Capaholic Comes out of Brief Thread Retirement

Capaholic

Proud Member of Chiefs Nation
If you know me by now, you know I get funny if I have a losing week or two, so my plays have been interspersed among the discussion threads of late

I am still up a good amount of units on the year but I am going back to a thread for the remainder of the season

Denver- Personally I got 7 on Tuesday, but even with the loss of value I like them at +5.5/6 and would sprinkle a few on the ML

Tennessee/Detroit Over 51 -122

Jacksonville +13 -118

San Fran -3

Seattle -.5/Cleveland pk tease



I am waiting on Atlanta. If I can get a 7 without tooooo much juice I am on Atlanta.

Sitting out KC

Not sure what motivation the Rams have to cover that number but they might do it accidentally.

Lean Patriots


If any questions, please (as always) never hesitate to ask
 
I was thinking Jags too. Lamar won‘t kill their biggest weakness, pass defense. (Yes Jags allow a lot of rushing yards but they‘re also behind all the time. I‘ve seen some surprisingly positive run d stats for them like run stop rate). Gardy also has produced better numbers for himself vs blitz — he likes to move around a lot (Ravens blitz at highest rate). I‘m sure Ravens win but you help me believe in a single-digit game! Go Jags, cover that spread!
 
BOL and thanks for all you do. Would love to hear your Broncos and 9ers thoughts.

Broncos- I think it's a good spot and I see the Broncos as a team who has not yet given up. You are getting a max effort out of them despite the less than 1 percent chance they have to make the playoffs. You have a coach possibly fighting for a job and a QB possibly fighting for one as well, though he continues to do "just enough". The Bills were talked about ALLLL week. Their star may not be brighter at any point this season. Now it's time to pick up, go across country to play in the altitude for an early afternoon Saturday tilt. Bills pretty much seal the division with a win, but I think the focus is on next week's matchup where they can fully cement their title with a crushing defeat of the Patriots. I think it's a spot play and one I am def down with, though I will not be calling it the biggest wager of my life lol

Niners- I have been burnt badly by these guys. But these are the matchups Kyle S. does very well in. Buy low sell high. Dallas' performance last week had a lot of people talking. Cincy was god effing awful. And the Niners had a few plays change the entire complexity of their game with WFT. I see the Niners running the shit out of Dallas and then complementing it with timely jet sweeps and playaction. I do like this play. Would not be surprised to see Dallas be a fairly public play tomorrow when the casinos release some of their info.


I was thinking Jags too. Lamar won‘t kill their biggest weakness, pass defense. (Yes Jags allow a lot of rushing yards but they‘re also behind all the time. I‘ve seen some surprisingly positive run d stats for them like run stop rate). Gardy also has produced better numbers for himself vs blitz — he likes to move around a lot (Ravens blitz at highest rate). I‘m sure Ravens win but you help me believe in a single-digit game! Go Jags, cover that spread!

Ravens have nothing to prove (besides getting in, winning and staying healthy) and once again the most recent game we saw, we saw the miraculous comeback and offensive explosion by the Ravens. Meanwhile the Jags got thumped. Thus why wouldn't they get thumped again. Prior to the Tenn game, they went to the wire with Cleveland, Green Bay and Minnesota. I see Jacksonville scoring enough points to stay within the number, but I would not be surprised to be sweating it late because it's just the Jaguars.
 
Like that titans over.

I think ravens steamroll jags. Kinda what they do.

sneaky suspicion that gmen beat browns. They can get to baker with 4 and browns missing best gaurd in football today. Think baker puts up a real stinker today. Could still win close. 20-17 somebody imo. Gl cap
 
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