tuck321
Not all those who wander are lost
Last 20 at home Denver is 14-6.
Laying 9 which is available for Portland at the Greek they are 8-6 in those wins.
The other side of that is taking gets you 12-8 wins.
Too simplistic? I agree.
Lets look at the last 5 covers by Denver at home.
1. 115-89 vs Miami
2. 123-107 vs Clippers
3. 112-91 Bulls
4. 115-83 Knicks
5. 110-93 Portland Portland was on a 4 game win steak.
The last 2 covers this season were
6. 122-100 Cleveland
7. 120-103 Seattle
The Bulls when they played Denver were 2-8 and playing 4 in 6.
The Clippers were in a 2-7 funk when they played at Denver and Denver lost to them in the playoffs 2 years ago and loves to beat them. Do not think I need to talk about Cleveland and Seattle.
When they crushed Portland Portland was 0-3 on the road and playing b-b. They had been allowed to hang around because it was convenient by the Spurs, had been crushed by the Hornets and were being crushed by Houston by 16 but were allowed to come back 7 in the fourth. The truth is Portland has been very lucky this year normally hitting teams in great spots. Denver in b-b last 20 is 8-12. Ats they are 8-11-1. In the 4 home games that were listed they were 2-2 su and 1-3 ats.
When Portland beat the Griz it was not a good spot. They did it anyway. When Portland beat Utah in Portland it was not a good spot but they did it anyway. They have won 2 road games since the last bloodbath in Denver and they are not playing b-b. This is a team that has been lucky but has also improved.
In a game where Parker did not play and Duncan did very little Denver was down by 22 after 3 quarters yesterday. Think that should be regarded as a negative for them today. Teams benefit by playing well not bad. I think Portland remembers their 4 game winning streak and will play seriously today. Might play a little ml but it is clear that currently Denver is very willing to win by small margins so I see the spread as having real value. GL
Laying 9 which is available for Portland at the Greek they are 8-6 in those wins.
The other side of that is taking gets you 12-8 wins.
Too simplistic? I agree.
Lets look at the last 5 covers by Denver at home.
1. 115-89 vs Miami
2. 123-107 vs Clippers
3. 112-91 Bulls
4. 115-83 Knicks
5. 110-93 Portland Portland was on a 4 game win steak.
The last 2 covers this season were
6. 122-100 Cleveland
7. 120-103 Seattle
The Bulls when they played Denver were 2-8 and playing 4 in 6.
The Clippers were in a 2-7 funk when they played at Denver and Denver lost to them in the playoffs 2 years ago and loves to beat them. Do not think I need to talk about Cleveland and Seattle.
When they crushed Portland Portland was 0-3 on the road and playing b-b. They had been allowed to hang around because it was convenient by the Spurs, had been crushed by the Hornets and were being crushed by Houston by 16 but were allowed to come back 7 in the fourth. The truth is Portland has been very lucky this year normally hitting teams in great spots. Denver in b-b last 20 is 8-12. Ats they are 8-11-1. In the 4 home games that were listed they were 2-2 su and 1-3 ats.
When Portland beat the Griz it was not a good spot. They did it anyway. When Portland beat Utah in Portland it was not a good spot but they did it anyway. They have won 2 road games since the last bloodbath in Denver and they are not playing b-b. This is a team that has been lucky but has also improved.
In a game where Parker did not play and Duncan did very little Denver was down by 22 after 3 quarters yesterday. Think that should be regarded as a negative for them today. Teams benefit by playing well not bad. I think Portland remembers their 4 game winning streak and will play seriously today. Might play a little ml but it is clear that currently Denver is very willing to win by small margins so I see the spread as having real value. GL
