BenchCoach Week VII

[BenchCoach]

Arizona Cardinals +3.5 -105
Arizona Cardinals +170
Jacksonville Jaguars -4 -108
Los Angeles Chargers +2.5 +100
Los Angeles Chargers +127
New Orleans Saints +4 -102
New Orleans Saints +185

these are all the system plays I have been working on this season...results week by week so far this season...plays depend on previous week stats so it begins in week 2...Play all dogs on the ML as well...Bold=winning wager, Italics=losing wager, Regular Font=Push...obviously there will be some regression here at some point. I do believe there is a consistent method here long term...I need to do more back testing as soon as I get the time (previous seasons). If there is anyone that is willing to do the back testing going back to previous seasons PM me and I will fill you in on how it works...easily the most interesting find I have come up with in the past few years...I'm off to cut a shit load of grass back around kickoff

WK2...GB +3, +145...SF +1, +105...SEA +4, +185
WK3...CAR +2.5, +127...BAL +5, +200...DET +4, +185, BUF -5.5, DAL -22, CHI -5
WK4...CAR +5.5, +215
WK5...NYG +5.5, +215...GB +4, +185...PHI -14
WK6...PIT +5.5, +215...HOU +4, +175

WK7...ARI +3.5, +170...LAC +2.5, +127...NO +4, +185...JAX -4

Results...Dogs ATS 9-1-1 (+7.9)
...Dogs ML 9-2 (+13.37)
...Favs ATS 3-1 (+1.90)

 

[L8kersFan74]

Hey BC. Excellent results on these so far. Quick question for ya... Do you at all factor in things like Saquon and Engram getting back on the field for the Giants this week (since they obviously were not there to affect the previous weeks results)?

 

[BenchCoach]

Hey BC. Excellent results on these so far. Quick question for ya... Do you at all factor in things like Saquon and Engram getting back on the field for the Giants this week (since they obviously were not there to affect the previous weeks results)?

no this only factors in previous weeks statistics. You are actually fading the teams from the previous week, it has nothing to do with the teams I am actually picking...Initially before I started tracking this I though the problem would be it would only be picking favorites but as you can see it is not the case so far...I am predicting that this system will do better in the first 8 weeks as opposed to the last 8 weeks...as we get deeper into the season I think there will be fewer and fewer dogs to pick from...if a team has a bye you simply play against them their next game, example would be Tampa for this week. They qualified as a fade this week but they have a bye so I will most likely play against them next week vs Tenn as long as Tenn doesn't qualify themselves

 

[C-MAN]

Wow Bench. Will be watching this system

 

[mrpickem]

Arizona Cardinals +3.5 -105
Arizona Cardinals +170
Jacksonville Jaguars -4 -108
Los Angeles Chargers +2.5 +100
Los Angeles Chargers +127
New Orleans Saints +4 -102
New Orleans Saints +185

these are all the system plays I have been working on this season...results week by week so far this season...plays depend on previous week stats so it begins in week 2...Play all dogs on the ML as well...Bold=winning wager, Italics=losing wager, Regular Font=Push...obviously there will be some regression here at some point. I do believe there is a consistent method here long term...I need to do more back testing as soon as I get the time (previous seasons). If there is anyone that is willing to do the back testing going back to previous seasons PM me and I will fill you in on how it works...easily the most interesting find I have come up with in the past few years...I'm off to cut a shit load of grass back around kickoff

WK2...GB +3, +145...SF +1, +105...SEA +4, +185
WK3...CAR +2.5, +127...BAL +5, +200...DET +4, +185, BUF -5.5, DAL -22, CHI -5
WK4...CAR +5.5, +215
WK5...NYG +5.5, +215...GB +4, +185...PHI -14
WK6...PIT +5.5, +215...HOU +4, +175

WK7...ARI +3.5, +170...LAC +2.5, +127...NO +4, +185...JAX -4

Results...Dogs ATS 9-1-1 (+7.9)
...Dogs ML 9-2 (+13.37)
...Favs ATS 3-1 (+1.90)

Interesting angle coach, dm me the details and I'll write a query to back check results

 

[BenchCoach]

CAR/SF un 20.5 -110 1H
CAR/SF un 41 -105