CFB Week 10

Timh

Timh

CTG Psychiatrist - Dr. Tim
CFB Record 2013
Sides 38-31-3 +2.2 units
Totals 2-3 -0.8 units
Tease 3-2 +1.3 units
Parlays 0-3 -3.0 units
2H Totals 2-2 -0.2 units
1H Sides 1-2 -1.3 units
2H Sides 5-3 +1.75 units
ML 1-0 +1.0 units
Team Totals 2-0 +1.5 units
Live Bets 3-1 +0.91 units
Overall 57-47-3 +2.64 units

Ended up pushing Clem and GT last week and losing Mo which cost me a decent week overall. Not making much progress the last couple of weeks.

Georgia Tech -9.5 -108 1.5*
No. Illinois -23 1.5*
Iowa St./Kansas St. over 51.5 1*
Arizona/Cal over 65.5 1*
Colorado/UCLA over 56.5 1*
Temple/Rutgers over 54 1*
Auburn -7 -125 1.5*
Houston -18.5 1*
UCLA -28 1*
Oregon St. -3.5 1*
So. Carolina -6.5 -120 1H 1*
Parlay with bought points GT -7, So. Car -10 1/1.65
NC -5 1*
So. Car -5.5 2h 1*
Georgia -3 -120 1*
Arizona -14 -120 1*
Parlay with bought points Ga Tech -7, LAL -28 1/1.37
Tease Auburn -2.5/Boise St. -1 1*


GL on the action :cheers:
 
Last edited:
On Huskies as well...as long as NIU puts up their usual mid40s we should be good. Good luck this week.
 
Thanks Mars, GL to you.

Iowa St./Kansas St. over 51.5 1*
Arizona/Cal over 65.5 1*
Colorado/UCLA over 56.5 1*
Temple/Rutgers over 54 1*
 
I would say this one has been summarily drilled......


<tbody>
[TD="colspan: 6"]CRIS[/TD]

[TD="class: casino-greybg-left"]10/27 06:42:38am[/TD]
[TD="class: casino-greybg-left"] [/TD]
[TD="class: casino-greybg-left"]#305[/TD]
[TD="class: casino-greybg-left"]South Florida[/TD]
[TD="class: casino-greybg-right"][/TD]
[TD="class: casino-greybg-left"] [/TD]

[TD="class: casino-whitebg-left"]10/27 06:42:38am[/TD]
[TD="class: casino-whitebg-left"] [/TD]
[TD="class: casino-whitebg-left"]#306[/TD]
[TD="class: casino-whitebg-left"]Houston U[/TD]
[TD="class: casino-whitebg-right"] 10½[/TD]
[TD="class: casino-whitebg-right"]OPENER[/TD]

[TD="class: casino-greybg-left"]10/27 06:42:57am[/TD]
[TD="class: casino-greybg-left"] [/TD]
[TD="class: casino-greybg-left"]#306[/TD]
[TD="class: casino-greybg-left"]Houston U[/TD]
[TD="class: casino-greybg-right"] 10½-18[/TD]
[TD="class: casino-greybg-left"] [/TD]

[TD="class: casino-whitebg-left"]10/27 06:43:59am[/TD]
[TD="class: casino-whitebg-left"] [/TD]
[TD="class: casino-whitebg-left"]#306[/TD]
[TD="class: casino-whitebg-left"]Houston U[/TD]
[TD="class: casino-whitebg-right"] 10½-30[/TD]
[TD="class: casino-whitebg-left"] [/TD]

[TD="class: casino-greybg-left"]10/27 06:45:33am[/TD]
[TD="class: casino-greybg-left"] [/TD]
[TD="class: casino-greybg-left"]#306[/TD]
[TD="class: casino-greybg-left"]Houston U[/TD]
[TD="class: casino-greybg-right"] 10½-35[/TD]
[TD="class: casino-greybg-left"] [/TD]

[TD="class: casino-whitebg-left"]10/27 06:46:07am[/TD]
[TD="class: casino-whitebg-left"] [/TD]
[TD="class: casino-whitebg-left"]#306[/TD]
[TD="class: casino-whitebg-left"]Houston U[/TD]
[TD="class: casino-whitebg-right"] 10½-40[/TD]
[TD="class: casino-whitebg-left"] [/TD]

