CFB Week 3 (Looking Ahead)

[tooltones]

Don't bet online anymore, but do go to Vegas a few key times during the year (football season, first weekend of March Madness, etc). At any rate, here's the majority of the games for September 14th. Let me know if I'm way off on any. And just a quick note before you look them over: I'm more of a dog player, so a lot of the attractive dogs this week are shaded lower (and most overs are shaded higher).
[TABLE="width: 388"]
<colgroup><col><col><col span="2"><col><col span="2"></colgroup><tbody>[TR]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]UCLA[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]68 [/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD]Nebraska[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]-8 [/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]Tulsa[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]65 [/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD]Oklahoma[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]-17 [/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]L'ville[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]-16 [/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD]Kentucky[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]58 [/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD]Stanford[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]-23 [/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD]Army[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD]VT[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]-7[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD]ECU[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]55[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD]BG[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]54 [/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD]Indiana[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]-8 [/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD]Akron[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]58 [/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD]Mich[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]-32 [/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]S Miss[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD]Arkansas[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]-22 [/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD]UNM[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD]Pitt[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]-16[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD]La Monroe[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD]Wake[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]-3 [/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]Fresno St[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]-13[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD]Colo[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]Bama[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]-4.5 [/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD]A&M[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]51.5 [/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD][/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]Tenn[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD]Oregon[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]-27[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]Nevada[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]51[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD]FSU[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]-23[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD]GT[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]-9[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD]Duke[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]61[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]UCF[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]46[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD]Penn St[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]-6[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]Wash[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]-10 [/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD]ILLY[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]58 [/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]Iowa[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]44 [/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD]Iowa St[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]-4 [/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]Ohio St[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]-20[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD]Cal[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]54[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]Miss St[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]54[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD]Auburn[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]pk[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]Vandy[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD]S Carolina[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]-13[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD]Kent St[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD]LSU[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]-30 [/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD]FAU[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD]USF[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]-16 [/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]U Mass[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]55 [/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD]K State[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD]-41 [/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD]Kansas[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]69[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD]Rice[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]-1[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD]Maryland[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]-2[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD]U Conn[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD]46 [/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]ND[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]-6 [/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD]Purdue[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]40 [/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]Ole Miss[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]55[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD]Texas[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]-10[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD]UTEP[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]-10[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD]NM State[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD]66[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD]Marshall[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]66[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD]Ohio[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD]-4[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD]W Mich[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]54[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD]N'western[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]-20[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD]UTSA[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD]Zona[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]-20[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]BC[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]50[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD]USC[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]-23[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]Oregon St[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD]Utah[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]-5.5[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]C Mich[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]58 [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD]UNLV[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD]-10[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]Wiscy[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]51.5[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD]Zona St[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]-3.5[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[/TR]
</tbody>[/TABLE]

 

[cudder]

I don't think isu will be favored that much over Iowa. I'd take ucla and Marshall without studying

 

[RetroVK]

your nd/purdue line is the real bad one

 

[tooltones]

I don't think isu will be favored that much over Iowa. I'd take ucla and Marshall without studying

Re: UCLA-Neb - Even with the early 9 am in start at Lincoln? I think the line will be around a TD, though I'll be more likely to play the over in that one.

I know everyone is high on Marshall's offense this year, I'm just not sold on their D stopping a team who beat them last year. But you're right, will probably be closer to pick; Marshall gets two layups beforehand and Ohio has L'ville in week 1.

Iowa-Iowa St is a game I'd never play, but thanks for input.

 

[tooltones]

your nd/purdue line is the real bad one

If ND D dominates, like most would expect, the final could be something ridiculous low like 23-10. Last year, with Golson, it was ND as a two TD fave in South Bend and they only won by 3. I'm not really high on Purdue, I'm just way down on ND. What line are you thinking, VK?

 

[pstone]

Tooltones:
Appreciate you putting your numbers out in the public forum to create a little food for thought.

