BOWLS

[mrpickem]

SATURDAY
6/5.71 Texas Tech u49 -105
4/3.81 W Michigan -1' -105
4/3.96 Alabama u48 -101
4/3.85 Virginia -3' -104
5/5.20 Ohio State -4 +104
4/3.81 Ohio State u47 -105
4/3.48 Villanova +4 -115
4/3.48 Villanova o46' -115
4/3.48 Abilene Christian o49' -115
4/3.81 Tarleton State -4' -105
4/3.03 Montanna State -27' -132
5/4.00 Yale o55' -125
2/5.48 TEAS.(OHST +3 & u54, GEO +5 & u55) 7-Pt
(paid reduced 3.51)
4/5.96 TEAS.(OHST +6 & u57, GEO +8 & u58) 10-Pt
3/8.73 TEAS.(WMU +5', TXTH +6 & U56, IU +11) 7-Pt

2025 : [297-294 -38.53u]
WEEK15 : [10-5 +24.26u]


I managed to finish the season strong [45-24-1 +86.91u] over the last 2 weeks, but still down a much more manageable 38u on the season. The Bowls bring a new season, so there's nothing to do but get after it, LFG!

BOWLS​

SATURDAY ~ December 13

• 4.88/4 Navy -5' -122
• 7/6.67 Navy u39 -105
• 4/3.54 Washington -9' -113
• 4/3.64 Boise State o52' -110
• 4/3.64 Prairie View i53 -110
• 3.45/3 1H-Tarleton State -6' -115
• 4/3.48 Tarleton State u54' -115
• 4/3.48 Montanna u60' -115
• 4/3.48 UC Davis -2' -115
• 4/3.64 1H-UC Davis -1' -110
• 6/5.45 UC Davis u58' -110
• 4/6.00 TEAS.(NAV PK & u45', TARL -6) 6'-Pt
• 5/7.60 TEAS.(NAV +3' & u48', WAS PK & o43) 10-Pt
• 5/7.25 TEAS.(WAS -3 & o46, JAX ST +9') 7-Pt

​

randoms...

• UNDER CASHED 16 OF LAST 19 ARMY/NAVY TILTS
• BOISE 8-3-1 ATS THIS YEAR BUT 0-6 ATS L6 VS UDUB
• Army/Navy games have been traditionally close, low-possession/low-scoring battles...however, this year’s matchup has a meaningful separation in overall physicality and defensive consistency — both in favor of the Midshipmen. They've been the steadier team for weeks, improving significantly on the defensive front and showing more control offensively than in recent years. Their ability to generate push at the line of scrimmage is their biggest advantage today in a game that hinges on which side wins the trenches.
  Army can frustrate opponents by shortening the game and leaning on toughness, but this Navy D is better equipped and ready to handle the option than most teams they’ve faced. Navy’s front seven have been disruptive against interior run-heavy offenses, and their discipline on the perimeter prevents the type of cutback lanes and pitch-space Army needs to succeed. If Army is forced into long-yardage situations — even occasionally — their offense isn't structured to cope. Conversely, Navy’s offense has shown more versatility this season. While still rooted in the option, QB Blake Horvath has incorporated enough variation to keep defenses honest.
  Army’s defense has shown flashes, but they’ve been vulnerable to sustained, methodical drives from teams that can match their physicality. Navy is one of the few opponents on Army’s schedule that can do exactly that for four quarters. In a game where possessions are limited, efficiency matters more than explosiveness, and Navy has been the more reliable team at sustaining & finishing drives. Army will come to battle, but Navy’s discipline on D and superior red-zone execution give them the edge to cover a modest number. NAVY -6 & u38

 

[B.A.R.]

Another Under in the Navy Army battle ..

Have a helluva bowl season sir!

 

[mrpickem]

​

BOWLS​

SATURDAY
4.88/4 Navy -5' -122
7/6.67 Navy u39 -105
4/3.54 Washington -9' -113
4/3.64 Boise State o52' -110
4/3.64 Prairie View u53 -110
3.45/3 1H-Tarleton State -6' -115
4/3.48 Tarleton State u54' -115
4/3.48 Montanna u60' -115
4/3.48 UC Davis -2' -115
4/3.64 1H-UC Davis -1' -110
6/5.45 UC Davis u58' -110
4/6.00 TEAS.(NAV PK & u45', TARL -6) 6'-Pt
5/7.60 TEAS.(NAV +3' & u48', WAS PK & o43) 10-Pt

LAST: [4-9 -17.04u]

5/7.25 TEAS.(WAS -3 & o46, JAX ST +9') 7-Pt​

TUESDAY

• 3.24/3 Jacksonville State +1; -108
• 4/3.92 Troy o49' -102

Still have teaser leftover from Saturday...#unfinishedwork

randoms...

• TROY 8-2 ATS IN LAST 10 GAMES
• JAXST 8-4 TO OVER IN LAST 12 GAMES

Both side and total lines have moved significantly for tonight's Veteren Bowl.

 

[mrpickem]

TUESDAY
5/7.25 TEAS.(WAS -3 & o46, JAX ST +9') 7-Pt
3.24/3 Jacksonville State +1; -108
4/3.92 Troy o49' -102

WEEK: [6-10 -10.79u]
LAST: [2-1 +6.25]

BOWLS: [3-2 +5.79u]

Note...most games from Saturday were small college and the Army/Navy, not exactly "Bowl Games" so I'm making slight adjustment to include only the "Bowl Games"

WEDNESDAY

• 4/3.60 South Florida -2' -111
• 4/3.81 South Florida u52 -105
• 4/3.45 Delaware +3 -116
• 4/3.81 Delaware u62' -105
• 4/3.33 TEAS.(USF +7 & u62, DEL +12') 10-Pt

randoms...

• ODU GAMES HAVE CASHED THE UNDER LAST 5 STRAIGHT
• USF 5-2 ATS IN LAST 67 GAMES
• USF HAS WON 10 STRAIGHT SU VS SUN BELT CONFERENCE
• DEL 2-6 ATS IN LAST 8 GAMES
• LLAF 5-1 LAST 6 GAMES VS COFERENCE USA

 

[mrpickem]

nly the "Bowl Games"

WEDNESDAY
4/3.60 South Florida -2' -111
4/3.81 South Florida u52 -105
4/3.45 Delaware +3 -116
4/3.81 Delaware u62' -105
4/3.33 TEAS.(USF +7 & u62, DEL +12') 10-Pt

BOWLS: [6-4 +8.86u]
LAST : [3-2 +3.07u]

THURSDAY

• 6/5.71 Arkansas State u55 -105

randoms...

• MIZ ST GAMES HAVE CASHED THE UNDER LAST 8 OF LAST 11
• ARK ST GAMES HAVE CASHED THE UNDER LAST 8 OF LAST 10

 

[mrpickem]

THURSDAY
6/5.71 Arkansas State u55 -105

BOWLS: [6-5 +2.86u]
LAST : [0-1 -6.00u]

FRIDAY

• 6/5.45 Western Michigan -3 -110
• 4/3.81 Western Michigan u47' -105
• 6/3.64 NC State -165
• 4/3.81 NC State u57 -105
• 4/3.88 Alabama +1 -103
• 4/3.81 Alabama o41 -105
• 5/6.75 TEAS.(ALA +8 & o34, WMU +4) 7-Pt
• 4/3.33 TEAS.(ALA +11 & o31, MEM o45') 10-Pt

​

 

[mrpickem]

FRIDAY
6/5.45 Western Michigan -3 -110
4/3.81 Western Michigan u47' -105
6/3.64 NC State -165
4/3.81 NC State u57 -105
4/3.88 Alabama +1 -103
4/3.81 Alabama o41 -105
5/6.75 TEAS.(ALA +8 & o34, WMU +4) 7-Pt
4/3.33 TEAS.(ALA +11 & o31, MEM o45') 10-Pt

BOWLS: [13-6 +30.01u]
LAST : [7-1 +27.15u]

SATURDAY

• 5/4.63 Texas A&M -3 -108
• 5/4.17 Texas A&M u49' -120
• 5/4.63 Tulane +17' -108
• 4/3.70 Oregon -20' -108
• 5/4.17 TEAS.(TXAM +7 & o38', ORE -10') 10-Pt
• 4/5.84 TEAS.(TXAM +4, ORE -13', MIS -10) 7-Pt

