KC/Houston
this game for me comes down to two solid defensive squads and what the opposing offense can do vs them.
First things first Hali is playing very sparingly and has a club on his hand and Houston hasn't played in like 6 weeks so how effective can he possibly be? The KC defense has been opportunistic as hell during their 10 game win streak. I can remember on several instances where they basically won the game (Denver, Oakland, Baltimore). At this point in the season I find it hard to rely on capping turnovers in playoff games. KC has been out gained by several teams down the stretch and I see a bit of smoke and mirrors going on. If the Texans can take care of the ball they should be able to get points on the board.
No two ways about it, Houston's defense has been sick. They are flying off the ball and really getting after the QB. They also stuff the run. I think in front of a home crowd and on a fast field they are going to give the Chiefs offense all kinds of problems. They are number three in overall defense YPG. If they take away the run the Chiefs will be in big trouble.
Another thing I like to look at in playoff games is which team has the best players on the field offensively and defensively. Big time players make big time plays in big time games. The Texans have that player on both sides of the ball. Watt and Hopkins have the ability to take the team on their backs and get this win.