At least we got CUBS/CARDS

[mrpickem]

I'm glad they got at least one game today. Last couple years they took 4 full days off.

First look shows Hendricks has been a very bad bet L365

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but Cubs a very respectable 21-12 @ home this year in conf. However, once again the under cashes over 60% of the time for 17% ROI
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Tough call as C-MArt has been unpredictable at best this year and Kyle has been pretty bad(win-wise) so how do you lean under...lmao

WTF...at least we got ACTION!

 

[mrpickem]

View attachment 33480View attachment 33481View attachment 33482

 

[mrpickem]

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[mrpickem]

both cubs/cards 9-5 in 1st game after break since '04...here's how the rest of the teams did

 

[Ryno14]

I lean over tonight. Think it's tough to count on Hendricks having turned it around over a few off days. Expect Cubs to hit Martinez. We should know early as both of these pitchers have been awful in the first inning this year.

 

[cubsker]

Hendricks looked a little better his last two times out. He gets in mechanical ruts where his location suffers. Sounded like maybe he figured it out. We shall see.

 

[mrpickem]

C-Mart has looked good last 4 starts as well...only allowing 3 runs once and a total of 10 runs over last 4. Also they faced off 6/18 and cubs won 6-3 at SL while both starters allowed 3runs. The SL pen not near as good and would likely sink SL unless Carlos goes very deep(not likely)

I hate backing Hendricks but my plays are

• 952 Chicago Cubs -1 -115
• 951 St. Louis Cardinals/Chicago Cubs Under 9½ -105

 

[austinhous]

run support

Hendricks had a bumpy first half as he battled his fastball command, but he also suffered from a lack of run support. The Cubs scored a single run in eight of the 28-year-old's 19 starts.

Hendricks 34-20 SU as the home favorite (31-4 SU when Cubs score more than 2 runs).

 

[austinhous]

Why narrow your L365 query down to conference games only? Seems arbitrary like you're reaching (I'll admit that's kind of dickish to say). Instead of NL games only, I think narrowing down to division games divisional home games only might give you another good angle on the under though. I'm a SDQL snob I'll admit. Only one game in town probably has me in a bad mood. :rolleyes:

 

[Hollywood Beaker]

No point in starting a new thread...Danley behind the plate.

 

[austinhous]

Here's one for you --> In his entire career, Hendricks is the most profitable starter in the MLB at cashing the under at home.

 

[mrpickem]

Why narrow your L365 query down to conference games only? Seems arbitrary like you're reaching (I'll admit that's kind of dickish to say). Instead of NL games only, I think narrowing down to division games divisional home games only might give you another good angle on the under though. I'm a SDQL snob I'll admit. Only one game in town probably has me in a bad mood. :rolleyes:

I actually did it both ways. I think DIV would have been better parameter but I also value conference games as well. Everything I looked at was pointing under except if u look at games with total 9 or higher at CHI...then it goes 27-16 over last 4 years in division https://goo.gl/fK91zQ

 

[austinhous]

Holy crap, yeah I wish I hadn't seen that now. Look at those games with a total of 9 or higher when you narrow down to night games...

 

[VirginiaCavs]

I will be on Cards +1.5 at -135

 

[mrpickem]

Here's one for you --> In his entire career, Hendricks is the most profitable starter in the MLB at cashing the under at home.

Brad Hand actually 75% under at home while Hendricks 70% https://goo.gl/vAiD2K / https://goo.gl/rAfB6s

 

[austinhous]

most profitable starter

:bouncing:

 

[mrpickem]

most profitable "active" starter
:bouncing:

Jared Weaver most profitable in history of SDQL and AJ Burnett 2nd but Kyle is #5 and the most profitable still active

 

[Bushleague]

Took u9.5 +104

Like the cubs as a side, rather not lay the runs or the wood

 

[austinhous]

With Hendricks' propensity to give up a run in the first inning, maybe you'll have an opportunity to buy the Cubs at a better price after these first three outs..

 

[VirginiaCavs]

With Hendricks' propensity to give up a run in the first inning, maybe you'll have an opportunity to buy the Cubs at a better price after these first three outs..

Yea hurry up before Carlos concedes in first

 

[VirginiaCavs]

Damn Wong rocketed that

 

[VirginiaCavs]

Fucking sabremetrics traitor was right there lol