Carolinablue Week 10 Plays and Discussion

carolinablue

carolinablue

College Football Guru
Whew is all I can say after week 9, as I feel extremely lucky to have pulled out a profitable week at 3-2-1 when there were landmines all over the place this past weekend, as evidenced by some of the tough final week 9 records experienced across the board.

Quick recap of week 9...

Kansas PK - By far my worst play of the year, no excuses at all, just a bad call on my part and no amount of rationalization can change this fact.

Nebraska -9.5 - The Huskers made some solid adjustments at halftime to somewhat contain Griffin after the break, but I still feel lucky to have won this one, as they just didn't come out with the intensity I expected and Baylor probably deserved to win this one SU.

Nevada -2.5 - The Wolfpack just never seemed to get a rhythm in this one and honestly I never really felt like I had a shot at the cover after the 2 early fumbles leading to Hawaii scores. Nevada made it interesting in the end, but they were just too inconsistent here, so I think this one was a bad call as there were much better plays that I left on the table.

ULM +1 - Tough one to swallow as ULM was up 21-0 but I still ended up with a push. Jumped too early on this line as most probably got +2 or +2.5, so hope I was able to help some of you out with the play.

PSU -1 - Feel really good about this one as PSU stepped up when it counted, which is what the good teams do. A lot of guys I respected were on the other side, so I was glad I stuck to my guns and didn't waver even when I saw more and more people on OSU. PSU is for real.

MTSU +14 - Have to admit I was surprised that MSU put up 31, but MTSU hung in there and was scrappy throughout to get the cover with a late TD. Didn't play out exactly as I figured, but when you are getting 14, all you want is a competitive game and this was definitely that. Another sunbelt special cashes, so not sure why I don't just stick to playing these instead of messing around with everything else!


Home Favs 1-1 (Overall 12-9)
Road Favs 1-1 (Overall 20-14)
Road Dogs 1-0 (Overall 10-6)
Home Dogs 0-0-1 (can you believe my first home dog was a push haha)


43-33-1 on the season. Gonna be even more conservative from this point forward as I will be making my second reduction in unit size (1st was after my profit bank withdrawal) beginning in week 10. Just want to make sure I get that 2nd profit check prior to bowl season with plenty of money still left in the tank heading into December. Tread lightly guys, lines are getting tighter every week it seems.
 
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Congrats to your Heels this weekend CB. I grinded out a pretty nice weekend doing well on the late games. I got sucked in on Kansas early too, but didn't post it.

Looking ahead to next week, I see an ugly ugly card and will be treading lightly. One that has my eye already though is to look hard at an UNDER in the Navy/Temple game. Owl's run defense should be able to corral the mids and Temple's offense is shit..

Also if we get a high total in the Cocktail party based on yesterday's high scores in the SEC games, I'll be looking closely at that UNDER as well.
 
scdoggy said:
Congrats to your Heels this weekend CB. I grinded out a pretty nice weekend doing well on the late games. I got sucked in on Kansas early too, but didn't post it.

Looking ahead to next week, I see an ugly ugly card and will be treading lightly. One that has my eye already though is to look hard at an UNDER in the Navy/Temple game. Owl's run defense should be able to corral the mids and Temple's offense is shit..

Also if we get a high total in the Cocktail party based on yesterday's high scores in the SEC games, I'll be looking closely at that UNDER as well.
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I suck so bad at totals (1-4 YTD) that I have vowed to not play them again the rest of the year, as I just can't seem to get a read on em for some reason. With all that said, I am really tempted to just play the overs in Lubbock and El Paso and just see what happens, but not sure if I want to risk it as the numbers are sure to be high in both matchups. Best of luck this week.
 
Not really liking many of the matchups this week, so as of right now, it appears as though my card will come from the following, depending on the lines of course...

