Cleveland/Boston & Tampa Bay/Baltimore Parlay Preview Article

VirginiaCavs

CTG Super Moderator
Staff member
Bet This MLB Parlay at (+310) on Wednesday

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles
Wednesday, July 27, 2022 at 7:05 p.m. ET at Camden Yards in Baltimore

Who Starts for Tampa Bay?

Tonight, Tampa Bay starts Drew Rasmussen.

While Rasmussen has been profitable to back, this is just about entirely the result of his tilted success at home.

His ERA is over 2.00 higher on the road.

Whereas his FIP (like ERA but factors out fielding) is 2.99 at home, it is 4.30 on the road.

Despite his tendency to succeed at home, one team that thrived against him in Tampa Bay was none other than Baltimore.

Back on April 9, he yielded a 6.37 FIP in his start against the O's.

Baltimore's Turnaround

Baltimore is a much better team than it was when it faced Rasmussen on April 9.

The transition commenced on June 22.

Before this date, Baltimore was 30-39.

Currently, the O's are 49-48 as they enjoy an extended 19-9 run.

To illustrate just how good they've been, consider that their win percentage since June 22 bests that of the Yankees' season win percentage.

Rasmussen vs. Oriole Batters

Especially since their turnaround, Baltimore batters match up well against Rasmussen given the pitches that he throws.

Primarily, Rasmussen throws a fastball, cutter, and slider.

These three pitches make up 96.1 percent of his arsenal.

Since June 22, the O's rank ninth against these pitches from righties.

Among others, look out for Cedric Mullins, who carries a five-game hitting streak into tonight's contest.

Who Starts for Baltimore?

Baltimore starts Tyler Wells today.

Wells has been a particularly good bet at home where he is yielding +2.3 units on the season.

The O's are 5-3 in his home starts with two of the losses coming against the Yankees and one against Minnesota in May.

Recently, Wells faced the Rays and yielded a 4.76 ERA in that start.

However, his 4.76 ERA masks a 2.06 FIP, which reflects how well he actually performed.

Wells vs. Ray Batters

Wells merits optimism today because he matches up well against Ray batters.

He throws a fastball, slider, changeup, and curveball.

Tampa Bay, however, ranks 27th in slugging against these four pitches from righties.


Cleveland Guardians vs. Boston Red Sox
Wednesday, July 27, 2022 at 7:10 p.m. ET at Fenway Park in Boston

Boston's Struggles

Boston was hot, but now it's not.

So far in the second half of the season, the Red Sox are 1-4.

They lost all four of those games by three or more runs.

They've scored as many as five runs -- albeit in a 23-run loss --

During this five-game span, they are averaging a hair over three runs per game.

Who Starts for Boston Tonight?

Boston's struggles are not confined to their lineup.

Tonight, the Red Sox start Nathan Eovaldi, who is also performing poorly.

Eovaldi's quality has downgraded since returning from a back injury.

In his last two starts, he conceded three earned runs in 4.1 innings to the Yankees before allowing nine earned runs in 2.2 innings against Toronto.

Eovaldi vs. Guardian Batters

Eovaldi merits additional pessimism tonight because Cleveland batters match up well against him in view of his pitching arsenal.

His favorite pitches are his fastball, split finger, curveball, and slider.

These pitches make up nearly 93 percent of his arsenal.

Cleveland ranks in the upper half and above-average against these pitches from righties.

Tellingly, several Guardian batters have a strong track record against Eovaldi.

For example, Jose Ramirez and Andres Gimenez slug .500 or better in at least seven at-bats with Eovaldi on the mound.

Who Starts for Cleveland?

Cleveland starts Cal Quantrill tonight.

The Guardians have won the last three games in which Quantrill started.

Quantrill merits optimism tonight particularly because he matches up well against Red Sox batters given his pitching arsenal.

He throws, primarily, a sinker and cutter.

These are, by far, his two favorite pitches.

Boston ranks 21st in slugging against these two pitches from righties.
https://www.betonline.ag/
Best Bet: Parlay Guardians ML at +115 & Orioles ML at +110 at +310 odds with BetOnline
 
Back
Top