As you may know or not know I do live pretty close to Rustin LA. Every so often I get a few tips about the game plan of the Bulldogs. Without going into too much detail they are expecting a fairly conservative effort. Don't put your mortgage on it, these are still college coaches when they get in the game sometimes they panic and throw the game plan out the window. There is also some controversy having to do with UAB and shit for brains James Winston and point shaving pending. I also know a fairly well respected capper who agrees with this play and that's what made it two units for me. I don't really have any stats to back this one up in fact most of the stats and trends would point to the over...hope this helps