Bjorks Week 3

bjorks

bjorks

Secretary of Fondy Fanclub
16-19-1
-0.2

Got crushed Saturday. I am reading things correctly in the mid major's but doing table in the power conferences. I made 3 HUGE rookie mistakes that cost me respectability and over being in the black after 2 weeks.

1) After pegging it all week and saying I'd fade Vandy the entire year I completely forgot to even bet on the game.
2) I love playing SEC against FBS teams and missed out on Clemson and LSU - Possibly would've looked at FSU and Baylor as well, but worse case scenario would've been 3-1.
3) I'm a terrible 2H bettor and chased.

Those things probably cost me 2 or 3 wins and some cash. Live and learn.

Organizing by time so I don't miss something like last week.

THURSDAY
BYU OVER 58.5 (-3.3) Un...fucking...real...
BYU -11 1H (-2.75) UN...FUCKING...REAL...
La Tech ML +145 (+3.625)

1-2
-2.425

FRIDAY
Baylor 1H -21.5 (+2.5)

2-2
+0.075

SATURDAY
UMASS +16.5 (+3)
Georgia -4 (-5.5)
TCU -11 (+5)
LSU -31
Notre Dame -27.5 (-3.3)
Navy -9.5 (+3)
ASU -14

5-4-2
+2.275

 
Last edited:
I hate betting on shitty B10 team, but I did have my eye on Indiana. Leidner for Goofers' is also ? with a strained MCL. May have to look at TCU.
 
BYU - Opened at 17 and already jumps to 18.5

Toledo - +11.5
Baylor - -32

UMASS - Getting 17.5 @ Vandy
Va Tech -10.5
Marshall -20, up to 21
Louisville -6.5, up to 7
Canes - 17
TCU -10
Nevada +14.5
Navy -12.5
TAMU -30, already up to 32
LSU -31
Oregon -42
 
Thanks, mrob. Probably not anymore, especially on the road. I was on the fence to begin with, but Ely may seal it.

Looked in UGA -4 and ASU -14.
 
So. Alabama won't be able to run as successfully (obviously) and that means Bridge will have to throw more, which isn't his strong point. However, if there's a secondary he can be successful with it could be Messy St as surprising as that sounds. If Bridge is successful throwing the ball in the 1H, they could keep it within 13-21 points in the 2H leaving that Moose open. I think they're getting 15 at home last I looked and I just don't trust Messy St secondary enough to rely on them to pull away and keep Bridge under lock and key.
 
That being said, it's a Saturday game, you should empty your bank on Messy St! :-) BOL regardless and with your plays.
 
Organizing by time so I don't miss something like last week.

THURSDAY
BYU -18.5 - Missed it, but still LEANING heavily on this. 1H play may be better bet.

FRIDAY
Baylor -32.5 - I see it's up to 34 in some place, but don't see Baylor struggling here with Buffs. 1H play also being considered.

SATURDAY
9:00 AM Marshall -20
9:00 AM Va Tech -11, missed it at open, may wait to see if it goes back to even 10.5
9:00 AM Central Michigan +6.5, still think CMU is better SU. May look at ML
9:00 AM Boise -16, hate the early start, but UCAN'T is awful
9:00 AM UMASS +17 - don't see line moving much and WILL play this regardless.
9:30 AM Louisville -6.5
11:00 AM Oregon -43 I love Bohl, but they don't have the offense to keep this close, WYO philosophy of pound the ball and control the clock won't work. 1H in play also
12:30 PM Iowa St +10 - missed it at 12.5. Cross my fingers it goes back up
12:30 PM Georgia -4 locked in
12:30 PM Texas Tech/Arkansas - OVER 63.5
12:30 PM Miami -16, Need to take a strong look at this. Will probably be a no play
1:00 PM TCU -11 Locked In
1:00 PM Washington -13 - going down, which is fine. Pretty much a fade on the B10
1:00 PM Mississippi -27, climbing but as long as I can get it under 28 I'll give it a strong look
4:00 PM LSU -31 will play this and probably 1H also
4:00 PM Western Tucky/MTSU - OVER 65
4:00 PM UTSA
4:00 PM No. Illinois -9.5 - opened at 10.5 and going the right way, looking more into this.
4:30 PM Notre Dame -28 - I may buy this down to 27.5, but more likely a 1H play
5:00 PM Navy -10.5 - one of the biggest head scratchers here. Don't get why this line is going down after opening at 12.5
6:00 PM TAMU -31 - Don't see it going up to 32, will wait and see how my day is going
7:00 PM ASU -14 locked in
8:00 PM Nevada +15.5 - don't see this getting worse, I'll wait to see where it ends.

Going to look at totals more tomorrow and also FBS games. Really like South Dakota St this week.
 
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