Stanford
USC
OU
Okie State
Tulsa
Texas
North Texas
Arkie State
ULL

If none of the lines are favorable, might just play the overs in the UT/TT and Rice/UTEP matchups and call it a day as both have a shot at sailing over the total even if it they are inflated to some degree, as I expect both will be.
 
YesSir said:
Good idea with the unit reduction...

Ready for BBall yet?

BOL this week
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Can't wait for cbb to begin, counting the days as we speak.

With regard to unit reduction, typically I start the season with my unit size pretty large as my style of play focuses on large favs and under the radar, and those usually hit at a solid clip for me the first few weeks of the season.

Once I am able to guarantee a pre-determined % of profit above and beyond my initial bankroll, I always bank the cash and drop my unit size, whether I am on a roll or not, as I want to focus on locking in on the set goals and not get too greedy.

I admit it sometimes hurts as I may leave additional cash on the table b/c my unit size may drop by 1/2, but in the long run, it keeps me disciplined and focused on the profit goals I set up before the season even get started, so that I don't get caught up in the emotion of things, which can easily happen once the season gets underway.

At this point, my unit size will be only a fraction of where I started, but this allows me to again stay focused and whether the storms that always seem to occur for me midway through the season once the lines tighten up and conference play gets in full swing. Not the sexiest way to do business, I will admit, but definitely has helped me bank a sizable profit year in and year out over the past few years.

Good to see ya in the thread and I am sure we will definitely be talking once cbb gets underway.
 
A little more conservative than usual this week with the juice, as I am gunshy after my piss poor performances the last few weeks. All plays at 120, no need for lectures, I know it is stupid, amateurish, etc etc haha thanks. Just need to get the mental side of things back on track after losing 2 of the last 3 weeks after the profit withdrawal, as I can't seem to get my focus back in order.

KENT +10 120
OREGON STATE -9.5 120
NORTH TEXAS +17.5 120 (sunbelt special)


(Greek line error)
Football - UL Lafayette - spread +6 (-110)
for the entire game held on Nov 1 at 4:00pm [pending]
 
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Good lines - were those the Greek openers? Would have been nice to get 10 and 17.5.

BOL this week CB.
 
Dmoney416 said:
Good lines - were those the Greek openers? Would have been nice to get 10 and 17.5.

BOL this week CB.
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haha, no took em all at 120, because I am a little gun shy after the shaky performance over the last 3 weeks. Just trying to lock in the rest of my plays before I clean up the thread. Will format everything in a sec. Kent was 10 120, NT was 17.5 120, Ore State was 9.5 120.
 
Oregon State already up 2 points to 12 110. Nice early grab there.

ULL been at +6 over at the greek for almost 30mins now for anyone who is interested haha.
 
Topline thoughts...

Why Kent?

BGSU has been having trouble with teams that have been able to establish a running game, and I look for Kent to pound the ball on the ground with Eugene Jarvis and Julian Edelman, who combined for five touchdowns and 263 yards rushing against Miami of Ohio. BGSU has been inconsistent this year, and they could very easily lose this game SU, as I just don't see them worthy of being more than a TD favorite against anyone in the MAC at this point in the season.
 
Why Oregon State?

Arizona State is in a free fall, having dropped 5 in a row, and I don't see their fortunes changing as they have to go back on the road against an Oregon State team that will be able to take advantage of the Sun Devils inability to stop anyone on the ground. Another play on a team that can run the ball against a team that can't seem to stop the run.
 
Why North Texas?

North Texas has a huge issue with teams that are able to air it out, as their secondary is pathetic at worst and piss poor at best. They aren't getting blown out of the water as much recently by those teams that focus on moving the ball on the ground, like WKU, so I look for this to be the best shot North Texas has of winning a game all year. This is kinda similar to FIU vs NT last year, but with NT playing the FIU role and WKU in the NT role. Western Kentucky doesn't have a high powered offense, so I just don't think they should be DD favs to anyone at this point, especially a team that has the ability to put up points like NT does. Should be a fun one to watch, and you know I will be watching it somehow online if I can't get it on tv!
 
