Colonial and BMW PGA Week...

[B.A.R.]

Thirteen of the worlds top 30 are in Fort Worth this week.

Kisner is the defending champ.

Webb is playing for first time since The Players.

Rahm, Rose, Spieth and Koepka headline the field. Spieth won in 2016...

Ryan Palmer is a memberat Colonial and has a good track record.

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Alex Noren defends at Wentworth.

Rory, Fleetwood, Casey, Hatton, Fitzpatrick, Beef, Poulter also headline the field.

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Discuss away!

 

[Administrator]

Don't forget to check out our NBA Finals Contest -- Cash Prize

 

[geauxgolfer]

Without digging deep into my main research, here are my initial leans...

Fort Worth Invitational
Jimmy Walker
Brooks Koepka
Chesson Hadley
Emiliano Grillo
Adam Hadwin
Chez Reavie
J.J. Spaun

 

[LeRinkRat]

"of interest" long shots for me @ BMW PGA. first of this seasons Rolex series $7 million Euro Tour "big bucks" tourneys. winner gets BOTH a US Open AND British Open invitation if NOT already exempt :shake:

Paul Dunne 30-1 WIN Golf Sixes partnered with OWGR #453 Gavin Moynihan. T-7th China Open [-14], CUT Trophee Hassan, 2nd Open de Espana [-18] to Jon Rahm (3rd round leader)

Alex Levy 50-1 T-14th China Open [-12], WIN Trophee Hassan [-8], T-4th Oman [-11] T-55th Maybank [-7] 4th DDC [-19] 7th Abu Dhabi [-16]

Alex Bjork 50-1 WIN China Open [-18] T-3rd Trophee Hassan [-6]

Adrian Otaegui 50-1 WIN Belgian Knockout. 2nd China Open [-17]

Jorge Campillo 60-1 two round stroke play leader Belgian Knockout [-8] T-3rd China Open [-16] T-46 Trophee Hassan [+5] T-5th Open de Espana [-15] T-4th Oman [-11] 2nd Maybank [-19] (tied 3rd round leader with Dylan Frittelli)

Chris Paisley 100-1 T-4th new Orleans partnered with Tommy Fleetwood. 5th DDC [-17] T-5th Abu Dhabi [-17] WIN SA Open [-21]

Mike Lorenzo-Vera 100-1 2nd Sicily [-16] playoff with Joakim Lagergrin

Joakim Lagergren 100-1 WIN Sicily [-16] playoff with Mike Lorenzo-Vera

Matt Wallace 100-1 T-3rd China Open [-16] (tied 3rd round leader with Adrian Otaegui) CUT Trophee Hassan CUT Open de Espana WIN Indian Open [-11] playoff with "Beef" Johnston

GOOD LUCK, geauxgolfer

 

[gps_3]

For Colonial, guys on my radar, for one and done at least: Dufner, Xander, Adam Scott, Schwartzel, Cantlay and ZJ. Zach used to be auto pick here, going 9, 1, 4, 1, 3 from 09-13, but has fallen off since

 

[LeRinkRat]

four more "tack ons" for BMW PGA

Andy "Beef" Johnston 50-1. T-12th Open de Espana [-13] 2nd Indian Open [-11] (playoff Matt Wallace) T12th Oman [-8]

George Coetzee 80-1. CUT Trophee Hassan T-4th Open de Espana [-16] WIN Tshwane Open [-18] T-8th Qatar [-14]

Jeunghun Wang 80-1 T-7th China Open [-4] T- 13th Trophee Hassan [-2]

Pablo Larrazabal 80-1 T-27th China Open [-9] CUT Trophee Hassan T-21st Open de Espana [-12] T-4th Indian Open [-7] T-4th Qatar [-15] T-3rd Maybank [-18]

normally I would chance my pet ChiCom Hao Tong Li 60-1, and "Young Guns" Dylan Frittelli 60-1 and Julian Suri 80-1, BUT they really have NOT done much lately and not much "value" with their odds ALSO 13 bets probably already "overdoing" it this week

