CFB Week 11

Timh

CTG Psychiatrist - Dr. Tim
YTD Record
Sides 14-19-1, -5.13u
1H Sides 6-6-1 +0.5u
2H Sides 1-0 +0.5u
Totals 5-1, +3.93u
1H Totals 0-1, -1.1u
2H Totals 2-0, +2.0u
Team Totals 1-1, +0.43
Tease 1-3, -2.4u
1Q Sides 0-0-1, +0.0
ML 0-1 -0.5u
Total 30-32-3, -1.73u


3-3 in Week 10, painful 1/2 pt loss thanks to Franklin's conversion decisions.

Buffalo -7 -113 1*
EMU +8.5 -111 1*
WF/NC over 66 -108 1*
Miami FL/VT over 67 -108 1*
Iowa -3.5 -108 1*
Rutgers -5.5 -108 1*
Vanderbilt +17.5 -113 1*

Ole Miss -13 -113 1*
Oregon -10 -115 1*
Arkansas +17.5 -113 1*
 
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Notes after reviewing the film from Maryland's stunning blowout win at Penn State:

Taulia Tagovailoa

  • Tagovailoa's early throw to Dontay Demus on the sideline was ill-advised but NFL-quality. The corner route against Cover 2 is considered open, but the safety started on the numbers. The ability to complete that throw accurately is something that many NFL QBs struggle with, let alone a college sophomore starting his third game. This is how good he is and what you can expect from him for the next two years. Unfortunately, you’ll be watching him on Sundays after that.
  • Significant interaction happened when Demus dropped a 3rd and 8 pass in the fourth with Maryland up, 35-13. Lia was visibly upset and Demus took responsibility. He not only said it out loud, he walked over to Lia and Mike Locksley and said it to them. Lia shook his hand to acknowledge it. This is significant because the players know that they have a QB who is doing all of the right things and they have to uphold their end of the bargain. There’s an obligation to not only please their QB, but to do their job every play. This is a clue that the culture is changing and the leaders are still not too big for the little things.
  • He makes very few mistakes in general, but when he does he is usually out of the pocket. When he is on the run he tends to throw into double coverage more often.
58COMMENTS

Offense

  • Scottie Montgomery called a great game by setting up the defense with powers, whams and traps. He countered that by running slants and crosses behind the LBs. He had a lot of success with the wide passes and runs up the middle. Although Jake Funk didn’t finish with the stat line he did last week, I don’t think they intended for him to be a large part of the scoring this week. They knew that they had to keep the LBs and safeties defending the inside run game. This allowed them to throw through the middle of their defense.
  • The first TD by Rakim Jarrett was a disguised Cover 1 man where the corner wasn’t even lined up over his receiver. I really don’t know what the PSU defense was trying to do. Either way, Tariq Castro-Fields’ eyes were in the backfield just like they showed on tape. Jarrett ran a swing slant where he started the route out as a wide fade and rounded it off into a slant. This is a key element in Locksley's offense. Each play is designed with multiple route options to beat multiple defenses. If it's zone coverage, the route for this play would be the wide push slant. If it’s man coverage, it would be a stem slant or a post. They’re simple changes that are determined by the motion across the field to alert both the WR and QB as to which route is open. The other benefit of the motion is setting the strong side of the defense away from the slant. With this happening, they know that the SAM is not going to drop off into the path of the slant if it is cover 2. In this situation, the WILL is the player that needs to cover the slant but because it is 3rd and short, they send the WILL on a run blitz. Even if he drops, Jarrett’s route is designed to push wide and stay skinny on the slant to stay out of his zone. Lia also has to release the ball as soon as he cuts the route. Lastly, the safety, Lamont Wade, doesn’t recognize the play because his eyes are in the backfield rather than recognizing the route. All of this leads to a TD.
  • Jarrett’s secnd TD was man coverage and Jarrett just pushed wide to get the CB to think wheel route, then cut inside of Demus running a Stem 7. The stem 7 is set to beat the Cover 2 and pull the safety if it’s Cover 1, while the fake wheel/slant is set to beat man coverage. Lia just has to pick the route and throw it. For this TD, he has to wait for Jarrett to pass through linebacker Jesse Luketa’s zone. Lia also has to freeze Luketa so he doesn’t slide with Jarrett. A good QB will either watch the LB until the last second, or he will watch Demus even though he knows not to throw that route. This will take care of the LB. Again, Wade doesn’t recognize the route and is late. He ended up getting benched for the rest of the half, I believe.
  • On Funk’s TD run, we call an outside power with Johari Branch and Johnny Jordan pulling and kicking out the scraping LB and free safety that comes down. Jordan’s block ends up taking out both the LB and the CB that comes down to support. Funk stays patient and accelerates right as the hole opens up and outruns the safety.
  • On the TD to Demus, Lia recognizes zone coverage with the motion across. The defense has a cover 6 man to the field side with the safety and corner on the play side, playing quarters defense. The ball should go to the player running the out but the read is to the CB. If the corner turns and runs, throw the out. If the CB continues to slide and the receiver gets even, throw the fade. Well, both the safety and the corner bite on the out and nobody covers Demus. Eay touchdown. The CB stayed in his shuffle stance and kept his eyes in the backfield rather than on players in his zone.
  • Terps' OL plays incredibly well together. Branch has stepped in and proven himself as the LG. They really don’t miss a call. Watching them vs the PSU OL was night and day. PSU would neglect to block Maryland's DTs at all on some plays. The OL allowed very little pressure and shut down star defensive end Shaka Toney completely. He didn’t even make it into the stat line. Maryland needed to upgrade the line to be Big Ten capable and they absolutely have done that.
Defense

