MLB Parlay for Today at (+272) Features the Reliable Shane Bieber
Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royals
Tuesday, September 6, 2022 at 8:10 p.m. ET at Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City
Who Starts for Cleveland?
Cleveland starts Shane Bieber tonight.
Pertinently to my favorite play for this game, the "under" has hit in the last three games in which Bieber started.
Bieber is a strong "under" pitcher especially in night games.
At night, the "under" is 9-2 when Bieber starts.
He is a reliable "under" pitcher in general because he rarely allows more than two runs while lasting six or seven innings.
Strong Spot
For tonight's game, Bieber is in a uniquely strong spot because he is coming off a loss.
This season, he has collected eight losses including one in his most recent start.
It is evident that he is extra focused after a loss because he has allowed one earned run in every start, but one, that immediately followed a loss.
A Concerning Counterargument?
One might object that many of the teams that Bieber faced directly after a loss were weak.
The upshot of this objection would be that Bieber is not actually strong after a loss; he has merely faced weak opponents when he is in this position.
I do not find this counterargument effective because Bieber facing weak opponents after a loss does not negate the fact that his starts against them were strong -- allowing one earned run in a start is impressive.
Besides, Kansas City is also a weak team offensively. The Royals rank 24thin runs per game.
One should expect from Bieber tonight something like seven innings with one run allowed.
Who Starts for Kansas City?
Kris Bubic starts for Kansas City.
Bubic's ERA is as high as it is because he was pummeled in a few starts that took place much earlier in the season.
It's a long season, though, and it's unfair to judge a pitcher's current chances based on his performances that took place months ago.
Bubic vs. Guardian Batters
Bubic is primed to build off his most recent start, in which he allowed two runs in six innings, because he faces an ideal matchup.
Guardian batters repeatedly struggle against left-handed pitching.
In their last three games in which the opposing starter was left-handed, they scored a combined total of one run.
They merit pessimism especially tonight because they rank 29thin slugging against Bubic's favorite pitches from lefties.
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockies
Tuesday, September 6, 2022 at 8:40 p.m. ET at Coors Field in Denver, Colorado
Who Starts for Milwaukee?
Brandon Woodruff starts for Milwaukee today.
The "over" has value in this game simply because a great pitcher is pitching for Milwaukee.
This might seem odd to say, but here's the explanation.
The posted total is as low as it is because Woodruff boasts such a strong ERA.
However, Woodruff has a terrible career history in Denver's high-altitude, hitters-friendly ballpark.
Here, he suffers a 9.24 ERA in three career starts.
I like the "over" for this game because he won't perform tonight with the effectivity characteristic of a pitcher with a strong ERA and because this effectivity explains why the total is as low as it is.
Who Starts for Colorado?
Chad Kuhl starts for the Rockies tonight.
Kuhl relies mostly on a two-pitch combo.
He throws his sinker and slider with combined 78.1-percent frequency.
Kuhl's Matchup Outlook
Milwaukee's hitters look reliable tonight because they rank fourth in slugging against Kuhl's two favorite pitches from righties.
Kuhl repeatedly struggles against teams that match up well against him in this way.
Other teams that he's faced that rank top-five against his favorite pitches from righties are the Padres, Diamondbacks, and Dodgers.
Most recently, he's yielded an ERA of 9.00 or higher in four of his last six games against these teams.
To be clear, one of these teams that he's recently faced includes Milwaukee itself, which scored three earned runs in 2.1 innings against him on July 24.
Best Bet: Parlay Guardians/Royals under 7.5 at -113 & Brewers/Rockies Over 11 at -103 at +272 odds with Heritage
Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royals
Tuesday, September 6, 2022 at 8:10 p.m. ET at Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City
Who Starts for Cleveland?
Cleveland starts Shane Bieber tonight.
Pertinently to my favorite play for this game, the "under" has hit in the last three games in which Bieber started.
Bieber is a strong "under" pitcher especially in night games.
At night, the "under" is 9-2 when Bieber starts.
He is a reliable "under" pitcher in general because he rarely allows more than two runs while lasting six or seven innings.
Strong Spot
For tonight's game, Bieber is in a uniquely strong spot because he is coming off a loss.
This season, he has collected eight losses including one in his most recent start.
It is evident that he is extra focused after a loss because he has allowed one earned run in every start, but one, that immediately followed a loss.
A Concerning Counterargument?
One might object that many of the teams that Bieber faced directly after a loss were weak.
The upshot of this objection would be that Bieber is not actually strong after a loss; he has merely faced weak opponents when he is in this position.
I do not find this counterargument effective because Bieber facing weak opponents after a loss does not negate the fact that his starts against them were strong -- allowing one earned run in a start is impressive.
Besides, Kansas City is also a weak team offensively. The Royals rank 24thin runs per game.
One should expect from Bieber tonight something like seven innings with one run allowed.
Who Starts for Kansas City?
Kris Bubic starts for Kansas City.
Bubic's ERA is as high as it is because he was pummeled in a few starts that took place much earlier in the season.
It's a long season, though, and it's unfair to judge a pitcher's current chances based on his performances that took place months ago.
Bubic vs. Guardian Batters
Bubic is primed to build off his most recent start, in which he allowed two runs in six innings, because he faces an ideal matchup.
Guardian batters repeatedly struggle against left-handed pitching.
In their last three games in which the opposing starter was left-handed, they scored a combined total of one run.
They merit pessimism especially tonight because they rank 29thin slugging against Bubic's favorite pitches from lefties.
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockies
Tuesday, September 6, 2022 at 8:40 p.m. ET at Coors Field in Denver, Colorado
Who Starts for Milwaukee?
Brandon Woodruff starts for Milwaukee today.
The "over" has value in this game simply because a great pitcher is pitching for Milwaukee.
This might seem odd to say, but here's the explanation.
The posted total is as low as it is because Woodruff boasts such a strong ERA.
However, Woodruff has a terrible career history in Denver's high-altitude, hitters-friendly ballpark.
Here, he suffers a 9.24 ERA in three career starts.
I like the "over" for this game because he won't perform tonight with the effectivity characteristic of a pitcher with a strong ERA and because this effectivity explains why the total is as low as it is.
Who Starts for Colorado?
Chad Kuhl starts for the Rockies tonight.
Kuhl relies mostly on a two-pitch combo.
He throws his sinker and slider with combined 78.1-percent frequency.
Kuhl's Matchup Outlook
Milwaukee's hitters look reliable tonight because they rank fourth in slugging against Kuhl's two favorite pitches from righties.
Kuhl repeatedly struggles against teams that match up well against him in this way.
Other teams that he's faced that rank top-five against his favorite pitches from righties are the Padres, Diamondbacks, and Dodgers.
Most recently, he's yielded an ERA of 9.00 or higher in four of his last six games against these teams.
To be clear, one of these teams that he's recently faced includes Milwaukee itself, which scored three earned runs in 2.1 innings against him on July 24.
Best Bet: Parlay Guardians/Royals under 7.5 at -113 & Brewers/Rockies Over 11 at -103 at +272 odds with Heritage