 

[geauxgolfer]

Course history and custom stats models are pointing to a nice value in Sean O'Hair. Currently 175/1

T12 @ Valspar
T7 @ API
T2 @ Valero

T2 @ Colonial(2017)
T34 @ Colonial(2016)

https://www.pgatour.com/players/player.24140.sean-o-hair.html

 

[LeRinkRat]

Course history and custom stats models are pointing to a nice value in Sean O'Hair. Currently 175/1

T12 @ Valspar
T7 @ API
T2 @ Valero

T2 @ Colonial(2017)
T34 @ Colonial(2016)

https://www.pgatour.com/players/player.24140.sean-o-hair.html

already chanced Sean O'hair 125-1 (4/504) @ Westgate, geauxgolfer, for the reasons you stated :shake:

played these other "cats & dogs" long shots this week so far too (bet/return)

Si Woo Kim 80-1 (6.25/506.25) 2nd RBC [-12] (playoff)
Nick Watney 80-1 (6.25/506.25) T-2nd Wells Fargo [-10] (with Wise)
Andrew Landry 100-1 (5/505) WIN Valero [-17] 2nd La Quinta [-22] (playoff)
JJ Spaun 100-1 (5/505) T-3rd Byron Nelson [-19]
Pattron Kizzire 150-1 (3.35/505.85) WIN OHL [-19] WIN Sony [-17] (playoff)
Trey Mullinax 150-1 (3.35/505.85) T-2nd Valero [-15]
Shubhankar Sharma 150 (3.35/505.85) T-14th China Open [-12] his last played WIN Maybank [-21] WIN Joberg [-23]
Ryan Armour 250-1 (2/502) WIN Sanderson [-19]

 

[Timh]

http://www.rotoworld.com/articles/gol/80019/519/ft-worth-invitational-preview?pg=1

 

[Rockfish]

Duff Man over Aaron Wise

Matchup record 2-0

 

[geauxgolfer]

How will Adam Scott do with a little extra US Open motivation? I know I know...the putting. BUT he seems so dialed in lately.

Part of me wants to play him across the board. Outright, Top everything and matchups.

 

[PuttForeDough]

"of interest" long shots for me @ BMW PGA. first of this seasons Rolex series $7 million Euro Tour "big bucks" tourneys. winner gets BOTH a US Open AND British Open invitation if NOT already exempt :shake:

Paul Dunne 30-1 WIN Golf Sixes partnered with OWGR #453 Gavin Moynihan. T-7th China Open [-14], CUT Trophee Hassan, 2nd Open de Espana [-18] to Jon Rahm (3rd round leader)

Alex Levy 50-1 T-14th China Open [-12], WIN Trophee Hassan [-8], T-4th Oman [-11] T-55th Maybank [-7] 4th DDC [-19] 7th Abu Dhabi [-16]

Alex Bjork 50-1 WIN China Open [-18] T-3rd Trophee Hassan [-6]

Adrian Otaegui 50-1 WIN Belgian Knockout. 2nd China Open [-17]

Jorge Campillo 60-1 two round stroke play leader Belgian Knockout [-8] T-3rd China Open [-16] T-46 Trophee Hassan [+5] T-5th Open de Espana [-15] T-4th Oman [-11] 2nd Maybank [-19] (tied 3rd round leader with Dylan Frittelli)

Chris Paisley 100-1 T-4th new Orleans partnered with Tommy Fleetwood. 5th DDC [-17] T-5th Abu Dhabi [-17] WIN SA Open [-21]

Mike Lorenzo-Vera 100-1 2nd Sicily [-16] playoff with Joakim Lagergrin

Joakim Lagergren 100-1 WIN Sicily [-16] playoff with Mike Lorenzo-Vera

Matt Wallace 100-1 T-3rd China Open [-16] (tied 3rd round leader with Adrian Otaegui) CUT Trophee Hassan CUT Open de Espana WIN Indian Open [-11] playoff with "Beef" Johnston

GOOD LUCK, geauxgolfer

I have my eye on Noren and Lowry this week @ BMW PGA. Best of luck to you.