 

[mrpickem]

SATURDAY
5/4.63 Texas A&M -3 -108
5/4.17 Texas A&M u49' -120
5/4.63 Tulane +17' -108
4/3.70 Oregon -20' -108
5/4.17 TEAS.(TXAM +7 & o38', ORE -10') 10-Pt
4/5.84 TEAS.(TXAM +4, ORE -13', MIS -10) 7-Pt

BOWLS: [14-11 +11.18u]
LAST : [1-5 -18.83u]

MONDAY

• 4/4.08 Utah State +102

 

[mrpickem]

These opt-outs have gone fucking crazy. (Almost 30 in BOCA BOWL)

BOWL GAME OPT OUT LIST​

Boca Raton Bowl: Toledo vs. Louisville​

Toledo Transfer Portal

• Starting DE Malachi Davis (442 snaps; led team in sacks)
• Starting S Braden Awls (602 snaps)
• Starting LB Chris D'Appolonia (638 snaps)
• Starting LT Stephen Gales

None are expected to play.
Toledo Potential Opt-Outs

• S Emmanuel McNeil-Warren (headed to Senior Bowl)
• CB Avery Smith
• CB Andre Fuller
• S Nasir Bowers
• RB Chip Trayanum
• WR Junior Vandeross III

All are practicing, so it looks promising for their availability. However, McNeil-Warren is also nursing a bit of an injury. The All-American is a projected early round draft pick, so I could see him sitting.
Toledo Injuries

• QB Tucker Gleason (doubtful)
• Starting LG Carter Fouty (639 snaps)

Expect Kalieb Osborne to start under center. The freshman signal caller went 15-24 for 260 yards in mainly mop up duty outside of the regular season finale where he looked good vs. Central Michigan after taking over for Gleason at the very end of the 1H. He finished 5-7 for 108 yards (1 TD) and added 68 rushing yards on 10 attempts (sans two sacks) with the Rockets out-scoring the Chips 21-0 after halftime.
Toledo Coaching Changes
Jason Candle took the UConn opening, so co-offensive coordinator and QB coach Robert Weiner will serve as interim. Some other coaches have departed as well, including:

• Defensive coordinator/LB coach Vince Kehres (Syracuse)
• Co-defensive coordinator/S coach Ross Watson (Iowa State)
• Special teams coordinator Stanton Weber (Kansas State)

Offensive line coach Mike Hallett will call the offense, while CB coach Perry Eliano will call the defense. A number of graduate assistants will step up into bigger roles as well, per Weiner.
Louisville Opt-Outs

• Starting DT Rene Konga (532 snaps)
• Starting DE Wesley Bailey (520 snaps)

Louisville Potential Opt-Outs

• QB Miller Moss (will play)
• WR Chris Bell (out with injury)
• DE Clev Lubin (should play)

Louisville Injuries

• WR Chris Bell (OUT)
• RB Isaac Brown
• RB Keyjuan Brown
• RB Duke Watson
• S Antonio Watts
• LB Stanquan Clark

Brohm is still unsure about the status of the running backs. He said he hopes at least one plays.

---

New Orleans Bowl: Western Kentucky vs. Southern Miss​

Western Kentucky Transfer Portal

• CB Dylan Flowers (358 snaps)
• RB La'Vell Wright (207 snaps)

Tyson Helton usually lets players in the portal suit up for the bowl game.
Western Kentucky Injuries
None worth noting.
Southern Miss Transfer Portal

• S Corey Myrick (660 snaps)

Southern Miss Potential Opt-Outs

• CB Josh Moten (841 snaps)

Based on his comments, it sounds like he's leaning toward playing.
Southern Miss Injuries

• LT Blake Bustard (missed finale; 490 snaps)

Southern Miss Coaching Changes
Charles Huff took the Memphis job, which does increase the chance of opt-outs (stay tuned for updates). Offensive coordinator Blake Anderson will serve as the interim coach and also take over as the head coach next season.

---

Frisco Bowl: UNLV vs. Ohio​

UNLV Injuries

• TE Var’Keyes Gumms (last played in Week 12)

Ohio Injuries

• LB Michael Molnar (last played in Week 9)

Ohio Coaching Changes
Head coach Brian Smith has been fired.
"The termination follows an administrative review of allegations that Smith violated the terms of his employment agreement by engaging in serious professional misconduct and participating in activities that reflect unfavorably on the University," the school said in a release.
Defensive coordinator John Hauser will take over as the interim head coach.

---

 

[mrpickem]

Todays games...




MONDAY
4/4.08 Utah State +102

BOWLS: [14-12 +7.18u]
LAST : [0-1 -4.00u]

TUESDAY

• 4/3.81 Louisville -8 -105
• 7/6.48 Louisville u44 -108
• 7/6.67 Western Kentucky -105
• 5/4.63 Southern Miss u59' -108
• 7/6.78 UNLV -7 -103
• 4/4.08 TEAS.(UNLV -1, LOU -2') 6-Pt
• 5/4.17 TEAS.(UNLV +3, SMISS u69, LOU u53') 10-Pt

​

randoms...

BOWLS THIS YEAR: FAVS 7-4 ATS & TOTALS 4-7​

 

[mrpickem]

TUESDAY
4/3.81 Louisville -8 -105
7/6.48 Louisville u44 -108
7/6.67 Western Kentucky -105
5/4.63 Southern Miss u59' -108
7/6.78 UNLV -7 -103
4/4.08 TEAS.(UNLV -1, LOU -2') 6-Pt
5/4.17 TEAS.(UNLV +3, SMISS u69, LOU u53') 10-Pt

BOWLS: [16-17 -8.52u]
LAST : [2-5 -15.70u]

Well, that strong start to the bowl season has evaporated quickly, but no use crying over spilt milk, LFG!

WEDNESDAY

• 5/4.76 Hawaii +1 -105

​

​

randoms...

BOWLS THIS YEAR: FAVS 7-4 ATS & TOTALS 4-7​

HAW 13-0 ATS IN LAST 13 LINES GAMES IN HONOLULU​

​

 

[mrpickem]

WEDNESDAY
5/4.76 Hawaii +1 -105

BOWLS: [17-17 -3.76u]
LAST : [1-0 +4.76u]

FRIDAY

• 6/5.40 Northwestern -10 -111
• 5/4.76 Northwestern u43 -105
• 5/4.63 New Mexico +2 -108
• 6/5.56 Minnesota u43 -108
• 7/6.67 UTSA -5 -105
• 7/6.86 UTSA u60' -102
• 5/4.17 TEAS.(UTSA +4', NW PK & u53) 10-PT
• 4/4.60 TEAS.(NW -2', UTSA +3, NMEX +9') 7'-Pt

randoms...

• BOWLS THIS YEAR: FAVS 8-7 ATS & TOTALS 8-7
• CMU 5-1 ATS LAST 6
• CMU 0-8 LAST 8 VS BIG10
• NMEX HAS WON 6 STRAIGHT SU(4-2 ATS)
• MIN 3-7 ATS LAST 10
• UTSA HAS WON LAST 14 SU VS CONFERENCE USA

 

[mrpickem]

Bowl Games Opt Out List​

Military Bowl: Pitt vs. East Carolina​

​

Pitt Opt-Outs​

• RB Desmond Reid
• LB Kyle Louis

Pitt Potential Opt-Outs

• RT Ryan Baer (on depth chart)

Pitt Transfer Portal

• LB Rasheem Biles (stud; 606 snaps; still on depth chart)
• RB Juelz Goff (259 snaps; not on depth chart)
• WR Zion Fowler-El (118 snaps; not on depth chart)

Pitt Injuries

• DT Sean FitzSimmons (last played in Week 10; listed as starter on depth chart)
• RG Ryan Carretta (didn't play final two games; on depth chart)
• LG Keith Gouveia (last played in Week 5; out for year)

Pitt Coaching Changes
Defensive coordinator Randy Bates will retire following the Military Bowl.
East Carolina Transfer Portal

• QB Katin Houser (will not play in bowl)
• TE Jayvontay Conner (496 snaps)
• WR Yannick Smith (583 yards, 5 TDs)
• LT Jimarion McCrimon (803 snaps)

None of the four are expected to suit up. You could see either the well-traveled Mike Wright (more of a runner who even played on defense this year) or freshman Chaston Ditta (more of a passer and better fit for offense) at quarterback (or both) or even Raheim Jeter.
East Carolina Opt-Outs

• RB London Montgomery

East Carolina Potential Opt-Outs

• WR Anthony Smith

East Carolina Injuries

• LG Panda Askew (didn't play in finale)
• CB Rasheed Reason (last played in Week 7)

East Carolina Coaching Changes
ECU defensive coordinator Josh Aldridge left for the same role at USF, while offensive coordinator John David Baker is headed to Ole Miss in the same role.