[TD="class: casino-greybg-left"]10/27 06:50:36am[/TD]
[TD="class: casino-greybg-left"] [/TD]
[TD="class: casino-greybg-left"]#306[/TD]
[TD="class: casino-greybg-left"]Houston U[/TD]
[TD="class: casino-greybg-right"] 10½-30[/TD]
[TD="class: casino-greybg-left"] [/TD]

[TD="class: casino-whitebg-left"]10/27 07:00:51am[/TD]
[TD="class: casino-whitebg-left"] [/TD]
[TD="class: casino-whitebg-left"]#306[/TD]
[TD="class: casino-whitebg-left"]Houston U[/TD]
[TD="class: casino-whitebg-right"] 10½-38[/TD]
[TD="class: casino-whitebg-left"] [/TD]

[TD="class: casino-greybg-left"]10/27 07:09:18am[/TD]
[TD="class: casino-greybg-left"] [/TD]
[TD="class: casino-greybg-left"]#306[/TD]
[TD="class: casino-greybg-left"]Houston U[/TD]
[TD="class: casino-greybg-right"] 12½-38[/TD]
[TD="class: casino-greybg-left"] [/TD]

[TD="class: casino-whitebg-left"]10/27 07:09:20am[/TD]
[TD="class: casino-whitebg-left"] [/TD]
[TD="class: casino-whitebg-left"]#306[/TD]
[TD="class: casino-whitebg-left"]Houston U[/TD]
[TD="class: casino-whitebg-right"] 12½[/TD]
[TD="class: casino-whitebg-left"] [/TD]

[TD="class: casino-greybg-left"]10/27 07:11:29am[/TD]
[TD="class: casino-greybg-left"] [/TD]
[TD="class: casino-greybg-left"]#306[/TD]
[TD="class: casino-greybg-left"]Houston U[/TD]
[TD="class: casino-greybg-right"] 12½-16[/TD]
[TD="class: casino-greybg-left"] [/TD]

[TD="class: casino-whitebg-left"]10/27 07:12:35am[/TD]
[TD="class: casino-whitebg-left"] [/TD]
[TD="class: casino-whitebg-left"]#306[/TD]
[TD="class: casino-whitebg-left"]Houston U[/TD]
[TD="class: casino-whitebg-right"] 12½-22[/TD]
[TD="class: casino-whitebg-left"] [/TD]

[TD="class: casino-greybg-left"]10/27 07:15:07am[/TD]
[TD="class: casino-greybg-left"] [/TD]
[TD="class: casino-greybg-left"]#306[/TD]
[TD="class: casino-greybg-left"]Houston U[/TD]
[TD="class: casino-greybg-right"] 14-22[/TD]
[TD="class: casino-greybg-left"] [/TD]

[TD="class: casino-whitebg-left"]10/27 07:15:09am[/TD]
[TD="class: casino-whitebg-left"] [/TD]
[TD="class: casino-whitebg-left"]#306[/TD]
[TD="class: casino-whitebg-left"]Houston U[/TD]
[TD="class: casino-whitebg-right"] 14[/TD]
[TD="class: casino-whitebg-left"] [/TD]

[TD="class: casino-greybg-left"]10/27 07:15:43am[/TD]
[TD="class: casino-greybg-left"] [/TD]
[TD="class: casino-greybg-left"]#306[/TD]
[TD="class: casino-greybg-left"]Houston U[/TD]
[TD="class: casino-greybg-right"] 14-02[/TD]
[TD="class: casino-greybg-left"] [/TD]

[TD="class: casino-whitebg-left"]10/27 07:15:51am[/TD]
[TD="class: casino-whitebg-left"] [/TD]
[TD="class: casino-whitebg-left"]#306[/TD]
[TD="class: casino-whitebg-left"]Houston U[/TD]
[TD="class: casino-whitebg-right"] 13½-02[/TD]
[TD="class: casino-whitebg-left"] [/TD]

