Cleveland/Detroit, Pittsburgh/Arizona, & Baltimore/Boston Parlay Preview Article

VirginiaCavs

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MLB Parlay for Thursday at (+687)

Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers
Thursday, August 11, 2022 at 1:10 p.m. ET at Comerica Park in Detroit

Who Starts for Cleveland?


Cleveland starts Zach Plesac today.

It is true that Plesac has a terrible record and has been unprofitable for bettors to back.

But, especially lately, these two facts are hard to blame Plesac for.

His last three opponents were Houston, Tampa Bay, and Boston.

In Detroit, he gets a much easier opponent.

Plesac vs. Detroit Batters

Detroit is just the place for Plesac to turn his losing streak around.

He enjoys a 1.98 ERA in four career starts in the Tigers' venue.

The Tigers aren't reliably hitting anybody, anyways.

They've mustered a combined total of four runs in their past three games.

In their last seven games, they've exceeded three runs a single time.

Their poor hitting contributes to their ongoing 1-6 run.

Pertinently to my favorite play for this game, five of those losses came by multiple runs.

Who Starts for Detroit?

Detroit starts Garrett Hill today.

Hill does not match up well against Cleveland batters given the pitches that he throws.

A lefty, Hill throws a fastball, sinker, slider, changeup, and curveball.

Showing great variety in his arsenal, which means that he throws his worst pitches rather often, he throws all these pitches between 13 and 32 percent of the time.

Cleveland batters should perform well today because they rank above-average in slugging against these pitches from lefties.

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
Thursday, August 11, 2022 at 3:40 p.m. ET at Chase Field in Arizona

Who Starts for Pittsburgh?


Pittsburgh starts JT Brubaker, its least profitable pitcher today.

The Pirates have lost the last four games in which he started, including games against the Orioles and Cubs.

Overall, Pittsburgh is costing its backers 5.7 units when Brubaker starts.

Brubaker has been particularly awful to back in his road starts.

On the road, the Pirates are yielding -8 units when he pitches.

Brubaker vs. Arizona Batters

Arizona hardly needs help to win against Brubaker, but it also benefits from matching up well against him given the pitches that he throws.

Primarily, Brubaker throws a sinker and slider. These are easily his two most frequent pitches.

Diamondback batters merit optimism today because they rank seventh in slugging against his pitches from righties.

Who Starts for Arizona?

Merrill Kelly starts for Arizona today.

Kelly's superb form makes him reliable.

He has allowed a combined total of eight earned runs in his past seven starts.

During this seven-game span, he didn't allow more than two earned runs a single time.

His positive streak has endured tough tests too, such as the Braves, Giants, and Colorado in Coors Field.

Kelly vs. Pirate Batters

Today, Kelly is sure to prolong his superb form given the extent to which he matches up well against Pirate batters.

Mostly, Kelly throws a fastball, changeup, cutter, sinker, and curveball.

As opposing BA and slugging rates show, he is eminently comfortable throwing all of these pitches, which he employs between 13 and 30 percent of the time.

Pirate batters are also sure to struggle tonight because they rank 28th in slugging against his favorite pitches from righties.

Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox
Thursday, August 11, 2022 at 7:10 p.m. ET at Fenway Park in Boston

Who Starts for Baltimore?


Dean Kremer starts for Baltimore today.

Kremer has struggled against teams that don't match up extremely poorly against him.

Whereas he, in his last start, dominated a Pirate squad that ranks 29th against his pitches from righties, he allowed a combined total of 13 earned runs in his previous three starts, which came against the Reds, Yankees, and Rays.

Kremer vs. Boston Batters

Red Sox batters will redirect Kremer onto a negative path because they match up well against him.

They rank 10th against his favorite pitches from righties.

Look out, among others, for Alex Verdugo.

Verdugo is slugging .548 this month.

Who Starts for Boston?

Boston starts Josh Winckowski tonight.

Among other negative trends, Winckowski has allowed at least one home run in five straight starts.

But Oriole batters deserve particularly strong trust today because they rank ninth in slugging against his favorite pitches from righties.


Best Bet: Parlay Guardians RL at -105, Diamondbacks RL at +120, and Orioles/Red Sox over 9.5 at -120 at +687 odds with BetOnline
 
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