---

Pinstripe Bowl: Penn State vs. Clemson​

Penn State Transfer Portal

• CB Elliott Washington (256 snaps)
• CB AJ Harris (493 snaps)
• DE Chaz Coleman (150 snaps)

Penn State Opt-Outs

• RB Nicholas Singleton
• DT Zane Durant
• DE Zuriah Fisher
• S Zakee Wheatley
• LG Olaivavega Ioane
• OL Nick Dawkins
• RT Nolan Rucci
• LT Drew Shelton
• TE Khalil Dinkins

The Nittany Lions will be without four of their five starting offensive linemen for the Pinstripe Bowl.
Penn State Potential Opt-Outs

• DE Dani Dennis-Sutton
• RB Kaytron Allen
• WR Trebor Pena
• LB Amare Campbell

All of the above are still on the depth chart, but interim head coach Terry Smith hinted that some starters may only play limited reps.
Penn State Injuries

• QB Drew Allar (out for year)
• LB Tony Rojas (out for year)
• LB Alex Tatsch (out after bowl prep injury; 108 snaps)

Penn State Coaching Changes
The Nittany Lions fired head coach James Franklin during the season, which led to Terry Smith taking over as interim head coach. Matt Campbell will take over next season.
Co-offensive coordinator and tight ends coach Ty Howle has also been hired as the offensive coordinator at Virginia Tech.
Meanwhile, defensive coordinator Jim Knowles is negotiating his buyout and will head to Tennessee.
Finally, offensive line coach Phil Trautwein is set to become Florida's next offensive line coach.

Clemson Transfer Portal

• S Khalil Barnes (522 snaps; will not play)
• LB Dee Crayton (79 snaps)
• LB Jamal Anderson (51 snaps)

Clemson Opt-Outs

• DT DeMonte Capehart (declared for NFL draft)
• DT Peter Woods (declared for NFL Draft)
• DE T.J. Parker (declared for NFL Draft)
• CB Avieon Terrell (declared for NFL Draft)
• WR Antonio Williams (declared for NFL Draft)

Potential Opt-Outs

• QB Cade Klubnik (says he will play)
• RT Blake Miller (says he will play)
• DE Will Heldt will play (returning next season)

Clemson, which is looking to extend its FBS record of consecutive years with a postseason victory to 15, will be without seven of its top 12 defenders in terms of snap count (and 5 of top 12 on offense).
Clemson Injuries

• Starting LB Wade Woodaz (surgery; will not play)
• Starting LG Collin Sadler (will not play)
• Starting WR Bryant Wesco (hurt in Week 8; out for year)
• Starting TE Olsen Patt-Henry (hurt in Week 13; out for year)
• DE Jahiem Lawson (hurt in W13; 300 snaps; will not play)
• RG Walker Parks (hurt in Week 12; out for year)
• OL Brayden Jacobs (hurt in Week 12; out for year)
• OG Elyjah Thurmon (hurt in week 4; out for year)
• QB Cade Klubnik (did not throw in practice on Dec. 15 but should be ready)

Head coach Dabo Swinney said 27 players will miss the bowl game due to injury or opt-outs. That includes eight who started in the regular season finale.

---

Fenway Bowl: UConn vs. Army​

UConn Opt-Outs

• QB Joe Fagnano

There's a slight chance UConn could be down to QB4 if backup Nick Evers ends up entering the portal. WR Skyler Bell, who's Senior Bowl-bound, said he plans to play and is trying to convince others in the portal to do the same.
UConn Transfer Portal

• Starting RT Carsten Casady (774 snaps)
• Starting LT Ben Murawski (773 snaps)
• Starting RG Brady Wayburn (430 snaps)
• Starting RB Cam Edwards (says he'll play)
• Starting CB Cam Chadwick (796 snaps)
• Starting LB Oumar Diomande (790 snaps)
• CB Osiris Gilbert (288 snaps)
• RB Victor Rosa (157 snaps)
• RB Mel Brown (56 snaps)
• RB MJ Flowers (37 snaps)
• DL Vincent Carroll-Jackson
• TE Juice Vereen

UConn Injuries

• TE3 Juice Vereen (last played in Week 11; 211 snaps)
• DT Vincent Carroll-Jackson (last played W12; 494 snaps)
• S Tyrece Mills (last played in Week 12; 251 snaps)

Army Injuries

• RG Paolo Gennarelli (last played W11)

Will be updated following Army-Navy game, but the Black Knights defense finally appears fully healthy with the return of CB Justin Weaver and both top interior defensive linemen.

---

Pop-Tarts Bowl: Georgia Tech vs. BYU​

Georgia Tech Transfer Portal

• C Tana Alo-Tupuola (455 snaps; rotated as starter)
• Backup QB Aaron Philo
• LB Melvin Jordan IV (148 snaps)

Georgia Tech Potential Opt-Outs

• RG Keylan Rutledge (sounds like he should play)
• WR Eric Rivers (expected to play)
• QB Haynes King (expected to play)
• RB Jamal Haynes (on depth chart)

Georgia Tech Injuries

• S Clayton Powell-Lee (637 snaps; out with an ankle)
• DE Brayden Manley (347 snaps; out due to shoulder surgery)
• WR Isiah Canion (567 snaps; out due to undisclosed injury)
• S Jy Gilmore (414 snaps; out for season; last played in Week 13)
• DT Akelo Stone (last played in Week 13; on depth chart)

Georgia Tech Coaching Changes
OC Buster Faulkner took the same position with Florida. Co-OC Chris Weinke will likely take over duties for the bowl game for an offensive staff that lost quite a few key pieces.
BYU Potential Opt-Outs

• LT Isaiah Jatta (on depth chart)
• WR Chase Roberts (on depth chart)
• DT Keanu Tanuvasa (on depth chart)

BYU Injuries

• RB LJ Martin (Big 12 OPOY: out following surgery)
• Backup RB Sione Moa (will not play)

---

Arizona Bowl: Miami (OH) vs. Fresno State​

Miami (OH) Transfer Portal

• Starting WR Kam Perry (led nation in yards per catch; nearly 1,000 yards; traveled with team)
• Starting DE Adam Trick (best defensive player; will not play)
• Starting CB Mychal Yharbrough (591 snaps)
• Starting RT Drew Terrill (best OL)
• CB Luke Evans (175 snaps)
• LS Hudson Powell

Miami (OH) Potential Opt-Outs

• S Eli Blakey
• S Silas Walters

I'd guess they'll play.
Miami (OH) Injuries

• QB Dequan Finn left the program
• LB Corban Hondru (stud; missed final two games)
• RB Kenny Tracy (out for year after five games)

Miami (OH) turned to freshman QB Tommy Gotkowski, but he was benched mid-game for veteran Henry Hesson.
Fresno State Transfer Portal

• S Jayden Davis (285 snaps)

Fresno State Potential Opt-Outs

• CB Al'zillion Hamilton
• DL Korey Foreman

Fresno State Injuries

• S Ryan Wilson (missed finale)
• DT Martin Owusu (last played in Week 10; 286 snaps)
• LB K'Vion Thunderbird (last played in Week 7; 302 snaps)

Quarterback Carson Conklin is listed as the starter for the Bulldogs.