First of all, lines on some of the games have already been posted at the Golden Nugget's Games of the Year, as well as at the LVH.

ND opened as a 14-point road favorite over Purdue and I believe settled at 13 fairly quickly at the Nugget.

IMO, Oregon State will be a road favorite at Utah, probably in the 3.5 point range. Also, I have Indiana as a 3-point favorite over Bowling Green and could see up to 4, but probably not much higher at this point.

Good job and good luck this season,
Paul

 

[twinkie13]

Texas as 10 point faves vs Ole Miss? Am I reading it right?

 

[tru]

Texas as 10 point faves vs Ole Miss? Am I reading it right?

It should be higher? Or lower? I think it's a pretty good number

 

[twinkie13]

touch lower

Ill be on Piss if it is 10, that much I know

 

[tru]

touch lower

Ill be on Piss if it is 10, that much I know

A touch lower meanin what? What is hfa worth at Texas to you? To me 5 points. I think I'm too high on ole miss we will see how they do this year though but rite now I think 10-11 would be a fair number.

 

[twinkie13]

A touch lower meanin what? What is hfa worth at Texas to you? To me 5 points. I think I'm too high on ole miss we will see how they do this year though but rite now I think 10-11 would be a fair number.

I think the line should be 7.5-9.5....

10 is too many to me

Ole Miss is pretty popular around town, and may be overvalued.

If it is 10 on gameday, I am on Piss:shake:

 

[RetroVK]

'11 defense and texas is as good as anyone , '12 defense and it is the same old story of the last few years, Same personnel as those two years basically .. though healthier this year than last with the jeffcoat and hicks stuff.

 

[Silkydiamonds]

Ain't 7.5 basically 10 tho?

 

[twinkie13]

Ain't 7.5 basically 10 tho?

I guess what I am trying to say is that 10 makes it a bet for me if that makes more sense silk:shake:

 

[Silkydiamonds]

I see a 7.5 and consider it a 10. I mean at 10 you get the push I guess. But you're still basically saying at 7.5 & 10 beat me by a TD plus

 

[tru]

I don't see how u can say 9.5 on tha high side where u think it should be but 10 is too high. At 7.5 u then think at ole piss, ole piss should be favored? Wasn't texas a double digit fav at ole piss an blasted em last year 66-31? I think ole piss has got better since then but u really think almost 2 tds line wise better?

 

[RetroVK]

Not gonna argue the line of the particular game but there is a huge difference between 7.5 and 10. tru, I should have aim up tonight.

 

[tru]

Not gonna argue the line of the particular game but there is a huge difference between 7.5 and 10. tru, I should have aim up tonight.

If I'm not around tonight I will be on tomorrow afternoon an night. How's everything been?

 

[RetroVK]

All is well .. .. very busy but all is well. hope the same for you. texas hfa been dropping as a running weighted average for me. closer to 4.5 now.

 

[tru]

Ain't 7.5 basically 10 tho?

No agree wit Kyle, not close to tha same, and even more when makin bets based on difference from my number to opener.

 

[RetroVK]

More odd number finals in cfb than nfl as well .. the PAT isn't even a given in college

 

[tru]

All is well .. .. very busy but all is well. hope the same for you. texas hfa been dropping as a running weighted average for me. closer to 4.5 now.

Damn down to 4.5? Yeah everything is great, got ahead on fbs so I worked on fcs this offseason.

 

[Silkydiamonds]

This is why we share info fellas. :shake:


Me, after 7.5, I wanna see 10.5 or it's prolly a no play if I don't see an edge for me. but that's me. I may even pay for the 1/2pt to get it.

again that's my way of seeing it

 

[RetroVK]

I realize silk aint talking the straight math though .. pretty sure he just means that when he is thinking of how the game plays out ,... those numbers it passes through have less bearing/value than some others. I am not sure how to properly explain what I think he means but I think I know.