  • Well, people asked for the 4-3 and they started in a 4-3, or 4-2-5, actually, with the SS rolling down as the SAM. They also transition back to the traditional 3-4 with DeShawn Holt’s hand in the dirt as a 5 or 7 technique weakside DE and the SAM lining up over the TE on the opposite side. This lineup allows the weakside to close down on running downs and split out wide on passing downs. The SAM has the ability to line up on the line of scrimmage for running downs or back off on passing downs. This is essentially how they ended the game last week against Minnesota and how they were able to overload the weakside and let the LBs cheat over to the strongside. Prevents the weakside Wham, allows Holt to slide and close the strongside zone and keeps the OL off of Chance Campbell and Ace Eley. This is the benefit of the Hybrid 3-4 and a HUGE sign of what this defense is capable of becoming.
  • The secondary had to play man a lot more this game because of the single read offense that Clifford and PSU run. Clifford doesn’t hold the ball very long because he makes mistakes if he does. In the beginning of the game the secondary doesn’t trust the route they see and they complete a few short slants. That stops after the first drive and the defenders begin to trust what they saw on film and what they were coached to do all week. Because of this, Clifford holds the ball too long and Maryland gets seven sacks. The DL also does a great job of clogging the middle lanes, which is where Clifford loves to escape, and forces him to search around for an exit strategy. He’s not athletic enough to beat Maryland's DEs or LBs and ends up getting sacked a bunch because of his indecision. Tanner Morgan ran the offense to perfection last year at Minn because of quick decision making. Clifford is not that comfortable yet. Not even close.
  • PSU didn’t install as much as I would have expected from them. They introduced a couple new players into the offense, but they were largely ineffective. They ended up moving their RT to RG for 2 quarters. Their offense was pretty much exactly what I saw on film from them the previous two weeks.
  • Nick Cross was allowed to be an NFL single high safety and play the angles. With yje defense playing 1 Man for most of the game, Cross also became the run force player on anything wide. He had to fly to the ball and force everything back into the LBs. The LBs did a great job scraping to the sidelines and Cross was also the spy for when Clifford left the pocket. He proved his ability to be a future stud with eight tackles, a sack, an INT, a forced fumble, and 2 pass breakups.
  • The DL used lots of games to confuse the OL of PSU. Nearly all of the sacks came from pressure on the edge. Anytime Maryland ran a knife, which is where the DE and OLBs attacked their inside gap and the DT crossed over top of them and attacked the edge, the OTs failed to adjust. Nose tackle Ami Finau is just not athletic enough to do anything on the edge. The other thing this allowed them to do was to blitz the edges with the safeties and ILBs. The DL doesn’t get a ton of pressure on the QB, but they do a great job occupying the interior and staying at home. They’ve done a lot better from Week One to now.
  • Tarheeb Still will be a stud. Deonte Banks will grow into a great DB as well. This DB backfield may rival the one from 2002 with four NFLers and 15 INTs. The defense is different, but the talent is there! Had a tough time working as the inside corner on the Trips formation but did a great job. Made a lot of plays and when they caught the ball he was able to make the tackle immediately.
  • Freshman Ruben Hyppolite was all over the field. Sheds blockers fairly well, sometimes went around them rather than through their hips. His hustle and work rate is sky high! On the 2nd sack, he was supposed to be covering the RB. The RB was in blitz pickup, then rolled around the tackle for a dumpoff. Instead of going with him, he blitzed up the middle and was free. Good timing, but a good QB will dump that off and he’d be gone for 15-plus yards.
  • Kenny Bennett’s INT was a product of the DL clogging the middle escape route for Clifford and forcing him to go to his bailout play of 50-50 ball to Dotson. We knew it was going to happen, and Bennett made a great play. A couple drives later, Dotson gets the better of him on another jump ball
  • Maryland faced 93 plays from PSU and held them to 434 yards. This is an average of about 4.7 yards per play. Their longest play was a 24 yard pass. Best of all, Maryland held them to 2.6 yards per rush.
 
Roch I thought they looked very diversified on offense, liked their mix last night and thought OL played very well also.
 
Thanks fellas, wish you the BOL today on the action.

Vanderbilt +17.5 -113 1*
 
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