---

New Mexico Bowl: North Texas vs. San Diego State​

North Texas Transfer Portal

• QB Drew Mestemaker (expected to play)
• DT Jayden Williams
• DL Saadiq Clements
• OG Johnny Dickson (two-time all-conference selection)

North Texas Potential Opt-Outs

• RB Caleb Hawkins
• WR Wyatt Young
• WR Miles Coleman

North Texas Injuries

• RB Caleb Hawkins (stud; left conference title game with injury)
• LB Shane Whitter (last played in Week 10; 468 snaps)
• RB Makenzie McGill II (last played in Week 8; 206 snaps)
• WR Simeon Evans (last played in Week 11; 211 snaps)

North Texas Coaching Changes
Head coach Eric Morris took the job at Oklahoma State and will not be with the team for the bowl. I'd guess North Texas might have a handful of key opt-outs, with a few potentially following Morris to Stillwater, where they'd instantly start. However, per the latest updates, most are expected to play.
Neal Brown will be the next head coach in Denton. Brown did say everybody but Mestemaker (who was receiving an award) attended the team meeting on Monday, for what it's worth.
Special teams coach Drew Svoboda will serve as the interim coach for the bowl game with the rest of the staff expected to stay on for the game, sans Morris.
San Diego State Transfer Portal

• DE Jared Badie (131 snaps)
• EDGE August Salvati (118 snaps)

San Diego State Potential Opt-Outs

• CB Chris Johnson
• LB Owen Chambliss
• EDGE Trey White

Johnson will be drafted, while rumors have swirled that Chambliss and White (both All-MWC) could follow DC Aurich to Nebraska.
San Diego State Injuries

• QB Jayden Denegal (surgery; will not play)
• WR Jordan Napier (out for year)
• WR Jacob Bostick (out for year)
• LB Tano Letuli (last played in Week 10; 209 snaps)

Former Central Michigan QB Bert Emanuel Jr. will start in place of Denegal.
San Diego State Coaching Changes
Aztec defensive coordinator Rob Aurich took the same job with Nebraska. Passing game coordinator Demetrius Sumler will serve as the interim DC for the bowl game.

---

Gator Bowl: Virginia vs. Missouri​

Virginia Transfer Portal

• Starting CB Ja'Son Prevard (585 snaps)

Virginia Potential Opt-Outs

• RB J'Mari Taylor
• QB Chandler Morris
• DE Fisher Camac
• S Antonio Clary
• S Devin Neal

Taylor said he's deliberating about whether or not he's going to play.
Virginia Injuries

• LB Kam Robinson (out for year)
• TE Dakota Twitty (last played W6; 247 snaps)
• WR Trell Harris (top wideout left ACC title game with an injury; still waiting on imaging)
• RG Kevin Wigenton II

Missouri Transfer Portal

• Starting QB Beau Pribula (won't play)
• WR Josh Manning (318 yards, 2 TDs; will not play)
• WR Marquis Johnson (340 yards, 2 TDs; will not play)

With Pribula entering the portal, backup Matt Zollers — who started three games this season — will get the start.
Missouri is also pretty thin at wide receiver.
Missouri Potential Opt-Outs

• LT Cayden Green
• RT Keagen Trost
• C Connor Tollison
• DE Zion Young (will play)
• DE Damon Wilson II
• WR Kevin Coleman
• DT Chris McClellan
• S Jalen Catalon

Head coach Eli Drinkwitz said he expects minimal opt outs.
Missouri Injuries

• Starting TE Brett Norfleet (won't play)
• Starting LB Josiah Trotter (won't play)

---

Texas Bowl: LSU vs. Houston​

LSU Transfer Portal

• DT Ahmad Breaux (274 snaps; will still play in bowl)
• OL Carius Curne (305 snaps; will still play in bowl)

LSU Opt-Outs

• QB Garrett Nussmeier
• CB Mansoor Delane (potential first-round pick)
• S AJ Haulcy
• DE Jack Pyburn
• LB Harold Perkins
• LB Whit Weeks
• LB West Weeks
• OG Josh Thompson
• WR Aaron Anderson (241 snaps)

LSU Potential Opt-Outs

• DE Patrick Payton (on depth chart)
• WR Zavion Thomas (on depth chart)
• WR Chris Hilton (on depth chart; will play)
• WR Barion Brown (on depth chart)

LSU Injuries

• C Braelin Moore (missed finale; should play)
• WR Nic Anderson (last played in Week 11; 222 snaps)

Quarterback Michael Van Buren will make his fourth straight start. The projected starting offensive line is Tyree Adams, Coen Echols, Braelin Moore, Paul Mubenga, and Weston Davis.
Houston Opt Outs
Starting center Demetrius Hunter left the program on Dec. 8 and is no longer on the roster.
Houston Potential Opt-Outs

• RB Dean Connors
• TE Tanner Koziol (accepted Senior Bowl invite)
• DE Eddie Walls

QB Conner Weigman announced he will return to Houston in 2026 for his final season of eligibility.
Houston Injuries

• DT Khalil Laufau (missed finale; 649 snaps)
• WR Stephon Johnson (last played in Week 7)

---

Birmingham Bowl: Georgia Southern vs. Appalachian State​

Georgia Southern Injuries

• RB OJ Arnold (stud; missed finale)
• WR Dalen Cobb (missed finale)
• DT Devan Lowe (missed finale)

Appalachian State Transfer Portal

• QB AJ Swann (lost job late in year)
• QB JJ Kohl (took starting job late in year)
• Starting S DJ Burks (leading tackler over past two seasons)
• Starting WR Davion Dozier (448 yards, 5 TDs)
• Starting CB Elijah Mc-Cantos (705 snaps)
• LB Brayshawn Littlejohn (305 snaps)
• EDGE Thomas Davis (220 snaps; hasn't played since Week 8)
• OT Denell Nix Jr. (236 snaps)

If Swann and Kohl don't suit up, App State only has two quarterbacks with experience on the roster in freshman Noah Gillon (13-32 for 111 yards on the season) and senior Billy Wiles (formerly at Clemson and Southern Miss)
Appalachian State Injuries

• WR Jaden Barnes (didn't play final two games)
• RG Trent Ramsey (hasn't played since Week 8)
• TE Izayah Cummings (hasn't played since Week 9)
• S Dylan Hasz (missed final two games)

Other Notes: This is a rematch of a regular season conference game in which Georgia Southern won 25-23.

 

[mrpickem]

WEDNESDAY
5/4.76 Hawaii +1 -105

FRIDAY
6/5.40 Northwestern -10 -111
5/4.76 Northwestern u43 -105
5/4.63 New Mexico +2 -108
6/5.56 Minnesota u43 -108
7/6.67 UTSA -5 -105
7/6.86 UTSA u60' -102
5/4.17 TEAS.(UTSA +4', NW PK & u53) 10-PT
4/4.60 TEAS.(NW -2', UTSA +3, NMEX +9') 7'-Pt

BOWLS: [23-19 +15.40u]
LAST : [6-2 +19.16u]

SATURDAY

• 5/4.55 EAST CAROLINA +13 -110
• 5/4.55 EAST CAROLINA U53' -110
• 4.84/4 CLEMSON -1 -121
• 5/4.76 PENN STATE o47 -105
• 8/7.62 ARMY -7' -105
• 5/4.76 ARMY u42' -105
• 7/5.88 BYU -3 -119
• 5/4.90 BYU u56 -102
• 5/4.63 FRESNO STATE -5' -108
• 5/4.45 FRESNO STATE u41' -111
• 8/7.06 NORTH TEXAS -6 -113
• 7/6.36 SAN DIEGO STATE u53 -110
• 5/4.00 MISSOURI -3 -125
• 5/4.76 MISSOURI u44 -105
• 5/4.76 HOUSTON -105
• 5/4.76 HOUSTON u42 -105

randoms...

