Carolinablue Week 6 CFB Plays

[carolinablue]

Week 5 --> 13-10 +0.868 units
YTD 67-57-2 +1.178 units

Third consecutive winning week...Getting tired of using the good 'ol JR bowling shoe ugly analogy, but I gotta call em like I see em. These last few weeks haven't been pretty, but profit is profit, so let's keep it rollin' in Week 6!

Week 6 Plays

Friday
7pm Nebraska -2.5 115 BOL
10pm Nevada -3 120 BOL
10:30pm UNLV +7.5 128 BOL

Saturday
12pm Texas -4 136 MB
12:30pm Pitt -13.5 129 BM
1pm Morgan State -3 125 BOL
2pm GSU/GSU O64.5 125 MB

3:30pm Texas Tech/Ok State O63 125 MB
3:30pm Northwestern +9.5 115 BOL
3:30pm Georgia -27.5 127 BM
3:30pm Ball State +10 124 BM
3:30pm Ball State +10 128 BM
3:30pm Ball State +10 132 BOL
3:30pm MTSU +10.5 130 BOL

4pm UNC +6 131 MB
4pm UNC TT O30.5 118 MB
4:30pm Notre Dame -2.5 130 BM

7pm Southern Miss/Troy O43 120 BOL
7pm JMU -9.5 150 BOL
7pm Florida -9.5 124 BM
7:30pm Wake Forest -16 110 BOL
8pm Coastal/ULM O59 110 MB

 

[carolinablue]

Nebraska -2.5 115 BOL

 

[carolinablue]

Want Nevada but hoping to get a juiced 2.5 whenever BM or MB come out later

 

[carolinablue]

Also like Pitt but hoping to get juiced 13.5

 

[carolinablue]

Tried to hit UNC 3.5 but it moved to 3 so gonna wait a bit...Total too high at 68, was hoping for 64

 

[carolinablue]

KU/TCU total too high at 68, same thoughts as UNC one

 

[carolinablue]

Tried to submit UF at 9.5 and got "line is not available" and then it was off the board

 

[carolinablue]

It is now back up at 10 115, so gonna hold off

 

[carolinablue]

Tight lines this week

 

[carolinablue]

Wake -16 110

 

[CPA-hole]

Want Nevada but hoping to get a juiced 2.5 whenever BM or MB come out later

You know Nevada has had this game circled.

 

[carolinablue]

WKU total too high at 71.5...was hoping for 68

 

[Yanks27Sox9]

Tight lines this week

Yep
Too tight for me to do this half assed away from home.
Happy hunting though CB

 

[carolinablue]

Yep
Too tight for me to do this half assed away from home.
Happy hunting though CB

Gonna wait and see what BM and MB come out with as I am not seeing much at BOL

 

[He Hate Me]

BM is out

 

[carolinablue]

Nevada -3 120 BOL - BM and MB both showing worse so gonna lock this one now

 

[carolinablue]

UNC TT O30.5 118 MB

 

[carolinablue]

UNC +6 131 MB

 

[carolinablue]

Pitt -13.5 129 BM

 

[carolinablue]

Florida -9.5 124 BM

 

[carolinablue]

Notre Dame -2.5 130 BM

 

[carolinablue]

Coastal/ULM O59 110 MB

 

[carolinablue]

Texas -4 136 MB - this one got away from me so paying more than normal to get the 4

 

[carolinablue]

Georgia -27.5 127 BM - missed the 27.5 earlier as I had to step out for a bit

 

[carolinablue]

Northwestern +9.5 115 BOL

 

[carolinablue]

NW line is 8 elsewhere, so just a value play with that line

 

[carolinablue]

SOURCE: Paul Chryst is out as #Wisconsin coach. Jim Leonhard will be the team's interim coach. Announcement will be coming shortly.

— Adam Rittenberg (@ESPNRittenberg) October 2, 2022

 

[carolinablue]

The NW play is purely a situational one like my Oklahoma/Nebraska play a few weeks back

 

[carolinablue]

Texas Tech/Okie State O63 125 MB

 

[carolinablue]

Ga So/Ga State O64.5 125 MB

 

[carolinablue]

Card so far...

