April 11th - 20th

BenchCoach

BenchCoach

Pretty much a regular
Overall 13-12, +$505

One bad day to end the first cycle of the month...Have one I put in tonight for tomorrow. I don't anticipate the line getting any better than it is now.

4/11

CHW -130 (4 cents)
 
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These are all 2 cent plays below unless listed otherwise, gonna play these types of games on Sundays (avoid the Sunday sweep dogs)...I am waiting on a line in NYM game, I will have 1-2 totals there

COL +115
WAS +157
BAL +125
DET +160
TEX +145
CHC/PIT un 4.5 F5 -110 (4 cents)
DET/CLE un 5 F5 -110 (4 cents)
CHW tt ov 4.5 -105 (4 cents)
 
I've did quite a bit of research on the last game of series(LGS) and I have identified sweet spots, but I took it a step further today, only using Sunday games

fwiw...

Historically it's better to fade teams going for sweep when line +100 to -130 which has returned 20% ROI over last 7+ years (Rox & Royos today)

1618177157376.png

But it's better to ride the team going for the sweep when they are favored etween -130 and -155 esp on run line. 13.5% ROI (BoSox)

1618177368269.png
 
Coach, years ago I remember you mentioning an April system playing exclusively divisional home dogs. I’ve been playing it and charting it on action network. It’s currently 15-16 +4.58
 
Bushleague said:
Coach, years ago I remember you mentioning an April system playing exclusively divisional home dogs. I’ve been playing it and charting it on action network. It’s currently 15-16 +4.58
Click to expand...
That is a good one. Usually turns a profit every year. Probably gonna stick to the basics going into next week. GL Bush
 
TX/TB un 7 -118 (4 cents)
SEA/BAL un 8.5 -103 (4 cents)
WAS/STL un 9 -118 (4 cents)
CLE/CHW un 8.5 -115 (4 cents)
KC +110 (4 cents)
OAK/ARI ov 9 -115 (risking $690)
OAK/ARI ov 9.5 -110 (4 cents)
 
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Bushleague said:
Coach, years ago I remember you mentioning an April system playing exclusively divisional home dogs. I’ve been playing it and charting it on action network. It’s currently 15-16 +4.58
Click to expand...
Believe you would be looking at TOR +155-+160 range and KC +100-+110 range for tonight
 
ARI +103 (4 cents)
OAK tt un 2.5 -120 F5 (4 cents)
OAK tt un 4.5 -120 (4 cents)
CHW/CLE un 3.5 -120 F5 (nickel)

The awaited return of my guy Zac Gallen in Zona tonight. I used to watch him on the bump when he pitched for New Orleans in AAA and he has been a money train ever since. He was injured in Spring Training (reason for his late start to the season) but I don’t think the Dbacks would risk this kids future if he wasn’t 100%. Even pitching with a slight fracture in his forearm he was still dominating in ST. I’m gambling a bit here that he is 100% and the Dbacks aren’t stupid...that’s all for today guys. Enjoy the games. I won’t get to see em myself. Sometimes the coach has to coach his own games.
 
BenchCoach said:
ARI +103 (4 cents)
OAK tt un 2.5 -120 F5 (4 cents)
OAK tt un 4.5 -120 (4 cents)
CHW/CLE un 3.5 -120 F5 (nickel)

The awaited return of my guy Zac Gallen in Zona tonight. I used to watch him on the bump when he pitched for New Orleans in AAA and he has been a money train ever since. He was injured in Spring Training (reason for his late start to the season) but I don’t think the Dbacks would risk this kids future if he wasn’t 100%. Even pitching with a slight fracture in his forearm he was still dominating in ST. I’m gambling a bit here that he is 100% and the Dbacks aren’t stupid...that’s all for today guys. Enjoy the games. I won’t get to see em myself. Sometimes the coach has to coach his own games.
Click to expand...
Good stuff
 
GL Coach - Gallen is really a nice young arm, looks like he got through his simulated game in good shape and targeted for 80-85 pitches today. I will join you.
 
Timh said:
GL Coach - Gallen is really a nice young arm, looks like he got through his simulated game in good shape and targeted for 80-85 pitches today. I will join you.
Click to expand...
Once the AAA season gets going it really does pay to watch/track the win/ERA leaders throughout the league. They typically do really well when they get their call up, translates to big money...Gallen is a top 5 starter in the National League right now
 
Ryno14 said:
Nice + money day yesterday. Surprised to not see you on your Royals again tonight
Click to expand...
I was and CLE F5 under. I will be playing those two scenarios most days. I do cap the games each day but those two situations along with White Sox vs lefties are something I am hammering home these first few months. Together those 3 spots will bring us to the window more often than not. I was working a couple of soccer games in a monsoon yesterday evening so I couldn’t post any games. If its those 3 situations I will be on them most everyday.

KC Royals...Once KC has won the series I will lay off the last game of a series or wager significantly less.

CLE F5 unders...The same approach as KC I wager the under F5 until it wins the series and then pull back unless it is a significant pitching matchup.

CHW v. Lefties...pretty much blindly taking the Sox vs. Lefties until the trend cools off. Also like their team totals over in this situation. Sox have a good offense and they will be a team that lurks around .500 for most of the year. This should continue to provide value when they face lefties.
 
