Reasoning:
Oregon State: UW has been playing with fire for a month and Oregon State is a beast in Corvallis. UW likely will struggle to stop the Beavs on the ground and on 3rd down, and Jonathan Smith likely will lean on the ground game to keep the dynamic Penix & Co offense off the field. Forecast calls for little wind but a good chance of rain, which should only help Oregon State gameplan.
UNC/Clemson over: UNC's defense is bad, allowing Miami, UVA, GT and Duke each to hang 31+ in the past 5 weeks (they did hold Campbell to 7 during that stretch, ha), and Clemson's offense has looked much better the past 2 weeks vs ND and GT (the first of which seems like an important data point). UNC's offense is elite, and while Clemson's defense is solid, this is the most consistent and dynamic offense they've faced to date (no offense, FSU). Both teams play at a pretty fast pace (UNC 76 plays for/72 against; CU 75/62). 37-28, Clemson.
K State TT: Kleiman has owned KU since taking over in Manhattan (4-0 SU/ATS), hanging 47, 35, 55 and 38 in those meetings. KU's is outside of the top 80 in opp YPP, YPC, YPA and 3rd down %, while K State is outstanding 3rd downs (11th) and YPC (20th), good on YPP (38th) and average in YPA. KU QB Bean isn't close to 100% (head and ankle) and I suspect he won't start - and if he does, an ankle injury will keep him from being the dual threat danger that can threaten KSU's defense. In any event, I'd prefer not to lay 9' on the road in a rivalry game with KU's uncertain QB status when there's a perfectly reasonable TT option like this. I think K State hangs 40.
