CFB W1 What did we learn?

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Rutgers: O looked solid early, OU didn’t stop them at all 1H (4 TDs, 1 FG), then they went into a shell 2H in part because their D couldn’t stop OU. Schiano and staff got outcoached, surprised they didn’t adjust better. They look like a potential over team if they don’t get the D addressed. Robb Smith and Zach Sparber are co-DCs and the program was very pleased to get Smith back from JMU. It’s game 1 so definitely more wait-and-see than panic. They have the players, they just played really undisciplined and got carved up by a MAC team.

Ohio: Man. I expected their D to struggle and their O to be solid. Well, their D really showed up 2H and their O was outstanding. The play calling was excellent (Smith keeping play-calling duties looks like a good decision) and so were Navarro and the skill positions. They ran for over 200 yards in Piscataway! WVU could be in trouble next week. At the very least, OU TT is on the list of leans.

Minnesota: Thank goodness PJ Fleck is coaching the Gophers rather than Schiano or Barry Odom because he held the ball for the final 9:45 when he could’ve easily scored (had Bulls +18’). As good as Buffalo’s D is, Gophers OL was able to dominate the 4Q. Also, Drake Lindsey in his first start pushed the ball downfield more than I’ve seen Gopher QBs do so in forever. The announcers pointed out multiple 3rd downs when old Minny would’ve gone underneath and instead allowed Lindsey to push it past the sticks. Significant departure from prior approach. I came away impressed with Gophers. Not challenge-for-#4-in-BIG impressed, but impressed. Hard to tell how good D is because Buffalo’s offense is so limited, but they did their job.

Buffalo: Very good D, limited O (Roberson doesn’t throw well between the hashes), well-coached. Could be good team for unders.

Wisconsin: Poor Billy Edwards. And poor Luke Fickell, but in a different way. No reason to expect Wisky to smash Miami here but it wasn’t impressive in the 1H when Edwards was in. Game 1 of new offense so can only judge so much but little reason of optimism. D looked solid but it was against Dequan Finn. If they don’t watch it they’ll compete for bottom 4 in the B1G.

Miami: Will be solid MAC team again despite all the turnover and Finn will determine how far they go. Difficult to judge O much when they only had the ball 20 minutes. D looks as if they’ll tough again.

Nebraska: O will have a much higher ceiling with Holgerson as OC and D remains strong despite turnover (note: they have some problems to address vs running QBs). Culturally, they have to learn to win close games first, and last night was a big one (and against a quality opponent).. Raoila is impressive. So far so good on Rhule Y3.

Cincy: Had +7 so wasn’t displeased by the Sorsby INT to avoid potential OT - a YOLO throw on a non-YOLO play. Cincy run game and D looked really strong. Passing game was bad. Caldwell and Walker both need more touches.
 
Coaching matters. Still does, Boise. Every team should have a GA(s) who monitors things like "Is that the right # that ran out there for punter?" Apparently Boise doesn't or has one who doesn't do it well. Turning point in that game last night when the "punter" (really backup QB) threw a 45-yard TD pass.

That was a terrible looking team all around and the play above was a microcosm of the ineptness.
 
Michigan State: OL tried a bunch of combinations (not really a good sign), looked solid getting push for the run game but allowed way too many pressures on Chiles. It was a serious problem. Hard to judge the D too much against WMU, but they made some nice 3rd and 4th down stops. Special teams had some nice plays on punt coverage (one setting them up for safety in 3Q) but their PK lack range, so I’d expect them to be going for 4th downs a lot more than most between the 25-35.

Western Michigan: D front 7 game MSU OL all kinds of problems against the pass; vulnerable against the run, need to see them against MAC opponent to gauge better. Rotated 2 QBs and definitely have none. Still, they played really hard all the way even though they could’ve packed it in down 23-0 early. They don’t have a PK with range either but that’s defensible in the MAC vs B1G.
 
Michigan State: OL tried a bunch of combinations (not really a good sign), looked solid getting push for the run game but allowed way too many pressures on Chiles. It was a serious problem. Hard to judge the D too much against WMU, but they made some nice 3rd and 4th down stops. Special teams had some nice plays on punt coverage (one setting them up for safety in 3Q) but their PK lack range, so I’d expect them to be going for 4th downs a lot more than most between the 25-35.

Western Michigan: D front 7 game MSU OL all kinds of problems against the pass; vulnerable against the run, need to see them against MAC opponent to gauge better. Rotated 2 QBs and definitely have none. Still, they played really hard all the way even though they could’ve packed it in down 23-0 early. They don’t have a PK with range either but that’s defensible in the MAC vs B1G.
Good stuff.

