Carolinablue Week 13 Plays

carolinablue

carolinablue

College Football Guru
Week 12 was brutal to say the least. The less said about it the better as I am still trying to figure out how I lost that ULL -16.5 play, but hey weeks like that happens. That's when I am thankful for strict discipline and money management as like I always say, I treat this like a long term mutual fund investment not like day trading. Time to move on...

Week 12 4-9 -6.12 units
Year to Date 79-77-3

Happy Survivor Series Sunday everyone!

Week 13 Plays
EMU -9.5 110
Buffalo -13 110 - offset my BOL play at -17 w/ a BGSU play +14 (ate the juice) once BM came out at 13
Florida -3 115
Arky State -13.5 110
Ga Southern -11 110
Miss State -8.5 110
ULL +4.5 116
Kentucky-16.5 122
Notre Dame -9.5 110
NMSU/Liberty Over 73.5 110
UNC/State Over 62 117
Alabama/Auburn Over 51.5 120

Small FCS Playoff Plays
Montana State -10 110
Delaware +17.5 110
 
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Just saw Clemson -20 vs Pitt posted on BOL for the ACC Championship Game here in Charlotte on 12/1. Anyone have any thoughts? At first glance, line doesn't jump out to me either way, but if I had to lean, I would say Tigers at under 3 TDs. What do you guys think?
 
You’d have to think with playoffs on the line, Clemson balls out. They will have over a month to get healthy again. Only worry would be health of the players. Bitter rivalry game this weekend could lead to some injuries. Otherwise, under 3 seems very doable. Clemson has hung some numbers this year.
 
booksbestfriend said:
You’d have to think with playoffs on the line, Clemson balls out. They will have over a month to get healthy again. Only worry would be health of the players. Bitter rivalry game this weekend could lead to some injuries. Otherwise, under 3 seems very doable. Clemson has hung some numbers this year.
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Line has jumped to 123 juice so still a pass for me at this point. Still waiting on Week 13 lines to come out at BOL as they are a little later than normal this week.
 
Decided to put a couple small plays in on some FCS action at BOL...


Delaware VS James Madison
Delaware+17½-110Risk 110.00 To Win 100.00
Incarnate Word VS Montana State
State-10-110Risk 110.00 To Win 100.00
 
B.A.R. said:
Very well done. Have a great weekend Stella.
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Thanks man. That EMU one was painful as they had the FG at the end but took the points off the board after the penalty so lost out on my 9.5 in that one, but hey that's part of the game we play. Always easier to magnify the negative bad ones like that and forget about all the breaks we get along the way haha.
 
M.W. said:
I'm with you on those, but I'd throw in UGA, Clemson, and Alabama in what looks like a big weekend for the faves.
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I hear you on the other 3, I just don't like laying those points in rivalry games where the fav just needs to get out of there with a win and they are all set. No reason to risk injury or anything crazy happening as no one will care if all 3 of those teams only win by a point this weekend, so not gonna risk the big DDs in each one, but could see it happening, just no value for me. Best of luck this weekend man!
 
carolinablue said:
offset of Buff play with a BGSU play once Buffalo -13 110 came out at BM
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Should have stuck with my 2 initial plays at 17 and 13 but talked myself off of one of em, so only cleared 1 unit instead of 2. Having a mediocre season to date will do that to ya, as you start to overthink things too much haha
 
What the heck, toosed another 50 on Montana State at +110.


Incarnate Word VS Montana State
State-9½+110Risk 50.00 To Win 55.00
 
carolinablue said:
Word is that Fedora is done either way but we shall see.
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I liked the hire at the time (probably because he made me a lot of money at his former school) but it didn't work out. I think UNC football is at its best when it focuses on the defensive side.
 
RetroVK said:
I liked the hire at the time (probably because he made me a lot of money at his former school) but it didn't work out. I think UNC football is at its best when it focuses on the defensive side.
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14.5 million buyout is the issue although I am sure that will be negotiated on both sides as I am pretty sure he doesn’t want to sit 4 years collecting cash as he would probably want to get back out there after a year or two in order to prove that this was an anomaly.
 
Always nice to have a week where things just seem to fall into place like I actually know what I am doing....

Week 13 11-4-1 +6.27 Units

Back on the positive side after a crazy up and down season

Year to Date 90-81-4 +0.863 Units
 
RetroVK said:
Nice job Carolinablue. Saw that card really well.
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Thanks man! Your ability to consistently churn out profit week after week while also providing valuable insight each week in your threads is a great example of what this site is about and is greatly appreciated by many, myself included.
 
CHAPEL HILL, N.C. -- The consensus from multiple sources within the Kenan Football Center is that a head coaching change will be made following UNC’s loss to N.C. State on Saturday, ending Larry Fedora's seven-year tenure at the helm.

Fedora agreed to a seven-year contract extension through 2022 prior to UNC’s ACC Championship Game appearance in 2015 that included a hefty buyout equal to the total amount of his remaining salary and supplemental compensation payments. His current buyout is roughly $12.4 million.
The liquidated damages are due on the last day of each subsequent contract year (Jan. 15) and will be reduced by any compensation received if Fedora takes a new coaching job at the college or pro level or if he works as a commentator for any national sports media outlet.
 
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