Conference title odds

gps_3

Head of Alabama Department of Decision-Making
Saw this on ESPN.com. Not sure what books have them available or not, but good starting point for discussion.

<header class="inline-header" style="box-sizing: border-box; font-size: 12px; overflow: hidden;">[h=1]Conference Championship Odds[/h]Sportsbook operator CG Technology released its college football conference championship odds on Monday:
</header>
[TABLE="class: inline-table, width: 253"]
<tbody style="box-sizing: border-box;">[TR="class: last"]
[TD="align: left"]SEC[/TD]
[TD]BIG TEN[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: last"]
[TD="align: left"]Alabama 5-2[/TD]
[TD]Ohio State 1-2[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: last"]
[TD="align: left"]Auburn 15-4[/TD]
[TD]Michigan St. 13-4[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: last"]
[TD="align: left"]Georgia 5-1[/TD]
[TD]Wisconsin 8-1[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: last"]
[TD="align: left"]LSU 8-1[/TD]
[TD]Michigan 12-1[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: last"]
[TD="align: left"]Ole Miss 8-1[/TD]
[TD]Nebraska 12-1[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: last"]
[TD="align: left"]Tennessee 8-1[/TD]
[TD]Penn State 15-1[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: last"]
[TD="align: left"]LSU 8-1[/TD]
[TD]Minnesota 18-1[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: last"]
[TD="align: left"]Ole Miss 8-1[/TD]
[TD]Iowa 25-1[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: last"]
[TD="align: left"]Arkansas 10-1[/TD]
[TD]Rutgers 40-1[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: last"]
[TD="align: left"]Miss. St. 12-1[/TD]
[TD]Illinois 60-1[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: last"]
[TD="align: left"]Texas A&M 15-1[/TD]
[TD]Indiana 60-1[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: last"]
[TD="align: left"]Florida 18-1[/TD]
[TD]Northwestern 60-1[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: last"]
[TD="align: left"]S. Carolina 25-1[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: last"]
[TD="align: left"]Kentucky 75-1[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: last"]
[TD="align: left"]Vanderbilt 100-1[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: last"]
[TD="align: left"]ACC[/TD]
[TD]PAC-12[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: last"]
[TD="align: left"]Florida St. 5-2[/TD]
[TD]Oregon 9-4[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: last"]
[TD="align: left"]Clemson 3-1[/TD]
[TD]USC 11-4[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: last"]
[TD="align: left"]Ga. Tech 4-1[/TD]
[TD]Stanford 5-1[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: last"]
[TD="align: left"]Va. Tech 8-1[/TD]
[TD]Arizona St. 6-1[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: last"]
[TD="align: left"]Miami 10-1[/TD]
[TD]Arizona 7-1[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: last"]
[TD="align: left"]NC State 12-1[/TD]
[TD]Utah 10-1[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: last"]
[TD="align: left"]Duke 12-1[/TD]
[TD]California 18-1[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: last"]
[TD="align: left"]Pittsburgh 15-1[/TD]
[TD]Washington 30-1[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: last"]
[TD="align: left"]Boston Col. 30-1[/TD]
[TD]Wash. St. 40-1[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: last"]
[TD="align: left"]Syracuse 75-1[/TD]
[TD]Colorado 50-1[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: last"]
[TD="align: left"]W. Forest 100-1[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: last"]
[TD="align: left"]BIG 12[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: last"]
[TD="align: left"]TCU 17-10[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: last"]
[TD="align: left"]Baylor 5-2[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: last"]
[TD="align: left"]Oklahoma 4-1[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: last"]
[TD="align: left"]Oklahoma St. 5-1[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: last"]
[TD="align: left"]Texas 7-1[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: last"]
[TD="align: left"]Kansas St. 10-1[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: last"]
[TD="align: left"]W. Virginia 15-1[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: last"]
[TD="align: left"]Texas Tech 20-1[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: last"]
[TD="align: left"]Iowa State 25-1[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: last"]
[TD="align: left"]Kansas 100-1[/TD]
[/TR]
</tbody>[/TABLE]
 
VT 8-1, Clemson 3-1 both appear to have ACC value.
Disappointed Ok St number isn't a lot higher. I sort of have a feeling about them but no way in hell I would play that at 5-1
 
For the SEC, LSU at 8-1 jumps out at me. Maybe their guys can chime in. I know there are QB concerns and some depth issues, but I like their schedule better than Alabama's or Auburn's. 6-2 might be enough to win the West this year. Really think any team can beat any other this year
 
TAMU draws SoCar at home and Vandy on the road from the East. About as easy as you can get and that should be 2 SEC wins. Arky will be improved but they certainly have a shot to beat them on the road. Bama and LSU are home/away respectively and if they lose those 2 it's very unlikely they can win the division at 6-2. However if they could sneak up on one of them they may pull it off. Sumlin has shown the ability to score against Bama and they play LSU at the end of the year with Chavis having revenge on his mind. LSU is also typically vulnerable in the last game of the season for whatever reason. By memory, they don't seem to usually play well that week. They can beat Miss St at home and Ole Miss on the road is about like the Arkansas game. Auburn at home will be tough but their schedule is really about all you can ask for. I don't think they win the West but at 15-1 to win the SEC they may hold some value
 