Big note about potential kicking issues pushing for more attempts on 4th.
 
Texas badly overrated. Forget the Arch stuff. Where is the gang of 5* talent running around on that field? They looked nothing like that LSU team, which looked physical and fast nearly everywhere.

LSU, has a legit NFL qb. Not many others can say that atm.

I know Clemson was ranked ahead of LSU
Ahead of South Carolina. I dont think they are better than either, well obviously not LSU. The bowl game vs Illinois is irrelevant when impact players take off the game and ur waiting a month to play.

FSU. Got some goon speed. Physical. Fast.

Bama, this is the 2nd season where they are now on the receiving end of an unusual shift....a couple teams being more physical than them. Punching them in the mouth.

We will see what my boys have 2morrow. I am expecting week 7 in baton rouge to be (2) 5-0 teams. Both physical.

This appears to be a sort of year where some unusual suspects can get involved in the party.

I think we see 2morrow, ND may be pretty good, big, and physcial.
 
Arch started the day as .21 contract for heisman. Clear and far away favorite. Nuss has now moved to the top.
 

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If you would have taken the mid-west BIG10 teams Under and the West coast BIG10 teams Over you would be 16-2.
Some things never change.


Wink's Michigan defense reminded me of his defense last year at this time. Hope it doesn't take eight games to find their stride again.
 
If you would have taken the mid-west BIG10 teams Under and the West coast BIG10 teams Over you would be 16-2.
Some things never change.



Wink's Michigan defense reminded me of his defense last year at this time. Hope it doesn't take eight games to find their stride again.
Should clarify that the Michigan game opened at 51.5 and closed at 49. So early number was Under winner. You could say 15-3.
 
- Coach Sanders clock management at the end of the GT game was Mack Brown-like abysmal.
- Boise looked like garbage.
- LSU and FSU were nasty. Alabama and the Horns were anything but.
- Coaches enamored with going for it on 4th, on their own end, remains weird.
- Manning? He'll be fine. One road start in his collegiate career and it was at Ohio State, with ridiculous hype and the weight of the state and more on his shoulders. I got my Master's in Texas Football Cynicism quite a few years ago. Still, I have very little concern about where Manning will be in November. I'm more concerned about his coaching.
- Finally, I like Lee Corso. We all do. Great sendoff. But I was nervous watching him on stage, at the 50 yard line in front of 110K people and millions more on television. That’s a lot for any heart to handle. Much less one of a 90 year-old. God bless him but thankfully he is retiring. A couple years too late.
 
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How much is size of big OL vs small DL mattering these days? Kansas State had 60 lb avg per bigger OL vs North Dakota DL. Didn't matter. Wazzou had big advantage over smaller Idaho front. Bowling Green vs Lafayette. I'm sure their are games that size and weight mismatches make a difference, but might be overblown
 
I learned Corso flies Southwest to Gameday. WTF?

BAJit was going to comp him flights in exchange for advertising, but they thought he'd screw up the commercials. Sorry, Corso is fine. When I used to like Gameday 15-20 years ago, I liked him.
 
And hats off to Iowa State for getting back to the states, re-acclimating, re-focusing and just drumming South Dakota. I don't care who you beat badly in that scenario, it's impressive. (See K-State).
 
LSU played yesterday? Just a reminder it’s one week. None of those teams are as bad as they looked or as good as they looked. Obviously, I would love for LSU to actually have a defense again but only time will tell.

My biggest takeaway or surprise I should say is how well Arnold for Auburn looked in that spot. Aranda usually schemes better. I underestimated how well Freeze would have his guys prepared. Best coach in the state of Alabama already?
 
How much is size of big OL vs small DL mattering these days? Kansas State had 60 lb avg per bigger OL vs North Dakota DL. Didn't matter. Wazzou had big advantage over smaller Idaho front. Bowling Green vs Lafayette. I'm sure their are games that size and weight mismatches make a difference, but might be overblown
Tulane vs Northwestern perfect example too
 
LSU played yesterday? Just a reminder it’s one week. None of those teams are as bad as they looked or as good as they looked. Obviously, I would love for LSU to actually have a defense again but only time will tell.

My biggest takeaway or surprise I should say is how well Arnold for Auburn looked in that spot. Aranda usually schemes better. I underestimated how well Freeze would have his guys prepared. Best coach in the state of Alabama already?
Arnold looked very comfortable running, but I thought he looked pretty mediocre passing the ball. But you're right about Freeze getting them ready. That pass defense would be a huge concern though
 
Arnold looked very comfortable running, but I thought he looked pretty mediocre passing the ball. But you're right about Freeze getting them ready. That pass defense would be a huge concern though
I’m way more concerned if I’m Baylor. That just looked like getting “out athleted” which is a dog that hasn’t hunted much.
 
