Atlanta

[stltk]

Season + .6225 units.

From Jayski.com
Most Wins by Manufacturer: 39 - Chevy; 29 - Ford; 9 - Dodge; 3 - ToyotaRaces won from starting pos 1: 14 [of 108]
Races won from starting pos 2: 12
Races won from starting pos 3: 9
Races won from starting pos 4: 10
Races won from starting pos 5: 15
Races won from starting pos 6: 4
Races won from starting pos 7: 6
Races won from starting pos 8: 6
Races won from starting pos 9: 7
Races won from starting pos 10: 2
Races won from starting pos 11: 4
Races won from starting pos 12,13,15,18,19,22,31,35,39: 1
Races won from starting pos 14,17,20,21,37: 2
Races won from the top 5: 60 of 108 Races won from the top 10: 85 of 108

 

[Schrute]

Whoa great info

 

[stltk]

Last 9 winners:
15 - Johnson
14 - Kahne
13 - Kyle B
12 - Denny
11 - Gordon
10 - Stewart & Kurt B. (2 races)
09 - Kurt B. & Kahne (2 races)

Last 6 are all Hendrick or Gibbs

 

[stltk]

Atlanta Qualifying
Really don't know how qualifying is going to play out but thought these are worth a shot at plus money:
Kenseth over Kyle B. .1 = .1. L
Jr. over Truex .15 = .1575. L
-.25

 

[WISEGUY36]

Atlanta Qualifying
Really don't know how qualifying is going to play out but thought these are worth a shot at plus money:
Kenseth over Kyle B. .1 = .1
Jr. over Truex .15 = .1575

Good Luck on your qualifying plays Bud :shake:

 

[WISEGUY36]

It will be interesting to see which teams have the best grasp on the " Low Downforce Package " that will be used.
This is where driving skills matter.

Good Luck , Bud :shake:

 

[stltk]

I absolutely agree. As they continue to try to make the cars more "racier" and make it easier to pass, the best drivers will rise to the top of the pack. They are all so good there is not much separating 1 from 40, but a little thing here or there is all it takes.


Also interesting only 39 entries for a 40 car field

 

[stltk]

Not off to a good start this weekend. -.25 so far
Year Total +.3725

 

[Coolslaw1]

almost makes a field bet playable.

 

[stltk]

Just saw Kyle b time is disallowed because he failed post race inspection. Wonder if 5dimes gives me at least a push.

 

[Coolslaw1]

I'd be suprised

 

[stltk]

just got off live help with 5dimes and they said it would be changed to a win. nothing yet. if they do change it, I got lucky.

 

[stltk]

they switched it to a W. I guess this would be the opposite of a bad beat.
update with change
-.05 so far
Year Total +.5725

Looks like the gibbs cars will be the hard too beat in the xfinity. have to see what the odds look like.

 

[Fondybadger]

'grats on the change to a win. So roughly 60% of the winners in the race historically start in the top 5? Will have to keep that in mind. Just hope I can find some time to get my match-ups in. My girlfriend is a "celebrity judge" at a bloody mary contest tomorrow morning so I'll be half in the bag by race time.

 

[stltk]

that's nice work if you can get it:cheers3:
I love a good spicy bloody mary

 

[stltk]