[TD="class: casino-greybg-left"]10/27 07:15:52am[/TD]
[TD="class: casino-greybg-left"] [/TD]
[TD="class: casino-greybg-left"]#306[/TD]
[TD="class: casino-greybg-left"]Houston U[/TD]
[TD="class: casino-greybg-right"] 13½[/TD]
[TD="class: casino-greybg-left"] [/TD]

[TD="class: casino-whitebg-left"]10/27 07:19:17am[/TD]
[TD="class: casino-whitebg-left"] [/TD]
[TD="class: casino-whitebg-left"]#306[/TD]
[TD="class: casino-whitebg-left"]Houston U[/TD]
[TD="class: casino-whitebg-right"] 13½-14[/TD]
[TD="class: casino-whitebg-left"] [/TD]

[TD="class: casino-greybg-left"]10/27 07:19:31am[/TD]
[TD="class: casino-greybg-left"] [/TD]
[TD="class: casino-greybg-left"]#306[/TD]
[TD="class: casino-greybg-left"]Houston U[/TD]
[TD="class: casino-greybg-right"] 14-14[/TD]
[TD="class: casino-greybg-left"] [/TD]

[TD="class: casino-whitebg-left"]10/27 07:19:33am[/TD]
[TD="class: casino-whitebg-left"] [/TD]
[TD="class: casino-whitebg-left"]#306[/TD]
[TD="class: casino-whitebg-left"]Houston U[/TD]
[TD="class: casino-whitebg-right"] 14[/TD]
[TD="class: casino-whitebg-left"] [/TD]

[TD="class: casino-greybg-left"]10/27 07:28:40am[/TD]
[TD="class: casino-greybg-left"] [/TD]
[TD="class: casino-greybg-left"]#306[/TD]
[TD="class: casino-greybg-left"]Houston U[/TD]
[TD="class: casino-greybg-right"] 14-19[/TD]
[TD="class: casino-greybg-left"] [/TD]

[TD="class: casino-whitebg-left"]10/27 07:29:03am[/TD]
[TD="class: casino-whitebg-left"] [/TD]
[TD="class: casino-whitebg-left"]#306[/TD]
[TD="class: casino-whitebg-left"]Houston U[/TD]
[TD="class: casino-whitebg-right"] 14-15[/TD]
[TD="class: casino-whitebg-left"] [/TD]

[TD="class: casino-greybg-left"]10/27 07:42:00am[/TD]
[TD="class: casino-greybg-left"] [/TD]
[TD="class: casino-greybg-left"]#306[/TD]
[TD="class: casino-greybg-left"]Houston U[/TD]
[TD="class: casino-greybg-right"] 14-26[/TD]
[TD="class: casino-greybg-left"] [/TD]

[TD="class: casino-whitebg-left"]10/27 07:43:40am[/TD]
[TD="class: casino-whitebg-left"] [/TD]
[TD="class: casino-whitebg-left"]#306[/TD]
[TD="class: casino-whitebg-left"]Houston U[/TD]
[TD="class: casino-whitebg-right"] 14½-26[/TD]
[TD="class: casino-whitebg-left"] [/TD]

[TD="class: casino-greybg-left"]10/27 07:43:41am[/TD]
[TD="class: casino-greybg-left"] [/TD]
[TD="class: casino-greybg-left"]#306[/TD]
[TD="class: casino-greybg-left"]Houston U[/TD]
[TD="class: casino-greybg-right"] 14½[/TD]
[TD="class: casino-greybg-left"] [/TD]

[TD="class: casino-whitebg-left"]10/27 08:40:55am[/TD]
[TD="class: casino-whitebg-left"] [/TD]
[TD="class: casino-whitebg-left"]#306[/TD]
[TD="class: casino-whitebg-left"]Houston U[/TD]
[TD="class: casino-whitebg-right"] 14½-06[/TD]
[TD="class: casino-whitebg-left"] [/TD]

[TD="class: casino-greybg-left"]10/27 08:48:17am[/TD]
[TD="class: casino-greybg-left"] [/TD]
[TD="class: casino-greybg-left"]#306[/TD]
[TD="class: casino-greybg-left"]Houston U[/TD]
[TD="class: casino-greybg-right"] 14½-05[/TD]
[TD="class: casino-greybg-left"] [/TD]