 

[Silkydiamonds]

Yeah you nailed it VK, I'm a bit different lol

 

[RetroVK]

I am trying to avoid being a complete prisoner to the number. Meaning ... sometimes I struggle making the good ev bet when I could have made the great ev bet the day prior and failed to.

 

[RetroVK]

Damn down to 4.5? Yeah everything is great, got ahead on fbs so I worked on fcs this offseason.

yup saw your fcs thread. work is fun, mister

 

[tru]

yup saw your fcs thread. work is fun, mister

Tha moves make no sense, me an Dwight had some talk about it Sunday, lines move insane. I have been able to find lots of value. We will see how much value once we get to kickoff

 

[RetroVK]

what are limits on those ?

 

[tru]

Small. Shoe money. Not sure if they up limits day of games or what but rite now 100 limit on fcs. Like I told Dwight tha other day, more of an ego than for god than anything really

 

[RetroVK]

the limits are why the moves are drastic though. would be ripe for dummying if lines get copied from elsewhere that do offer higher limits later too.... but doubt that is really happening on those.

 

[twinkie13]

Yeah you nailed it VK, I'm a bit different lol

I am too

VK and tru do traditional numbers...I dont either

 

[tru]

I am too

VK and tru do traditional numbers...I dont either

God learned from Kyle, so we would have to share a lot of tha same thinking. Plus god still has his fade niggas type thinkin.

 

[RetroVK]

almost everything moving towards my number and not away so I have a better feeling about my early pr. But I took the easy road and didn't even create for old dominion or ga state.

 

[GoIrish!]

If ND D dominates, like most would expect, the final could be something ridiculous low like 23-10. Last year, with Golson, it was ND as a two TD fave in South Bend and they only won by 3. I'm not really high on Purdue, I'm just way down on ND. What line are you thinking, VK?

This was Golsons first home start coming off a 15 hour plane ride or whatever it was from Ireland back to South Bend. When Tommy came in..he was slinging the ball all over the field on them...tommy will destroy purdue's secondary...if the line is -6...biggest bet of the year for me

 

[GoIrish!]

case and point...look at 2 years ago when tommy played them at Purdue...

 

[Gyno]

Texas as 10 point faves vs Ole Miss? Am I reading it right?

you tripping on +10 then think the line will be 7.5-9.5?

 

[Gyno]

Can I have Oregon St +5.5 for my entire balance please?

 

[twinkie13]

you tripping on +10 then think the line will be 7.5-9.5?

I just cant see it being 10...if it is, I am on Ole Miss

 

[tru]

I just cant see it being 10...if it is, I am on Ole Miss

but ur logic makes no sense though. U said 7.5 that would mean roughly texas-2.5 on neutral. So texas at ole miss then would be roughly ole miss -1. Texas was a DOUBLE DIGIT favorite last year at ole piss an got deep in that ass 66-31. How tha fuck has ole piss gained roughly 2 tds in line value since last year? I agree ole piss is up from last time they played, but same wit texas. I think my number is a lil low since I think I'm too high on ole piss.

 

[tru]

I just cant see it being 10...if it is, I am on Ole Miss

U will see a double digit line, god will be very shocked at anything lower

 

[twinkie13]

but ur logic makes no sense though. U said 7.5 that would mean roughly texas-2.5 on neutral. So texas at ole miss then would be roughly ole miss -1. Texas was a DOUBLE DIGIT favorite last year at ole piss an got deep in that ass 66-31. How tha fuck has ole piss gained roughly 2 tds in line value since last year? I agree ole piss is up from last time they played, but same wit texas. I think my number is a lil low since I think I'm too high on ole piss.

I do not do power rankings, so we will just be going in circles....but I also do not have a Shark way either

I see lines and they either look good to me or they dont, or play dogs...or I watch movement...works for me

 

[Gyno]

I don't understand what you're saying either twink..

Not much difference between 7.5-9.5 and 10.. Whats the big deal?