April 13 MLB
- Thread starter RetroVK
- Start date
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tipyerbartender1
Guest
Don't know what you see in that guy. Ubaldo's not a bad fade though. Good luck, kylito.
RetroVK
This claim is disputed
KJ
Bump. Set. Shuma!
CollegeKingRex
CTG Regular
well, best thread of the day, regardless of the result
:shake:
:shake:
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tipyerbartender1
Guest
You're basing a play in 2016 based on how they fared against tomorrow's non-div opponent in 2015?
RetroVK
This claim is disputed
RetroVK
This claim is disputed
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tipyerbartender1
Guest
I gotta start playing these things. Good work again, cc.
KJ
Bump. Set. Shuma!
Nice job
Early outs at 3B mighta been the deathblow to the over but there could be something a little more to what tuck posted, late night game in the Northeast then pretty long flight to Dallas for a game tomorrow, I can see something to that whether it's the opponent or the travel involved.
Either way, stay hot :beer4:
Early outs at 3B mighta been the deathblow to the over but there could be something a little more to what tuck posted, late night game in the Northeast then pretty long flight to Dallas for a game tomorrow, I can see something to that whether it's the opponent or the travel involved.
Either way, stay hot :beer4:
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tipyerbartender1
Guest
clown, you hosting a watch party tonight to bid farewell to Kobe Bean?
RetroVK
This claim is disputed
Yup on several counts .. 3b outs were huge for my side and bad for the over. Also, I agree on the travel. That type of thing is not something that I put huge emphasis on but that doesn't mean someone else cannot be effective doing it. Tuck has been pretty good for quite a number of years so far as I can tell so I don't begrudge him any angles he is utilizing whether I am blind to them or not. I suspect he often has a lot of reasons but tends to post one or two lines that might have been the things to push him over the top as far as getting involved. Dunno.
I feel like I am capping pretty well to stay hot so hopefully it continues but the losing streak in bases is always right around the corner
RetroVK
This claim is disputed
I want him to keep playing. I am worried retirement will give this predator more opportunities to rape again. World is safer with him playing and living a structured existence.
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Lareux
Guest
Getaway day has always trended to the under in baseball. When it's a day game after a night game the night before, that trend to the under increases.
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tipyerbartender1
Guest
I see 8.5 in Fenway, Ubaldo and Kelly pitching, series trending over, I play the over. KISS capping. I whiffed on totals today.
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Lareux
Guest
I guess we can say there are varying degrees to getaway day games. The fact that it's getaway day means something. If they played a game the night before a day getaway game that adds something. If the team has to not only getaway, but play the next day (and how far they are traveling to do so) it adds even more.
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Lareux
Guest
But for others, that same KISS capping in this game was regression to the mean due to the series trending over, and a getaway game for the Orioles.
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tipyerbartender1
Guest
I don't get in the way of streaks in baseball IF I've personally been on that streak with the streak, if that makes sense. I had O's and over the first two games, so went back to the well.
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tipyerbartender1
Guest
Not really much of a streak, two games, lol, but you get the idea. I didn't want to fade it just because it was due.
RetroVK
This claim is disputed
getaway day has been a solid under situation over the years, and kj's point (And Tuck's earlier point) about specific aspects of this one for Orioles probably deserved extra emphasis.
Just because the total didn't get there, doesn't mean it wasn't the right action to have on the total.
Just because the total didn't get there, doesn't mean it wasn't the right action to have on the total.
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tipyerbartender1
Guest
And I actually liked that over.
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Lareux
Guest
No, I understand, and I'm not even saying an under was "due." It's just regression to the mean over a 162 game season, and more often than not, you'll see lower scoring games after either a few higher scoring games, or one game with a ton of runs...and vice versa with higher scoring games after a lower scoring few games.
Nothing will hit 100% or anywhere near that, and that's why capping isn't easy.