The greek finally cancelled my ULL play as expected. I sent them a note letting them know about all the line errors this year, but don't expect a response. Just wanted to vent a little that's all.

Gonna watch the Tulsa game and then round out the card once the totals are released later this week, as I don't see any other spreads that I like other than Navy, but only if it comes back down to 7 or less.



Dear Customer,


This is to inform you that your wager taken on UL Lafayette +6 has been deleted. Reason for the deletion UL Lafayette should have been -6 .


The Greek Sportsbook reserves the right to refuse or limit any wager. This may include, but not limited to past-posted plays, obvious line errors, or exceeded bet limit amounts.

Sorry for any inconvenience this may have caused.

Best Regards,
Swayna
 
this happened with me on the southern miss game as well CB; I got the same note on both games...I actually got two notes. Not pissed...I expected it...and they cover their ass in their bylaws or whatever.

Nice work getting kent st at +10; got'em at +9 and think it's very solid.
 
GL this week CB. A comment on the Greek, where I have an account also. Sometimes I think these guys are shoe cobblers instead of bookmakers. For a big book they are absolutely the worst out for baseball I have ever seen. They have 20 cent lines and are too big of pussies to even post the 1st 5 inning sides, totals, runlines. 5 Dimes much better for baseball overall and I will not even bother with the Greek for the bases. One other thing I have noticed though about them that is favorable regarding the football is that they are often the last to move their lines when a game is moving across the board everywhere else, thus sometimes providing value if you like the side that is moving.
 
Only took me 10 weeks, but looks like I finally got this whole early line thing figured out haha.

Kent down to 6.5 110
Oregon State up to 14.5 110
 
Strong lean to ULM this week at home vs the Trojans, as they are getting solid value with 10 at home in what is one of the biggest games of the year for them in what has been a highly disappointing season to date. Gonna wait and see before I lock it in though, as I think Troy will be a popular play this week, and I expect the line to hit 10.5 110 before it hits 9.5 110, but we'll see.
 
TROY -- Troy's best player and a backup quarterback are the latest in a slew of injuries to hit the Trojans.

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Receiver Jerrel Jernigan is questionable for this week's game at Louisiana-Monroe, and No. 2 quarterback Tanner Jones is out for the season with knee injuries sustained in last weekend's win at North Texas.
Jernigan was hurt late in the first half, and Jones went down early in the third quarter of Troy's 45-17 victory.

They're just the latest high-profile Trojans to suffer injuries. Troy lost its top quarterback and most experienced defensive lineman earlier this season.
"This is probably the worst string of injuries since I've been here," offensive lineman Chris Jamison said. "It's just bad luck, and it happens. We need to keep going."
Jernigan is questionable for Saturday's game at Louisiana-Monroe, though he said he expects to play. He said an MRI revealed a bruised right knee.

Jernigan had a season-high nine catches for 123 yards, including a 6-yard touchdown, before his injury. The sophomore is a threat running or throwing the ball and leads the Trojans (5-2, 4-0 Sun Belt) in all-purpose yards.

"It's no secret -- that sucker is our best player," coach Larry Blakeney said. "If he has the ball in his hands, there's a good chance Troy is fixing to score. For him to get dinged up, it certainly knocks a pretty good hole in your production. Somebody has to step into that role."
Senior Gerald Tate is expected to start in Jernigan's place this weekend, while the Trojans will tap another receiver to play quarterback.

Sophomore Jonathan Chandler, who moved from quarterback to receiver this spring, is back under center. Chandler was the first eliminated in the spring from a four-way battle to be Troy's top quarterback.
Levi Brown, Troy's starter after Jamie Hampton's knee injury, and Chandler are the only ones still standing.