- I'm higher on Michigan State than most, but I have a feeling that Bill O'Brien and staff will be licking their chops when they watch film of Sparty's OL vs WMU. Definitely will be looking at BC + points in W2.
- Can't overstate how much better and more physical Florida State looked than last year, and than Bama.
- Mario Cristobal continues to make bad in-game decisions when it comes to clock management, time-outs, etc. Didn't bite Miami last night but it will eventually (UF, FSU, LOU, SMU games all seem like good candidates for that).
 
I really like South Carolina. Talent laden and physical. Sellers can take games over. I wasn't too familiar with its edge rusher (Dylan Stewart) prior to yesterday. I am now. Damn, what a player. Yeah, a team to really watch.

I'm not a Cristobal fan but it's good for the sport when the Miami environment is back in play. And boy was that an environment last night. Just electric.
 
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Washington: Cautious high hopes for this team, but I did not like what I saw against Colorado State at all....some really sloppy play by the offense in the first half, including inexcusable mistakes coming out of timeouts.......both the O-line and D-line failed to really show domination over a team that they should have.....to me, the O-line looks soft overall.....it was an issue last year and "supposed" to have been cleaned up, but not sure there is improvement........that said, Coleman and Mohammed are a very good duo at RB and Boston is going to be a Sunday player at WR.........the defense was OK at times, but also really, really had some breakdowns...if they can't clean this up by league play, I think they will be lucky to get 7 wins.....they play UC Davis this week and then the Apple Cup after a bye week....will be super-interesting to see what they can bring to Pullman with tOSU on deck the following week at home.......

Washington State/Oregon State: Short and sweet.....I have Cal small (very small) and was kicking myself after 5 minutes......the impact of the P12 dissolution is starting to really show with both WSU and Oregon State......frankly, they both look to be really down from recent versions and I do not expect much at all from either this year....books seem to have similar feeling with Beavs laying a very short number to Fresno at home and the same for WSU against SDSU.......no real opinion on either of these, as they may be a touch of an overreaction to the week 1 snoozers from each........but JFC, the cougs barely got to 200 yards of offense against Idaho.....
 
Boise: I am not over-reacting to the game against USF....they actually looked really good early and ended up on the wrong end of a few huge momentum swinging plays.....things did snowball on them and the score was obviously very ugly......they were overpriced going into the game.....that said and you can call me crazy, but I think they win that game no less than 5 times out of 10.....could be dead wrong here and will keep an eye out on lines based on over-reaction
 
Boise: I am not over-reacting to the game against USF....they actually looked really good early and ended up on the wrong end of a few huge momentum swinging plays.....things did snowball on them and the score was obviously very ugly......they were overpriced going into the game.....that said and you can call me crazy, but I think they win that game no less than 5 times out of 10.....could be dead wrong here and will keep an eye out on lines based on over-reaction
You're absolutely right about how they looked early. I thought it warranted a 2h play and paid for it.
 
- I'm higher on Michigan State than most, but I have a feeling that Bill O'Brien and staff will be licking their chops when they watch film of Sparty's OL vs WMU. Definitely will be looking at BC + points in W2.
- Can't overstate how much better and more physical Florida State looked than last year, and than Bama.
- Mario Cristobal continues to make bad in-game decisions when it comes to clock management, time-outs, etc. Didn't bite Miami last night but it will eventually (UF, FSU, LOU, SMU games all seem like good candidates for that).

This is a huuuge revenge spot for Sparty this weekend. They've had this red panty date circled for a year. We'll see.
 
That was such an odd game last year in Chestnut Hill.

Right, it could have gone either way. Chiles killed Sparty with the 3 picks. I think he fares better this time around...and they don't have to deal with Castellanos this time around. IIRC, it was a rainy one?
 
Terps started a little slowly on offense, but 2q Malik Washington got his confidence going with some easy throws. He ended up having a nice game in first start 27/43 258 and 3 td. Terps spread the running back carries out between Williams (10), Ray (8), and Howard (8) but only rushed for 112 yds overall. Hard to tell much about line play in this game but it is a concern obviously moving into the meat of the schedule. D. Wingate had a very nice game on Def, w 10 tackles and an interception. MD had 6 interceptions for the game. Ydg was fairly even overall 380-354 MD.
 
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