CFB W8

BiffTFinancial

BiffTFinancial

Local Heat Tracker
4-4 -5.8u W6
57-47-1 +0.35u YTD

Week 8
2* Vandy -2’
2* Texas A&M/Arkansas over 62
2* Oregon/Rutgers over 60'
1* EMU/Miami-OH under 48
1* SMU/Clemson under 55’
1* Michigan State/Indiana over 52’ (-105)
1* Mississippi State +10 (-115)

BOL to all this weekend
 
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B.A.R. said:
This feels right with Oregon. They'll score at will and frankly the defense won't be exactly all that inspired.
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I think that the biggest factor in CFB is the coaches - how will they approach a game? After the much-watched home loss to IU, Lanning recognizes that vs Rutgers the only number people will really see is the first one. Lanning doesn't have much in the way of off-a-loss stats at UO (he's only had 3 losses that weren't followed by bowls and they vs EWU, Utah and Wazzu so not really instructive (maybe Wazzu -20 at home off UW loss in '23, which was 38-24). Bottom-line: I think Ducks can score as many as they want vs Rutgers D (been fading them all year) and how many Lanning wants is in the 40s. On other side, Schiano is not able to trust his D for the first time ever but his O is good especially at home where Kaliakmanis can audible a lot at the LOS, they might play some tempo. Ducks got exposed vs Hoosiers and think that continues. Ducks in the 40s and Rutgers in the 20s gets it there hopefully comfortably.
 
BiffTFinancial said:
I think that the biggest factor in CFB is the coaches - how will they approach a game? After the much-watched home loss to IU, Lanning recognizes that vs Rutgers the only number people will really see is the first one. Lanning doesn't have much in the way of off-a-loss stats at UO (he's only had 3 losses that weren't followed by bowls and they vs EWU, Utah and Wazzu so not really instructive (maybe Wazzu -20 at home off UW loss in '23, which was 38-24). Bottom-line: I think Ducks can score as many as they want vs Rutgers D (been fading them all year) and how many Lanning wants is in the 40s. On other side, Schiano is not able to trust his D for the first time ever but his O is good especially at home where Kaliakmanis can audible a lot at the LOS, they might play some tempo. Ducks got exposed vs Hoosiers and think that continues. Ducks in the 40s and Rutgers in the 20s gets it there hopefully comfortably.
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Great tidbit about the home factor (audibles, tempo).

This feels like a 45-20 type of affair.

Despite the hangover game I think the Ducks should get past this number.
 
Another week where playing openers/early lines probably didn't serve me well - got stuck with bad numbers on A&M/Arky over (weather) and MSU/IU over (presumably MSU QB and injuries in general), got a slightly better number on Ducks/Rutgers over but it's worth noting it dipped back to 59' after I played it. Got a great number on SMU/Clemson under (Klubnick injury) but that was dumb luck not strategy that I happened to get through that game Wednesday then CK was announced out the next morning. Oh well.

BOL to all this week. Not many inventions by mankind better than CFB Saturdays!
 
Week 8
2* Vandy -2’
2* Texas A&M/Arkansas over 62
2* Oregon/Rutgers over 60'
1* EMU/Miami-OH under 48
1* SMU/Clemson under 55’
1* Michigan State/Indiana over 52’ (-105)
1* Mississippi State +10 (-115)

4-3 +3.75u

61-50-1 +4.1u YTD
 
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