CFB Bowl Week #1 Pick Pool Trends

Colin Wynner

Pretty much a regular
Every game list in the table below with the category to the far left. Categories - >=70% or more of the picks on the favorite = Lop-Sided; 52%-69.9% on Favorite = Favorite Majority; 50.1%-51.9% Even Action; >=50% on Dog = Public Dog

Conference Championship numbers:

Entries: 1106 (Total of 6636 picks, each entry must pick 6 games)
CFB Picks: 1459 (22.0% of the overall picks)

Pool lines freeze at 10AM on Thursday's, games played on Thursday-Monday are available; picks due at 6AM MDT on Saturday AM.

Game/Spread
Fav_Picks
Dog_Picks
FAV_Pct
DOG_Pct
Total Picks
CFB Rank
NOTE
Georgia Southern -3.5 over Ohio9392
50.3%​
49.7%​
1856Even Action
Jacksonville St -2.5 over Louisiana19629
87.1%​
12.9%​
2253Lop-Sided Favorite
App State -6.5 over Miami Ohio115100
53.5%​
46.5%​
2154Favorite Majority
New Mexico State -3.5 over Fresno State18353
77.5%​
22.5%​
2362Lop-Sided Favorite
UCLA -4.5 over Boise State16086
65.0%​
35.0%​
2461Favorite Majority
Texas Tech -3 over California15937
81.1%​
18.9%​
1965Lop-Sided Favorite
Old Dominion -2.5 over Western Kentucky8769
55.8%​
44.2%​
1567Favorite Majority


The numbers are not overly surprising other than Ga Southern/Ohio but as of close of the pool, the pool line of -3.5 was down to -2.5 at most shops. Despite the lengthy list of opt-outs for Ohio, there is value on the Bobs.

The top 18 players in the season long (hitting 70%+ on the year) have these plays:

Ga. Southern 2 Ohio 2
Jacksonville State 3 Louisiana 0
New Mexico State 5 Fresno State 0
UCLA 3 Boise State 1
Texas Tech 3 Cal 0
ODU 6 WKY 0

My Plays in the pool:

New Mexico State -3.5 - they have finally beat me into submission and I am playing the Aggies; every year there are a few teams that are my kryptonite (TCU last year).
ODU -2.5

Good luck!
 
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