CFB Week 13 Pick'em Pool Betting Trends

Colin Wynner

Pretty much a regular
Every game list in the table below with the category to the far left. Categories - >=70% or more of the picks on the favorite = Lop-Sided; 52%-69.9% on Favorite = Favorite Majority; 50.1%-51.9% Even Action; >=50% on Dog = Public Dog

Week 13 numbers:

Entries: 1173 (Total of 7038 picks)
CFB Picks: 4208 (59.8% of the overall picks - LOW)
CFB Record so far: 9-3-1; 759-510 59.8% - A push counts as a loss in the pool and is reflected in the those numbers - without the push the CFB win percentage so far - 69.0%; Black Friday Sale!

Last week:
Top 20 picked games, lop-sided: 7-6 / 58-52 (full season)
Other Lop-sided games: 10-8 last week, 83-99-2 overall
Public Dogs: 4-2/44-44-2
College Overall: 30-29 on majority picks; overall picks 2249-1975 for a percentage of 53.24%/Season Percentage: 49.4%

Pool lines freeze at 10AM on Thursday's; picks due a 5AM MST.

Game/Spread
Fav_Picks
Dog_Picks
FAV_Pct
DOG_Pct
Total Picks
CFB Rank
NOTE
Ohio State +3.5 over Michigan94186
33.6%​
66.4%​
2801Public Dog
Oregon -13.5 over Oregon State10780
57.2%​
42.8%​
1872Favorite Majority
Louisville -7.5 over Kentucky16223
87.6%​
12.4%​
1853Lop-Sided Favorite
Alabama -14 over Auburn16115
91.5%​
8.5%​
1764Lop-Sided Favorite
Iowa +2.5 over Nebraska42129
24.6%​
75.4%​
1715Public Dog
Ole Miss -10 over Mississippi St14623
86.4%​
13.6%​
1696Lop-Sided Favorite
Missouri -9 over Arkansas12912
91.5%​
8.5%​
1417Lop-Sided Favorite
Arizona -10.5 over Arizona State12318
87.2%​
12.8%​
1418Lop-Sided Favorite
Florida State -6.5 over Florida10530
77.8%​
22.2%​
1359Lop-Sided Favorite
Oklahoma -10 over TCU10128
78.3%​
21.7%​
12910Lop-Sided Favorite
LSU -11.5 over Texas A&M10722
82.9%​
17.1%​
12911Lop-Sided Favorite
Tulane -3.5 over UT San Antonio7833
70.3%​
29.7%​
11112Lop-Sided Favorite
UNLV -2.5 over San Jose State10010
90.9%​
9.1%​
11013Lop-Sided Favorite
Texas -14 over Texas Tech6534
65.7%​
34.3%​
9914Favorite Majority
Duke -6 over Pittsburgh797
91.9%​
8.1%​
8615Lop-Sided Favorite
Kansas -6 over Cincinnati82-
100.0%​
0.0%​
8216Lop-Sided Favorite
Washington -16.5 over Washington State4239
51.9%​
48.1%​
8117Even Action
Georgia -24 over Georgia Tech746
92.5%​
7.5%​
8018Lop-Sided Favorite
Utah -22 over Colorado3430
53.1%​
46.9%​
6419Favorite Majority
Purdue -3.5 over Indiana4617
73.0%​
27.0%​
6320Lop-Sided Favorite
Kansas State -10 over Iowa State556
90.2%​
9.8%​
6121Lop-Sided Favorite
Miami Ohio -5 over Ball State498
86.0%​
14.0%​
5722Lop-Sided Favorite
Liberty -17 over UTEP525
91.2%​
8.8%​
5723Lop-Sided Favorite
Clemson -7.5 over South Carolina4116
71.9%​
28.1%​
5724Lop-Sided Favorite
UCLA -9 over California3423
59.6%​
40.4%​
5725Favorite Majority
Colorado State -5.5 over Hawai'i4611
80.7%​
19.3%​
5726Lop-Sided Favorite
Penn State -21 over Michigan State4113
75.9%​
24.1%​
5427Lop-Sided Favorite
James Madison -9 over Coastal Carolina3221
60.4%​
39.6%​
5328Favorite Majority
Toledo -10.5 over Central Michigan3415
69.4%​
30.6%​
4929Favorite Majority
Maryland -1 over Rutgers3513
72.9%​
27.1%​
4830Lop-Sided Favorite
UCF -13.5 over Houston3116
66.0%​
34.0%​
4731Favorite Majority
Wisconsin -2.5 over Minnesota2818
60.9%​
39.1%​
4632Favorite Majority
North Carolina -2.5 over NC State2518
58.1%​