yea just short of 60% start in the top 5 and just short of 85% start in the top 10.
Kyle Busch might be an exception tomorrow, because he qualified #1 but was moved to the back because:
Kyle Busch's qualifying time disallowed: #18-Kyle Busch's pole-winning car failed post-qualifying technical inspection Friday night at Atlanta Motor Speedway, putting his brother Kurt Busch on the pole for Sunday's NASCAR Sprint Cup race. NASCAR said the degree to which the vertical angle of Kyle Busch's rear wheels were skewed -- called the toe -- was illegal but that there would be no further penalties other than disallowing his qualifying time. The defending Sprint Cup champion will start the Folds of Honor 500 last in the field at 39th.
NASCAR senior VP of competition Scott Miller said NASCAR began measuring rear toe after qualifying this season at the drivers' request. The maximum rear toe allowed in postqualifying inspection is 0.15 degrees more than in prequalifying inspection. "Teams asked for it, we instituted it and they didn't pass," Miller said. "The others [that went through tech] passed."
More rear skew could improve performance by helping maintain speed through corners, though Kyle Busch crew chief Adam Stevens said the thousands of an inch that the car was in violation wouldn't have made a difference. The car passed prequalifying tech, and Stevens seemed thankful the team learned its lesson instead of in a race, where they would have likely faced a fine and points penalty.
"The parts move, everything moves, so you expect it to be a little bit different," Stevens said. "This is the first opportunity we've had to gather post [qualifying] information, was right now, and it's game time and it was too much. ... Just the amount of load on the track moves everything a little bit, and that little bit was a little bit too much."(ESPN.com)(2-26-2016)

Kyle will be fast tomorrow!

 

[stltk]

Xfinity:
To win
Kyle .3 = .66
Erik Jones .05 = .25
Suarez .05 = .75
Figuring Kyle wins this thing, unless something weird happens (gets caught up in wreck, problems on pit road or becomes a fuel mileage race, etc.), but took the other gibbs cars for a small amount. They are starting 1, 2 & 3.
Harvick, Kez, Larson are probably the others that could challenge for the W.

Kez over Harvick .1 = .125 (Kez was faster than Harvick in every practice)
E. Jones over Menard .185 = .1 (Jones was 1, 2, 1 in three practices)
Suarez over Ty Dillon .145 = .1 (Suarez was 1 & 4 in the last 2 practices)
Sadler over Ty Dillon .05 = .0725 (This is just a bet against Ty and for Sadler)
Gaughan over Wallace Jr. .14 = .1 (Gaughan was faster than Wallace in all 3 practices)
Larson over Menard .17 = .1 (Just think Larson will be better than menard)

 

[STEED]

GL bro

 

[stltk]

thx steed

 

[stltk]