TAMU draws SoCar at home and Vandy on the road from the East. About as easy as you can get and that should be 2 SEC wins. Arky will be improved but they certainly have a shot to beat them on the road. Bama and LSU are home/away respectively and if they lose those 2 it's very unlikely they can win the division at 6-2. However if they could sneak up on one of them they may pull it off. Sumlin has shown the ability to score against Bama and they play LSU at the end of the year with Chavis having revenge on his mind. LSU is also typically vulnerable in the last game of the season for whatever reason. By memory, they don't seem to usually play well that week. They can beat Miss St at home and Ole Miss on the road is about like the Arkansas game. Auburn at home will be tough but their schedule is really about all you can ask for. I don't think they win the West but at 15-1 to win the SEC they may hold some value

Manziel has shown the ability to score against us. Without him, 59-0
 
For the SEC, LSU at 8-1 jumps out at me. Maybe their guys can chime in. I know there are QB concerns and some depth issues, but I like their schedule better than Alabama's or Auburn's. 6-2 might be enough to win the West this year. Really think any team can beat any other this year

was gonna say this has value.....if LSU can get decent to good QB play they can do it.

8-1 is super nice odds. deep all over the field.
 
TAMU draws SoCar at home and Vandy on the road from the East. About as easy as you can get and that should be 2 SEC wins. Arky will be improved but they certainly have a shot to beat them on the road. Bama and LSU are home/away respectively and if they lose those 2 it's very unlikely they can win the division at 6-2. However if they could sneak up on one of them they may pull it off. Sumlin has shown the ability to score against Bama and they play LSU at the end of the year with Chavis having revenge on his mind. LSU is also typically vulnerable in the last game of the season for whatever reason. By memory, they don't seem to usually play well that week. They can beat Miss St at home and Ole Miss on the road is about like the Arkansas game. Auburn at home will be tough but their schedule is really about all you can ask for. I don't think they win the West but at 15-1 to win the SEC they may hold some value

TAMU worries me a bit this year......they have yet to beat LSU going back to the Cotton Bowl when they were still in the B12

they certainly have it circled I bet.....game is in BR though which helps.

Like GPS said, I don't think anyone is rolling through the SEC this year
 
VT 8-1, Clemson 3-1 both appear to have ACC value.
Disappointed Ok St number isn't a lot higher. I sort of have a feeling about them but no way in hell I would play that at 5-1


On 5dimes,
Va Tech is 10-1. Okie Lite is 7-1. Agree with you on both those....and I'll be throwing some change at them as well.
 
UNC +3300 to win the ACC definitely worth a look. That's the price at 5Dimes currently. There are no divisional odds yet
The Coastal will be pretty wide open again IMO. The schedule sets up nice for them IMO. They draw Wake Forest and NCSU from the Atlantic so that's your #4 and #7 teams. The game at NCSU is just right down the road in Raleigh. They return a ton on offense and have been productive on that side of the ball. They have a significant upgrade at DC IMO. First conference game is at GT and with Delaware at home the week before they basically get 2 weeks to prep for the option. This isn't a must win though as GT draws FSU and Clemson from the Atlantic. They then get Wake and UVA at home for 2 easy wins. They travel to Pitt on a Thursday in a game where I currently would have Pitt favored by less than a FG so let's call that a tossup. They draw Duke at home and IMO Duke struggles this year before a nice bounceback in 2016 so IMO UNC will be 4-1 in conference as long as they split GT and Pitt which I certainly think is likely. They host Miami and then travel to VT and NCSU. All three are winnable and all three are loseable. If they win the coastal they will be around a TD dog in the ACC CG I suppose but that's hard to predict that far out. Either way 33-1 is great value here
 
Navy +1200 to win AAC
I actually have them 5th in my AAC PR but right around a TD a way from the top teams. I have them ahead of Houston and 5Dimes obviously disagrees there. The kicker here is the schedule. They avoid Cincinnati, Temple and Central Florida. They get ECU early in the year after Colgate and an Open Date. If they win that one and lose at Memphis then they may very well be in contention heading into their last game of the year at Houston when you could decide to hedge or not. If they beat ECU all they have to do is win at UCONN and at Tulsa along with home wins against USF, Tulane and SMU. That seems quite reasonable to put them with 1 loss heading into the finale at Houston
 
CUSA - gun to head would probably lean Marshall here but no play. Personally I have LT 3rd behind Marshall and WKY

MAC - BGSU +400 appears to have some value
I have them atop my MAC-East PRs. They do draw Toledo and WMU across the way but avoid NIU. They get both Akron and Ohio at home which is huge. Ohio draws NIU and WMU from the West while having to travel to BGSU. Akron manages to avoid NIU, WMU and Toledo somehow. They may actually have some value at +600 as well.
 
Sun Belt - GaSouthern +325; LaLa +600 possibly
I have them right at the top of my PR for the conference along with GaSouthern and Arky St. They travel to ArkySt after an open date but avoid GaSouthern. They also have to travel to Appy late in the year when it will be miserable in Boone. Schedule doesn't set up all that well for them but it's good value on a solid team. From a schedule standpoint you have to like GaSouthern at +325 as they avoid LaLa and Arky St. They have to go to Appy but otherwise shouldn't be threatened. If they win that game they likely win the conference. Appy does host GaSouthern, Arky St and LaLa but the problem is that they have to play them all
 
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