[TD="class: casino-whitebg-left"]10/27 11:29:27am[/TD]
[TD="class: casino-whitebg-left"] [/TD]
[TD="class: casino-whitebg-left"]#306[/TD]
[TD="class: casino-whitebg-left"]Houston U[/TD]
[TD="class: casino-whitebg-right"] 14½[/TD]
[TD="class: casino-whitebg-left"] [/TD]

[TD="class: casino-greybg-left"]10/27 12:15:23pm[/TD]
[TD="class: casino-greybg-left"] [/TD]
[TD="class: casino-greybg-left"]#306[/TD]
[TD="class: casino-greybg-left"]Houston U[/TD]
[TD="class: casino-greybg-right"] 15[/TD]
[TD="class: casino-greybg-left"] [/TD]

[TD="class: casino-whitebg-left"]10/27 12:19:19pm[/TD]
[TD="class: casino-whitebg-left"] [/TD]
[TD="class: casino-whitebg-left"]#306[/TD]
[TD="class: casino-whitebg-left"]Houston U[/TD]
[TD="class: casino-whitebg-right"] 15-21[/TD]
[TD="class: casino-whitebg-left"] [/TD]

[TD="class: casino-greybg-left"]10/27 12:19:27pm[/TD]
[TD="class: casino-greybg-left"] [/TD]
[TD="class: casino-greybg-left"]#306[/TD]
[TD="class: casino-greybg-left"]Houston U[/TD]
[TD="class: casino-greybg-right"] 15½-21[/TD]
[TD="class: casino-greybg-left"] [/TD]

[TD="class: casino-whitebg-left"]10/27 12:19:28pm[/TD]
[TD="class: casino-whitebg-left"] [/TD]
[TD="class: casino-whitebg-left"]#306[/TD]
[TD="class: casino-whitebg-left"]Houston U[/TD]
[TD="class: casino-whitebg-right"] 15½[/TD]
[TD="class: casino-whitebg-left"] [/TD]

[TD="class: casino-greybg-left"]10/27 02:41:28pm[/TD]
[TD="class: casino-greybg-left"] [/TD]
[TD="class: casino-greybg-left"]#306[/TD]
[TD="class: casino-greybg-left"]Houston U[/TD]
[TD="class: casino-greybg-right"] 16[/TD]
[TD="class: casino-greybg-left"] [/TD]

[TD="class: casino-whitebg-left"]10/27 03:11:58pm[/TD]
[TD="class: casino-whitebg-left"] [/TD]
[TD="class: casino-whitebg-left"]#306[/TD]
[TD="class: casino-whitebg-left"]Houston U[/TD]
[TD="class: casino-whitebg-right"] 17[/TD]
[TD="class: casino-whitebg-left"] [/TD]

[TD="class: casino-greybg-left"]10/28 06:55:17am[/TD]
[TD="class: casino-greybg-left"] [/TD]
[TD="class: casino-greybg-left"]#306[/TD]
[TD="class: casino-greybg-left"]Houston U[/TD]
[TD="class: casino-greybg-right"] 17-09[/TD]
[TD="class: casino-greybg-left"] [/TD]

[TD="class: casino-whitebg-left"]10/28 08:38:01am[/TD]
[TD="class: casino-whitebg-left"] [/TD]
[TD="class: casino-whitebg-left"]#306[/TD]
[TD="class: casino-whitebg-left"]Houston U[/TD]
[TD="class: casino-whitebg-right"] 17[/TD]
[TD="class: casino-whitebg-left"] [/TD]

[TD="class: casino-greybg-left"]10/28 09:22:08am[/TD]
[TD="class: casino-greybg-left"] [/TD]
[TD="class: casino-greybg-left"]#306[/TD]
[TD="class: casino-greybg-left"]Houston U[/TD]
[TD="class: casino-greybg-right"] 17-11[/TD]
[TD="class: casino-greybg-left"] [/TD]

[TD="class: casino-whitebg-left"]10/28 09:24:47am[/TD]
[TD="class: casino-whitebg-left"] [/TD]
[TD="class: casino-whitebg-left"]#306[/TD]
[TD="class: casino-whitebg-left"]Houston U[/TD]
[TD="class: casino-whitebg-right"] 17-15[/TD]
[TD="class: casino-whitebg-left"] [/TD]

