]

Thanks, TWITA. Same to you. Who are you backing, this year. Kvapil? Gilliland?

 

[TWITA]

Yeah, always backing those RYR cars - until the team is sold or dissolves that is. Seeing the 28 back on the track was pretty cool. Hopefully they can find long-term sponsors. K&N looked pretty nice with the black/red 28.

:Cheers:

 

[daveniner]

Yeah, that paint scheme brings back some great memories (and some tragic ones, too).

 

[STEED]

:shake:

 

[daveniner]

Steed,

:shake:

 

[daveniner]

Duel 1:
Sorrenson (-105) to win .5 unit

Duel 2:
Gilliland (-120) to win .5 unit

Damn, thegreek had Gilliland and Kvapil in the field @+350. I think that killed all the value. I would've put about .1 unit, on Gilliland (@+2200 to win 2.2 units), and about .05 unit, on Kvapil (@+3000 or better to win 1.5 units or better). I don't think .15 unit on the field, at that price, to win .525 unit would have as much value.

 

[TWITA]

Good luck today Dave!

:Cheers:

 

[Fondybadger]

GL, trying to get some last minute wagers in myself.

 

[daveniner]

Thanks, TWITA and fondy.

Gilliland was on the "save your car and tires for Sunday" plan. I didn't see that coming.

Duel matchups:

1-1 -.1 unit

 

[Tide High]

Enjoy the race guys!

 

[daveniner]

Nationwide matchups (I guess I have to get used to calling it “Nationwide”):
<O</O
Junior -120
Stewart -105
<O</O
Ky.</ST1 Busch -115
Harvick -110

<O</O
Bowyer –125
Hamlin +100

<O</O
Harvick -140
Bowyer +115

<O</O
Truex -115
Kenseth -110

<O</O
Kenseth -150
Edwards +125

<O</O
Kahne -125
Biffle +100

<O</O
Kahne -140
Vickers +115

<O</O
Biffle -120
Reutimann -105

 

[daveniner]

Nationwide matchups:
<O</O
Biffle +100 over Kahne
Vickers +115 over Kahne
<O</O
Both to win .5 unit
<O</O
Nationwide to win:
<O</O
Harvick +715 to win .64 unit
<O</O
Good luck, everyone.

 

[Maxx40]

like your Vickers play, GL today

 

[daveniner]

Nationwide matchups:

2-0 +1 unit

Nationwide to win:

0-1 -.09 unit

Cup matchups:
<O</O
Junior -145
Stewart +120
<O</O
J. Gordon -125
Johnson +100
<O</O
Ku. Busch -135
Truex +110
<O</O
Hamlin -165
Harvick +140
<O</O
Kahne -125
Biffle +100
<O</O
Edwards -150
Martin +125
<O</O
ffice:smarttags" /><?xml:namespace prefix = st1 ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-comlace>Burton</ST1lace></st1:City> -145
Montoya +120
<O</O
Vickers -155
Waltrip +130
<O</O
R. Gordon -115
Petty -110
<O</O
Blaney -130
Riggs +105
<O</O
Bowyer -145
Labonte +120
<O</O
<st1:State><ST1Ky.</ST1</st1:State> Busch -155
Kenseth +130
<O</O
Reutimann -135
Mayfield +110
<O</O
Smith -125
Hornish +100
<O</O
I went ahead and locked a couple in. <st1:City><ST1Burton</ST1</st1:City> and Smith, both to win .5 unit. I might add something else, later.

 

[daveniner]

Well, Hornish proved me wrong about open-wheelers and restrictor plate racing. But, I would probably make the same bet again.

After Daytona:

Cup

Matchups 3-2 +.225 unit
To win 0-2 -.25 unit

Nationwide

Matchups 2-0 + 1 unit
To win 0-1 -.09 unit