• BOWLS FAVS 11-7 ATS SO FAR THIS YEAR
• PITT 5-1 ATS as FAV THIS YEAR
• Under Narduzzi, PITT 38-30-3 ATS as FAV
• PITT 8-0 w/they run for 100+ yds
• ECU BEAT NCST SU IN THIS SAME BOWL LAST YEAR AS +7 DOG
• PNST OVERS HAVE CASHED 8 OF LAST 10 GAMES
• CLEM 3-6 ATS AS CHALK THIS YEAR
• ACC 13-20 AS CHALK IN NON-CONF THIS YEAR
• ARMY UNDERS 7-2 L9 GAMES
• FRES UNDERS 6-2 L8 GAMES
• SDST UNDERS 8-2 L10 GAMES
• NTX 9-3 ATS AS CHALK THIS YEAR
• NTX OVERS HAVE CASHED 9 OF LAST 12 GAMES
• MIZ 8-0 WHEN THE RUN FOR 200+ YRDS AND UVA ALLOWS 217 AVG L7 GAMES
• Under Elliott, UVA 18-9 ATS as DOG
• ACC NON-CONF DOGS 6-11 ATS THIS YEAR
• LSU UNDERS 9-2 IN 1A GAMES THIS YEAR

 

[mrpickem]

Today is the biggest bowl day of the year by number of games(8). Actually so decent matchups. I have 2 tickets to the Gator Bowl tonight, and I'm not going, so if anyone's in Jax and wants to go, let me know as I'm giving them away.

Forgot my teasers...

• 5/6.75 TEAS.(ECU +20', CLEM +4', MIZ +3') 7-Pt
• 5/6.25 TEAS.(CLEM +7' & o37, NTX +3', ARMY u52) 10-Pt
• 5/4.55 TEAS.(NTX PK & u59) 6-Pt
• 5/8.00 TEAS.(FRES +1', BYU +2', MIZ u50) 7-Pt

Teasers have cooled off, although still up on the year in CFB 29-24 +42.4u
..and they're still up in bowl season, just not as handily

 

[mrpickem]

BOWLS OPT OUT LIST​

Birmingham Bowl: Georgia Southern vs. Appalachian State​

Georgia Southern Injuries

RB OJ Arnold (stud; missed finale)
WR Dalen Cobb (missed finale)
DT Devan Lowe (missed finale)

Appalachian State Transfer Portal

QB AJ Swann (lost job late in year)
QB JJ Kohl (took starting job late in year)
Starting S DJ Burks (leading tackler over past two seasons; traveled with team)
Starting WR Davion Dozier (448 yards, 5 TDs)
Starting CB Elijah Mc-Cantos (705 snaps)
Starting DT Rondo Porter (498 snaps)
LB Brayshawn Littlejohn (305 snaps)
EDGE Thomas Davis (220 snaps; hasn't played since Week 8)
OT Denell Nix Jr. (236 snaps)
DT Bucci Farmer (90 snaps)

If Swann and Kohl don't suit up, App State only has two quarterbacks with experience on the roster in freshman Noah Gillon (13-32 for 111 yards on the season) and senior Billy Wiles (formerly at Clemson and Southern Miss).

Head coach Dowell Loggains stated those in the portal would be allowed to play if they choose to do so. He said some may be surprised by who actually plays for whatever that's worth.

Appalachian State Injuries

WR Jaden Barnes (didn't play final two games)
RG Trent Ramsey (hasn't played since Week 8)
TE Izayah Cummings (hasn't played since Week 9)
S Dylan Hasz (missed final two games)

Other Notes: This is a rematch of a regular season conference game in which Georgia Southern won 25-23.

Independence Bowl: Coastal Carolina vs. Louisiana Tech​

Coastal Carolina Transfer Portal

LT Nick Del Grande (663 snaps)
RT Joseph Hanson (572 snaps)

Coastal Carolina Injuries

QB Samari Collier (missed final two games with a knee injury)
LT Nick Del Grande (missed final two games; in portal now)
CB Myles Mooyoung (missed final two games)
LB Shane Bruce (hurt W11; 306 snaps)
S Dante Thomas (missed final two games; 247 snaps)

Tad Hudson would start at QB if Collier can't go.

Coastal Carolina Coaching Changes

The Chants fired head coach Tim Beck. Defensive coordinator Jeremiah Johnson will serve as the interim head coach for the bowl.

Louisiana Tech Transfer Portal

S Michael Richard (603 snaps)
S Jacob Fields (775 snaps)
LB Mekhi Mason (675 snaps)
CB Jamal Shelby (689 snaps)

I'd expect Trey Kukuk to start at QB in the bowl. He started the final two games.

Louisiana Tech Injuries

QB Blake Baker (hurt in Week 11; out for year)
QB Evan Bullock (also in portal)
LB Kolbe Fields (out since Week 5; 297 snaps)
RT Kenneth Bannister (out since Week 7; 306 snaps)

Music City Bowl: Tennessee vs. Illinois​

Tennessee Transfer Portal

CB Boo Carter (239 snaps)
RB Peyton Lewis (164 snaps)

Tennessee Opt-Outs

WR Chris Brazzell II
LB Arion Carter
DE Joshua Josephs
CB Colton Hood
CB Jermod McCoy (out all year)

Head coach Josh Heupel said he doesn't expect any other opt-outs with everybody else on the roster practicing.

Tennessee Potential Opt-Outs

LT Lance Heard (practicing with team)
S Jalen McMurray (practicing with team)

Tennessee Injuries

TE Miles Kitselman (missed final 2 games; decent chance to return)
RG Wendell Moe (out)
DT Jaxson Moi (237 snaps; out)
CB Rickey Gibson III (out all year)
EDGE Jordan Ross (missed finale; 217 snaps)

Tennessee Coaching Changes

Tennessee fired defensive coordinator Tim Banks, who had served in that role since 2021. LB coach William Inge will serve as interim.

Illinois Opt-Outs

LB Gabe Jacas
OL J.C. Davis

Illinois Potential Opt-Outs

S Xavier Scott
WR Hank Beatty
TE Tanner Arkin

Quarterback Luke Altmyer will play in the Music City Bowl, per 247Sports' Jeremy Werner.

Illinois Injuries

Starting S Matthew Bailey (had surgery; will not play)
LB Jojo Hayden (missed finale; 239 snaps)

Illinois Transfer Portal

Illinois head coach Bret Bielema said he believes 6-10 players will enter the transfer portal after the bowl game, but they will be allowed to play. Only one of those is a starter.

Alamo Bowl: USC vs. TCU​

USC Transfer Portal

CB Braylon Conley (201 snaps)
DL Devan Thompkins
TE Walker Lyons

USC Opt-Outs

TE Lake McRee
WR Ja'Kobi Lane
WR Makai Lemon
EDGE Anthony Lucas
LB Eric Gentry
S Kamari Ramsey
S Bishop Fitzgerald

USC Potential Opt-Outs

QB Jayden Maiava (will play; re-signed with USC)
DT Keeshawn Silver
CB DJ Harvey (only played 104 snaps)

USC Injuries

DE Jahkeem Stewart (won't be available)
RG Alani Noa (missed finale)
LT Elijah Paige (hasn't played since Week 11; won't play)
C Killian O'Connor (won't play)
RB Waymond Jordan (hasn't played since Week 7; has a chance to return)

USC Coaching Changes

While nothing is official, defensive coordinator D'Anton Lynn won't speak to the media this week after previously being scheduled to do so.

TCU Transfer Portal

Starting QB QB Josh Hoover
Starting DE Paul Oyewale (is still with team)

With Hoover entering the portal, Ken Seals will likely start under center.

TCU Potential Opt-Outs

TE DJ Rogers
WR Eric McAlister (says he will play)
S Jamel Johnson
S Bud Clark (should play)
LB Kaleb Elarms-Orr (should play)

Could Hoover possibly follow OC Briles to South Carolina? It's possible. His brother does play baseball for the Gamecocks. Sonny Dykes did say he expects everybody to play.

TCU Injuries

WR Jordan Dwyer (54 catches for 730 yards; expected to miss bowl game with a foot injury)
S Bud Clark (stud; missed final two games)
S Kylin Jackson (missed finale; 217 snaps)
RB Kevorian Barnes (hasn't played since Week 11)

TCU Coaching Changes

Offensive coordinator Kendal Briles was hired for the same role at South Carolina. TE coach Mitch Kirsch will serve as the primary play-caller from the press box, but it will be a collaborative effort.

