Bailey81
Pretty much a regular
Tuesday: 1-4 (-3.55 units)
YTD: 24-14 (+14.05 units)
I've always gravitated a bit more towards totals, but in the last week, losing 3 unders in the ninth inning stings. Damn. Jeter's 3 run HR last night pushed the Yanks/Rays game over. OK, got that out. Moving on.
New York @ Tampa Bay
Love the matchup here for the Yankees as they can secure a winning road trip before heading back to the Bronx to open their new stadium. I think they build on a nice W last night. Pettitte is 15-4 with a 3.63 ERA lifetime vs the Rays. He's 8-2 with a 3.72 ERA at Tropicana Field in 12 starts. He looked really sharp in his first outing vs KC going 7 innings giving up only 1 run on 3 hits. He still has one of the best pickoff moves ever and that helps negate some of TB's speed on the basepaths. Often overlooked, but I think important. The Yankees got Teixeira back last night and it looks like the wrist is better when he's hitting lefty which he'll be doing today. Swisher's swining a hot bat and should be in the lineup and Jeter had a nice day yesterday. Sonnanstine had a rough first outing for TB, going 4 2/3 giving up 5 runs on 8 hits to Baltimore. He's 2-1 with a 6.08 ERA vs the Yanks. He got hit a bit this Spring as well...1-1 with a 5.28 ERA. The TB offense was shut down last night by Burnett and I think Pettitte will follow a similar game plan. Longoria is only 1-8 vs Pettitte. Yanks didn't have to use Rivera last night and with Burnett going so deep, the 'pen got a much needed rest. This is a pretty cheap price IMO and my first 3 unit play of the year.
Play: Yankees -109 (3 units)
Cleveland @ Kansas City
Can the Royals finish off the sweep today? I'm not sure they can feel too confident with Sidney Ponson on the hill. He gave up 4 runs on 6 hits in 6 innings in his first outing vs the Yankees. In 12 starts vs Cleveland, he's 0-7 with a 9.15 ERA. That's not very promising. The Indians offense hasn't been capitalizing on its chances - leaving 16 runners on base last night, and 12 the night before. I think they'll get a few of those key hits today vs Ponson. Last night the KC offense finally showed some life. DeJesus, Butler, and Jackson each had 2 hits. KC has certainly been struggling to score. But today they face Aaron Laffey, who Cleveland had to call up from AAA. Laffey's spring saw him go 1-2 with a 6.92 ERA, good enough to leave him off the big league roster. Last year with the Indians, Laffey was 5-7 with a 4.23 ERA. I think both offenses get on track today and we see plenty of runs from both sides. Expect an inspired effort from Cleveland today vs a mediocre pitcher as they try to avoid the sweep.
Play: Indians/Royals Over 9.5 -105 (2 units)
I've got a few more coming later. Hoping to turn things back in the right direction.
GLA.
YTD: 24-14 (+14.05 units)
I've always gravitated a bit more towards totals, but in the last week, losing 3 unders in the ninth inning stings. Damn. Jeter's 3 run HR last night pushed the Yanks/Rays game over. OK, got that out. Moving on.
New York @ Tampa Bay
Love the matchup here for the Yankees as they can secure a winning road trip before heading back to the Bronx to open their new stadium. I think they build on a nice W last night. Pettitte is 15-4 with a 3.63 ERA lifetime vs the Rays. He's 8-2 with a 3.72 ERA at Tropicana Field in 12 starts. He looked really sharp in his first outing vs KC going 7 innings giving up only 1 run on 3 hits. He still has one of the best pickoff moves ever and that helps negate some of TB's speed on the basepaths. Often overlooked, but I think important. The Yankees got Teixeira back last night and it looks like the wrist is better when he's hitting lefty which he'll be doing today. Swisher's swining a hot bat and should be in the lineup and Jeter had a nice day yesterday. Sonnanstine had a rough first outing for TB, going 4 2/3 giving up 5 runs on 8 hits to Baltimore. He's 2-1 with a 6.08 ERA vs the Yanks. He got hit a bit this Spring as well...1-1 with a 5.28 ERA. The TB offense was shut down last night by Burnett and I think Pettitte will follow a similar game plan. Longoria is only 1-8 vs Pettitte. Yanks didn't have to use Rivera last night and with Burnett going so deep, the 'pen got a much needed rest. This is a pretty cheap price IMO and my first 3 unit play of the year.
Play: Yankees -109 (3 units)
Cleveland @ Kansas City
Can the Royals finish off the sweep today? I'm not sure they can feel too confident with Sidney Ponson on the hill. He gave up 4 runs on 6 hits in 6 innings in his first outing vs the Yankees. In 12 starts vs Cleveland, he's 0-7 with a 9.15 ERA. That's not very promising. The Indians offense hasn't been capitalizing on its chances - leaving 16 runners on base last night, and 12 the night before. I think they'll get a few of those key hits today vs Ponson. Last night the KC offense finally showed some life. DeJesus, Butler, and Jackson each had 2 hits. KC has certainly been struggling to score. But today they face Aaron Laffey, who Cleveland had to call up from AAA. Laffey's spring saw him go 1-2 with a 6.92 ERA, good enough to leave him off the big league roster. Last year with the Indians, Laffey was 5-7 with a 4.23 ERA. I think both offenses get on track today and we see plenty of runs from both sides. Expect an inspired effort from Cleveland today vs a mediocre pitcher as they try to avoid the sweep.
Play: Indians/Royals Over 9.5 -105 (2 units)
I've got a few more coming later. Hoping to turn things back in the right direction.
GLA.
