CFB W6

BiffTFinancial

BiffTFinancial

Local Heat Tracker
Week 6
5* Notre Dame TT over (3* 42’ +100; 1* 44’ +120; 1* 49’ +250)
2* Michigan TT over 30' (+100)
2* Michigan State/Nebraska over 53' - NOTE: Weather issues, maybe best to avoid
2* Vandy/Bama over 55’
2* Miami/Florida State over 54'
2* Mississippi State +14
1* Clemson/UNC 1H under 23’ (-105)
1* Clemson TT under 30’
1* Maryland +6
1* FIU +10
1* Mississippi St TT over 20’ (-105)
1* Cal +3

BOL to all this week.
 
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steponaduck said:
25-30 MPH wind in Lincoln ne on Saturday

Midwest wind is ultra reliable this time of year. Could make throwing the ball trickier. Along with place kicking.
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Well shit. I'll admit I didn't realize that - time to investigate. Thank you very much for the heads up, Duck! Love your stuff, you are killing it this year.
 
Max play deserves a little explanation. With 2 losses and USC the best team remaining on their schedule (and Trojans already losing in Champaign), Irish have to go for good ole fashioned style points. ND scored TDs on 13 of 14 drives vs Purdue and Arky, and yeah, those aren't good defenses, but Boise is 111th in tackling. ND has to hang 50 every chance they get and this definitely is one. Also, checked the weather this time and no issues there heh heh.
 
BiffTFinancial said:
Max play deserves a little explanation. With 2 losses and USC the best team remaining on their schedule (and Trojans already losing in Champaign), Irish have to go for good ole fashioned style points. ND scored TDs on 13 of 14 drives vs Purdue and Arky, and yeah, those aren't good defenses, but Boise is 111th in tackling. ND has to hang 50 every chance they get and this definitely is one. Also, checked the weather this time and no issues there heh heh.
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Great point!

Style time.
 
B.A.R. said:
I like the thought process here.

I really wanted to attack their TTs live last week and felt like I kept losing value.

Of course, everything hit.

This team can score!!
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Thanks BAR, appreciate that. And with their defense and situation with 2 Ls, they have to score!
 
Upon further review, wish I'd looked closer at the weather when I played the MSU/UNL over because it's not a good play at 53' much less 2u. Personally, I can cash it out for like -0.1u so doing that since I'd imagine news of the weather will cause the line to drop and may have better opportunities later (or just pass entirely). For purposes of the thread, still counting it as posted.
 
BiffTFinancial said:
Thanks BAR, I think this really could be Fickell retirement game. Tailed you on M -16' too. BOL this weekend.
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Leggo.

Last min I received some killer tickets for free -- so heading down in 6.5 hours -- just picked up a sugar free red bull to make this happen!!
 
Week 6
5* Notre Dame TT over (3* 42’ +100; 1* 44’ +120; 1* 49’ +250)
2* Michigan TT over 30' (+100)
2* Michigan State/Nebraska over 53'
2* Vandy/Bama over 55’
2* Miami/Florida State over 54'
2* Mississippi State +14
1* Clemson/UNC 1H under 23’ (-105)
1* Clemson TT under 30’
1* Maryland +6
1* FIU +10
1* Mississippi St TT over 20’ (-105)
1* Cal +3

2-10 -15u

53-43-1 +6.15 YTD

What a horrendous crash - man, I miss W3 and W4. Um, at least it's nice round numbers and easier to track? The only Ws were the cashed out play and Maryland. Not a whole lot to say/learn, a lot of them were just bad picks and never had a chance (FIU, Clemson/UNC plays, MSU TT). Maybe pressed it a bit with Irish as a max play esp given that I already expect to have a max play this week, but I was on it Monday morning and heard a lot of people smarter than me on it all week (maybe that was the real red flag). Oh well. Onto next week to get some of it back on Michigan/USC over.
 
BiffTFinancial said:
Week 6
5* Notre Dame TT over (3* 42’ +100; 1* 44’ +120; 1* 49’ +250)
2* Michigan TT over 30' (+100)
2* Michigan State/Nebraska over 53'
2* Vandy/Bama over 55’
2* Miami/Florida State over 54'
2* Mississippi State +14
1* Clemson/UNC 1H under 23’ (-105)
1* Clemson TT under 30’
1* Maryland +6
1* FIU +10
1* Mississippi St TT over 20’ (-105)
1* Cal +3

2-10 -15u

53-43-1 +6.15 YTD

What a horrendous crash - man, I miss W3 and W4. Um, at least it's nice round numbers and easier to track? The only Ws were the cashed out play and Maryland. Not a whole lot to say/learn, a lot of them were just bad picks and never had a chance (FIU, Clemson/UNC plays, MSU TT). Maybe pressed it a bit with Irish as a max play esp given that I already expect to have a max play this week, but I was on it Monday morning and heard a lot of people smarter than me on it all week (maybe that was the real red flag). Oh well. Onto next week to get some of it back on Michigan/USC over.
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I was very lucky I think to not be around with great internet connection.

Around 430 I could feel the weirdness tbh and mostly shelved it. I was tempted to be ND totals live, only did once thankfully.
 
B.A.R. said:
I was very lucky I think to not be around with great internet connection.

Around 430 I could feel the weirdness tbh and mostly shelved it. I was tempted to be ND totals live, only did once thankfully.
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Yeah, clearly not my day from the outset so if there's any saving grace, it's that I knew early on live betting to chase wasn't a good idea.
 
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