Colin Wynner
Pretty much a regular
Every game listed in the table below with the category to the far left. Categories - >=70% or more of the picks on the favorite = Lop-Sided; 52%-69.9% on Favorite = Favorite Majority; 50.1%-51.9% Even Action; >=50% on Dog = Public Dog
Week 11 numbers:
Entries (includes NFL): 1176 (Total of 7056 picks)
CFB Picks: 4380 (62.1%)
CFB Record so far: 2-2; 175-188 48.2%
Last week:
Top 20 picked games, lop-sided: 8-5 / 52-47 (full season)
Other Lop-sided games: 11-11 last week, 78-90-2 overall
Public Dogs: 6-1/44-40-2
College Overall: 32-25-1 on majority picks but overall pick percentage of just 49.6%.
Pool lines freeze at 10AM on Thursday's; picks due at 6AM MST.
Given 3 of the top 4 most picked games are lop-sided and early games, I will be looking at that later Oklahoma State/UCF game to make a play on UCF, if Michigan/Bama/Kansas go 2-1 or 3-0. Over the years, there are money making opportunities when games line up like this, obviously all four of the favorites can cover but it is a rare. I will be pulling for Bama and Michigan early, then hit UCF.
Public dogs crushed it last week, but of the seven public dogs last week, four were extremely low volume. Kansas, Oklahoma State and Colorado were all winners within the top 20 of overall picks. Five games this week inside the top 20 - Colorado (again the pool is based in Colorado, so there is some bias towards the Colorado teams), Missouri, Fresno, Georgia Tech and Nebraska. I can't see those five all covering today - if I had to take a swipe at the record, I would go 2-3, winners Colorado and Georgia Tech, losers, Missouri, Fresno and Nebraska.
Nebraska is a toss-up to me. They are not good, but being somewhat proficient in basic fundamentals like tackling, gap assignments and blocking can keep you in most games in the B1G West. However, facing a team that can pass, and has explosive potential in the passing game is not a good matchup - if Maryland shows up ready to play a November game for the first time in the history of November, they will have success and Nebraska is so offensively challenged that it will be hard to keep up.
My pool picks:
Texas Tech +3.5
Old Dominion +13.5
Wake Forest +2.5
Colorado +10
UCF +2.5
Texas -10
Good Luck!
Week 11 numbers:
Entries (includes NFL): 1176 (Total of 7056 picks)
CFB Picks: 4380 (62.1%)
CFB Record so far: 2-2; 175-188 48.2%
Last week:
Top 20 picked games, lop-sided: 8-5 / 52-47 (full season)
Other Lop-sided games: 11-11 last week, 78-90-2 overall
Public Dogs: 6-1/44-40-2
College Overall: 32-25-1 on majority picks but overall pick percentage of just 49.6%.
Pool lines freeze at 10AM on Thursday's; picks due at 6AM MST.
Game/Spread | Fav_Picks | Dog_Picks | FAV_Pct | DOG_Pct | Total Picks | CFB Rank | NOTE |
| Michigan -4.5 over Penn State | 254 | 86 | 74.7% | 25.3% | 340 | 1 | Lop-Sided Favorite |
| Kansas -3.5 over Texas Tech | 269 | 28 | 90.6% | 9.4% | 297 | 2 | Lop-Sided Favorite |
| Oklahoma State -2.5 over UCF | 228 | 26 | 89.8% | 10.2% | 254 | 3 | Lop-Sided Favorite |
| Alabama -10.5 over Kentucky | 199 | 27 | 88.1% | 11.9% | 226 | 4 | Lop-Sided Favorite |