Last years cup race in Atlanta:
1 37 48 Jimmie Johnson Lowe's Chevrolet 325 47 4 126.7 $335,901 Running 6 92
2 2 4 Kevin Harvick Jimmy John's Budweiser Chevrolet 325 44 2 131.2 $284,080 Running 6 116
3 9 88 Dale Earnhardt Jr. Kelley Blue Book Chevrolet 325 42 1 120.4 $184,755 Running 1 1
4 1 22 Joey Logano Shell Pennzoil Ford 325 41 1 126.9 $198,838 Running 5 84
5 36 20 Matt Kenseth Dollar General Toyota 325 40 1 97.6 $170,891 Running 2 10
6 14 78 Martin Truex Jr. Furniture Row Chevrolet 325 38 103.2 $150,615 Running
7 11 47 AJ Allmendinger Better Than Bouillon Chevrolet 325 37 86.6 $152,278 Running
8 22 55 Brett Moffitt Aaron's 60th Anniversary Dream Machine Toyota 325 37 1 77.5 $144,284 Running 1 1
9 12 2 Brad Keselowski Detroit Genuine Parts Ford 325 36 1 96.0 $159,261 Running 1 2
10 7 31 Ryan Newman Caterpillar Chevrolet 325 34 93.9 $144,720 Running
11 23 43 Aric Almirola Fresh from Florida Ford 325 33 82.1 $148,746 Running
12 5 19 Carl Edwards ARRIS Toyota 325 32 105.7 $107,285 Running
13 13 27 Paul Menard Duracell/Menards Chevrolet 325 31 79.0 $118,085 Running
14 10 5 Kasey Kahne Farmers Insurance Chevrolet 324 30 99.1 $122,985 Running
15 21 13 Casey Mears GEICO Chevrolet 324 29 74.5 $132,943 Running
16 18 10 Danica Patrick GoDaddy Chevrolet 324 28 70.4 $115,760 Running
17 38 41 Regan Smith(i) Haas Automation Chevrolet 324 0 61.0 $120,460 Running
18 17 18 David Ragan M&M's Crispy Toyota 323 26 78.1 $146,651 Running
19 29 6 Trevor Bayne AdvoCare Ford 323 25 63.4 $145,510 Running
20 16 51 Justin Allgaier Brandt Chevrolet 323 24 63.2 $126,593 Running
21 8 9 Sam Hornish Jr. Medallion Bank Ford 323 23 60.7 $129,480 Running
22 26 38 David Gilliland Love's Travel Stops Ford 322 23 1 50.6 $121,868 Running 1 1
23 42 7 Alex Bowman Nikko/Toy State Chevrolet 322 21 53.4 $110,982 Running
24 25 15 Clint Bowyer 5-Hour Energy Toyota 321 21 1 73.9 $134,768 Running 1 1
25 19 16 Greg Biffle Ortho Ford 320 19 60.4 $130,843 Running
26 6 42 Kyle Larson Energizer Chevrolet 320 18 76.3 $127,018 Running
27 24 95 Michael McDowell Thrivent Financial Ford 320 17 43.8 $95,310 Running
28 31 62 Brendan Gaughan(i) A-S Medication Solutions Chevrolet 320 0 40.1 $97,785 Running
29 32 33 Michael Annett Pilot/Flying J Chevrolet 319 15 37.0 $97,510 Running
30 39 14 Tony Stewart Bass Pro Shops/Mobil 1 Chevrolet 319 14 52.6 $126,074 Running
31 27 32 Mike Bliss(i) Rimrock Design Ford 318 0 36.7 $96,710 Running 2 2
32 33 98 Josh Wise Phil Parsons Racing Ford 318 12 31.4 $94,035 Running
33 28 34 Joe Nemechek(i) CSX Play It Safe Ford 318 0 39.2 $93,860 Running 1 1
34 30 23 JJ Yeley(i) Dr. Pepper Toyota 316 0 30.4 $93,710 Running
35 40 26 Jeb Burton # Maxim Fantasy Sports App Toyota 316 9 30.5 $95,035 Running
36 20 17 Ricky Stenhouse Jr. Fifth Third Bank Ford 302 8 53.8 $101,370 Accident
37 41 35 Cole Whitt Rinnai Tankless Water Heaters Ford 295 7 42.5 $93,204 Engine
38 4 11 Denny Hamlin FedEx Ground Toyota 284 7 1 93.0 $111,105 Running 2 14
39 15 3 Austin Dillon DOW Chevrolet 282 5 44.4 $120,801 Running
40 3 1 Jamie McMurray McDonald's Chevrolet 256 4 73.4 $110,356 Accident
41 35 24 Jeff Gordon 3M Chevrolet 256 3 71.3 $124,401 Accident
42 34 30 Ron Hornaday Jr. Curtis Key Plumbing Chevrolet 187 2 24.8 $71,865 Rear Gear
43 43 40 Landon Cassill(i) Snap Fitness Chevrolet 92 0 37.6 $68,365 Engine

 

[stltk]

2015:
Winner came from 37th
only 13 cars on the lead lap at the end.
(#1, #11, #24, #31accident on the backstretch [55]); 299-304; 306-311 (#14, #15. #16. #17, #34, #42 accident in Turn 3 [Red: 9:01]
Big names at the back of the pack got into wrecks.

