any systems for capping baseball
- Thread starter mofak7
- Start date
NickelAndDimer
Pretty much a regular
i remember seeing someone doing a 'Past 10 games' system
goes something like this
if a team is 3-7, 2-8, 1-9 or 0-10 in their last 10 games and they are favored over a team that is 7-3, 8-2, 9-1 or 10-0 then play on the underdog
someone did it last year and it was in the 55 - 60% range
some nights you might not have any games that fit the system but other nights you might have 5
i'll see if i can find the final numbers from last season but i do remember it was hitting over 50% and since you are betting on the underdogs it brings in a pretty good return
goes something like this
if a team is 3-7, 2-8, 1-9 or 0-10 in their last 10 games and they are favored over a team that is 7-3, 8-2, 9-1 or 10-0 then play on the underdog
someone did it last year and it was in the 55 - 60% range
some nights you might not have any games that fit the system but other nights you might have 5
i'll see if i can find the final numbers from last season but i do remember it was hitting over 50% and since you are betting on the underdogs it brings in a pretty good return
NickelAndDimer
Pretty much a regular
you just go on yahoo.com and look at the MLB standings....it'll tell you what the team's record is for the past 10 games
then just look at the lines and pick the teams that fit the system
then just look at the lines and pick the teams that fit the system
A
Austintx_05
Guest
there is always the chase system...just bet on the team who you do not think will get swept....I don't advise this, but its the only baseball system I have heard of...
Honestly though...if you are good at predicting which way the price will go...up or down...arbitrage is at its best during MLB.
:shake:
Honestly though...if you are good at predicting which way the price will go...up or down...arbitrage is at its best during MLB.
:shake:
NickelAndDimer
Pretty much a regular
last season i saw it go as little as none one day to up to 5 the next day
Seabass
Pretty much a regular
Particularly if you use Matchbook. Matchbook is an arbitrage bettor's dream...
The Chase System isn't bad, but you have to have a rational person with some brains choosing what is and what is not a play, or when to jump off a side...too many people play it too randomly and lose their shirts...
A
Austintx_05
Guest
Seabass knows...I tried to explain this about Matchbook for MLB...but I got ridiculed by a mod for it...
:shake:
Yanks27Sox9
CTG Partner
sensitiva
Alan Tongue
Pretty much a regular
Baseball has a reverse favourite/longshot bias i.e. more dogs will then fav's
NickelAndDimer
Pretty much a regular
here is that one system from last season that i was talking about i was slightly off on the description but i didn't play it last year
-------------------------------------------------------------------
Follow the Trends
Any team 3-7 or worse in their last 10 games, should not be favored (Play against the team 3-7 or worse if they are favored)
Any team 7-3 or better in their last 10 games, should not be a dog (Play on the 7-3 or better team if they are the underdog)
**the line you use is the one just before game time**
Season Finishes 195-193 for +$4,564.00
only 388 games played in the system +$4,564.00 for the season
-------------------------------------------------------------------
Follow the Trends
Any team 3-7 or worse in their last 10 games, should not be favored (Play against the team 3-7 or worse if they are favored)
Any team 7-3 or better in their last 10 games, should not be a dog (Play on the 7-3 or better team if they are the underdog)
**the line you use is the one just before game time**
Season Finishes 195-193 for +$4,564.00
only 388 games played in the system +$4,564.00 for the season
Basically what you have learned is in baseball the DUE Theory is the worse avenue possible. If a team is HOT regardless of who they are then ride them and if they are cold fade them. So if the Devil Rays are hot take them dont pay -200 thinking they should lose. Same with the Yankees if they are sliding dont lay -250 thinking they will win fade them...
Last year a 500 record produced a good profit but it could vary.
If your looking for a clueless system its ride the hot teams and fade the cold ones. Never say a team is DUE. The Series chase is awful approach cost me tons of dough in my younger years. AWFUL. I am not saying it might not be a decent spot to roll with a GOOD team avoiding a home sweep or something but make sure the price is decent .
Just always remember that the baseball season is long and a team can be in a pattern that last 2 weeks .
Last year a 500 record produced a good profit but it could vary.
If your looking for a clueless system its ride the hot teams and fade the cold ones. Never say a team is DUE. The Series chase is awful approach cost me tons of dough in my younger years. AWFUL. I am not saying it might not be a decent spot to roll with a GOOD team avoiding a home sweep or something but make sure the price is decent .
Just always remember that the baseball season is long and a team can be in a pattern that last 2 weeks .
What was the unit size for whoever played that system? Just wondering how much they wagered per game for a 4k profit.
NickelAndDimer
Pretty much a regular
$100 per game was played to get those results
they started playing this system on 6/8/06 so it was a good 2 months into the season but you can start using it once a team has 10 games played
A
Austintx_05
Guest
baseball is THE dog sport...I have seen Mussina lose at home KC and many -330's go up in flames....
Know your Over teams, your RL teams or if you follow a certain division stick with that...
Can't wait for APRIL....
Know your Over teams, your RL teams or if you follow a certain division stick with that...
Can't wait for APRIL....
Yanks27Sox9
CTG Partner
agree...
i also try to avoid as much juice as possible. only takes a couple of what austin mentioned to really take a bite outta your roll.
also, powerade had a pretty successful system going last year...basically fading any team that lost by 5 or more runs the previous game.
i'm sure he'll be in here soon, and can explain it best. but it was indeed quite succesful for most of last season.
jsut a couple days to pitchers and catchers reporting:smiley_acbe:
tru
Friend of CTG
http://www.cappingthegame.com/forum/showthread.php?t=17441
dont really like any of em, but theres some. live by tha dogs an u will have a profitable season
dont really like any of em, but theres some. live by tha dogs an u will have a profitable season
Rupos
Pretty much a regular
Since it is such a marathon keeping with just National or just American can keep focus...BULLPENS, BULLPENS, BULLPENS...not the three most important things in MLB capping, but is up there...gotta follow who is available and can go in the pen if needed...don't take a knife to a gun fight...don't bet on a depleted pen!
