BCS Projections for Week 14 (via BCSGuru.com)--Voters F Texas for OU

[RJ Esq]

TECH BUBBLE BURST ROILS BCS MARKET

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Well, the BCS may have a crisis that mirrors the one in the real world.

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It was so easy last week that the Guru just knew there will be ample payback this time. If the caveman could do the projections last week, then this week's would require the combined brain power of Albert Einstein, Werner von Braun and Stephen Hawking, not to mention the psychoanalytic mind of Freud. This might be a bit out of the realm for a chump like me.

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But I'll try anyway.

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First thing first, we know two things for sure: Penn State is headed to the Rose Bowl, becoming the first team to clinch a BCS berth this season. Utah followed suit by completing a 12-0 season, becoming the first non-BCS team to win multiple BCS bowl berths.

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The rest is up in the air.

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Oklahoma's 65-21 annihilation of No. 2 Texas Tech sets up a near certainty of the BCS standings being employed to break a three-way tie in the Big 12 South - OU still must win at Oklahoma State next week, though. If the Sooners stumble, then the Red Raiders win the Big 12 South if they can handle Baylor at home.

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Take a deep breath and follow this one here: Texas can't win the Big 12 South on anything but the tiebreaker, and Oklahoma's blowout win made that a little more difficult. If the Longhorns don't get to play in the Big 12 title game, they still may play in the BCS title game. And even if they don't play in the BCS title game, they can still win the national championship - by winning the Fiesta Bowl and claiming the AP crown.

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The door is left slightly ajar for USC as well - ironically because Oregon State may keep the Trojans out of the Rose Bowl. If they end up playing Texas in the Fiesta Bowl, there is a chance for the Trojans to win the AP title - that chance doesn't exist if they face Penn State in Pasadena. In any event, there is virtually no chance for USC to play in the BCS championship game.

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Alabama will ascend to No. 1 in the BCS standings, without a doubt. After the Tide, I expect Oklahoma to narrowly edge Texas for the No. 2 spot this week. The voters will be very torn about where to place the 'Horns and Sooners, even though Texas did defeat Oklahoma on a neutral field back in October. The 65 points OU hung on Texas Tech would be difficult to ignore as well.

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Adding to the intrigue is that Texas coach Mack Brown has a vote in the coaches poll but OU coach Bob Stoops does not. The coaches do not have to reveal their ballots until the final regular-season poll, meaning that whatever Brown puts on his ballot will affect the tiebreaker - and it will stay a secret as well.

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Here's the Guru's projections for the Week 13 BCS standings:​

1. Alabama, 2. Oklahoma, 3. Texas, 4. Florida, 5. USC, 6. Utah, 7. Texas Tech, 8. Penn State, 9. Boise State, 10. Ohio State, 11. Georgia, 12. Oklahoma State, 13. Missouri, 14. Texas Christian, 15. Cincinnati.​

 

[Yanks27Sox9]

:36_11_6:

lol...i text u the same order...and get a "fuck you" in return.


but this is why i can't give texas the 2 hole. they were fortunate to even be in this game...let alone having the lead in the 4th quarter.


<table class="data" cellpadding="2" cellspacing="1"><tbody><tr class="datahead"></tr><tr class="datahead"><td>
</td> <td> Texas</td> <td> Texas Tech</td> </tr> <tr class="datarow"> <td>Score</td> <td>33</td> <td>39</td> </tr> <tr class="datarow"> <td>First downs</td> <td> 18</td> <td> 31</td> </tr> <tr class="datarow"> <td>3rd Down Efficiency</td> <td> 4-for-12
33% </td> <td> 8-for-16
50% </td> </tr> <tr class="datarow"> <td>4th Down Efficiency</td> <td> 1-for-1
100% </td> <td> 0-for-0
0% </td> </tr> <tr class="datarow"> <td>Total Yards </td> <td>374</td> <td>579</td> </tr> <tr class="datarow"> <td colspan="3">Rushing</td> </tr> <tr class="datarow"> <td>Rushes-Net Yards</td> <td> 28-80</td> <td> 28-105</td> </tr> <tr class="datarow"> <td>Average Per Rush</td> <td> 2.9</td> <td> 3.8</td> </tr> <tr class="datarow"> <td colspan="3">Passing</td> </tr> <tr class="datarow"> <td>Comp-Att</td> <td> 20-34</td> <td> 36-53</td> </tr> <tr class="datarow"> <td>Passing Yards</td> <td> 294</td> <td> 474</td> </tr> <tr class="datarow"> <td>Average Per Pass Play</td> <td> 8.6</td> <td> 8.9</td> </tr> <tr class="datarow"> <td>Penalties-Yards</td> <td> 8-56</td> <td> 8-78</td> </tr> <tr class="datarow"> <td>Fumbles-Lost</td> <td> 0-1</td> <td> 0-1</td> </tr> <tr class="datarow"> <td>Interceptions Thrown </td> <td>1</td> <td>0</td> </tr> <tr class="datarow"> <td>Time of Possession</td> <td> 23:07</td> <td> 36:53</td></tr></tbody></table>

anyways...down the stretch...the 2 most impressive wins (to me) were tonight's Okie beat down of Tech, and Florida's ass-raping of Scary.

and also as of tonight...unless bama beats florida in the sec champ game...that's basically the mnc game i expect to see.