 

[HUNT]

Gl sl

 

[stltk]

Xfinity:
To win
Kyle .3 = .66 W .66
Erik Jones .05 = .25 L -.05
Suarez .05 = .75 L -.05

Kez over Harvick .1 = .125 W .125
E. Jones over Menard .185 = .1 W .1
Suarez over Ty Dillon .145 = .1 L -.145
Sadler over Ty Dillon .05 = .0725 L -.05
Gaughan over Wallace Jr. .14 = .1 W .1
Larson over Menard .17 = .1 W .1
Got lucky on the betting against menard. Shouldn't have bet against Ty. Otherwise a good day. +.79 for the day. +1.3625 overall

 

[stltk]

Camping World Trucks:
Suarez .05 = .275
Field .05 = .2875
Bell .05 = .375
Custer .05 = .55
Sauter .05 = .6


Custer over Reddick .135 = .1

Field is everyone but these guys
[TABLE="class: lines, width: 406"]
<tbody>[TR="class: linesFuturesRow"]
[TD]Matt Crafton[/TD]
[TD] <input name="C_91" id="editx" size="4"> +125[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: linesFuturesRow"]
[TD]Daniel Suarez[/TD]
[TD] <input name="C_92" id="editx" size="4"> +550[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: linesFuturesRow"]
[TD]Field (any other driver)[/TD]
[TD] <input name="C_93" id="editx" size="4"> +575[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: linesFuturesRow"]
[TD]Christopher Bell[/TD]
[TD] <input name="C_94" id="editx" size="4"> +750[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: linesFuturesRow"]
[TD]Timothy Peters[/TD]
[TD] <input name="C_95" id="editx" size="4"> +900[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: linesFuturesRow"]
[TD]Cole Custer[/TD]
[TD] <input name="C_96" id="editx" size="4"> +1100[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: linesFuturesRow"]
[TD]Johnny Sauter[/TD]
[TD] <input name="C_97" id="editx" size="4"> +1200[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: linesFuturesRow"]
[TD]Tyler Reddick[/TD]
[TD] <input name="C_98" id="editx" size="4"> +1300[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: linesFuturesRow"]
[TD]Daniel Hemric[/TD]
[TD] <input name="C_99" id="editx" size="4"> +2000[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: linesFuturesRow"]
[TD]Ryan Truex[/TD]
[TD] <input name="C_100" id="editx" size="4"> +2500[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: linesFuturesRow"]
[TD]John Hunter Nemechek[/TD]
[TD] <input name="C_101" id="editx" size="4"> +2500[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: linesFuturesRow"]
[TD]Parker Kligerman[/TD]
[TD] <input name="C_102" id="editx" size="4"> +3800[/TD]
[/TR]
</tbody>[/TABLE]

 

[stltk]

Crafton is obviously a big favorite. I think I'm in good shape as long as he doesn't winrayer

 

[stltk]

Camping World Trucks:
Suarez .05 = .275.
Field .05 = .2875
Bell .05 = .375
Custer .05 = .55
Sauter .05 = .6


Custer over Reddick .135 = .1
All losers. - .385.
Got greedy! Thought I had winner when crafting wrecked and hill was leading w 4 or 5 to go. Oh well. Hopefully clears my head for Sunday.
Total + .9825

 

[stltk]

I took kenseth earlier at 8.5 to 1, should have waited now it’s at 9 to 1, Kurt at 16.5 to 1, I got the better of this one, it’s at 11 to1 now & Junior at 17 to 1, should have waited it’s now 20 to 1.

Atlanta to W .55 total on the line
Kurt B. .1 = 1.425 (added .05 at 12 to 1, on oddsmaker)
Junior .05 = .85
Kenseth .05 = .425
Harvick .05 = .275
Newman .05 = 2.25
Stenhouse .05 = 12.25
Kyle B. .05 = .4
Truex .05 = .8
McMurray .05 = 2
Field .05 = 1.25 (bet this for fun, have everyone but the 19listed below, oddsmaker)

Bet too many drivers again, but I think this think is prettyopen today. Hoping one of the longshotscome in.Some I even bet just to cut myloses if they win, i.e. Harvick & Kyle Busch.Edwards, JJ & A. Dillon are 3 that I don’thave that could cause me problems.
All bet at 5dimes, except the 2 mentioned above<o></o

Kurt over Junior .135 = .1
Elliott over Blaney .14 = .1
Stenhouse over his girlfriend .16 = .1
A Dillon over Elliott .12 = .1
A lot of chalk today!
Bet on 5dimes