[TD="class: casino-greybg-left"]10/29 09:47:13am[/TD]
[TD="class: casino-greybg-left"] [/TD]
[TD="class: casino-greybg-left"]#306[/TD]
[TD="class: casino-greybg-left"]Houston U[/TD]
[TD="class: casino-greybg-right"] 17-19[/TD]
[TD="class: casino-greybg-left"] [/TD]

[TD="class: casino-whitebg-left"]10/29 10:13:50am[/TD]
[TD="class: casino-whitebg-left"] [/TD]
[TD="class: casino-whitebg-left"]#306[/TD]
[TD="class: casino-whitebg-left"]Houston U[/TD]
[TD="class: casino-whitebg-right"] 17[/TD]
[TD="class: casino-whitebg-left"] [/TD]

[TD="class: casino-greybg-left"]10/29 10:13:53am[/TD]
[TD="class: casino-greybg-left"] [/TD]
[TD="class: casino-greybg-left"]#306[/TD]
[TD="class: casino-greybg-left"]Houston U[/TD]
[TD="class: casino-greybg-right"] 17½[/TD]
[TD="class: casino-greybg-left"] [/TD]

[TD="class: casino-whitebg-left"]10/29 10:42:56am[/TD]
[TD="class: casino-whitebg-left"] [/TD]
[TD="class: casino-whitebg-left"]#305[/TD]
[TD="class: casino-whitebg-left"]South Florida[/TD]
[TD="class: casino-whitebg-right"] 53[/TD]
[TD="class: casino-whitebg-right"]OPENER[/TD]

[TD="class: casino-greybg-left"]10/29 10:43:19am[/TD]
[TD="class: casino-greybg-left"] [/TD]
[TD="class: casino-greybg-left"]#305[/TD]
[TD="class: casino-greybg-left"]South Florida[/TD]
[TD="class: casino-greybg-right"] 53o12[/TD]
[TD="class: casino-greybg-left"] [/TD]

[TD="class: casino-whitebg-left"]10/29 10:44:19am[/TD]
[TD="class: casino-whitebg-left"] [/TD]
[TD="class: casino-whitebg-left"]#305[/TD]
[TD="class: casino-whitebg-left"]South Florida[/TD]
[TD="class: casino-whitebg-right"] 53o14[/TD]
[TD="class: casino-whitebg-left"] [/TD]

[TD="class: casino-greybg-left"]10/29 10:50:07am[/TD]
[TD="class: casino-greybg-left"] [/TD]
[TD="class: casino-greybg-left"]#305[/TD]
[TD="class: casino-greybg-left"]South Florida[/TD]
[TD="class: casino-greybg-right"] 53½[/TD]
[TD="class: casino-greybg-left"] [/TD]

[TD="class: casino-whitebg-left"]10/29 10:50:07am[/TD]
[TD="class: casino-whitebg-left"] [/TD]
[TD="class: casino-whitebg-left"]#305[/TD]
[TD="class: casino-whitebg-left"]South Florida[/TD]
[TD="class: casino-whitebg-right"] 53½o14[/TD]
[TD="class: casino-whitebg-left"] [/TD]

</tbody>
 
Tim,
Agree on the ISU/KSU over. Iowa State will be missing Luke Knott who is starting as a RS Frosh. The backup behind him is garbage. Knott is the best pass defending LB we have. Kansas State should be good for 35 points and I expect Iowa State to get some late points and hit 20-24 points. It should be noted that Aaron Wimberly, Iowa State best RB and explosive kick returner is doubtful with a hamstring injury.
 
Gorgolon Lives said:
Thoughts on USC? I think last week's loss really deflates OSU.
Click to expand...
I was just looking at this game again. USC has some problems with their OL and haven't done a very good job in pass protection lately. They also have some injuries in the secondary that won't help given OSU pass heavy attack. It does look like Marquise Lee though has been upgraded to probable so at least that will help their passing offense. OSU lack of running game and heavy reliability on the passing game makes them pretty unbalanced overall on offense. They had a lot of problems on the LOS against Stanford who were just much stronger and more physical. I would think USC defensive line should be able to have similar advtg. OSU though uses the flare passing gm in the flats as sort of an extension of the running game and are a pretty good screen team also. I kind of lean towards OSU here.
 