 

[geauxgolfer]

This is what I've got so far. I will probably add some FRL action tomorrow. :cheers3:

https://twitter.com/x/status/999141154682744833

 

[gps_3]

Matchups for Colonial:

Walker +125 vs Cantlay
Dufner -105 vs Wise
Scott +115 vs Cantlay
ZJ EV vs Kuchar
Palmer +115 vs Henley

May have some for Euro event

 

[alangrrbs]

How will Adam Scott do with a little extra US Open motivation? I know I know...the putting. BUT he seems so dialed in lately.

Part of me wants to play him across the board. Outright, Top everything and matchups.

He adjusted his putting stroke, and has finished 11th and 9th the last 2 tournaments. Looks like the new approach is working for him.

 

[B.A.R.]

Good info fellas...

Next contest will be US Open coming up in 3 weeks :moneybill:

 

[PuttForeDough]

3-2-1 overall

Top Canadian - Hadwin (-110)
Dufner(+110) vs. Wise
Walker(+110) vs. Cantlay
Piercy(+110) vs. Reavie

 

[Timh]

https://www.cbssports.com/golf/news...rches-for-putting-stroke/?ftag=SPM-16-10abi8e

 

[Rockfish]

That Hadwin play looks solid PFD.
I wish one of my outs was offering it.

 

[PuttForeDough]

That Hadwin play looks solid PFD.
I wish one of my outs was offering it.

Bovada for me on that one. Good luck on your plays.

 

[LeRinkRat]

How will Adam Scott do with a little extra US Open motivation? I know I know...the putting. BUT he seems so dialed in lately.

Part of me wants to play him across the board. Outright, Top everything and matchups.

seems to be a LOT of people picking Adam Scott this week including people I respect like Andy and geauxgolfer, so I "tacked on" a "to win" on him 28-1 @ Cantor Gaming (18/522) :shake:

 

[geauxgolfer]

https://twitter.com/x/status/999617802393849856

 

[LeRinkRat]

god dammit!!! the one time I do NOT bet Jhonatthan Vegas 150-1, "Big Jhon" KILLS it 1st round [-6] meanwhile Nick Watney an opening [+9]. did he get attacked by angry squirrels ??? :golffrustrated:

 

[Rockfish]

Fucking Kevin Na.
I had Charley Hoffman for FRL.

Haven't seen any coverage yet, does anyone know why he got a free drop on his last shot.
And what would you put the odds at for him to actually make that shot.

 

[PuttForeDough]

Fucking Kevin Na.
I had Charley Hoffman for FRL.

Haven't seen any coverage yet, does anyone know why he got a free drop on his last shot.
And what would you put the odds at for him to actually make that shot.

Second shot flew the green and came to rest against a grandstand. He got the ol' TIO(Temporary Immovable Obstruction) free drop.

 

[Rockfish]

Thanks PFD.
It's not like I loaded up on Hoff, but 66-1 adds up quick

 

[PuttForeDough]

Thanks PFD.
It's not like I loaded up on Hoff, but 66-1 adds up quick[/QUOTE

Mitchell last week at 80/1... these FRL bets are tough to hit.

 

[Rockfish]

I believe I might be the king of second place when it comes to FRL.
I did "win" at The Players, but it was a 6-way tie!

Second round: Hadwin over Haas
Not in love with it, and it's a bit juicy, -130

 

[B.A.R.]

So, Rory is having himself a day at the BMW...7 under through 16 at -12 overall.

 

[geauxgolfer]

3Ball
Golf PGA 2nd Rnd 3 Balls Rahm/DeChambeau/Fowler - Bryson DeChambeau +253*
Golf PGA 2nd Rnd 3 Balls Simpson/Koepka/Scott - Brooks Koepka +206*

To Win
Also adding Beau Hossler +1400

:cheers3:

 

[B.A.R.]