"If somebody goes down, somebody has to step up," running back DuJuan Harris said. "We have to try to stay healthy the rest of the season. It's just going to get tougher. We have to stay healthy, work hard and finish the season strong."
Offensive coordinator Neal Brown said Chandler will compete with freshman Dantavious Parker to be Brown's primary backup. The Trojans likely will use all three at some point.

"It's not signed, sealed and delivered that Parker is the backup," Neal Brown said. "We'll see how it goes. Chandler and Parker will split the reps. We'll try to get them both ready."
Jones went down on his first snap Saturday. He threw a lateral to Chandler, who faked a run before raring back and throwing a pass to Jones. Jones was pushed out of bounds at the North Texas 1-yard-line after a 48-yard gain.
Jones ran off the field and Brown returned to complete a touchdown drive. Jones later attributed his run to "adrenaline."

"You know it's unlucky when Tanner gets one play and tears something in his knee," Brown said. "That's about as unfortunate as it gets."
 
ULM's biggest issue is their inability to defend the pass, as only North Texas is worse in this area, but with Levi Jones in there as part of a 3 man QB rotation, ULM may have a better chance in this one. If they can establish the run, not put the ball on the ground, keep from giving up the big plays, and get some play action set up early to keep Troy on their heels, I would not be surprised if they win this one SU. Again, just a strong lean at this point, but 10 points is a lot for Troy to be laying on the road against a team that has clearly underachieved, but could still make an argument for being in the top half on the sunbelt in terms of talent.
 
Wofford vs App State Info


Wofford coach Mike Ayers is taking his team to the mountain this week.
The Terriers will climb 3,300 feet into the Blue Ridge Mountains to take on Appalachian State in a special Friday night game being shown nationally on ESPN2. But Ayers said Wofford has an even bigger mountain to climb -- beating the three-time defending champions at their home for only the second time in the Mountaineers' last 39 games.

"If you're in this business, you want games to mean something. You want games to be big games," Ayers said. "Last week was a big game, and this week it's even bigger. We'll get ready and come to the mountain and see what happens."

In Boone, N.C., Wofford (6-1, 4-0 Southern Conference) will again try to tilt power in the SoCon away from Appalachian State (6-2, 4-0).

Last season, the Terriers broke the Mountaineers' 17-game winning streak with a 42-31 victory just three weeks after Appalachian State shocked the college football world by beating Michigan. Wofford went on to share the SoCon title with the Mountaineers and got the league's automatic bid to the FCS playoffs.

Wofford's offense is even more powerful this season, averaging 45 points and 513 yards a game against FCS teams. The Terriers option attack is still churning up yards on the ground, but senior quarterback Ben Widmyer is adding another dimension with an efficient passing game that averages better than 11 yards the 12 or so times a game he throws the ball.

"People are struggling to try to stop us. They load the box up and that gives us opportunities to have big plays in the throwing game," Ayers said.

Appalachian State's offense should be better Friday, too. Quarterback Armanti Edwards is healthy this year after missing most of the second half of last year's loss to Wofford with a shoulder injury. The junior also is the Mountaineers' leading rusher.

"Armanti is as good as probably any quarterback who has ever played on this level. He is a difference maker. He is a guy who scares you every time he has the football in his hands," Ayers said.
 
More App State vs Wofford News

COMPILED BY TOMMY BOWMAN
Published: October 29, 2008
■ Friday night's game between Appalachian State and Wofford will be the latest playing date for two teams with unbeaten Southern Conference records since Nov. 9, 1996, when Marshall topped East Tennessee State 34-10.

Appalachian, ranked No. 2 in the national FCS polls, and Wofford, ranked as high as No. 3, are 4-0 in SoCon play and the only unbeaten teams left in league play.
Kickoff will be at 8 p.m. at Kidd Brewer Stadium in Boone, and the game will be televised by ESPN2. The game is essentially sold out, with only student tickets remaining to be distributed.

Quarterback Armanti Edwards said that Appalachian always tries to approach SoCon games with the same mindset, but that Friday's game has taken on special importance.

