Anyone got a winner? Wednesday 5/16 MLB Discussion

Apparently the public like the WAS over and HOU...2 of my plays...I guess I'm turning into a square
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Just edited the title and turned this into a discussion thread, Mr. P. Hope you don't mind. Thanks for posting the daily numbers...I try to get to it when I have time in the morning, but I think threads like this are an awesome place to bounce numbers/trends/stats off to others and get feedback.
 
0 idea about the game with Cashner.
He now has a very good ump who may screw his opponent and his great catcher and he has been very bad and a disaster on 6
 
i am betting over in the Bauer game first half and game. on a short sample 4.1 Bauer has a 8.41 ERA with ump and vs Detroit 7.36 ERA and his opponent is STRANGE
playing Pitt light because of the time problem
 
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Skipping. I think they win but on 4 Tail on 12 inning sample 6.39 ERA this season always another game
 
Interesting trend has been money. 8 of last 10 and 21%ROI
Defensive theme as it isolates teams that turn over 27.5% more double plays than the league average at least 36 games into season and omitting SEPT
ANGELS, BRAVES, GIANTS, TIGERS ALL QUALIFY TODAY

Average(DDP@team and season) > 1.275 * Average(DDP@season) and Sum(1@team and season) >= 35 and season > 2014 and month < 9
SU: 169-103 (0.48, 62.1%) avg line: -107.6 / -103.4 on / against: +$6,896 / -$7,991 ROI: +20.9% / -24.7%

RL: 152-118 (0.50, 56.3%) avg line: -110.0 / -103.6 on / against: +$3,151 / -$4,724 ROI: +8.9% / -13.7%
 
could be/ Not really sure why Atlanta is a dog
Giants really should win if you dare go against ump bias for road teams
 
It's not meant to be chotchy Cavs... You are just 10-15 years behind "reverse line movement" really mattering.
 
B.A.R. said:
It's not meant to be chotchy Cavs... You are just 10-15 years behind "reverse line movement" really mattering.
Click to expand...

I see it working a lot. Get with the program? It came across as very dickish the way you said it, mr „humble“
 
Opened -135 yesterday at BO, got bet up to -150 an hour later

05/16 12:05 PM -133 +123
05/16 12:02 PM -130 +120
05/16 10:17 AM -127 +117
05/16 09:14 AM -130 +120
05/16 08:15 AM -131 +121
05/15 05:30 PM -132 +122
05/15 05:07 PM -130 +120
05/15 03:29 PM -128 +118
05/15 03:06 PM -139 +129
05/15 03:05 PM -144 +134
05/15 03:04 PM -140 +130
05/15 02:44 PM -150 +140
05/15 01:41 PM -128 +118
05/15 01:40 PM -135 +125
 
Killersports big trend for Giants
Also interesting trend for Yanks
Sabathia may be live here
 
Line coming back down for Angels despite higher % on Astros. This kinda stuff happened when Eduardo beat Yanks
 
Should be a quick game imo, on under and NYY tt under, both should benefit from Kulpa, not that either (esp Max) needs it
 
In the first 2 games Houston was facing a player away they had always had trouble with and then a very good uoung pitcher they had never seen. I stayed off. They are now facing a good pitcher they have seen a lot and they want to tie this series and are the better team. 1.5 units ML May add RL light
 
Reds actually have won 4 of last 6 and were a dog of 135 or more in all them wins. I thought that a little strange, so I made a query
AD and tS(W@line>=135,N=6) >= 4 and season > 2013 and month<7 and s:W

away dog 4 wins in last 6 with line >= 135 for 5 years APR-MAY with starter off a win...momentum...plus they got a new supposed ace on the mound...they should be pumped, even in frisco
24% ROI https://goo.gl/cB8GLe
 
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