Friday
7pm Nebraska -2.5 115 BOL
10pm Nevada -3 120 BOL

Saturday
12pm Texas -4 136 MB
12:30pm Pitt -13.5 129 BM
2pm GSU/GSU O64.5 125 MB

3:30pm Texas Tech/Ok State O63 125 MB
3:30pm Northwestern +9.5 115 BOL
3:30pm Georgia -27.5 127 BM
4pm UNC +6 131 MB
4pm UNC TT O30.5 118 MB
4:30pm Notre Dame -2.5 130 BM

7pm Florida -9.5 124 BM
7:30pm Wake Forest -16 110 BOL
8pm Coastal/ULM O59 110 MB

 

[carolinablue]

Keeping an eye on JMU as I like them under 10
Also like App but don't think I will get the 17 I want

Alabama 1Q and 1H always a consideration but will probably miss out on opening numbers on those so may be a pass

 

[carolinablue]

Ball State also on the radar screen if the line goes up...similar to my Ohio play in Week 5

 

[carolinablue]

Going to check out the FCS schedule now to see if anything looks interesting

 

[carolinablue]

Depending on the lines, the following FCS plays may be of interest...

Columbia
Morgan State
Samford
Holy Cross


That should cover it for now. Best of luck in Week 6 guys!

 

[Yanks27Sox9]

:cheers3:

i'm on your boys and the canes putting up another in the high 80s for 3rd time in a row. hopefully they used the byw week to fix some stuff, lol.

 

[carolinablue]

:cheers3:

i'm on your boys and the canes putting up another in the high 80s for 3rd time in a row. hopefully they used the byw week to fix some stuff, lol.

Yeah could definitely see that but I don’t wanna have to root for Miami points so just gonna continue my strategy of UNC TT over instead. Best of luck this week man!

 

[KJ]

Vegas is a rare neutral where Notre Dame will not have a home crowd

Love the over on the fast track regardless

Nebraska off the win eh? Gonna need to dig deep into that one

 

[carolinablue]

Ball State +10 124 - wouldn't be shocked if they won SU

 

[carolinablue]

MTSU and JMU will probably both be plays as long as the lines move the way I hope. Outside of those 2, FBS will be all done for the week.

 

[carolinablue]

Vegas is a rare neutral where Notre Dame will not have a home crowd

Love the over on the fast track regardless

Nebraska off the win eh? Gonna need to dig deep into that one

Counting on some Shamrock Series magic....just kidding, I know that's not a thing...even though they are undefeated since they started playing these games

 

[KJ]

That leprechaun at O'Shea's was the shit, buddy got up on the bar and danced with him

 

[carolinablue]

That leprechaun at O'Shea's was the shit, buddy got up on the bar and danced with him

View attachment 68999

Thought that was Hornswoggle for a sec

 

[bookieassassin]

hey man, some FCS analytics !

From that Rob Bowron (Sharp College Football)

FCS Beta_Rank | Sharp CFB

It's his 1st week doing FCS, so not perfect (Mercer #1) - but very thorough/detailed and a better resource than using just Sagarin or Massey for sure...... :shake:

I use his FBS all the time - head to head is solid - takes a minute to figure out how to use it

 

[carolinablue]

hey man, some FCS analytics !

From that Rob Bowron (Sharp College Football)

FCS Beta_Rank | Sharp CFB

It's his 1st week doing FCS, so not perfect (Mercer #1) - but very thorough/detailed and a better resource than using just Sagarin or Massey for sure...... :shake:

I use his FBS all the time - head to head is solid - takes a minute to figure out how to use it

Appreciate you taking the time to drop this into the thread, great stuff man!

 

[carolinablue]

Ok, you guys can file this one under "never enter plays late at night while half awake", as I mistakenly now have 3 units on Ball State at +10, as I doubled up a bet at BM by mistake and then added one at BOL on top of that. I'm an idiot. Let's go Cardinals!

Added
Ball State +10 124 BM
Ball State +10 128 BM
Ball State +10 132 BOL

 

[carolinablue]

Added
MTSU +10.5 130 BOL
JMU -9.5 150 BOL - waited too long

 

[lvmike32]

Ok, you guys can file this one under "never enter plays late at night while half awake", as I mistakenly now have 3 units on Ball State at +10, as I doubled up a bet at BM by mistake and then added one at BOL on top of that. I'm an idiot. Let's go Cardinals!

Added
Ball State +10 124 BM
Ball State +10 128 BM
Ball State +10 132 BOL

down to 7.5 at BOL - not a great middle opp. but at least you can hedge off some if you want.

 

[number2]

down to 7.5 at BOL - not a great middle opp. but at least you can hedge off some if you want.

Great idea……@carolinablue…..you moving lines with top unit plays!!!!!!

 

[carolinablue]

down to 7.5 at BOL - not a great middle opp. but at least you can hedge off some if you want.

Yeah at least it hasn’t moved against me. Maybe I will do something if it hits 6.5 but for now I will just be content with the stupid tax. Of course if it hits…