Churchill Downs - Kentucky OAKS Friday card...

[CollegeKingRex]

Lots of big races today. Unfortunately, it's shaping up to be a pretty chalky day for me.

Race 1 - I like the '6' to win, but at 3-to-2, I don't see necessary value to bet him to win.

Going with the 6 and 5 on top of 6-5-2-4 in the exactas and tris and using 6 and 5 in the early double with 6 and 5....

GL!
:cheers:

 

[JumpOnBoard]

GL today and this weekend bro.

 

[CollegeKingRex]

Thanks Jump. Pretty excited about it.

Nothing good in the first race.

More chalk in the second.

6/5 with 6/5/2/1 with 6/5/2/1.

I'm liking the 5 (French Kiss) to win. This is her second off a six-month plus layoff (Hartlage 33 percent winners in this spot), and she checked in a G-II last time out. Her top career speed figure was on this main track last fall when she broke her maiden.

GL...<small></small>

 

[bjorks]

Scary, I was thinking of not betting the first and maybe 4th. I've had my eye on French Kiss too, but wasn't going to pull the trigger. Maybe I will now.

 

[CollegeKingRex]

Exacta paid $13.20. Bleh. Tri paid $37.40.

More bleh. But it's been a chalky start... Beats the alternative, however.

Last non-stakes race is coming.

I'm using the 5 (Indian Nickel, currently 3-to-1 co-fave)... He tracked from the rail throughout in his last race. He finished second, in a picture. He's a $150K purchase out of Indian Charlie, who had a lot of speed. Ronny [SIZE=-1]Werner is a good conditioner with his young horses, and this one only needs to move up slightly to get his picture taken today.

Using the first-time starter, the 9, on top with him.

5/9 with 5/9/7/10 with 5/9/7/10

GL today Matty; anything stand out to you?[/SIZE]<small></small>

 

[bjorks]

Honestly no, at least not yet, tomorrow maybe a different story

 

[CollegeKingRex]

No good in the fourth. Passed the Turf Sprint, as I wasn't impressed with anyone in the field. I liked the '3' the best, Julien's horse, and he might still be running.

In the sixth, I realize the chalk (1-to-2 right now) is gonna be tough to beat, but I'll try the '2' horse (Lear's Princess) to win. She[SIZE=-1] returns to the main track after a couple of losses on turf. Was a solid second two back to Dreaming of Anna in the G3 Endeavour off a 3 1/2 month break but regressed last out, checking in fourth while catching yielding ground. She won the G1 Gazelle and finished second in the G1's Alabama and CCA Oaks as a 3-year old on the dirt, so I like the switch back to the main track here. Bounce back probable. Betting her to win and keying her in exotics...[/SIZE]

 

[CollegeKingRex]

Nice little downpour at the track about 25-30 minutes before post in the sixth. Didn't impact the chalk, though. She was quite impressive.

Using the 1 and 2 on top of the 6 and 7 in exotics in the seventh on the grass. Should be a "GOOD" condition for the turf, which drains very well.

GL...

 

[bjorks]

Pure Clan is my horse today Rexy...BIG

3/7/8/11 in the 10th today and I played 11 to win HUGE

 

[bjorks]

What are your thoughts on Big Brown tomorrow. I clearly think he's the best horse in the field tomorrow, but I just think the 20 is too much to overcome.

 

[CollegeKingRex]

Matty - Against you in the Oaks. The track is going to come up muddy or sloppy; Bsharpsonata will have something to say about the early pace. She's won three straight on dirt and should have the pedigree to make it 9 furlongs.

Using the 10 and 1 on top of the 10/1/8/7...

Not sure about the 20 being a big deal; the connections prefer it out there because then all of the speed is to their inside. I'm not a Big Brown fan; hard to include any horses with three starts or less going into the Derby - look at Curlin last year. I'm not sold on my Derby horse yet. Going to dissect it a little more tonight.

 

[Streakin]

Hey REx - love these two days each year.

Take a look at the 7 horse in the #9 turf race.

Have to go with Country star in the Oaks.

Interested to see your picks in the Derby. I have never checked out your horse picks before, but I bet they good.

Good luck and enjoy

 

[bjorks]

Thought about Bsharpsonata, but just sticking with my gut instinct that Pure Clan will get this with a late close.

Hopefully we're both in some money.

I agree with the speed to the inside and do think with Gayego and recapturetheglory to the immediate left it will help, but if he's stuck 4 wide out there I'm not sure what to think.

 

[cashflowmatters]

Rex who do ya like in the crown royal?

 

[bjorks]

this is up in the air cause of the weather right now. With it this sloppy i'm to see how much it dry's out. Although I'd like 10/2/6/9

 

[bjorks]

what a crap race.

 

[Timh]

Rex you playing the Tri in the Oaks?

 

[CollegeKingRex]

Sorry fellas. Longest shot on the board set a reasonable pace and was the best horse in the Crown Royal. I had a small bet on the 7.

I am betting the 10 with the 1,7,8 in the Oaks... Exactas, Tris, Supers... also throwing in the 6 on bottom of a couple of small tickets.

 

[Timh]

I'm getting the itch to make a play on this race. GL

 

[Timh]

Maybe I should just fade Hank....lol

 

[CollegeKingRex]

Got some small exacta love up there, but not much... Loser on the day.

Using the 7 in the last race...

7 with 10,11,3...

GL, back in the morning with Derby stuff...