"We live for all the games, but I put this one at the top of the list," Edwards said. "We're both undefeated. It's a night game, we're playing on ESPN2. So everybody is getting excited and pumped about this one."

Both teams also are coming off big victories. Appalachian toppled Furman, which had just one conference loss, 26-14 last Saturday. Wofford handed Elon its first loss, winning 55-20.

"If you're in this business, you want games to mean something," said Coach Mike Ayers of Wofford, whose team defeated ASU 49-32 last season and finished tied with the Mountaineers for first place. "You want games to be big games. Last week was a big game, and this week it's even bigger."

■ Eric Breitenstein, a freshman fullback at Wofford, will make his return to Boone on Friday.

Breitenstein rushed for 6,151 yards as an all-state player at Watauga High and has seen significant playing time for the Terriers this season. He missed two games while nursing a hamstring injury but scored a touchdown in the win over Elon. He has rushed for 167 yards on 28 carries in Wofford's Wingbone attack.

"I think he's done really well, coming in as a freshman and learning the system," Ayers said. "Our system, to a certain extent, there's a lot of nuances that go with it, and sometimes it can kind of overload a young player. But he came from a great program, and I think he's a guy that just has natural football instincts.

"There are a lot of smart guys that sometimes don't get football. He's a guy that gets it. He's a talented guy who runs well, has excellent feet and has an awareness of what's going to happen pre-snap if he gets the football."

■ Devin Radford, making his fourth start since transferring from Virginia Tech, turned in the longest run at Appalachian in 22 years with an 84-yard gain against Furman.
It was the longest run by an ASU player since John Settle gained 88 yards against Furman in 1986, and Coach Jerry Moore said it was especially significant given that Radford wasn't at full speed because of injuries.

"That was a shocker," Moore said. "When he popped loose, I thought there was no way. He's got a bad knee and a bad toe. He's got turf toe, and he can't even walk. He looks better running than he does walking."
 
ULL Injury Update

On Wednesday, UL quarterback Mike Desormeaux took the majority of the snaps with the first-team offense for the second consecutive practice wearing a specialty brace on his heavily taped right knee.

On Monday, UL coach Rickey Bustle said Desormeaux was probable for Saturday's 4 p.m. homecoming game against Florida International. Bustle said on Wednesday that Desormeaux's playing status remains unchanged.

"He was working well today," Bustle said. "He wore cleats today and was more comfortable. I thought he moved a lot better today."
On Tuesday, Desormeaux said there was no doubt he would play if the decision was up to him.

"It ain't up to him," Bustle said. "But he'll have a large part in the decision we'll make."
Desormeaux is the nation's top rushing quarterback and ranks 12th nationally in rushing yards per game (118). He also leads the Sun Belt and is 15th in the country in total offensive yards per game (297.3).

If Desormeaux cannot go, redshirt freshman Brad McGuire will get the start. McGuire engineered two scoring drives in the fourth quarter to rally the Cajuns past Arkansas State.

Injury report

UL released its mid-week injury report on Wednesday: CB Junior Jean (shoulder), LB Richard Brooks (knee), WR Jawanza Mitchell (head), out; DT Seth Adams (groin), DE Jeremy Cook (knee), doubtful; QB Mike Desormeaux (knee), CB Orkeys Auriene (shoulder), OL Ian Burks (back), OL Chris Fisher (ankle), SS Derik Keyes (quad), FS Maurice Rolle (hip), probable.
 
Rice vs UTEP Notes

Note: I actually think the difference in this one will be the Owls' running game

They are relics from a bygone era yet the focal point of what Rice seeks to achieve on offense. They serve as links to the past and the bridge to the future, and their experience is the foundation for current success.