ReliaQuest Bowl: Iowa vs. Vanderbilt​

Iowa Potential Opt-Outs

DE Max Llewellyn
DT Aaron Graves
C Logan Jones
RG Kade Pieper
RT Gennings Dunker
S Xavier Nwankpa
CB TJ Hall

Head coach Kirk Ferentz said he expects the roster to be fully intact for the bowl game.

Iowa Injuries

CB TJ Hall (missed final two games; spotted at practice)
RB Xavier Williams (missed finale; 141 snaps)

Vanderbilt Potential Opt-Outs

TE Eli Stowers (reports are saying he will opt out)
QB Diego Pavia (can't imagine he doesn't play)

Vanderbilt Injuries

Nothing noteworthy.
College Football Predictions, Picks: Early ReliaQuest Bowl Bet for Vanderbilt vs Iowa Image

Sun Bowl: Arizona State vs. Duke​

Arizona State Transfer Portal

QB Sam Leavitt (also injured)
LT Josh Atkins (792 snaps)
CB Javan Robinson (659 snaps)
LB Tate Romney (101 snaps)

Kenny Dillingham allows players in the portal to play in bowl if they choose to do so. He said Jeff Sims would start at QB but freshman Cam Dyer will get some reps in the game.

Arizona State Opt-Outs

WR Jordyn Tyson
DB Xavion Alford (injured W2)
CB Keith Abney II
RB Raleek Brown
RT Max Iheanachor
LB Keyshaun Elliott
TE Chamon Metayer

Arizona State Potential Opt-Outs

DT C.J. Fite (will return in 2026; expected to play)
DE Prince Dorbah
RG Kyle Scott
S Myles Rowser (declared for NFL Draft but dressed for practice; TBD on status)
DL Justin Wodtly (declared for the NFL draft but said he'd still play in bowl)
LB Jordan Crook (declared for the NFL draft but should still play)

Arizona State Injuries

CB Rodney Bimage Jr. (hasn't played since Week 12; 177 snaps)
OL Ben Coleman (lost for year in Week 7)
DE Clayton Smith (recent knee surgery)

Duke Opt-Outs

Starting RT Brian Parker II
CB Chandler Rivers
DE Vincent Anthony Jr.

DE Wesley Williams declared for NFL draft, but Manny Diaz says he expects him to play. Diaz also stated everybody else besides the three above are practicing.

QB Darian Mensah considered entering the NFL Draft but will return to Duke for his redshirt junior season.

Duke Injuries

CB Kimari Robinson (missed ACC title game)
DE Bryce Davis (missed ACC title game; 155 snaps)
S Terry Moore (been out all year; will be drafted)

Citrus Bowl: Michigan vs. Texas​

Michigan Opt-Outs

EDGE Derrick Moore
LB Jaishawn Barham
LG Giovanni El-Hadi

Michigan Potential Opt-Outs

QB Bryce Underwood (will play)
CB Jyaire Hill
CB Zeke Berry
DT Rayshaun Benny
RB Justice Haynes
EDGE TJ Guy
TE Marlin Klein (said he will play)
LB Jimmy Rolder
S Brandyn Hillman

Interim head coach Biff Poggi said he does expect more opt outs.

Update: it looks like everybody made the trip to Orlando outside of the three opt-outs. The Wolverines are now expecting a pretty full roster.

Michigan Injuries

LB Ernest Hausmann (missed final two games)
S Mason Curtis (hurt vs. Ohio State)
LT Evan Link (last played in Week 8)
S Rod Moore (only 81 snaps; in street clothes at practice)
RB Justice Haynes (last played in Week 9; will make trip but status TBD)
RB Jordan Marshall (played only 16 snaps vs. Ohio State)
WR Semaj Morgan (missed final two games)
Backup QB Mikey Keene (won't be available for bowl)
TE Max Bredeson (310 snaps; in boot at practice)

Michigan Coaching Changes

Michigan has fired head coach Sherrone Moore. Former Charlotte head coach Biff Poggi has been named the interim head coach, with former Utah coach Kyle Whittingham expected to take over.

This, in all likelihood, increases the chances of Michigan opt-outs.

Offensive coordinator Chip Lindsey also left Michigan to become the offensive coordinator at Missouri. Co-offensive coordinator and tight ends coach Steve Casula will be the interim OC for the Citrus Bowl.

Texas Transfer Portal

RB Quintrevion Wisner (412 snaps)
RB CJ Baxter (161 snaps)
RB Jerrick Gibson (74 snaps)
OL Connor Stroh (310 snaps)
LB Liona Lefau (462 snaps)
S Derek Williams (204 snaps)
CB Wardell Mack (73 snaps)
DL Melvin Hills (28 snaps)

Texas Opt-Outs

S Michael Taaffe (600 snaps)
CB Malik Muhammad (593 snaps)
CB Jaylon Guilbeau (548 snaps)
LB Anthony Hill Jr. (declared for NFL Draft; missed final two games due to injury; 563 snaps)
EDGE Trey Moore (486 snaps)
EDGE Ethan Burke (378 snaps)
WR DeAndre Moore (not expected back in 2026)

Texas will be without seven of its top 11 defenders in terms of snap count. DB Jelani McDonald announced he will be back in 2026.

Texas Potential Opt-Outs

DT Cole Brevard
RG DJ Campbell
LT Trevor Goosby
TE Jack Endries (says he will play)

Texas Coaching Changes

Texas fired defensive coordinator Pete Kwiatkowski and hired Will Muschamp to be the new DC.

Las Vegas Bowl: Nebraska vs. Utah​

Nebraska Transfer Portal

Starting QB Dylan Raiola (out for year due to injury)
DB Malcolm Hartzog (74 snaps)
QB Marcos Davila

Nebraska Opt-Outs

RB Emmett Johnson (declared for NFL Draft)
RG Rocco Spindler (NFL/Finger)

Nebraska Potential Opt-Outs

S DeShon Singleton (headed to Senior Bowl; on bowl depth chart)
LG Henry Lutovsky (on bowl depth chart)
EDGE Dasan McCullough (350 snaps; declared for draft; not on depth chart)

Rhule said he doesn't expect any other starters to opt out.

Nebraska Injuries

QB TJ Lateef (hamstring)
OT Gunnar Gottula (last played in Week 8; out for year)
OT Teddy Prochazka (last played in Week 7; out for year)

Update: Rhule said Lateef is now a full-go.

Nebraska Coaching Changes

Nebraska fired DC Jon Butler earlier this month and hired the San Diego State DC to replace him. Phil Snow will serve as the interim. Rhule also recently fired both the OL and DL coaches.

Utah Opt-Outs

LT Caleb Lomu (823 snaps)
RT Spencer Fano (822 snaps)
DE Logan Fano (516 snaps)

Utah Potential Opt-Outs

QB Devon Dampier (said he'd play)
LB Lander Barton (said he'd play)
S Tao Johnson
CB Smith Snowden

Utah Injuries

DE John Henry Daley (out for year; one of best in the country)
WR Ryan Davis (leading receiver; missed finale)
OL Solatoa Moea'i (missed finale; 299 snaps)

Utah Coaching Changes

Utah head coach Kyle Whittingham took the Michigan job and will not coach in the Las Vegas Bowl. Utes defensive coordinator Morgan Scalley (and head coach in waiting) will take over.

Armed Forces Bowl: Rice vs. Texas State​

Rice Opt-Outs

Starting QB Chase Jenkins (will not play in bowl)

I'd expect Patrick Crayton Jr. to start at quarterback.