 

[RetroVK]

utah isn't number 2 ?

 

[Yanks27Sox9]

utah isn't number 2 ?

i'd put them as high as 5, i guess...even though i'd also favor usc over them (by quite a bit) in a hypothetical matchup.

but what's funny is that the (eventual) pac-10 winner isn't even in the top 15...while the runner up in the pac-10 is currently 5th.

 

[RetroVK]

winner of the mwc should be higher ranked than any pac ten team

 

[Yanks27Sox9]

winner of the mwc should be higher ranked than any pac ten team

not going to argue that.

but match any of them up against usc...put the line at usc -13...and i'd be a pounding that big fav asap.

 

[majent]

winner of the mwc should be higher ranked than any pac ten team

This is a broadstroke statement that would be completely unfair. To rank Utah ahead of USC considering that USC's win over Ohio State trumps any win by Utah, would defy college football sense and logic.

If they meet in the Fiesta like CFN.com is projecting, the Trojans will DESTROY them. I'd be curious to see your blanket opinion after that.

 

[majent]

Yes, I know Utah beat Oregon State, but that was in Salt Lake. USC had to go to Corvallis.

 

[RetroVK]

This is a broadstroke statement that would be completely unfair. To rank Utah ahead of USC considering that USC's win over Ohio State trumps any win by Utah, would defy college football sense and logic.

If they meet in the Fiesta like CFN.com is projecting, the Trojans will DESTROY them. I'd be curious to see your blanket opinion after that.

wtf does who would win have to do with it ??

utah has more quality wins than usc, plays in a tougher conference than usc , defeated the team that defeated usc , and is undefeated . The fact that you and i believe that usc would whip their pants is not relevant. It should be based on actual on the field accomplishments. Usc underachieved again , which is a staple of pete carroll but somehow he always gets a free pass.

you are confusing who i think would win vs who i think deserves to be ranked higher.

I guess alabama should be ranked 11th or so , since there are atleast ten teams who i think would beat them on a neutral. come on, majent , you are better than that.

 

[majent]

wtf does who would win have to do with it ??

utah has more quality wins than usc, plays in a tougher conference than usc , defeated the team that defeated usc , and is undefeated . The fact that you and i believe that usc would whip their pants is not relevant. It should be based on actual on the field accomplishments. Usc underachieved again , which is a staple of pete carroll but somehow he always gets a free pass.

you are confusing who i think would win vs who i think deserves to be ranked higher.

I guess alabama should be ranked 11th or so , since there are atleast ten teams who i think would beat them on a neutral. come on, majent , you are better than that.

I was not interjecting the "who would win argument", I brought in the "who I think will win if they meet" opinion.

Please explain to me why Utah should be ranked above ANY Pac-10 opponent. Yes, the MWC had some success this season vs. the Pac-10, but did those wins occur vs USC, Cal, Oregon?

No, they occurred vs. Oregon State (Utah beat them by 3 in SLC), Arizona (lost to N. Mexico), ASU (lost to UNLV at home in OT), UCLA (lost at BYU). Etc. Basically all the crap teams.

USC's win over Ohio State alone is better than any win Utah has on their schedule.

 

[majent]

Your argument reminds me of something an SEC fan said recently. He said that the SEC champion should automatically be placed in the BCS title game, regardless of record.

I responded that in 2006, the SEC was so down that it required USC to lose to UCLA on the championship Saturday in December for Florida to sneak into the BCS title game.

I went on to say that in 2007, the SEC was so down that it required WVA to lose to PITT on the championship Saturday in December for LSU to sneak into the BCS title game.

He had a dumbfounded look on his face and had no response.

 

[RetroVK]

The one loss usc has overrides any legitimate argument that they would have to be ranked higher than utah. They would have to have an incredible difference in strength of schedule in order ot overcome that.

In my opinion that does not exist. Yes the ohio state win is head and shoulders better than any win utah has .......and utah did themselves no favors with instate rival utah state and weber state on the schedule this year. I get that. But this is the worst pac-10 i have seen in a long long time. TCU would be the second best team in the pac-10 ( hehe utah wouldn't ).

Again , not arguing that usc isn't better than utah .. just saying that utah is more deserving of a title shot if it came down to a decision between the two.

The system is so up the arse of the big conferences that there will never be a true champion in this sport. I don't give a crap , i just want to make money of these kids.

 

[Yanks27Sox9]

I don't give a crap , i just want to make money of these kids.

yessir. that, and i'm praying for some excellent matchups in the bowls. don't wanna see a UGA stomp all over a Hawaii, as an example.

 

[booksbestfriend]

Your argument reminds me of something an SEC fan said recently. He said that the SEC champion should automatically be placed in the BCS title game, regardless of record.

I responded that in 2006, the SEC was so down that it required USC to lose to UCLA on the championship Saturday in December for Florida to sneak into the BCS title game.

I went on to say that in 2007, the SEC was so down that it required WVA to lose to PITT on the championship Saturday in December for LSU to sneak into the BCS title game.

He had a dumbfounded look on his face and had no response.

I try not to argue with other point of views, but with these two scenerios the SEC teams both kicked the shit out of Ohio St. I agree that winning the SEC does not allow them the automatic bid to the NC, but these two examples can be met with more than a dumbfounded look.