CFB Week 4

Timh

CTG Psychiatrist - Dr. Tim
YTD Record
Sides 6-9 -2.92u
Totals 4-3 +0.6u
2H Totals 0-1-1 -1.0u
Teasers 0-1 -1.1u
Total 10-14-1, -4.42u

Off to a poor start so far for the season. Didn't have a lot of time last week and went with the limited card but still managed a losing week. Hope to get it rolling this week! Vandy defense better than I thought, and they also had the better passing game. KST hurt themselves dearly with a lot of inopportune penalties.

329 WVU -19.5 1*
410 Stanford -7 2*
327/328 Mass/Tenn over 58.5 1.5*
365/366 New Mexico/Tulsa over 68.5 1.5*
307 Utah -3 -115 1*
313/314 Michigan/Purdue under 52 1*
334 Maryland -3 -109 1.5*
309/310 WF/App St. under 49 1*
311/312 Duke/NC over 59 1*
324 GA -2.5 -115 1*
353/354 Wash/Col under 54 1*
 
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327/328 Mass/Tenn over 58.5 1.5*
365/366 New Mexico/Tulsa over 68.5 1.5*
 
Thanks fellas, hope you have a good week.

307 Utah -3 -115 1*
313/314 Michigan/Purdue under 52 1*
 
Get em timbo, joined you on the UNM/Golden Shower over....and want to play Utes as well but I'm afraid I've massively misread UA and am a bit dumbfounded to this point. Hope it hits, hate them
 
On West Virginia as well. I love fading garbage teams at home. If this game is in Morgantown, WV prob just goes through the motions. But since it's a road game they will take it seriously and hang 50.
 
Thoughts on UCF-Maryland this week?
Obviously trying to gauge UCF with the layoff is very difficult and you would think it can't possibly be a good thing as the reps just haven't been there for them with the disruption from Irma. It's hard for me to take much out of the FIU win for UCF as FIU was just so bad in coverage in that game and the game got out of hand early. I was very pleased with MD effort on the LOS on both sides of the ball vs. Texas (and even more so watching Texas vs. USC over the past weekend). Kasim Hill has the right mental make up to be very successful and looked great last week though only playing Towson which is still good prep for him for the rest of the season. UCF appears to have a decent front 7 on defense and it will be interesting to see how they fare defending the MD rush attack. I'm not sure how good Milton really is at QB for UCF, but FIU certainly made him look pretty good. I'm a little surprised the line isn't higher on MD. Tend to lean MD here and shopping for a 3.
 
I like the Maryland line, I too thought it would be higher, hope it's not a sucker. Most of the day I listen to the college xm radio channel and I have heard both some hosts and some callers say UCF is going to win, so there is the other side. Perhaps it is rooted in how close the game was last season? Or just a respect for Frost, but I really thought there would be a bump in the number from the Texas win - doesn't seem there is any overreaction from that win in this number for sure. Don't believe UCF should be favored at home vs Terps? I guess with the lines we saw on canceled games vs Memphis and GT, somebody out there is big on UCF.
 
Well it has stayed pretty constant so far this week, slight spike to 4 and then back to 3.5....they plowed into the under hard today though....which is interesting.

