bones
We Must Protect Our Democracy
LAST WEEK: 7-2
TEASERS: 0-1
SEASON: 55-38-4
TEASERS: 2-1
SELECTIONS WK#13:
Seahawks -1 W: I capped the game@ a 3-4 point Shawk win & thought line might come out @ pick or Vikes -1. Figure the Shawks high scoring win yesterday may have affected the line? In any case, while it is Shawks on the road, they are the 'better' team overall with experience in their favor in what is coming down to the wire to make the playoffs. I do not know whether it was the game plan of Steelers to not run as much but in any case the Shawks did a great job of shutting down the run which should carry over to Vikes game. They also shut down AB receiving (Wheaton another matter), and while I like Teddy he is no Big Ben yet. Vikes do not have the passing game/receivers of Steelers & Seahawks should handle S Diggs and then see what Teddy can do (he is of course more mobile). R Wilson and the SHawks O is coming on stronger last few games and I think all in all this -1 line is worth the wager.
The Raiders +3 (-120) L (Carr had a bad day and made bad decision- still like him): I have my numbers on this game as a toss-up on Raiders home field and they get +3? I may also put a ML wager on The Raiders later. Short and sweet - Raiders getting 3 points at home in this division game is a line and situation I like to see. Carr has weapons and I will roll with this team at home and the points. I really thought line would be Raiders +1 to +1.5 and never thought I would see +3 at the open...maybe I'm missing something again? In fact, all three of my current selections had an opening line that was not really close to what I thought it would be. Addendum: it was at -120 though at the open
Texans/Bills OVER 41.5 W (far too much a nail-biter after 1H): I had the line predicted @ 45-46 total and actually capped game at a 47 or 48 type game. When I see my expected game so different than actual line on totals, I try to grab the game early. So, the selection. Also, when this happens I worry I might be missing something. Nonetheless its a selection.
Panthers/Saints UNDER 49.5 L: Placed it for 1/2 right now and hoping line goes up to add the other 1/2. Long/short....think line is based on the belief/view that Saints will score their "usual " and Saints D will give up 28 to Panthers. Well, Panthers D has to take a Sunday off or Saints will not do a whole lot better than they did vs Texans imo. Also, Cam and co., I hope, engage in time-consuming ball control and keep score lower. Actually, thought about a Saints +7, but don't think I can do it ...24-21 game? What does concern me is what we saw last night, Saints season over and they go for it successfully on 4th down when otherwise would not have. Total earlier this year was 49 and last 10 are: 49,51,38,30,44,82,62,52,65 & 37 so the history points a potential shoot-out -- that's the downside.
KC/Raiders OVER 44 W: Had as a lean, now a bet. Think winner of game gets to 26-28
Ravens TT OVER 19.5 L
Raiders TT OVER 21 L (never thought we'd lose this due to kicking game): Damn, have too much action in this game with Raiders, Over and TT Over
TEASER:
AZ/Rams UNDER 53 - SF/Bears UNDER 53 - Jets/Giants OVER 36.5 W
Current 'leans' and 'leans' only:
Niners/Bears UNDER 43, Panthers/Saints UNDER 49.5, KC/Raiders OVER 44
Adding to 'leans': Ravens +4, Broncos -4, and Lions +3
Games I will not play: Jags/Titans, Falcons/Bucs, Eagles/Pats and Jets/Giants
:shake:
TEASERS: 0-1
SEASON: 55-38-4
TEASERS: 2-1
SELECTIONS WK#13:
Seahawks -1 W: I capped the game@ a 3-4 point Shawk win & thought line might come out @ pick or Vikes -1. Figure the Shawks high scoring win yesterday may have affected the line? In any case, while it is Shawks on the road, they are the 'better' team overall with experience in their favor in what is coming down to the wire to make the playoffs. I do not know whether it was the game plan of Steelers to not run as much but in any case the Shawks did a great job of shutting down the run which should carry over to Vikes game. They also shut down AB receiving (Wheaton another matter), and while I like Teddy he is no Big Ben yet. Vikes do not have the passing game/receivers of Steelers & Seahawks should handle S Diggs and then see what Teddy can do (he is of course more mobile). R Wilson and the SHawks O is coming on stronger last few games and I think all in all this -1 line is worth the wager.
The Raiders +3 (-120) L (Carr had a bad day and made bad decision- still like him): I have my numbers on this game as a toss-up on Raiders home field and they get +3? I may also put a ML wager on The Raiders later. Short and sweet - Raiders getting 3 points at home in this division game is a line and situation I like to see. Carr has weapons and I will roll with this team at home and the points. I really thought line would be Raiders +1 to +1.5 and never thought I would see +3 at the open...maybe I'm missing something again? In fact, all three of my current selections had an opening line that was not really close to what I thought it would be. Addendum: it was at -120 though at the open
Texans/Bills OVER 41.5 W (far too much a nail-biter after 1H): I had the line predicted @ 45-46 total and actually capped game at a 47 or 48 type game. When I see my expected game so different than actual line on totals, I try to grab the game early. So, the selection. Also, when this happens I worry I might be missing something. Nonetheless its a selection.
Panthers/Saints UNDER 49.5 L: Placed it for 1/2 right now and hoping line goes up to add the other 1/2. Long/short....think line is based on the belief/view that Saints will score their "usual " and Saints D will give up 28 to Panthers. Well, Panthers D has to take a Sunday off or Saints will not do a whole lot better than they did vs Texans imo. Also, Cam and co., I hope, engage in time-consuming ball control and keep score lower. Actually, thought about a Saints +7, but don't think I can do it ...24-21 game? What does concern me is what we saw last night, Saints season over and they go for it successfully on 4th down when otherwise would not have. Total earlier this year was 49 and last 10 are: 49,51,38,30,44,82,62,52,65 & 37 so the history points a potential shoot-out -- that's the downside.
KC/Raiders OVER 44 W: Had as a lean, now a bet. Think winner of game gets to 26-28
Ravens TT OVER 19.5 L
Raiders TT OVER 21 L (never thought we'd lose this due to kicking game): Damn, have too much action in this game with Raiders, Over and TT Over
TEASER:
AZ/Rams UNDER 53 - SF/Bears UNDER 53 - Jets/Giants OVER 36.5 W
Current 'leans' and 'leans' only:
Niners/Bears UNDER 43, Panthers/Saints UNDER 49.5, KC/Raiders OVER 44
Adding to 'leans': Ravens +4, Broncos -4, and Lions +3
Games I will not play: Jags/Titans, Falcons/Bucs, Eagles/Pats and Jets/Giants
:shake:
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