I didn't think I'd be the contrarian with this pick, but here's what I posted in another thread...
IMO, Shanahan and his late ice is the only side to have money on tonight.
Denver knows Johnson is Houston's only hope, so Bailey will get help on him. Daniels is good, but Denver's LBs should handle business there. One of Houston's few advantages tonight, the D line, will have their hands full trying to stop Young and pressure Cutler.
Now I'll be the first to admit a short week favors the home team usually, and Denver has been deplorable on the road this season; but with playoff hopes still alive for both teams, I think the overall better team prevails.
24-20 Denver
Play: Denver -1.5