Colin Wynner
Pretty much a regular
Here is a look at the numbers for week 5, coming off a week where the pool went a combined 58.7%
Top 20 picked games, lop-sided (Last week: 8-2, 13-9 on the season):
I have Michigan as well, but overall I am shocked that this game is that lop-sided. I have Michigan and thought there was a reasonable chance Nebraska would be a public dog. I guess the low total doesn't scare the public when they think one team can't score (including me). The rest on this list make perfect sense. Coming off the 8-2 week, I would expect regression. Stanford, Duke, Arizona and Auburn all seem like good plays to me, while Michigan and LSU can be winners
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The rest of the lop-sided picked games (7-9 last week, 34-41 overall):
Public dogs (underdogs > 50% of the picks; last week: 9-7-1, overall: 17-13-1):
Not much to see here.
My Picks:
Baylor +12.5 (Baylor 24 picks; UCF 28)
LSU -2.5
South Carolina +12
TCU -12.5
Bills -2.5
Jets +9.5
Good luck!
Top 20 picked games, lop-sided (Last week: 8-2, 13-9 on the season):
Game/Spread | Fav_Picks | Dog_Picks | FAV_Pct | DOG_Pct | Total Picks | CFB Rank |
| Michigan -17 over Nebraska | 217 | 27 | 88.9% | 11.1% | 244 | 2 |
| Notre Dame -5.5 over Duke | 154 | 63 | 71.0% | 29.0% | 217 | 3 |
| Washington -18.5 over Arizona | 186 | 11 | 94.4% | 5.6% | 197 | 4 |
| Georgia -14.5 over Auburn | 164 | 21 | 88.6% | 11.4% | 185 | 5 |
| LSU -2.5 over Ole Miss | 137 | 26 | 84.0% | 16.0% | 163 | 7 |
| Oregon -27 over Stanford | 121 | 11 | 91.7% | 8.3% | 132 | 11 |
| Air Force -10.5 over San Diego State | 115 | 12 | 90.6% | 9.4% | 127 | 12 |
| Alabama -14.5 over Mississippi St | 82 | 12 | 87.2% | 12.8% | 94 | 15 |
| Louisiana -3.5 over NC State | 72 | 20 | 78.3% | 21.7% | 92 | 16 |
| Georgia State -1 over Troy | 78 | 10 | 88.6% | 11.4% | 88 | 17 |
| Penn State -27 over Northwestern | 70 | 17 | 80.5% | 19.5% | 87 | 18 |
I have Michigan as well, but overall I am shocked that this game is that lop-sided. I have Michigan and thought there was a reasonable chance Nebraska would be a public dog. I guess the low total doesn't scare the public when they think one team can't score (including me). The rest on this list make perfect sense. Coming off the 8-2 week, I would expect regression. Stanford, Duke, Arizona and Auburn all seem like good plays to me, while Michigan and LSU can be winners
.The rest of the lop-sided picked games (7-9 last week, 34-41 overall):
Game/Spread | Fav_Picks | Dog_Picks | FAV_Pct | DOG_Pct | Total Picks | CFB Rank |
| Missouri -13.5 over Vanderbilt | 57 | 11 | 83.8% | 16.2% | 68 | 21 |
| Jacksonville St -6.5 over Sam Houston St | 60 | 7 | 89.6% | 10.4% | 67 | 22 |
| Tulsa -3.5 over Temple | 51 | 12 | 81.0% | 19.0% | 63 | 23 |
| Western Kentucky -7 over Middle Tennessee | 48 | 13 | 78.7% | 21.3% | 61 | 25 |
| TCU -12.5 over West Virginia | 41 | 15 | 73.2% | 26.8% | 56 | 27 |
| Boston College -3.5 over Virginia | 46 | 9 | 83.6% | 16.4% | 55 | 28 |
| Fresno State -24.5 over Nevada | 48 | 2 | 96.0% | 4.0% | 50 | 31 |
| Maryland -14.5 over Indiana | 36 | 10 | 78.3% | 21.7% | 46 | 32 |
| Wyoming -14 over New Mexico | 40 | 5 | 88.9% | 11.1% | 45 | 34 |
| Georgia Southern -6.5 over Coastal Carolina | 35 | 10 | 77.8% | 22.2% | 45 | 35 |
| Akron -2.5 over Buffalo | 37 | 2 | 94.9% | 5.1% | 39 | 38 |
| Texas State -5.5 over Southern Miss | 33 | 5 | 86.8% | 13.2% | 38 | 39 |
| UTEP -1 over Louisiana Tech | 9 | 28 | 24.3% | 75.7% | 37 | 40 |
| Memphis -3 over Boise State | 31 | 6 | 83.8% | 16.2% | 37 | 41 |
| UNLV -11 over Hawai'i | 25 | 5 | 83.3% | 16.7% | 30 | 44 |
| Toledo -13 over Northern Ill | 24 | 3 | 88.9% | 11.1% | 27 | 46 |
| Central Michigan -7.5 over Eastern Michigan | 21 | 4 | 84.0% | 16.0% | 25 | 47 |
| Marshall -14 over Old Dominion | 20 | 3 | 87.0% | 13.0% | 23 | 48 |
| Miami Ohio -14.5 over Kent State | 17 | 5 | 77.3% | 22.7% | 22 | 49 |
| Pittsburgh -2.5 over Virginia Tech | 20 | 2 | 90.9% | 9.1% | 22 | 50 |
| Rice -3.5 over East Carolina | 16 | 4 | 80.0% | 20.0% | 20 | 51 |
| App State -13.5 over La-Monroe | 17 | 2 | 89.5% | 10.5% | 19 | 52 |
| Western Michigan -1 over Ball State | 12 | 5 | 70.6% | 29.4% | 17 | 53 |
Public dogs (underdogs > 50% of the picks; last week: 9-7-1, overall: 17-13-1):
Game/Spread | Fav_Picks | Dog_Picks | FAV_Pct | DOG_Pct | Total Picks | CFB Rank |
| Oregon State -3.5 over Utah | 85 | 161 | 34.6% | 65.4% | 246 | 1 |
| Kentucky -1 over Florida | 75 | 79 | 48.7% | 51.3% | 154 | 9 |
| Texas -16.5 over Kansas | 63 | 81 | 43.8% | 56.3% | 144 | 10 |
| Tennessee -12 over South Carolina | 28 | 30 | 48.3% | 51.7% | 58 | 26 |
| Texas Tech -8.5 over Houston | 14 | 26 | 35.0% | 65.0% | 40 | 37 |
| UTEP -1 over Louisiana Tech | 9 | 28 | 24.3% | 75.7% | 37 | 40 |
| SMU -23.5 over Charlotte | 4 | 6 | 40.0% | 60.0% | 10 | 56 |
Not much to see here.
My Picks:
Baylor +12.5 (Baylor 24 picks; UCF 28)
LSU -2.5
South Carolina +12
TCU -12.5
Bills -2.5
Jets +9.5
Good luck!
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