Rice Transfer Portal

Starting QB Chase Jenkins (712 snaps)
WR Drayden Dickmann (653 snaps)
RB Daelen Alexander (74 carries, 392 yards)
S LaVonte Johnson (76 snaps)
QB Drew Devillier (46 snaps)

Rice Injuries

CB Khary Crump (kicked off team in Week 7)

Texas State Transfer Portal

RG Tellek Lockette (277 snaps; injured since Week 6)
RB/KR Jaylen Jenkins (55 snaps)

Texas State Injuries

DT Bryce Carter (missed final two games; 312 snaps)

Liberty Bowl: Navy vs. Cincinnati​

Navy Potential Opt-Outs

DT Landon Robinson

Navy Injuries

LB Job Grant (missed final two games)
CB Irabonoise Oniha (missed final two games)
TE Cody Howard (last played in Week 9)

Cincinnati Transfer Portal

Starting QB Brendan Sorsby (will not play)
Starting S Christian Harrison (683 snaps)
Starting S Trevon Gola-Callard (628 snaps)
Starting S Jiquan Sanks (506 snaps)
Starting CB Logan Wilson (548 snaps; also KR)
Starting DE Mikah Coleman (447 snaps)
CB Ormaine Arnold (257 snaps; 13 PBUs)
S Tayden Barnes (185 snaps)
Depth CB Kye Stokes (18 snaps)
Depth S Willie Goodwyn (7 snaps)
DT Kamari Burns (174 snaps)
RT Ethan Green (82 snaps)

None of the above are on the bowl depth chart. The Cincinnati secondary will be extremely thin, which may be tied to losing CB coach Eddie Hicks to Arkansas.

Cincinnati Potential Opt-Outs

DT Dontay Corleone (declared for NFL Draft; not on depth chart)
LB Jake Golday (declared for NFL Draft; on depth chart)

With QB Sorsby out, Satterfield said both fourth-year senior Brady Lichtenberg (333 career passing yards) and freshman Samaj Jones (2 pass attempts this year) will see action under center. The rest of the offense, including NFL prospect TE Joe Royer, should suit up.

Cincinnati Injuries

Nothing noteworthy.

Holiday Bowl: Arizona vs. SMU​

Arizona Transfer Portal

G Michael Wooten (230 snaps)
TE Keyan Burnett (107 snaps)

Arizona Potential Opt-Outs

CB Treydan Stukes
S Genesis Smith

Head coach Brett Brennan said there could be opt-outs.

Arizona Injuries

RT Tristan Bounds (didn’t play in final two games)
NT Tiaoalii Savea (last played in Week 11)

SMU Transfer Portal

OLB DJ Warner (207 snaps)

SMU Potential Opt-Outs

QB Kevin Jennings (will play)
WR Romello Brinson
TE RJ Maryland
TE Matthew Hibner
OG Logan Parr
DL Jeff M'ba
S Isaiah Nwokobia

SMU Injuries

Nothing noteworthy.

Duke's Mayo Bowl: Wake Forest vs. Mississippi State​

Wake Forest Transfer Portal​

DT Mateen Ibirogba (stud)
WR Christopher Barnes (323 snaps)
WR Micah Mays Jr. (one snap in finale)

Wake Forest Potential Opt Outs

RB Demond Claiborne (declared for NFL draft)

Wake Forest Potential Opt Outs

RT Fa’alili Fa’amoe
S Davaughn Patterson
S Nick Andersen

Wake Forest Injuries

EDGE Nuer Gatkuoth (missed finale; 390 snaps)
OG George Steih (last played in Week 12; 514 snaps; freshman Clinton Richard has filled in nicely)
WR Micah Mays Jr. (one snap in finale)

Mississippi State Transfer Portal

S Tony Mitchell (374 snaps)

Mississippi State Potential Opt-Outs

S Isaac Smith

Mississippi State Injuries

LB Derion Gullette (last played W12)

Mississippi State Coaching Changes

The Bulldogs fired defensive coordinator Coleman Hutzler. Zach Arnett will return to Starkville to take back his old role.

I assume Kamario Taylor will start at QB, but maybe we'll see Blake Shapen in his last game.

 

[mrpickem]

• 4/4.04 APPY STATE +9’ +101

 

[mrpickem]

SATURDAY
5/4.55 EAST CAROLINA +13 -110
5/4.55 EAST CAROLINA u53' -110
4.84/4 CLEMSON -1 -121
5/4.76 PENN STATE o47 -105
8/7.62 ARMY -7' -105
5/4.76 ARMY u42' -105
7/5.88 BYU -3 -119
5/4.90 BYU u56 -102
5/4.63 FRESNO STATE -5' -108
5/4.45 FRESNO STATE u41' -111
8/7.06 NORTH TEXAS -6 -113
7/6.36 SAN DIEGO STATE u53 -110
5/4.00 MISSOURI -3 -125
5/4.76 MISSOURI u44 -105
5/4.76 HOUSTON -105
5/4.76 HOUSTON u42 -105
5/6.75 TEAS.(ECU +20', CLEM +4', MIZ +3') 7-Pt
5/6.25 TEAS.(CLEM +7' & o37, NTX +3', ARMY u52) 10-Pt
5/4.55 TEAS.(NTX PK & u59) 6-Pt
5/8.00 TEAS.(FRES +1', BYU +2', MIZ u50) 7-Pt

MONDAY
4/4.04 Appalachian State +9' +101

BOWLS: [33-30 +10.66u]
LAST : [0-1 -4.00u]

TUESDAY

• 6/5.00 Louisiana Tech -10 -120
• 8/7.27 Louisiana Tech u50' -110
• 4/3.81 ILLINOIS +3' -105
• 4/3.81 ILLINOIS u61' -105
• 7/6.54 TCU u55' -107
• 5/7.30 TEAS.(LTCH -3' & u57, ILL +10') 7-Pt

randoms...

• BOWLS FAVS 16-11 57.7% ATS SO FAR THIS YEAR (9-4 SINCE 12/24)
• UNDERS HAVE CASHED 17-10 63% SO FAR IN BOWLS/PLAYOFFS
• ILL 11-4-1 ATS IN L16
• TEN 2-7 ATS IN L9

 

[mrpickem]

TUESDAY
6/5.00 Louisiana Tech -10 -120
8/7.27 Louisiana Tech u50' -110
4/3.81 ILLINOIS +3' -105
4/3.81 ILLINOIS u61' -105
7/6.54 TCU u55' -107
5/7.30 TEAS.(LTCH -3' & u57, ILL +10') 7-Pt

BOWLS: [37-32 +19.85u]
LAST : [4-2 +9.19u]

The last 2 weeks have been pretty good thanks in large part to all these unders cashing.

WEDNESDAY​

• 8/7.62 Vanderbilt -4' -105
• 4/3.81 Vanderbilt u45' -105
• 4/3.57 Arizona State +3' -112
• 4/3.96 Texas -7 -101
• 4.80/4 Texas u49' -120
• 4/3.70 Utah -14 -108
• 4/3.60 Utah u51' -111
• 6/5.77 Ohio State -9 -104
• 6/5.56 Ohio State u41 -108
• 5/6.00 TEAS.(MICH +14' & o41, UTAH -7) 7'-Pt
• 5/9.25 TEAS.(IOWA +12', UTAH u58', AZST +11, OHST -2) 7'-Pt
• 4/4.60 TEAS.(VAN +3' & o37', UTAH -6') 8-Pt
• 5/5.75 TEAS.(OHST -1', TXTH +10' & o43') 8-Pt
• 4/5.00 TEAS.(VAN +5, UTAH -4', OHST PK, TXTH o43') 10-Pt

​

randoms...

UNDERS HAVE CASHED 19-11 63.3% SO FAR IN BOWLS/PLAYOFFS​

VAN 6-0 ATS IN L6​

IOWA 8-2 ATS IN l10​

MIC 1-4 ATS IN L5​

MIC 2-6 ATS IN L6 VS SEC​

MIA 0-6 ATS IN L6 VS B10​

OHST 14-2-1 ATS IN L17​

​

 

[Timh]

BOL MRP.

 

[mrpickem]

WEDNESDAY
8/7.62 Vanderbilt -4' -105
4/3.81 Vanderbilt u45' -105
4/3.57 Arizona State +3' -112
4/3.96 Texas -7 -101
4.80/4 Texas u49' -120
4/3.70 Utah -14 -108
4/3.60 Utah u51' -111
6/5.77 Ohio State -9 -104
6/5.56 Ohio State u41 -108
5/6.00 TEAS.(MICH +14' & o41, UTAH -7) 7'-Pt
5/9.25 TEAS.(IOWA +12', UTAH u58', AZST +11, OHST -2) 7'-Pt
4/4.60 TEAS.(VAN +3' & o37', UTAH -6') 8-Pt
5/5.75 TEAS.(OHST -1', TXTH +10' & o43') 8-Pt
4/5.00 TEAS.(VAN +5, UTAH -4', OHST PK, TXTH o43') 10-Pt

BOWLS: [42-41 -2.16u]
LAST : [5-9 -22.01u]

NEW YEARS DAY

• 5/6.00 TEXAS TECH +120
• 3/2.21 TEXAS TECH +3' -136
• 7/6.80 TEXAS TECH u50' -103
• 4/3.64 INDIANA -7 -110
• 4/3.81 INDIANA u48' -105
• 8/7.41 GEORGIA -6 -108
• 5/4.76 GEORGIA u56 -105
• 4.80/4 TEAS.(IU PK & o41') 6'-Pt
• 5/6.25 TEAS.(TXTH +12' & u60', ALA +17, GE +3') 10-Pt

​

randoms...