41.9%​
4333Favorite Majority
Fresno State -5.5 over San Diego State3111
73.8%​
26.2%​
4234Lop-Sided Favorite
Jacksonville St -2.5 over New Mexico State2218
55.0%​
45.0%​
4035Favorite Majority
Boise State -7 over Air Force1919
50.0%​
50.0%​
3836Even Action
Middle Tennessee -3.5 over Sam Houston St2018
52.6%​
47.4%​
3837Even Action
Boston College +10 over Miami1225
32.4%​
67.6%​
3738Public Dog
Northwestern +6 over Illinois1323
36.1%​
63.9%​
3639Public Dog
Utah State -6 over New Mexico1817
51.4%​
48.6%​
3540Even Action
BYU +16.5 over Oklahoma State1419
42.4%​
57.6%​
3341Public Dog
Stanford +26 over Notre Dame1617
48.5%​
51.5%​
3342Public Dog
West Virginia -9.5 over Baylor29-
100.0%​
0.0%​
2943Lop-Sided Favorite
Memphis -13 over Temple224
84.6%​
15.4%​
2644Lop-Sided Favorite
SMU -18 over Navy186
75.0%​
25.0%​
2445Lop-Sided Favorite
Marshall -2.5 over Arkansas State1212
50.0%​
50.0%​
2446Even Action
Ohio -14 over Akron185
78.3%​
21.7%​
2347Lop-Sided Favorite
Virginia Tech -3 over Virginia139
59.1%​
40.9%​
2248Favorite Majority
Wyoming -11 over Nevada202
90.9%​
9.1%​
2249Lop-Sided Favorite
App State -8.5 over Georgia Southern173
85.0%​
15.0%​
2050Lop-Sided Favorite
South Florida -6 over Charlotte182
90.0%​
10.0%​
2051Lop-Sided Favorite
Rice -4 over Florida Atlantic163
84.2%​
15.8%​
1952Lop-Sided Favorite
Syracuse -3 over Wake Forest145
73.7%​
26.3%​
1953Lop-Sided Favorite
Tennessee -27 over Vanderbilt154
78.9%​
21.1%​
1954Lop-Sided Favorite
North Texas -3 over UAB134
76.5%​
23.5%​
1755Lop-Sided Favorite
Troy -16.5 over Southern Miss88
50.0%​
50.0%​
1656Even Action
UCONN -2.5 over UMASS97
56.3%​
43.8%​
1657Favorite Majority
Northern Ill -19 over Kent State103
76.9%​
23.1%​
1358Lop-Sided Favorite
Old Dominion -3 over Georgia State103
76.9%​
23.1%​
1359Lop-Sided Favorite
East Carolina -3 over Tulsa74
63.6%​
36.4%​
1160Favorite Majority
Louisiana -12.5 over La-Monroe71
87.5%​
12.5%​
861Lop-Sided Favorite
Western Kentucky -10 over FIU51
83.3%​
16.7%​
662Lop-Sided Favorite
Texas State +6 over South Alabama23
40.0%​
60.0%​
563Public Dog

In full disclosure, I am ice cold - I think of the 18 games played so far this weekend, my leans or my plays are 3-15. And I am still trying to wrap my head around a 5-3 losing their last four games by a combined 16 points, but one of those was in overtime; they have lost 30 games by one score or less since 2018 (Frost's first year), most of them have involved a never seen before way to lose. So, it's fade away time

The pace cannot continue, so based on these numbers:

Michigan -3.5 - Public Dog on tOSU, this feels like the hammer play against the public of the year given early results.
Kentucky +7.5 or Auburn +14 - If Ville covers, hit Auburn later
Arizona State +10.5 or Florida +6.5 - If Arizona covers, hit Florida later

I have never seen a game with 0 picks on one team with the other team having at least 20+ picks; and we have seen massive stale line movement - Steelers from -3 in the pool to -10.5 at close of the pick window, people still had the Ravens.

The rest of my picks:

UNLV -2.5
Jax State -2.5
Washington State +16.5
Florida +6.5
Iowa State +10
Cal +9
San Diego State +5.5

Good luck, enjoy the final full weekend of CFB.
 
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