D-woww's 2014 MLB Season Props

D-Woww

Old Man Dan
Nats +600 to win WS

Think they are a lock for the playoffs, and with Stras and company they are going to be brutal in a 5 game series, then in the NLCS I'll be able to hedge and guarantee myself some money or let it ride if I like the matchup. I'd rather take this path than lay juice on them to win the division

Rays +150 to win the AL East

Think the perception of the Sox and Yanks have this line very valuable, they are far and beyond the better team of the three, and should take home the division title

Angels +160 to win the AL West

I have them as the favorite in terms of talent, so much went wrong for them last year, and while I expect regression from Texas and Oakland, I expect the Angels to improve enough to take the division.

Most triples by any player under 13

That's a ridiculously high number, last reached by Reyes in his prime. I understand there are some speedsters coming into the league, but they don't have the pop to reach this number

Adam Jones over 164.5 hits

Hes gotten 20 more than this in the past 2 seasons, so barring an injury I don't see why he would slide that much

Andrew McCutchen over 166.5 hits

Hes gone 194 and 186 in the last two seasons, and he's only getting better.

Mike Trout over 173.5 hits

another guy who has been eclipsing this number annually and isnt getting any worse

Stanton over 33.5 home runs 3 units

If hes healthy, he soars over this. Hes still 22 and is only now entering his prime. He could go for 50 easy

Trumbo over 28.5 home runs

He's been good for 30+ yearly and how he gets to go to the NL

Cubs over 68.5 wins

Gotta hold my nose for this one, but think this team is improved.

Padres over 77.5 wins


This team is going to be a pain in the ass for opponents all season. They have solid pitching and almost the entire team is enterting their late 20s (prim years). Think they finish .500

Nats over 89.5 wins

looks too easy, no? Now with the Braves pitching woes, this high powered offense gets to face them, the Mets, the Phillies, and the Marlins for 1/4 of their games? they should be closer to 100 than 90 this year

Matt Moore over 13.5 wins

I really don't like that I am betting a win total, because wins are such a BS statistic, but think this number is extremely low. Rays won't screw Moore out of too many, I don't see him finishing with less than 15




Thats what I got so far. Like these, think there is value in a lot of these numbers. GL
 
I agree with everyone of your plays except one but I wouldn't bet it. We agree on the Angels I think the Angels win the Division,Pennant and Series. I like Rays winning the East The Nats winning the National League and meeting the Angels in the series. Also I like them over 89.5 wins Duh! I think people are under estimating the cubs and they get low to mid 70's in wins. Agree will Matt Moore getting over 13.5 wins and it is a BS stat and will look to play that today if still available. I also played early when it came out Tanaka Over 12.5 wins for some reason I thing he's going to make an impact and transition in the league right away. Me and buddy look and bet some props when they first come out and then a few days before opening day (Like today) we go out all day and hit different casinos and look for some more that we like. Baseball it just doesn't get any better. Here's what I played so far.

UNDER K.CITY 82.5
UNDER BALTIMORE 82
UNDER TEXAS 87
OVER ANGELS 87
OVER WASHINGTON 89.5

I also played (couldn't resist the number The Giants to Win the World Series at 28/1 lots of room for buy backs against Washington and the Angels. Lets call the Giants a saver. They have the team and pitching but things really need to break right for them Health wise. Every team does but more so for the Giants because they have a pitching staff loaded with questions.

Good Luck this year and printing and taking this page with me.

PS: The one I disagree with is the Triples. My buddy agrees with you but I think this kid Hamilton for the Reds can get there and then some. But I'll have no horse in that race so Good Luck to you and my buddy.
 
thanks man. hamilton is so fast but unless he can get to third on grounders to the shortstop, i dont see him getting too many. thats his problem, no pop. hes gonna be a fun fun guy to watch though...i almost played "yes someone will have over 61 steals) bc of him
 
Hey Dan, you got kinda screwed with that Nats WS prop...I've got +950 at BOL and +1050 at 5d both available.
 
Bad numbers on a lot of these..

Those hit props look good but you are betting that a guy will be healthy all season.. That's hard to predict...

I like a lot of your plays and always best of luck my brother
 
Other than my annual baltimore wins the WS prop, I don't play MLB season long plays often. Just curious, what happens with your bets on hits for Trout, McCutch, Jones going over if they get hurt for any length of time? You just lose the wager right?
 
Other than my annual baltimore wins the WS prop, I don't play MLB season long plays often. Just curious, what happens with your bets on hits for Trout, McCutch, Jones going over if they get hurt for any length of time? You just lose the wager right?

That's the perils of year long props like any sport serious money shouldn't be bet because Health will be the factor. But there fun and you have small action going all the time. Betting of course is where you'll hope to make your money. But funny part is people come out by the thousands to bet regular wins in the NFL where injury is not if it's going to happen when is it going to happen and for how many games. With baseball unless it's a year ending injury you still have a shot in a lot of the props.
That's the first thing I look at before betting any player prop how often does he get hurt. Liriano 16 wins comeback player his total wins this year is 11.5 sounds like a steal right. But to answer your question Yes.
 
Here's something I came across for you math guys today which is better. Home Run Prop Miggy Over 35.5 -110 Over 39.5 the Under -170
 
Played a few of those as well there D. Also played Fielder to have most HR's. At 25-1. Figured at those odds its a worth a shot going to the short porch in Arlington with a point to prove coming off those dismal playoffs.
 
Played a few of those as well there D. Also played Fielder to have most HR's. At 25-1. Figured at those odds its a worth a shot going to the short porch in Arlington with a point to prove coming off those dismal playoffs.

Odds are right your reasoning is decent and the man plays every game every year. I think he missed 5 games in the last 5 years Good Luck.
 
With you on the Nationals. This is a 2 horse race in east. And now with ATL pitching injuries, I think the Nationals become the clear cut favorite in this division and should get to 90+ wins.
 
Nats +600 to win WS

still alive, although as many pointed out, horrible horrible number

Rays +150 to win the AL East

really liked this, but injuries crushed the rotation. thats a risk with these

Angels +160 to win the AL West

great bet

Most triples by any player under 13

feel like dee gordon sat on 12 triples forever! either way its a winner

Adam Jones over 164.5 hits
stayed healthy so it won

Andrew McCutchen over 166.5 hits

he got hurt ame this but but not enough to cost

Mike Trout over 173.5 hits

dude got his 173rd hit Fri night and did not get another!

Stanton over 33.5 home runs 3 units

easy

Trumbo over 28.5 home runs

great april, but then got hurt

Cubs over 68.5 wins

a win is a win...team is getting much better

Padres over 77.5 wins


horrible bet. team had zero offense. very disappointing

Nats over 89.5 wins

easy

Matt Moore over 13.5 wins

got hurt in april. really sucks.


overall a very good year!
 
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