| Washington -9.5 over Utah | 111 | 78 | 58.7% | 41.3% | 189 | 5 | Favorite Majority |
| Oregon -15 over USC | 98 | 74 | 57.0% | 43.0% | 172 | 6 | Favorite Majority |
| Texas -10 over TCU | 157 | 13 | 92.4% | 7.6% | 170 | 7 | Lop-Sided Favorite |
| Colorado +10 over Arizona | 58 | 97 | 37.4% | 62.6% | 155 | 8 | Public Dog |
| Missouri +1.5 over Tennessee | 70 | 74 | 48.6% | 51.4% | 144 | 9 | Public Dog |
| UNLV -5.5 over Wyoming | 72 | 70 | 50.7% | 49.3% | 142 | 10 | Even Action |
| Georgia -10.5 over Ole Miss | 98 | 40 | 71.0% | 29.0% | 138 | 11 | Lop-Sided Favorite |
| Iowa -1.5 over Rutgers | 95 | 25 | 79.2% | 20.8% | 120 | 12 | Lop-Sided Favorite |
| Florida State -14.5 over Miami | 74 | 40 | 64.9% | 35.1% | 114 | 13 | Favorite Majority |
| Liberty -13.5 over Old Dominion | 88 | 11 | 88.9% | 11.1% | 99 | 14 | Lop-Sided Favorite |
| Fresno State +1 over San Jose State | 35 | 53 | 39.8% | 60.2% | 88 | 15 | Public Dog |
| 75 | 11 | 87.2% | 12.8% | 86 | 16 | Lop-Sided Favorite | |
| SMU -17 over North Texas | 73 | 10 | 88.0% | 12.0% | 83 | 17 | Lop-Sided Favorite |
| Georgia Tech +14.5 over Clemson | 38 | 42 | 47.5% | 52.5% | 80 | 18 | Public Dog |
| Nebraska +2 over Maryland | 35 | 41 | 46.1% | 53.9% | 76 | 19 | Public Dog |
| James Madison -25 over UCONN | 60 | 12 | 83.3% | 16.7% | 72 | 20 | Lop-Sided Favorite |
| Duke +14.5 over North Carolina | 20 | 51 | 28.2% | 71.8% | 71 | 21 | Public Dog Lop-Sided |
| Oklahoma -13 over West Virginia | 39 | 31 | 55.7% | 44.3% | 70 | 22 | Favorite Majority |
| LSU -13.5 over Florida | 54 | 14 | 79.4% | 20.6% | 68 | 23 | Lop-Sided Favorite |
| Air Force -19 over Hawai'i | 61 | 5 | 92.4% | 7.6% | 66 | 24 | Lop-Sided Favorite |
| Minnesota +1 over Purdue | 14 | 45 | 23.7% | 76.3% | 59 | 25 | Public Dog Lop-Sided |
| 33 | 19 | 63.5% | 36.5% | 52 | 26 | Favorite Majority | |
| Ohio State -31.5 over Michigan State | 30 | 22 | 57.7% | 42.3% | 52 | 27 | Favorite Majority |
| Arkansas -2.5 over Auburn | 32 | 17 | 65.3% | 34.7% | 49 | 28 | Favorite Majority |
| Houston -2.5 over Cincinnati | 46 | 3 | 93.9% | 6.1% | 49 | 29 | Lop-Sided Favorite |
| Memphis -9.5 over Charlotte | 40 | 7 | 85.1% | 14.9% | 47 | 30 | Lop-Sided Favorite |
| California -1.5 over Washington State | 24 | 23 | 51.1% | 48.9% | 47 | 31 | Even Action |
| Oregon State -20.5 over Stanford | 27 | 20 | 57.4% | 42.6% | 47 | 32 | Favorite Majority |
| Boston College +1.5 over Virginia Tech | 16 | 28 | 36.4% | 63.6% | 44 | 33 | Public Dog |
| NC State -2.5 over Wake Forest | 24 | 20 | 54.5% | 45.5% | 44 | 34 | Favorite Majority |
| Colorado State -3.5 over San Diego State | 34 | 8 | 81.0% | 19.0% | 42 | 35 | Lop-Sided Favorite |
| Georgia State -2 over App State | 23 | 17 | 57.5% | 42.5% | 40 | 36 | Favorite Majority |
| Coastal Carolina +2 over Texas State | 10 | 25 | 28.6% | 71.4% | 35 | 37 | Public Dog |
| South Florida -7 over Temple | 28 | 6 | 82.4% | 17.6% | 34 | 38 | Lop-Sided Favorite |
| Wisconsin -10 over Northwestern | 22 | 9 | 71.0% | 29.0% | 31 | 39 | Lop-Sided Favorite |
| South Carolina -14 over Vanderbilt | 19 | 11 | 63.3% | 36.7% | 30 | 40 | Favorite Majority |