Rice center Austin Wilkinson and guards David Berken and Jimmy Miller – seniors recruited by former coach Ken Hatfield – shouldered the responsibility of helping the program transition from the option to the spread. Quarterback Chase Clement and receiver Jarett Dillard have garnered the spotlight as a record-setting tandem, but the contributions of the linemen are hard to dismiss given the recent turn of events.
“When you’ve got guys that have been doing it for a while that’s good,” offensive line coach/running game coordinator Blake Miller said. “When you’ve got guys that have played a while, you don’t spend a lot of time coaching assignment. You can focus more on the little things. Our guys for the most part have picked things up very easily and are pretty intelligent, so you don’t spend the time drilling assignment, assignment, assignment; you can spend more time on little things and fundamentals, and it helps as a coach.”

Last Saturday at Tulane, the Owls rushed for more yards (230) than they gained via their vaunted aerial attack (168), the first time they accomplished that feat in a victory since Oct. 3, 2007 at Southern Miss. When Rice installed the spread prior to the 2006 season, then-senior tailback Quinton Smith proved talented enough to help provide the Owls a balanced attack and overcome their struggles on the line.

When Smith exhausted his eligibility, the running game evaporated. With Smith, Rice rushed for more yards than it passed in three consecutive wins in '06. The Owls’ puny rushing attack finished 103rd nationally in yards per game (110.9) and 93rd in yards per rush (3.48) last year, one season after finishing 60th and 62nd in those categories. The decline in production vexed those assigned to grating the pavement.
“As an offensive line you want to be able to run the ball,” Wilkinson said. “If you throw the ball all over the place you’re protecting the quarterback, but when you run the ball it’s up to you to open the hole for the tailback. If you’re not running the ball that means you’re not doing a good enough job, and that’s frustrating as an offensive lineman.”

Added Berken: “We’ve gone through the stages of being frustrated that we couldn’t run the ball — our running game wasn’t up to what we thought it could be. We’ve put a lot of work into that the past few weeks, and it seems like it’s starting to pay off right now.”

With Wilkinson, Berken and Miller anchoring the line, establishing cohesion has been less challenging. Wilkinson has started every game of his career sans the five he missed late last season with mono. Berken, the Owls’ right guard, is working on a streak of 29 consecutive starts and is the most consistent of the linemen. Miller and junior Charlie Wiebusch have established a solid and functional platoon at left guard.
The seniors’ experience has enabled sophomore left tackle Scott Mitchell and redshirt freshmen Jake Hicks and Tyler Parish, who split time at right tackle, to develop without assuming the burden of leadership.

“It mostly helps with communication,” Jimmy Miller said of the experience. “When teams throw different looks at us that we might not have seen on film, it really helps because you might have seen it in other games. You might not have expected that team to do it, but you’ve seen it before.

“But really the experience helps in just becoming a unit. We’ve been playing with each other for a long time. That’s what running the football really is, just working with each other and working the back.”

The hard work is yielding dividends. The Owls have amassed 372 rushing yards in consecutive wins over Southern Miss and Tulane, and with four games remaining in the regular season, the Owls (5-3, 4-1 Conference USA) stand poised to ride a balanced offense into their second bowl berth in three seasons.
“It does give us something to look forward to,” Berken said. “Being able to run the ball, that’s what an offensive linemen takes pride in, that’s what we’re built to do. Obviously the passing game is what we’re the best at, but when we need to (run) we’re gaining confidence that we’re going to get those yards.”
 
ps This is a game I haven't seen one person mention, but I really like Rice here. Currently at 3 105 at the Greek. Haven't locked it in yet, b/c I also like the over, so trying to decide which is the stronger play, as I hate playing side and total of the same game.
 
More Rice vs UTEP Notes

After watching the Cougars' struggles in the cold at Marshall on Tuesday night, we asked David Bailiff if he had concerns over how the expected chilly weather in El Paso could influence the Owls' performance on Saturday evening. The average temperature at kickoff of the Owls' seven outdoor games was 83.9 degrees; the forecast for El Paso on Saturday night predicts temperatures in the upper 40s.

