CFB Week 11

[Timh]

YTD Record
Sides 39-30-2, +8.52u
Totals 21-21, -1.94u
2H Totals 5-4, +0.28u
2H Sides 1-1, +0.38u
Parlays 4-4, +1.42u
ML 0-2, -1.65u
FCS Sides 7-3, +2.5
FCS Totals 7-3, +4.0u
Total 84-68-2, +13.61u

Disappointing Week 10 going 9-10-1 overall and losing a little. Didn't fare well on the totals (1-4) but would play them all again except the NMST/Tex St. over. Lost by the hook in Missouri game, and Cal and Penn St. games were plays that could have gone my way. Lines seem to be pretty tight so I would guess I will have less plays going forward.

BG -3 -105 1*
Miami/NC over 60 1*
Stanford -9.5 1*
Southern Miss -7 -115 1.5*
NC -12.5 -105 1.5* and NC -11 -115 1*
Kentucky/Vandy under 40.5 1*
Arkansas/LSU over 54 -105 1*
Alabama -7 -113 1*
NC 2H -6 -105 1*

FCS
Cal Poly -12 -120 1*
Kennesaw +22 -120 1*
East Tenn St. +30 -120 1*
Hampton/Savannah St. under 57 -120 .5*
Mercer +3.5 -120 .5*
NC Central/Howard under 57 -120 1*
Fordham/GT under 65 -120 1*
Tenn Martin -3.5 -120 1*

GL on the action :cheers3:

 

[ksimpsc]

BOL this week Tim, that one is circled for me too but was going to look into it a little more today. The road chalk worried me some but BG is the better team to me

 

[Timh]

Thanks KSimp - I just took a look at this one this morning and convinced myself that BG is better on both sides of the ball and have played the tougher schedule to date. I liked being able to get it at 3-05.

[TABLE="width: 448"]
<tbody>[TR]
[TD]Team[/TD]
[TD]YPP[/TD]
[TD]YPA[/TD]
[TD]YPR[/TD]
[TD]YPRA[/TD]
[TD]YPA[/TD]
[TD]YPAA[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]BG[/TD]
[TD]6.9[/TD]
[TD]5.4[/TD]
[TD]4.2[/TD]
[TD]4.2[/TD]
[TD]9.7[/TD]
[TD]6.9[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]WM[/TD]
[TD]6.5[/TD]
[TD]6.1[/TD]
[TD]5.2[/TD]
[TD]5.2[/TD]
[TD]8.6[/TD]
[TD]7.4[/TD]
[/TR]
</tbody>[/TABLE]

 

[ksimpsc]

thanks for the numbers tim. definitely the stronger SOS, looking back that Memphis game and they lost by the fg at the end was a really good showing, and their other road wins definitely makes me want to take them: Maryland 48-27, Purdue 35-28, Buffalo 28-22

 

[Timh]

I am impressed with the ability of their OL to really pass block well. Johnson is obviously very good and when he get the time he needs he is extremely effective. WR are very good for that system and they have enough of a running gm to maintain balance.

 

[Timh]

Miami/NC over 60 1*

 

[Canes1]

UNC may get to the number themselves.

 

[TheSportsCruncher]

I am impressed with the ability of their OL to really pass block well. Johnson is obviously very good and when he get the time he needs he is extremely effective. WR are very good for that system and they have enough of a running gm to maintain balance.

I watched a full BGSU game for the first time last week. QB Johnson seems to have eyes in the back of his head sometimes -- he always knew when the rush was about to get him from behind without even looking. He had incredible instincts in the pocket.

 

[Timh]

I watched a full BGSU game for the first time last week. QB Johnson seems to have eyes in the back of his head sometimes -- he always knew when the rush was about to get him from behind without even looking. He had incredible instincts in the pocket.

I agree SC, he has great instincts and knows where everyone is and how to get rid of the ball quickly. Very good feet in pocket.