BookMaker
FG
09/17 03:47:21 PM #333 CENTRAL FLORIDA OPENER
09/17 03:47:21 PM #334 MARYLAND -3½ OPENER
09/17 03:54:51 PM #334 MARYLAND -3½-28
09/17 03:55:01 PM #334 MARYLAND -4-28
09/17 03:55:02 PM #334 MARYLAND -4
09/18 10:06:07 AM #334 MARYLAND -4-06
09/18 10:06:24 AM #334 MARYLAND -3½-06
09/18 10:06:26 AM #334 MARYLAND -3½
09/18 10:10:28 AM #334 MARYLAND -3½-05
09/18 11:59:24 AM #333 CENTRAL FLORIDA 64½
09/18 11:59:40 AM #333 CENTRAL FLORIDA 64½u17
09/18 11:59:41 AM #333 CENTRAL FLORIDA 63½u17
09/18 11:59:42 AM #333 CENTRAL FLORIDA 63½
09/18 11:59:42 AM #333 CENTRAL FLORIDA 63½u17
09/18 11:59:42 AM #333 CENTRAL FLORIDA 63½
09/18 11:59:58 AM #333 CENTRAL FLORIDA 63½o23
09/18 12:00:15 PM #333 CENTRAL FLORIDA 64½o23
09/18 12:00:16 PM #333 CENTRAL FLORIDA 64½
09/18 01:53:40 PM #333 CENTRAL FLORIDA 64½o25
09/18 01:53:49 PM #333 CENTRAL FLORIDA 65½o25
09/18 01:53:50 PM #333 CENTRAL FLORIDA 65½
09/18 01:54:48 PM #333 CENTRAL FLORIDA 65½o25
09/18 01:54:55 PM #333 CENTRAL FLORIDA 66½o25
09/18 01:54:56 PM #333 CENTRAL FLORIDA 66½
09/18 01:55:23 PM #333 CENTRAL FLORIDA 67
09/19 05:23:43 PM #333 CENTRAL FLORIDA 67o12
09/19 05:25:56 PM #333 CENTRAL FLORIDA 67½o12
09/19 05:25:57 PM #333 CENTRAL FLORIDA 67½
09/19 05:27:06 PM #334 MARYLAND -3½
09/19 07:20:16 PM #334 MARYLAND -3½-07
09/19 07:20:17 PM #333 CENTRAL FLORIDA 67½u13
09/19 07:20:29 PM #334 MARYLAND -3½-05
09/19 07:20:43 PM #333 CENTRAL FLORIDA 66½u13
09/19 07:20:44 PM #333 CENTRAL FLORIDA 66½
09/19 07:21:09 PM #333 CENTRAL FLORIDA 66
09/19 07:38:49 PM #333 CENTRAL FLORIDA 65½
09/19 07:42:21 PM #333 CENTRAL FLORIDA 65
09/20 08:07:27 AM #333 CENTRAL FLORIDA 65u28
09/20 08:07:36 AM #333 CENTRAL FLORIDA 64u28
09/20 08:07:38 AM #333 CENTRAL FLORIDA 64
09/20 08:07:51 AM #333 CENTRAL FLORIDA 64u14
09/20 08:08:05 AM #333 CENTRAL FLORIDA 63½u14
09/20 08:08:07 AM #333 CENTRAL FLORIDA 63½
09/20 08:10:07 AM #333 CENTRAL FLORIDA 63
09/20 08:11:12 AM #333 CENTRAL FLORIDA 63u14
09/20 08:11:29 AM #333 CENTRAL FLORIDA 62½u14
09/20 08:11:30 AM #333 CENTRAL FLORIDA 62½
09/20 08:14:03 AM #333 CENTRAL FLORIDA 62½o11
09/20 08:14:11 AM #333 CENTRAL FLORIDA 63o11
09/20 08:14:16 AM #333 CENTRAL FLORIDA 63
09/20 08:30:23 AM #333 CENTRAL FLORIDA 63u22
09/20 08:30:58 AM #333 CENTRAL FLORIDA 62u22
09/20 08:31:02 AM #333 CENTRAL FLORIDA 62
09/20 08:31:05 AM #333 CENTRAL FLORIDA 61½
09/20 08:33:16 AM #333 CENTRAL FLORIDA 61½u16
09/20 08:33:30 AM #333 CENTRAL FLORIDA 60½u16
09/20 08:33:32 AM #333 CENTRAL FLORIDA 60u16
09/20 08:33:32 AM #333 CENTRAL FLORIDA 60
09/20 10:18:27 AM #333 CENTRAL FLORIDA 60o11
09/20 10:18:29 AM #333 CENTRAL FLORIDA 60
09/20 10:18:38 AM #333 CENTRAL FLORIDA 60o11
09/20 10:18:44 AM #333 CENTRAL FLORIDA 60
09/20 10:50:24 AM #333 CENTRAL FLORIDA 60u12
09/20 10:50:30 AM #333 CENTRAL FLORIDA 59½u12
09/20 10:50:30 AM #333 CENTRAL FLORIDA 59½
09/20 10:50:31 AM #333 CENTRAL FLORIDA 59½u12
09/20 10:50:31 AM #333 CENTRAL FLORIDA 59½
 
Your thoughts on Colorado vs UW? Revenge?
I've been considering the under in that game. Washington is pretty slow paced team and don't run a lot of plays, only avg. 57 plays a game (Rk 126 out of 130 in plays/gm). The Huskies are so solid on both LOS, and should stop the Colorado running game and force Montez to try and beat them though the air and I don't think he is capable of doing that. Wash has a nice running game and Gaskins should be able to be effective against the inexperienced Col defense. I think Wash will try and pound it on the ground in the second half.

Card looks good Tim...
BOL this week BAR.

BOL to you and Maryland this week Tim!
Thanks KSimp, BOL on the week.
 
Sounds like that OL is going to really blossom in the future.

What do you know or read about who can reliably generate pressure from the DL with Aniebonam out?
Well so far they have gotten some blitz pressure with Jermaine Carter (2.5 sacks) MIKE and Jalen Brooks (1 sack) SAM. Chandler Burkett has moved over to DE from BUCK to replace Aniebonam and Keihn now seeing reps at BUCK. Two of the backup interior DL linemen Oluwatimi and Tanyi have each picked up a sack so far and converted TE Issacs now playing DL has 1.5. Aniebonam though a big loss and clearly was their best pass rusher.
 
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