Timh said:
I was just looking at this game again. USC has some problems with their OL and haven't done a very good job in pass protection lately. They also have some injuries in the secondary that won't help given OSU pass heavy attack. It does look like Marquise Lee though has been upgraded to probable so at least that will help their passing offense. OSU lack of running game and heavy reliability on the passing game makes them pretty unbalanced overall on offense. They had a lot of problems on the LOS against Stanford who were just much stronger and more physical. I would think USC defensive line should be able to have similar advtg. OSU though uses the flare passing gm in the flats as sort of an extension of the running game and are a pretty good screen team also. I kind of lean towards OSU here.
Click to expand...

excellent thoughts

GL this wk my friend :shake:
 
Blood I sucked right in on Houston last night against my better judgement as that game had been bet into so much already. I was going back and forth between the side or the TT on Hou and settled on the side. Would have lost either way as it turns out. Saw you hit a parlay with bought points there, which was a nice move on your part. I did not anticipate that freshman QB playing so well and making such a difference for SF last night. Hou kind of undersized on the LOS on both sides of the ball and were content to sit in a zone all night and didn't take many chances dialing up the blitz with the lead they were holding onto. I was hoping they would get the ball back one more time with enough time on the clock where they would try to score. SF killed themselves by burning the two timeouts early in the 2h, they really could have used those at the end and Hou basically wrapped it up with one first down and then ran the clock out. GL tonight.
 
Timh said:
Blood I sucked right in on Houston last night against my better judgement as that game had been bet into so much already. I was going back and forth between the side or the TT on Hou and settled on the side. Would have lost either way as it turns out. Saw you hit a parlay with bought points there, which was a nice move on your part. I did not anticipate that freshman QB playing so well and making such a difference for SF last night. Hou kind of undersized on the LOS on both sides of the ball and were content to sit in a zone all night and didn't take many chances dialing up the blitz with the lead they were holding onto. I was hoping they would get the ball back one more time with enough time on the clock where they would try to score. SF killed themselves by burning the two timeouts early in the 2h, they really could have used those at the end and Hou basically wrapped it up with one first down and then ran the clock out. GL tonight.
Click to expand...

USF was penalized 19 times for 170 yards. imo they should have never covered...but they played well enough to give them some credit...but sure didnt help my bottom line any.
We'll get it back on Sat pardner
 
see some of those favs the way you do , Tim
Gt, NIU, UCLA ( even tho I hate laying big numbers )
Looking to play one Total a week, preferably on a game on TV where I don't like a side. I State v K State fits that description, so if I can get it at or close to your number, I'm on it.
GL
 
bloodhound said:
USF was penalized 19 times for 170 yards. imo they should have never covered...but they played well enough to give them some credit...but sure didnt help my bottom line any.
We'll get it back on Sat pardner
Click to expand...
Yeah that is amazing, because I feel like So. Fla did really outplay them for a lot of the 2h. If they had those TO's at the end and didn't shoot themselves in the foot with penalties it could have been even closer. Hou though really played soft in coverage just trying not to give up the big play and protect their lead. May be some value on So. Fla going forward with White giving them a definite improvement at qb.
 
bull said:
see some of those favs the way you do , Tim
Gt, NIU, UCLA ( even tho I hate laying big numbers )
Looking to play one Total a week, preferably on a game on TV where I don't like a side. I State v K State fits that description, so if I can get it at or close to your number, I'm on it.
GL
Click to expand...
Bull I was surprised this game had the total bet down as much as it has. It opened at 58 at BOL and got drilled down pretty quickly to 53 and CRIS opened at 53 about 3 hours later. I had it in the 60-61 range and when it got all the way down to 51.5 I played it. Iowa St. defense is getting shredded and I would expect KST to be able to put up over 35 in this game. IST giving up over 200 ypg/5.2 ypc on the ground and 260 ypg in the air.
 
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