CFB Week 9 Pick'em Pool Betting Trends

Colin Wynner

Pretty much a regular
Here is a look at the pick'em pool numbers (1194 entries) for week 8 in College Football. The pool lines freeze on Thursdays at 10AM MST and the picks are due by 5AM MST.

The CFB portion of the pool overall went 49% ATS last week and is a combined 48.1% in college thru the first 8 weeks of the pool (pool runs 18 weeks across the NFL season). A total of 51 games were available this week.

Top 20 picked games, lop-sided (Last week: 6-6, 38-37 on the season):

Game/Spread
Fav_Picks
Dog_Picks
FAV_Pct
DOG_Pct
Total Picks
CFB Rank
Oregon State -3 over Arizona17949
78.5%​
21.5%​
2282
Colorado +17 over UCLA25146
14.6%​
85.4%​
1715
USC -10.5 over California13034
79.3%​
20.7%​
1646
Nebraska -2.5 over Purdue12730
80.9%​
19.1%​
1577
Air Force -13 over Colorado State10037
73.0%​
27.0%​
1379
Ohio State -14.5 over Wisconsin14038
78.7%​
21.3%​
17811
North Carolina -11.5 over Georgia Tech10310
91.2%​
8.8%​
11312
Oklahoma State -7 over Cincinnati998
92.5%​
7.5%​
10713
Notre Dame -20.5 over Pittsburgh8220
80.4%​
19.6%​
10214
Florida State -20.5 over Wake Forest7921
79.0%​
21.0%​
10015
Army -9.5 over UMASS788
90.7%​
9.3%​
8617

The reemergence of the Buffs as a public dog, along with the usual ranked suspects.

The rest of the lop-sided college games (6-5-1 last week, 58-72-2 overall):

Game/Spread
Fav_Picks
Dog_Picks
FAV_Pct
DOG_Pct
Total Picks
CFB Rank
Minnesota -7 over Michigan State6310
86.3%​
13.7%​
7321
Florida Atlantic -4 over Charlotte5110
83.6%​
16.4%​
6124
Washington -26.5 over Stanford4214
75.0%​
25.0%​
5629
Maryland -14 over Northwestern408
83.3%​
16.7%​
4832
Eastern Michigan +3 over Western Michigan1334
27.7%​
72.3%​
4733
Boston College -14 over UCONN3610
78.3%​
21.7%​
4634
SMU -20.5 over Tulsa403
93.0%​
7.0%​
4336
Troy -6.5 over Texas State3112
72.1%​
27.9%​
4338
San Jose State -10.5 over Hawai'i348
81.0%​
19.0%​
4239
New Mexico +1 over Nevada733
17.5%​
82.5%​
4040
Iowa State -3 over Baylor2910
74.4%​
25.6%​
3942
Coastal Carolina +4 over Marshall927
25.0%​
75.0%​
3644
Ole Miss -24.5 over Vanderbilt256
80.6%​
19.4%​
3145
South Alabama -10 over Louisiana177
70.8%​
29.2%​
2448
App State -17 over Southern Miss174
81.0%​
19.0%​
2149
La-Monroe -2 over Arkansas State123
80.0%​
20.0%​
1550


Public Dogs (7-7 Last Week, 32-33-2 Overall), 45.4% in terms of overall picks last week:

Game/Spread
Fav_Picks
Dog_Picks
FAV_Pct
DOG_Pct
Total Picks
CFB Rank
Utah +6.5 over Oregon106122
46.5%​
53.5%​
2281
Colorado +17 over UCLA25146
14.6%​
85.4%​
1715
Florida +14.5 over Georgia7680
48.7%​
51.3%​
1568
Wyoming +5 over Boise State2654
32.5%​
67.5%​
8018
North Texas +7.5 over Memphis2632
44.8%​
55.2%​
5826
Houston +17.5 over Kansas State2433
42.1%​
57.9%​
5727
Eastern Michigan +3 over Western Michigan1334
27.7%​
72.3%​
4733
NC State +10 over Clemson1530
33.3%​
66.7%​
4535
New Mexico +1 over Nevada733
17.5%​
82.5%​
4040
Coastal Carolina +4 over Marshall927
25.0%​
75.0%​
3644
Miami Ohio +7.5 over Ohio1317
43.3%​
56.7%​
3046
Virginia +19 over Miami1315
46.4%​
53.6%​
2847

My picks:

Purdue +2.5 - the injuries at Nebraska are real, I will pay to see Nebraska gut out a win here.
Kansas +9 (KU 69 OU 147) - simply a play against OU
New Mexico +1 - wrong team favored here banking on the overall talent difference to mitigate coaching deficiency.
Boise State -5 - glad to see Wyoming on the public dog side, thought this might be a lop-sided play on Boise
S. Miss +17 (S. Miss 4, App St 17) - gross game, gross pick
UA +3 - automatic play when teams from the NW travel to the desert for a night game
ASU +5.5 (Wazzu 48 ASU 21) - see above

Good Luck!
 
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