Good luck man...

 

[LeRinkRat]

So, Rory is having himself a day at the BMW...7 under through 16 at -12 overall.

Rory McIlroy KILLED it 2nd round with a [-7] for tourney [-12] and a three shot lead over Sam Horsfield. Tommy Fleetwood [-6] for [-8], last year winner Alex Noren [-4] for [-7]. "The Mole" Francesco Molinari [-5] for [-7] and "A Fat Barn Rat" [-3] for [-7] all "in range" BUT it looks like Rory is BACK!!!

 

[Rockfish]

Come on Duff Man!

:angrytomato::assshake::baseballfire::benchpress::benchpress::beerdrink::beerdrink::clapping2::clapping2::claphands::cokeline::enragedsmile::enragedsmile::injuredhockeyplayer::injuredhockeyplayer:fficebasketball:eacesigns:eacesigns:eacesigns::daman::daman::daman::eatingchinese::eatingburger::hypnosis::hurt::moneyoutofhand::legsup::legsup::legsup::legsup::moneybill:
:toilet2:

 

[Rockfish]

Ha!
I was scrolling through the smilies looking for one, and that's what happened.

 

[Rockfish]

So anyway, Duff 3-putts from 15 feet on 8, and then on 9 he drains one for birdie from 33 feet.

Go Duff Go!

I'll refrain from using any more smilies.

 

[geauxgolfer]

:moneyeyes:




:moneytoss:

:cheers3:

 

[PuttForeDough]

:moneyeyes:View attachment 32589

View attachment 32588


:moneytoss:View attachment 32590

:cheers3:

Hell yes GG!

 

[Rockfish]

Nice hits Go

 

[RBTrojan]

I could not find one tournament match up I liked this week thus no plays for me for the full tourney. But I like three Saturday match ups at Forth Worth:

Dahmen -110 vs Ancer
Poston -135 vs Fathauer
Armour +115 vs Kokrak

Leaned to V Taylor -125 s Martin and Silverman +165 vs English but decided to throw those two out.

Without going into great detail, I am fading Kokrak and Fathauer and I like Dahmen and Poston quite a bit. I think they have potential to be very useful players. Armour has had a break out year for him and hopefully he can play strong into the weekend...

Fade or follow best of luck guys

 

[geauxgolfer]

My book had no 3ball lines today

Edit: oh duh! They aren’t going off in 3s today.

 

[geauxgolfer]

Added Silverman (-5) and Kirk (-3) at +10000

Still alive with:
Grillo +4500 (-9)
Koepka +2200 (-7)
Silverman +10000 (-5)
Hossler +1400 (-5)
English +12500 (-5)
Bryson +3300 (-5)
Kirk +10000 (-3)
Walker +2500 (-2)

Alive, but gonna need some help from Rosey today.

 

[RBTrojan]

Low scores out there today... It'll be interesting to see if Rose or Grillo can separate from the field... Or it could just be another crazy Sunday on the PGA tour...

 

[B.A.R.]

Low scores out there today... It'll be interesting to see if Rose or Grillo can separate from the field... Or it could just be another crazy Sunday on the PGA tour...

We like crazy Sundays!

 

[geauxgolfer]

Rosey shuttin’ this thang down on a Saturday. Hats off to the bastard LOL

 

[B.A.R.]

Rory can't finish today. You feel like a huge breakthrough for months is coming...

 

[LeRinkRat]

Rory can't finish today. You feel like a huge breakthrough for months is coming...

Ya the freeking "Mole" Francesco Molinari WINS the BMW PGA with a final round [-4] for [-17] two up on Rory McIlroy and three on both last year winner Alex Noren and 100-1 shot Lucas Bjerregaard. "Mole" had been a CUT his previous tourney at The Players. GO FIGURE!!!

 

[LeRinkRat]

Good GOD, Justin Rose!!! back in his late Euro Tour season form with a final [-6] for tourney [-20] three shot WIN over Brooks Koepka!!! :golffrustrated: