CFB Bowl Week #3 Pick Pool Trends

Colin Wynner

Pretty much a regular
Every bowl week 3 game listed in the table below with the category to the far left. Categories - >=70% or more of the picks on the favorite = Lop-Sided; 52%-69.9% on Favorite = Favorite Majority; 50.1%-51.9% Even Action; >=50% on Dog = Public Dog

Bowl week 3 numbers:

Total Pool Entries: 1134 (Total of 6804 picks, each entry must pick 6 games)
CFB Picks: 3230 (47.5% of the overall picks)
Pick Majority Record Week-To-Date: 5-2; Total Picks: 601-594 (50.3%)

Full Year:
Lop-sided games: 0-4 last week, 165-175-3 overall
Public Dogs: 2-1/50-48-2

College Bowl Week 2: 2-7 on majority picks; overall picks 560-1166 for a percentage of 32.4%/Season Percentage: 49.3%

Pool lines freeze at 10AM on Thursday's, games played on Thursday-Monday are available; picks due at 6AM MDT on Saturday AM.

Game/Spread
Fav_Picks
Dog_Picks
FAV_Pct
DOG_Pct
Total Picks
CFB Rank
NOTE
Rutgers -2.5 over Miami3633
52.2%​
47.8%​
6916Even Action
Kansas State -3 over NC State5542
56.7%​
43.3%​
9714Favorite Majority
Arizona -2.5 over Oklahoma16383
66.3%​
33.7%​
2464Favorite Majority
Clemson -4.5 over Kentucky9553
64.2%​
35.8%​
14810Favorite Majority
Notre Dame -6.5 over Oregon State11760
66.1%​
33.9%​
1777Favorite Majority
Memphis +10.5 over Iowa State3858
39.6%​
60.4%​
9615Public Dog
Ohio State -3.5 over Missouri243119
67.1%​
32.9%​
3623Favorite Majority
Penn State -4.5 over Ole Miss129112
53.5%​
46.5%​
2415Favorite Majority
Auburn -6.5 over Maryland6856
54.8%​
45.2%​
12413Favorite Majority
Georgia -19 over Florida State14790
62.0%​
38.0%​
2376Favorite Majority
Wyoming -3.5 over Toledo12740
76.0%​
24.0%​
1678Lop-Sided Favorite
LSU -10 over Wisconsin11713
90.0%​
10.0%​
13012Lop-Sided Favorite
Tennessee -6.5 over Iowa9055
62.1%​
37.9%​
14511Favorite Majority
Oregon -17 over Liberty14618
89.0%​
11.0%​
1649Lop-Sided Favorite
Alabama +1.5 over Michigan207248
45.5%​
54.5%​
4551Public Dog
Washington +4 over Texas127245
34.1%​
65.9%​
3722Public Dog

Not a big surprise that the two CFP games are the most heavily played games but it is a mild surprise that both feature public dogs. Especially the UDUB play. I think it is too many points myself but I am shocked that the people in this pool sniffed that out as well. Thinking, and hoping, those two public dogs split Monday night - with the winners being Michigan and UDUB.

My this week:

NC State +3 - plenty of chances to win and cover
Oklahoma +2.5 - nice meltdown by the Sooners


Maryland +6.5
Michigan -1.5
UDUB +4

Good luck!
 
Here are the season long top 30 picks this week (58% or better):

Rutgers 5-0
NC State 2-0
Arizona 4-2
Clemson 5-4
Notre Dame 5-3
Memphis 3-1

Ohio State 9-0


So far - 21-22

The rest:

Penn State 2-1
Auburn 3-1
Georgia 4-1
Wyoming 4-1
LSU 3-0
Iowa 2-0
Oregon 2-1
Alabama 7-5
Washington 5-1
 
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