<tbody>
[TD="class: name"]Kevin Harvick
[/TD]
[TD="class: spread_price"] +450
[/TD]
[TD="class: spread_price_bet divider"] Bet
[/TD]
[TD="class: name"]Joey Logano
[/TD]
[TD="class: spread_price"] +600
[/TD]
[TD="class: spread_price_bet"] Bet
[/TD]

[TD="class: name"]Jimmie Johnson
[/TD]
[TD="class: spread_price"] +750
[/TD]
[TD="class: spread_price_bet divider"] Bet
[/TD]
[TD="class: name"]Kyle Busch
[/TD]
[TD="class: spread_price"] +750
[/TD]
[TD="class: spread_price_bet"] Bet
[/TD]

[TD="class: name"]Matt Kenseth
[/TD]
[TD="class: spread_price"] +850
[/TD]
[TD="class: spread_price_bet divider"] Bet
[/TD]
[TD="class: name"]Brad Keselowski
[/TD]
[TD="class: spread_price"] +850
[/TD]
[TD="class: spread_price_bet"] Bet
[/TD]

[TD="class: name"]Denny Hamlin
[/TD]
[TD="class: spread_price"] +500
[/TD]
[TD="class: spread_price_bet divider"] Bet
[/TD]
[TD="class: name"]Carl Edwards
[/TD]
[TD="class: spread_price"] +1,000
[/TD]
[TD="class: spread_price_bet"] Bet
[/TD]

[TD="class: name"]Martin Truex Jr
[/TD]
[TD="class: spread_price"] +1,500
[/TD]
[TD="class: spread_price_bet divider"] Bet
[/TD]
[TD="class: name"]Kurt Busch
[/TD]
[TD="class: spread_price"] +1,200
[/TD]
[TD="class: spread_price_bet"] Bet
[/TD]

[TD="class: name"]Dale Earnhardt Jr
[/TD]
[TD="class: spread_price"] +2,000
[/TD]
[TD="class: spread_price_bet divider"] Bet
[/TD]
[TD="class: name"]Kasey Kahne
[/TD]
[TD="class: spread_price"] +2,500
[/TD]
[TD="class: spread_price_bet"] Bet
[/TD]

[TD="class: name"]Kyle Larson
[/TD]
[TD="class: spread_price"] +1,500
[/TD]
[TD="class: spread_price_bet divider"] Bet
[/TD]
[TD="class: name"]Austin Dillon
[/TD]
[TD="class: spread_price"] +4,000
[/TD]
[TD="class: spread_price_bet"] Bet
[/TD]

[TD="class: name"]Chase Elliott
[/TD]
[TD="class: spread_price"] +4,000
[/TD]
[TD="class: spread_price_bet divider"] Bet
[/TD]
[TD="class: name"]Jamie McMurray
[/TD]
[TD="class: spread_price"] +2,500
[/TD]
[TD="class: spread_price_bet"] Bet
[/TD]

[TD="class: name"]Ryan Newman
[/TD]
[TD="class: spread_price"] +5,000
[/TD]
[TD="class: spread_price_bet divider"] Bet
[/TD]
[TD="class: name"]Clint Bowyer
[/TD]
[TD="class: spread_price"] +5,000
[/TD]
[TD="class: spread_price_bet"] Bet
[/TD]

[TD="class: name"]Danica Patrick
[/TD]
[TD="class: spread_price"] +10,000
[/TD]
[TD="class: spread_price_bet divider"] Bet
[/TD]
[TD="class: name"]Field (Any Other Driver)
[/TD]
[TD="class: spread_price"] +2,500
[/TD]
[TD="class: spread_price_bet"][/TD]

</tbody>

 

[stltk]

Elliott over Blaney .14 = .1
Stenhouse over his girlfriend .16 = .1
Won these two but lost everything else for a total lose of -.605 on the day.
New total + .2675
The weekend started good with the xfinity race, but was bad news for the trucks and cup races.
On to Vegas baby!