4/16

KC +110 (4 cents)
CLE/CIN un 5 -120 F5 (4 cents)
CLE/CIN un 9 -108 (4 cents)
SF/MIA un 8.5 -113 (4 cents)

also looking at COL tt under and some type of play on Dodgers in the late game...I should be back later as. No games to attend tonight. Just me and the back porch.
 
Cubs offense been awful so prob not a bad idea. I wasn’t gonna get to casino in time so I didn’t bother looking at. Gl
 
Davies single handedly costing us this one. Back to back innings he retired the first 2 - the first time he gave up 1 run and this one 2 and counting - Including keeping the inning alive with a double by the pitcher

Edit: Absolutely unreal
 
4/17

DET/OAK un 9 -115 (nickel)
ARI/WAS un 4.5 F5 -110 (nickel)
ARI/WAS un 8.5 +102 (nickel)
CLE/CIN un 4.5 F5 -125 (nickel)
KC -102 (GM1) (nickel)
NYY tt un 1.5 F5 +100 ($250)
CHC tt un 1.5 F5 +125 (nickel)

may have a few more late...really like the CHC tt un F5, wind blowing in and the kid on the bump for ATL is filthy
 
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BenchCoach said:
I was and CLE F5 under. I will be playing those two scenarios most days. I do cap the games each day but those two situations along with White Sox vs lefties are something I am hammering home these first few months. Together those 3 spots will bring us to the window more often than not. I was working a couple of soccer games in a monsoon yesterday evening so I couldn’t post any games. If its those 3 situations I will be on them most everyday.

KC Royals...Once KC has won the series I will lay off the last game of a series or wager significantly less.

CLE F5 unders...The same approach as KC I wager the under F5 until it wins the series and then pull back unless it is a significant pitching matchup.

CHW v. Lefties...pretty much blindly taking the Sox vs. Lefties until the trend cools off. Also like their team totals over in this situation. Sox have a good offense and they will be a team that lurks around .500 for most of the year. This should continue to provide value when they face lefties.
Click to expand...
If you had played these situations every game...KC is 7-2 +5.56 and CHW are 3-1 +2.10 with their one loss ironically coming against KC
 
profitable day yesterday...still a bit of back and forth. I made a couple small adjustments yesterday and I really like the way the numbers look. Due for a big run.

4/18

SF/MIA ov 8 -108 (nickel)
WAS tt ov 2.5 F5 -115 (nickel)
CLE/CIN un 3.5 F5 -120 (nickel)
CLE/CIN un 7 -103 (nickel)
KC -110 (nickel)
TOR/KC un 4.5 F5 -105 (nickel)
TOR/KC un 9 -115 (nickel)
LAD/SD un 4 -115 (nickel)
LAD/SD un 7.5 +102 (nickel)
NYM/COL ov 6 F5 +105 (nickel)

Parlay +365...MIL -.5 F5/NYY ML/LAD ML (1 cent)

other leans...over in NYY and under in DET
 
BenchCoach said:
profitable day yesterday...still a bit of back and forth. I made a couple small adjustments yesterday and I really like the way the numbers look. Due for a big run.

4/18

SF/MIA ov 8 -108 (nickel)
WAS tt ov 2.5 F5 -115 (nickel)
CLE/CIN un 3.5 F5 -120 (nickel)
CLE/CIN un 7 -103 (nickel)
KC -110 (nickel)
TOR/KC un 4.5 F5 -105 (nickel)
TOR/KC un 9 -115 (nickel)
LAD/SD un 4 -115 (nickel)
LAD/SD un 7.5 +102 (nickel)
NYM/COL ov 6 F5 +105 (nickel)

Parlay +365...MIL -.5 F5/NYY ML/LAD ML (1 cent)

other leans...over in NYY and under in DET
Click to expand...
What’s your fav play. I have to fill one spot with Whittaker from last night
 
4/19

CHW/BOS un 7.5 +103 (4 cents) (10am cst start time)
CHW/BOS un 4 -125 F5 (4 cents)
TB/KC un 7.5 -108 (4 cents)
TB/KC un 4 -115 F5 (4 cents)
STL/WAS un 8.5 -113 (4 cents)
STL/WAS un 4.5 -120 F5 (4 cents)
TX/LAA un 8.5 -118 (4 cents)
TX/LAA un 4.5 -120 F5 (4 cents)
KC -116 (nickel)
 
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MIL/SD un 6.5 -102 (4 cents)
MIL/SD un 3.5 -120 F5 (4 cents)

Grand Salami un 58.5 -110 (4 cents)
 
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B.A.R. said:
Gl coach
Click to expand...
Thanks man, I probably need it...Found a real fishy prop bet, Paddack (SD) over 5.5 K's -175 tonight. Seems very strange considering the guys hasn't K'd more than 4 yet this year. I took a flyer and Parlayed it with LAA in the late game for a couple bucks...I've been extremely busy with work the last week or so, unfortunately there is no end in sight. On a positive note I am closing a 6 figure deal tomorrow on some property I bought in Colorado 19 years ago for $18,000. I will make a very nice profit on the deal. I told the wife and she is rewarding me with a trip to Fucking Disney world this summer. Nothing like spending a shit load of money to put yourself through hell but I'm sure my girls will have a blast. Hopefully my new favorite team can pull out a win tonight and Diego is another snooze fest...good luck out there men.
 
Paddock prop hits.
.luckily they let him go down 0-5 for a few more innings. Striking out the side in 5th gets it done.
 
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