• UNDERS HAVE CASHED 20-15 57.1% SO FAR IN BOWLS/PLAYOFFS AFTER 1-4 YESTERDAY
• TEAM ARE 37-12 SU WHEN ML +135 to -155 AFTER ALLOW <= 5.5 PASS/YDS/ATT L4 GAMES (TEXAS TECH)
• TEAM ARE 21-4 SU WHEN ML +135 to -155 & OUTGAINING OPP >= 2.5 PASS/YDS/ATT, AFTER ALLOW <= 5.5 PASS/YDS/ATT L4 GAMES (TEXAS TECH)
• TXTH 11-2 ATS THIS YEAR *BEST IN PLAYOFFS)
• ALA 9-3-1 ATS THIS YEAR(2ND BEST REMAINING IN PLAYOFFS)
• OLE MISS 2-5 ATS L7 VS GEORGIA
• GEORGIA 6-3 ATS IN L9
• UNDER IS 5-1 IN GEORGIA'S L6 GAMES
• UNDER IS 9-3 IN GEORGIA'S L12 VS OLE MISS

 

[mrpickem]

NEW YEARS DAY
5/6.00 TEXAS TECH +120
3/2.21 TEXAS TECH +3' -136
7/6.80 TEXAS TECH u50' -103
4/3.64 INDIANA -7 -110
4/3.81 INDIANA u48' -105
8/7.41 GEORGIA -6 -108
5/4.76 GEORGIA u56 -105
4.80/4 TEAS.(IU PK & o41') 6'-Pt
5/6.25 TEAS.(TXTH +12' & u60', ALA +17, GE +3') 10-Pt

BOWLS: [46-46 -9.91u]
LAST : [4-5 -7.75u]

FRIDAY

• 4/3.64 Rice +17' -110
• 5/4.46 Texas State u55' -112
• 4/3.81 Cincinnati +7' -105
• 8/7.62 Cincinnati u55 -105
• 6/5.50 Mississippi State u53' -109
• 5/4.59 SMU u52' -109
• 4/5.84 TEAS.(TEXST -10', CIN +14', SMU u59) 7-Pt

randoms...

UNDERS HAVE CASHED 24-18 57.1% SO FAR IN BOWLS/PLAYOFFS​

 

[C-MAN]

GL. Those are some high totals today.

 

[mrpickem]

FRIDAY
4/3.64 Rice +17' -110
5/4.46 Texas State u55' -112
4/3.81 Cincinnati +7' -105
8/7.62 Cincinnati u55 -105
6/5.50 Mississippi State u53' -109
5/4.59 SMU u52' -109
4/5.84 TEAS.(TEXST -10', CIN +14', SMU u59) 7-Pt

BOWLS: [49-50 -11.24u]
LAST : [3-4 -1.33u]

THURSDAY

• 5/4.76 MiamiFL -3 -105
• 5/4.50 Mississippi u53' -111
• 5/3.85 TEAS.(MIS +10 & u59') 7-Pt

randoms...

• UNDERS HAVE CASHED 28-18 60.9% SO FAR IN BOWLS/PLAYOFFS
• May be not the matchup we expected, after all both were sizable dogs to Georgia & defending champs Ohio State. Didn't seem to matter to either of these suddenly dangerous squads. Last time they met was 1951 with the canes winning 20-7 in Miami. This one means a little bit more, with a shot at the championship game going to the winner. MIA has won back-to-back games vs Top-10 teams for the first time since '92. The Rebs have reeled off 7 straight, an October loss to Georgia, including avenging that loss last time out. MIA QB Carson Beck completed 13 straight passes vs a stout Buckeye "D", but Ole Miss QB Trinidad Chambliss had 12 straight starting the 2nd half vs the Bulldogs. Chambliss' 4Q stats: 7/12, 127 yards & a TD. In Nov loss to UGA, he was 1/10 for 1 yard in the 4th. Ole Miss outscored Georgia 27-13 in the 2nd half. Canes defense had 5 sacks & 2 picks, including a 72 yard pick-6. Miami's 24 points were the most allowed by the Buckeyes all season. After upsetting Georgia, Miss has 7 Sugar Bowl titles (2nd all-time to Alabama's 10). Apparently we have two teams of destiny, but the Canes have the best defense and if their D-front applies pressure and hits on Chamblis they should take care of business. Pick: MIAMI 27-20

I must admit, the Mississippi coach is the first ever in the playoffs with ever a loss, SU or ATS!

 

[mrpickem]

THURSDAY
5/4.76 MiamiFL -3 -105
5/4.50 Mississippi u53' -111
5/3.85 TEAS.(MIS +10 & u59') 7-Pt

BOWLS: [51-51 -7.63u]
LAST : [2-1 +3.61u]

FRIDAY

• 5/4.76 Oregon +3' -105
• 7/6.36 Indiana U49 -110
• 5/3.85 TEAS.(ORE +10' & u49) 7-Pt

randoms...

• UNDERS HAVE CASHED 28-19 59.6% SO FAR IN BOWLS/PLAYOFFS
• IU 14-0 THIS SEASON WITH AMAZING 41.6 PPG VS 10.3 PPG ALLOWED FOR AVG MARGING OF 31.3 WITH THE DUCKS A RESPECTABLE 38.0-21.4 OR AVG MARGIN OF 18.6 PPG. HOWEVER, IF YOU DIG A LITTLE DEEPER, IU AVERAGES 7.0 YDS PER PLAY(5.4 RUSH & 9.6 PASS) & ALLOW 4.5 YPP (2.8 & 6.0) WHILE OREGON AVG 7.0 YPP(5.6 & 8.9), ALLOW 4.3 (3.3 & 5.4)
• SO WE GET TWO VERY EQUALLY MATCHED TEAMS WITH THE DUCKS MAYBE A TAD BETTER ON DEFENSE, ESP PASS D; ORE ALLOWED 51.7 COMPLETION PCT WHILE IU 62.4%, BUT IU STILL MANAGED TO ALLOW A LOWER 3RD DOWN CONVERSION PCT 28.0 TO 35.3
• When the Hoosiers beat Oregon earlier this year, that was the first IU win vs a top 5 team since 1967! It was also the Ducks' lone loss on the year in a game that was tied 20-20 late.
• Last week, IU's impressive thrashing of Alabama marked their first bowl win in 34 years (1991). Oregon also impressed with a shutout win over undefeated #2 seed Texas Tech last week. This shapes up as a great matchup that can go either way, not an easy pick but I'll have to roll with the dog in a nail-biter, finishing 24-21 with the winner a coin toss.

Both coaches bring incredible records, with Cignetti 64% ATS & Lanning 62%​

 

[mrpickem]

FRIDAY
5/4.76 Oregon +3' -105
7/6.36 Indiana U49 -110
5/3.85 TEAS.(ORE +10' & u49) 7-Pt

BOWLS: [51-54 -9.37u]
LAST : [0-3 -17.00u]

MONDAY

• 7/7.28 Indiana -7' +104
• 5/4.76 Indiana u47' -105
• 5/4.17 TEAS.(IND PK & u54') 7-Pt

Old habits are just hard to shake, and even though I capped for IU last Friday, I still took the Ducks because for literally my whole life including over 30 years of playing the line... Indiana has always sucked bad, like one of the worst teams. Times have changes and with portalnomics in play they will likely be much different in the foreseeable future. Well even after a strong start in the Bowl season, I have managed to find my way into the red again...but still, It's been Fun!

randoms...