Ccon the Contrarian
Active Member
Thanks for the nice welcome last week. It helps when my plays win though haha. Hers one im on today. I'll be back to post a few more of my later games as well. GL
CCons NCAAF Play 9.26.15
BYU +7 at Michigan
BYU has looked impressive so far this season despite losing their first game of the season to UCLA last week, a game they were in control of from the beginning. While Michigan has bounced back vs sub-par competition in their last two games after losing to Utah in the opener. BYU, usually stout against the run was gashed by UCLA for 296 yards on the ground, which will be a key to the outcome of this one as the Wolverines lone offensive spark has come on the ground. Despite having a former Quarterback as a head coach Jake Rudock has struggled this season throwing 5 interceptions. That could be another area of concern for Michigan as BYU has forced 7 turnovers on the young season. Some key points that make this game interesting to is the fact the BYU had to play a late night game vs UCLA last week on the west coast, with a start time of 7:30pst. Now they will travel east and kickoff at 9:00am pst. That's a big swing and we'll if the Cougars are sleep walking to start this game. In addition, the Cougars defense was able to force (or receive- due to poor reads) key turnovers vs UCLA despite getting dominated for most of the game. If Michigan is able to keep their drives alive without turning the ball over in the redzone, they could capitalize on the BYU's defensive whoa's.
Vegas Impact: This will be the most bet game of the early slotted games. The line opened at Michigan -5 to the surprise of many. Then surged past -6 and now sits at -6.5 and -7 at some shops. Lets note that 5 and 5.5 are dead numbers, meaning it doesn't take much money to move the line to -6 but to 6.5 and especially 7 is big. Its unclear which shops took this Michigan action but most are still seeing BYU money come in at a 2:1 clip especially shops that moved it to 7. Some sharp shops don't have a huge liability on this game but most square ones do and their need is Michigan. Hate to be on this play with the wrong number but I see this as a value trap for BYU backers.
Michigan -7 is my play.
CCons NCAAF Play 9.26.15
BYU +7 at Michigan
BYU has looked impressive so far this season despite losing their first game of the season to UCLA last week, a game they were in control of from the beginning. While Michigan has bounced back vs sub-par competition in their last two games after losing to Utah in the opener. BYU, usually stout against the run was gashed by UCLA for 296 yards on the ground, which will be a key to the outcome of this one as the Wolverines lone offensive spark has come on the ground. Despite having a former Quarterback as a head coach Jake Rudock has struggled this season throwing 5 interceptions. That could be another area of concern for Michigan as BYU has forced 7 turnovers on the young season. Some key points that make this game interesting to is the fact the BYU had to play a late night game vs UCLA last week on the west coast, with a start time of 7:30pst. Now they will travel east and kickoff at 9:00am pst. That's a big swing and we'll if the Cougars are sleep walking to start this game. In addition, the Cougars defense was able to force (or receive- due to poor reads) key turnovers vs UCLA despite getting dominated for most of the game. If Michigan is able to keep their drives alive without turning the ball over in the redzone, they could capitalize on the BYU's defensive whoa's.
Vegas Impact: This will be the most bet game of the early slotted games. The line opened at Michigan -5 to the surprise of many. Then surged past -6 and now sits at -6.5 and -7 at some shops. Lets note that 5 and 5.5 are dead numbers, meaning it doesn't take much money to move the line to -6 but to 6.5 and especially 7 is big. Its unclear which shops took this Michigan action but most are still seeing BYU money come in at a 2:1 clip especially shops that moved it to 7. Some sharp shops don't have a huge liability on this game but most square ones do and their need is Michigan. Hate to be on this play with the wrong number but I see this as a value trap for BYU backers.
Michigan -7 is my play.