Stanford -9.5 1*

 

[captjohn67]

best of luck Tim (clover)

 

[Timh]

Thanks Capt, playing some more FCS and interested in your opinion on these.

Cal Poly -12 -120 1*
Kennesaw +22 -120 1*
East Tenn St. +30 -120 1*
Hampton/Savannah St. under 57 -120 .5*
Mercer +3.5 -120 .5*
NC Central/Howard under 57 -120 1*

 

[Timh]

Southern Miss -7 -120 1*

 

[captjohn67]

Thanks Capt, playing some more FCS and interested in your opinion on these.

Cal Poly -12 -120 1* - think it's a good # - pass
Kennesaw +22 -120 1* - Kennesaw or nothing
East Tenn St. +30 -120 1* - see value with east, I like it..... but I don't have the stones to hit submit
Hampton/Savannah St. under 57 -120 .5* - haven't looked at it
Mercer +3.5 -120 .5* - good #, pass
NC Central/Howard under 57 -120 1*

- haven't looked at it

I know that doesn't help much, sorry

 

[captjohn67]

not sure what happened, but the haven't looked at it goes with the howard

 

[Timh]

Thanks Capt, appreciate your thoughts.

 

[emg2525]

Tim - any thoughts on the LSU/Arkansas total. Number seems fairly accurate, I just have a tough time seeing these teams stay under it...? Appreciate your insight!

 

[Timh]

Emg - See that number down to 54 now which surprises me. I had it in the 60-61 range. I would think LSU offense will come out with something to prove after their dismal showing vs. Alabama and Arkansas defense has been exposed lately. Brandon Allen has really been playing well and despite Arky problems at WR their offense through the air is really producing. I can't argue with over here.

 

[KJ]

Concerns would be Ark off of the marathon and LSU off of Bama, what kind of toll that takes on the OL

 

[Timh]

Bielema is going to take his shots here, see him being very aggressive and maybe pulling out the arsenal of trick plays etc. in hopes of another upset.

 

[Br@ssknux]

BOL Timmy

 

[bull]

YTD Record
Sides 39-30-2, +8.52u
Totals 21-21, -1.94u
2H Totals 5-4, +0.28u
2H Sides 1-1, +0.38u
Parlays 4-4, +1.42u
ML 0-2, -1.65u
FCS Sides 7-3, +2.5
FCS Totals 7-3, +4.0u
Total 84-68-2, +13.61u

Disappointing Week 10 going 9-10-1 overall and losing a little. Didn't fare well on the totals (1-4) but would play them all again except the NMST/Tex St. over. Lost by the hook in Missouri game, and Cal and Penn St. games were plays that could have gone my way. Lines seem to be pretty tight so I would guess I will have less plays going forward.

BG -3 -105 1*
Miami/NC over 60 1*
Stanford -9.5 1*
Southern Miss -7 -120 1*

FCS
Cal Poly -12 -120 1*
Kennesaw +22 -120 1*
East Tenn St. +30 -120 1*
Hampton/Savannah St. under 57 -120 .5*
Mercer +3.5 -120 .5*
NC Central/Howard under 57 -120 1*


GL on the action :cheers3:

With you on both Mercer and E Tenn St, dr Tim.
no play on other fcs.
also on So. Miss
best of luck to you

 

[Timh]

Thanks Brass and Bull, BOL to you today.

NC -12.5 -105 1.5*

 

[Timh]

Kentucky/Vandy under 40.5 1*

 

[Timh]

Arkansas/LSU over 54 -105 1*

 

[Timh]

Fordham/GT under 65 -120 1*
Tenn Martin -3.5 -120 1*

 

[bloodhound]

GL today Tim Go Terps

 

[Timh]

Thanks Blood, they are hard to watch.....

Add another unit on NC -11 -115 1*

 

[Timh]

Alabama -7 -113 1*

 

[Timh]

NC 2H -6 -105 1*