"I don't think so," Bailiff said of the potential for the cold to negatively impact the Owls. "It's a different kind of cold (relative to West Virginia). I'm not concerned."
• • •​
​

Stop fretting over junior free safety Andrew Sendejo. He looked sharp during practice on Wednesday, and when asked if he felt as good as he looked, Sendejo quipped, "I always feel good."

Sendejo (high ankle sprain) was lost during the first series at Tulsa on Oct. 4. The last four weeks out of action have tried his patience, especially considering Sendejo had missed just one game (UAB, 2006) prior to this month. A nervous wreck on the sidelines against Tulsa and Southern Miss, Sendejo took his angst to New Orleans last weekend, working an impromptu road trip with quarterback Nick Fanuzzi to the Superdome where he ranted and raved from the stands.

"It's been a weird feeling that I'm not used to," Sendejo said of not participating.
Travis Bradshaw, who filled in admirably for Sendejo after he was sidelined, will now back up Sendejo and strong safety Willie Garley, who played every defensive snap (plus some on special teams) at Tulane. Garley was forced to overextend himself because his backup, Max Anyiam, is out with a torn MCL.
 
ADDED RICE -3 105 (greek)

Rice is really starting to gel and I expect them to pile up the yards on the ground in this one as Price has confirmed that UTEP will be experimenting a little on defense after the horrible performance against Tulsa. With a FR safety on defense, I expect Clement to hit more than a few big plays, and if Rice can establish the run early, they have a shot at putting up 40+ in this one. Their defense has also been stepping up as of late, so I look for them to take control early and make UTEP play a one dimensional game as they take away their ability to run the ball in this matchup.

Note: Don't see this one hitting 2.5 110 as it is already 3 110 everywhere else pretty much.
 
UPDATED CARD (details noted earlier in thread, just a summary here)
KENT +10
OREGON STATE -9.5
RICE -3
NT +17.5

Will be adding at least 1 more play, most likely from the sunbelt, after I take the little guy for his first ever trick or treating experience tomorrow night.
 
ULM Notes

MONROE - ULM coach Charlie Weatherbie, as he is most weeks, remained upbeat when he talked to reporters Tuesday at his weekly news conference.

ULM (2-6, 1-3) plays its last home game this Saturday against first-place Troy (5-2, 4-0). The Warhawks finish the season at Middle Tennessee, Ole Miss and Florida International.

"I think it's important that the fans come out and support us," Weatherbie said. "I think they'll see a heck of a football game and enjoy the game. I believe they'll leave with a smile on their face and a win under their belts."

To fans frustrated with ULM's latest loss and disappointing record, Weatherbie said, "They need to come and watch the games. They're very exciting games. They're very close games that could go either way. We haven't found a way to win a close game yet. This game could be the same."

ULM's last outing might be hard for fans to forget. The Warhawks led Florida Atlantic 21-0 in the second quarter but lost 29-28. FAU quarterback Rusty Smith took over with 1:40 remaining and directed the pivotal drive. FAU scored the winning touchdown with 20 seconds left to play.

"It's kind of sad that one point determines whether you have a smile on your face or whether you have a frown on your face," Weatherbie said.

"There were a lot of good things that took place in that football game. I thought our guys played exceptionally hard and played well at times. They made the plays at the end when they counted, and we didn't. We had a chance to intercept him twice in that two-minute drill and came away empty-handed. That's the way the cookie crumbles sometimes. Only one team can win out there. It doesn't matter how long you play, only one team can win."

If I'm not mistaken, out of the 118 teams this last week in Division I that played, half of them won and half of them lost. That's the way it goes. You just keep pulling yourself back up. That's a part of life. You've got to learn how to pull yourself up and get ready for the next football game."

A program that hasn't enjoyed a winning season since 1993 won't have one this year either. ULM would need to win its last four to break even at 6-6.