| Kansas State -20.5 over Baylor | 24 | 6 | 80.0% | 20.0% | 30 | 41 | Lop-Sided Favorite |
| Georgia Southern -2.5 over Marshall | 20 | 10 | 66.7% | 33.3% | 30 | 42 | Favorite Majority |
| New Mexico State +4.5 over Western Kentucky | 11 | 17 | 39.3% | 60.7% | 28 | 43 | Public Dog |
| Rice +14.5 over UT San Antonio | 12 | 14 | 46.2% | 53.8% | 26 | 44 | Public Dog |
| Illinois -6.5 over Indiana | 19 | 6 | 76.0% | 24.0% | 25 | 45 | Lop-Sided Favorite |
| Navy +2.5 over UAB | 11 | 13 | 45.8% | 54.2% | 24 | 46 | Public Dog |
| UCLA -18 over Arizona State | 15 | 8 | 65.2% | 34.8% | 23 | 47 | Favorite Majority |
| BYU +8 over Iowa State | 4 | 19 | 17.4% | 82.6% | 23 | 48 | Public Dog |
| Tulane -23.5 over Tulsa | 12 | 10 | 54.5% | 45.5% | 22 | 49 | Favorite Majority |
| Pittsburgh -3 over Syracuse | 12 | 9 | 57.1% | 42.9% | 21 | 50 | Favorite Majority |
| Troy -21.5 over La-Monroe | 15 | 5 | 75.0% | 25.0% | 20 | 51 | Lop-Sided Favorite |
| South Alabama -11.5 over Arkansas State | 15 | 4 | 78.9% | 21.1% | 19 | 52 | Lop-Sided Favorite |
| Mississippi St +18.5 over Texas A&M | 5 | 12 | 29.4% | 70.6% | 17 | 53 | Public Dog |
| Middle Tennessee -10.5 over FIU | 9 | 3 | 75.0% | 25.0% | 12 | 54 | Lop-Sided Favorite |
| New Mexico +26 over Boise State | 4 | 8 | 33.3% | 66.7% | 12 | 55 | Public Dog |
| Louisiana Tech -7.5 over Sam Houston St | 6 | 5 | 54.5% | 45.5% | 11 | 56 | Favorite Majority |
| Florida Atlantic -7.5 over East Carolina | 6 | 2 | 75.0% | 25.0% | 8 | 57 | Lop-Sided Favorite |
| Utah State -16.5 over Nevada | 4 | 3 | 57.1% | 42.9% | 7 | 58 | Favorite Majority |
Given 3 of the top 4 most picked games are lop-sided and early games, I will be looking at that later Oklahoma State/UCF game to make a play on UCF, if Michigan/Bama/Kansas go 2-1 or 3-0. Over the years, there are money making opportunities when games line up like this, obviously all four of the favorites can cover but it is a rare. I will be pulling for Bama and Michigan early, then hit UCF.
Public dogs crushed it last week, but of the seven public dogs last week, four were extremely low volume. Kansas, Oklahoma State and Colorado were all winners within the top 20 of overall picks. Five games this week inside the top 20 - Colorado (again the pool is based in Colorado, so there is some bias towards the Colorado teams), Missouri, Fresno, Georgia Tech and Nebraska. I can't see those five all covering today - if I had to take a swipe at the record, I would go 2-3, winners Colorado and Georgia Tech, losers, Missouri, Fresno and Nebraska.
Nebraska is a toss-up to me. They are not good, but being somewhat proficient in basic fundamentals like tackling, gap assignments and blocking can keep you in most games in the B1G West. However, facing a team that can pass, and has explosive potential in the passing game is not a good matchup - if Maryland shows up ready to play a November game for the first time in the history of November, they will have success and Nebraska is so offensively challenged that it will be hard to keep up.
My pool picks:
Texas Tech +3.5
Old Dominion +13.5
Wake Forest +2.5
Colorado +10
UCF +2.5
Texas -10
Good Luck!
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