Big one down at Our Lady of Lourdes Stadium at 5:00 PM EASTERN....

B.A.R.

B.A.R.

CTG Partner
Staff member
My Bobcats have been on a bad roll the past month plus now but we've found ways to cash on their games ..

Nice rest after the pounding JMU gave them on a Tuesday night...

We'll see how they respond early but going to place a few bets.

ULL defense is below average. They give up 195+ on the ground which is key for this game! That's bottom 12 in the county.

Potentially more to come live!

Texas State 1h TT o17 -120
Texas State TT o33 -110 2.5 units.

Also tailing along @Jhoss003 at UConn +7.5.

I'll be tracking the following games as well for live market opportunities...

Tamu Mizzou
Auburn Vandy
LSU Bama
Oregon Iowa
Wash Wisconsin
Navy Notre Dame


GL all!
 
B.A.R. said:
Maryland 2h TT o14 -115 2 units
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Well,

We have a low possession 3rd quarter here and a turnover on downs.

With the early Rutgers TD this half we likely have a 2 pt conversion in play as well. Might still stalk another play but I don't want anything if down 35-17.
 
B.A.R. said:
Well,

We have a low possession 3rd quarter here and a turnover on downs.

With the early Rutgers TD this half we likely have a 2 pt conversion in play as well. Might still stalk another play but I don't want anything if down 35-17.
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Turnover so....

Let's give it a try ..

Live - Maryland TT o24.5 -114
 
Oregon 200 yards and 6.5 in first half, not too bad.

Live - Oregon TT o19.5 -111 2 units
 
B.A.R. said:
My Bobcats have been on a bad roll the past month plus now but we've found ways to cash on their games ..

Nice rest after the pounding JMU gave them on a Tuesday night...

We'll see how they respond early but going to place a few bets.

ULL defense is below average. They give up 195+ on the ground which is key for this game! That's bottom 12 in the county.

Potentially more to come live!

Texas State 1h TT o17 -120
Texas State TT o33 -110 2.5 units.

Also tailing along @Jhoss003 at UConn +7.5.

I'll be tracking the following games as well for live market opportunities...

Tamu Mizzou
Auburn Vandy
LSU Bama
Oregon Iowa
Wash Wisconsin
Navy Notre Dame


GL all!
Click to expand...
We're going to see more big plays like the two already administered by Texas State...

Live - Texas State TT o34.5 -111 2 units
 
Well, took a bath on that Maryland game but that's okay. After last night, we have some house money. The Terps had maybe 12 yards in the 4th quarter. Brutal. Good win for Rutgers.

Texas State shall make up for that!
 
Vandy TT live is a stalk but too rich right now.

They are averaging 8.0 yards a play, but 27 plays won't cut it. The defense is having trouble and that could mean limited 2h possession.
 
Wisconsin live TT is 10.5. That was a stalk but way too early for that unfortunately. Maybe if they pop a score.
 
B.A.R. said:
Live - Uconn TT o32.5 -118
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Two things here.

I do have the option to buy off this.

Mulling.

On the other end ..

Duke TT is 35.5 at plus money.

If they do score next, it's an auto 2 point conversion try due to score and situation.

Just food for thought.

If you haven't noticed lol, I try and type out some capping thoughts on days like these.
 
Texas State two turnovers have led to 14 points.

The offense is moving the ball well enough, but we just need to keep a clean sheet.
 
B.A.R. said:
Texas State two turnovers have led to 14 points.

The offense is moving the ball well enough, but we just need to keep a clean sheet.
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We push the 1st half at the worst.

I was wondering if they might go for 2. Wow.
 
B.A.R. said:
Two things here.

I do have the option to buy off this.

Mulling.

On the other end ..

Duke TT is 35.5 at plus money.

If they do score next, it's an auto 2 point conversion try due to score and situation.

Just food for thought.

If you haven't noticed lol, I try and type out some capping thoughts on days like these.
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They did go for 2, and missed.
 
B.A.R. said:
Vandy TT live is a stalk but too rich right now.

They are averaging 8.0 yards a play, but 27 plays won't cut it. The defense is having trouble and that could mean limited 2h possession.
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It was rich for a reason!

(Was 23.5 -150 as I posted on live market at halftime).

Of course it cashes in the 3rd. Pavia!!
 
Second half TTs

18.5/19.5 and 15.5

I'll be honest, when Texas State starts turning the ball over they tend to keep doing that...

In previous years...

So, we'll see.

I honestly think that a ULL stalk on the TT is well worth a look.

This deficit can be both good and bad for the TT.

I currently have 4.5 units in Texas State TTs pending.

I'm going to buy off some of that and can readjust. The deficit concerns me along with those turnovers. I do feel like their defense has somewhat quit after the JMU game.

Texas State TT under 36.5 -111 (via live market ) 2.25 units
 
Boring 3rd down in Lafayette, Louisiana...

I did sneak this one in with 6+ mins left in the 3rd quarter.

I didn't post because the number moved but that's auto in that situation.

Screenshot_20251108-192932.png
 
Last post for this game....

We are late 3rd and the score stands at 35-20. State had a TD overturned on offensive pass interference.

That FG actually kinda brings one middle into play.

Texas State just tried an onside, lol. C'mon coach. They actually stopped ULL but a facemask kept the drive alive.

Team totals both ways....

Texas State = 29.5
ULL = 44.5

I do think ULL finds a short field in the 4th. But, the offense has slowed this half.

I'm going to leave this one be and have some data for the next one.

Hopefully we can cash something still!
 
jk16 said:
Boom Texas State! Thanks BAR!
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You got it bro!

I'm not mad at myself buying off some. All good!

Glad we all won some money on this one!

Incredible right by the Bobcats. They certainly could have given up after 42-20.
 
dsvette76 said:
Nice!! Thx sir! But now I’m mad I looked back at the thread and bought off little 🤣🤣
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Hey, I understand.

For me, I had the initial 2.5 units at 33..

AND the live bet at 34.5 for 2 more units.

I was simply trying to get back to a base bet.

Either way, plus money once again on a Bobcats game!
 
B.A.R. said:
Hey, I understand.

For me, I had the initial 2.5 units at 33..

AND the live bet at 34.5 for 2 more units.

I was simply trying to get back to a base bet.

Either way, plus money once again on a Bobcats game!
Click to expand...
Oh completely agree and I had u17.5 2h so had a nice little middle opp. All good, great cap!
 
Notre Dame was my last stalk of the night on live TT...

They are crushing that easy enough.

Halftime was 20.5 and sure enough they passed that in 9 second half mins lol.

Cal vs Louisville and Wake vs Virginia are simply watch and learn.

Back at it next week!
 
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