"We still have an opportunity to have the same record as we had last year, 6-6, and people around here were excited about that 6-6 record first time we'd had a non-losing record since we were Division I," Weatherbie said. "That's still out there and that's still possible. We've still got hope that we can do that."

Weatherbie's record at ULM is 23-43 — a 34.8 winning percentage.After a 1-11 campaign in 2003, the Warhawks finished 5-6 in back-to-back seasons and earned a share of the Sun Belt Conference title in 2005. ULM could have won the title outright and advanced to the New Orleans Bowl in 2005, but lost that opportunity with a season-ending home loss to Louisiana-Lafayette.ULM slumped to 4-8 in 2006 before achieving a 6-6 finish in 2007 — including the historic win at Alabama.

Weatherbie expressed higher expectations for 2008. The Sun Belt's preseason poll projected ULM third behind conference favorites Florida Atlantic and Troy.

"We felt like we had a chance to be a championship football team when this season started," Weatherbie said. "There were a lot of key things in the season that kept it from happening."
 
So App State or Wofford? Might just chase a little espn2 action tonight.

I'm thinking App State although probably a square pick. My reasoning is Wofford won last year at App State 3 games after Michigan. App State wasn't as mentally focused as they will be this year. But that's my only reasoning.

EDIT: Checked out hoops thread
 
Last edited by a moderator:
Seriously considering taking the team total over with Washington which means I didn't learn my lesson after doing the same with WSU. UW should be able to put up 7 right? right? Only reason I think it might have some value is because I gotta believe that UW can get at least one TD off some sort of garbage play or maybe they will have some fight in them b/c of the whole pride factor knowing that Ty is done. Also, UW hasn't been shutout since 2004, against you guessed it, USC. Of course when I used the same reasoning with WSU that didn't work out to well for me haha, so someone talk me off of this ledge please.
 
carolinablue said:
Seriously considering taking the team total over with Washington which means I didn't learn my lesson after doing the same with WSU. UW should be able to put up 7 right? right? Only reason I think it might have some value is because I gotta believe that UW can get at least one TD off some sort of garbage play or maybe they will have some fight in them b/c of the whole pride factor knowing that Ty is done. Also, UW hasn't been shutout since 2004, against you guessed it, USC. Of course when I used the same reasoning with WSU that didn't work out to well for me haha, so someone talk me off of this ledge please.
Click to expand...

I agree. Luck happens in games like this.

I thought the same thing with Wyoming last week, as the TT was only 6. But I didn't bet it, and of course they managed to find the endzone.

Good luck if you play it. But you won't find me talking you off of it.
 
O-State said:
So App State or Wofford? Might just chase a little espn2 action tonight.

I'm thinking App State although probably a square pick. My reasoning is Wofford won last year at App State 3 games after Michigan. App State wasn't as mentally focused as they will be this year. But that's my only reasoning.

EDIT: Checked out hoops thread
Click to expand...

Personally I lean towards the over, but probably won't make it a play. The main reason I like the over is because Wofford is just rolling teams, but this year is different b/c they actually have a very efficient passing attack that is keeping solid teams off balance big time.

They put up 55 last week against an Elon team that was ranked #3, but it didn't matter as Wofford had about 500 yds offense with 300+ on the ground. Many may say so what, but this Elon team was no slouch as many had predicted that the late season matchup between them and App State would be THE game instead of this Wofford vs App matchup.

App State is gonna put up points too of course, and the atmosphere should be insane with the blackout, national tv, halloween, etc all contributing. Again, over would be my lean as this one is too close to call in terms of picking a side, as either team winning wouldn't surprise me at all. Best of luck this weekend.
 
ADDED ULM +10 110

Fans are on the verge of abandoning the warhawks in droves after last week's game, but every year ULM seems to tease the faithful just enough to believe a little while longer. This game will be the tease for this year as ULM shows "what could have been".
 
Close to taking the Horns now that the line is a straight 3 110. Any reason why I shouldn't grab this one now, as I don't think we will see 2.5 110 here.
 
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